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SERBIA PRIME SITE ONE WIRTSCHAFTLICHER BERICHT DES EDA Zusammenfassung Das globale Wachstum dürfte sich in diesem Jahr Der vom damaligen Regierungschef und aktuellem abschwächen, aber schon 2021 allmählich erholen, je- Präsidenten Aleksandar Vucic vor sechs Jahren be - doch sind die Wachstumsaussichten noch immer sehr gonnene Prozess der Restrukturierung der Wirt- ungewiss. Das Hauptrisiko für die Projektion auf kurze schaft und Konsolidierung der Finanzen wird weiter- Sicht ergibt sich aus dem noch zu wenig bekannten hin von der Regierung fortgesetzt. Erklärtes Ziel von Virus und möglichen Störungen bei globalen Ketten. Ministerpräsidentin Ana Brnabic ist, die nötigen Refor- Nach Prognosen des Internationalen Währungsfonds men im Hinblick auf einen EU-Beitritt voranzutreiben. (IWF) wird auch die serbische Wirtschaft in diesem Schwerpunkt der Regierungspolitik bleiben EU-Inte- Jahr vorrausichtlich um drei Prozent des BIP fallen, gration als wichtigstes strategisches Ziel, Digitalisie- könnte aber schon im nächsten Jahr um 7,5 Prozent rung, E-Government, Stabilhaltung der öffentlichen wachsen. Serbien verzeichnete vor der COVID-19 Finanzen, aber auch Fortsetzung der Wirtschafts- Krise ein Wirtschaftswachstum von 5 Prozent in den reformen und der Rechtsstaatlichkeit, insbesondere ersten vier Monaten 2020. Das serbische BIP belief der Unabhängigkeit der Gerichtsbehörden. Die bis- sich 2019 auf 45,9 Milliarden Euro, was einem Anstieg her durchgeführten strukturellen Reformen und Ein- von 4,2 Prozent entspricht. sparungen im Staatshaushalt brachten Serbien auf Wachstumskurs. Serbien verzeichnete zwei Jahre hin- Die makroökonomische Leistung Serbiens blieb 2019 tereinander eine hohe Wachstumsrate - einen Anstieg robust. Das Wachstum wird auf 4,2 Prozent geschätzt, von 4,4% in 2018 und 4,2 % im Jahr 2019. Serbien hat unterstützt durch starke ausländische Direktinvestitio- sich in sechs Jahren zu einer niedrigen Inflations- und nen und boomende Bautätigkeiten. Die Arbeitslosig - einer stabil wachsenden Wirtschaft gewandelt. Der keit ging auf ein historisch niedriges Niveau zurück, Haushaltsüberschuss, der Rückgang der Staatsver- und die Löhne stiegen stetig. Die Inflation blieb mit schuldung, der Abbau der aussenwirtschaftlichen Un- 2 Prozent im Januar 2020 in der unteren Hälfte des gleichgewichte und die Erholung des Arbeitsmarktes Zielbandes. Die Widerstandsfähigkeit des Finanzsek- haben sich bemerkbar gemacht. tors verbessert sich weiter. Die notleidenden Kredite gingen im Dezember 2019 auf 4,1 Prozent zurück. Die Der Ausbruch des Coronavirus (COVID-19) im Januar Haushaltsleistung blieb stark. Der Staat verzeichnete 2020 hat bereits weltweit erhebliches menschliches 2019 ein Haushaltsdefizit von 0,2 Prozent des BIP, Leid und grosse wirtschaftliche Störungen mit sich ge- während die Staatsverschuldung Ende 2019 auf etwa bracht. 52 Prozent des BIP und im Januar 2020 auf 48,9 Pro- zent zurückging. 2 Die makroökonomischen Aussichten für 2020 waren Beste Lage in Neu Belgrad bis zum Ausbruch der COVID-19 Krise positiv, mit einem prognostizierten Wachstum von über 4 Pro- zent und einer Inflation in der unteren Hälfte des Ziel- bandes von 3% ± 1,5%. Weiterhin bleiben die Risiken an der Aussenfront erhöht und die wichtige Struktur- reformagenda bestehen. In diesem Zusammenhang bleibt auch die Notwendigkeit, die im Rahmen des IMF Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI) begangenen Reformen vollständig umzusetzen, um die Nachhal- tigkeit der makroökonomischen Errungenschaften sicherzustellen und das Wachstumspotenzial Serbi- ens zu steigern. Hauptinvestoren nach Land (Jahr 2019) Platz Land Direktinvestitionen Anteil % Veränderung % (Mio EUR) 1 Holland 707.0 18.5 101 2 Rus. Föderation 685.6 17.9 160 3 Ungarn 472.3 12.3 1080 4 Schweiz 448.4 11.7 101 5 Österreich 284.4 7.4 35 3 DIREKT ANGRENZENDE UEBERBAUUNG 4 GRUNDSTUECK 5 6 7 PREISE UM DAS GRUNDSTUECK The Serbia Prime Site One project will be located The planned complex will be constructed in in the block 65 between Heroja sa Košara Boule- four phases. The overall project will compri- vard and Tadije Sandomajera Street. se around 750 residential units. The size of the apartments is planned to be between 41 sq.m to 189 sq.m. This investment project includes phases 2-4 of the whole complex, where Jan Schoch owns 100% of shares and voting rights. 8 SERBIA PRIME SITE ONE PROPERTY DETAILS MACROLOCATION Average prices and price ranges for apartments in Belgrade in Q4 2020 Municipality Old Buildings New Bulidings Average price Price Range Trend Average price Average Price Trend (EUR/m2) (EUR/m2) Min Max Min Max (EUR/m2) (EUR/m2) (%) (EUR/m2) (EUR/m2) (%) Stari Grad 2’182 1’000 4’452 4 2’703 1’500 3’836 16 Vračar 2’021 904 3’474 7 2’047 1’075 3’252 4 Savski Venac 1’761 900 2’605 9 3’194 1’2610 8’754 10 New Belgrade 1’649 534 3’243 7 2’158 1’000 3’583 -1 Palilula 1’399 611 2’596 9 1’689 920 2’955 10 Zvezdara 1’526 701 2’417 5 1’676 793 2’550 2 Voždovac 1’362 673 2’391 5 1’667 763 2’418 -1 Čukarica 1’347 647 2’172 9 1’579 1’000 2’787 13 Zemun 1’453 781 2’294 8 1’740 732 2’451 9 Stara Rakovica 1’100 694 1’480 4 1’389 1’008 1’662 18 9 WATERFRONT-PROJEKT West 65 – Tower In 2018, the invest, PSP Farman commenced the construction of West 65 Tower, which represents the fourth phase of the West 65 project. With the completion of West 65 Tower, the overall West 65 project will comprise around 800 residential units. West 65 Tower is planned to be completed during 2021. It will consist of 40 floors and will have the height of 155 metres. The building will have 294 residential units, ranging from one-bedroom apartments to penthouses, as well as 326 parking places. The sizes of the apartments vary from 37 sq. m to 410 sq. m. The average transacted price in the final quarter of 2020 for apartments in West 65 Tower was 3,110 EUR per sq. m. and the range was between 2,150 EUR per sq. m. and EUR 3,580 per sq. m., including VAT. Parking spaces in the building are sold at 18,200 EUR, including VAT. Current asking prices are in the range between 3,270 and 3,700 EUR per sq. m., including VAT and depend on the floor of the specific apartment. Belgrade Waterfront The Belgrade Waterfront project is the largest mixed use construction site in the country, which will comprise over 7,000 residential units once completed. Four buildings have already been completed, namely the BW Magnolija, BW Residences, BW Vista and BW Parkview which have a total of 110, 296, 228 and 244 units, respectively . In addition, the construction of other buildings started, including BW Arcadia, BW Aurora, BW Metropolitan, BW Terraces and The Residences St Regis Kula Beograd. Several other buildings are also announced, namely BW Aria, BW Terra, BW Symphony, BW Aqua, BW Quartet and BW Verde, as well as the W Residences. The seven buildings currently in the planning phase will comprise 1,532 residential units, in addition to the 1,167 units already under construction and 878 already completed. The first completed part of the Belgrade Waterfront project, namely BW Residences offer indoor swimming pool, a gym and a kid‘s playroom. The apartment structures range between one-bedroom to four-bedroom apartments with areas ranging between 60 and 140 sq. m. The average sales price in the final quarter of Q4 2020 in the BW project was 3,390 EUR per sq. m. and the range was between 2,580 EUR per sq. m. and EUR 8,753 per sq. m., including VAT. 10 Recently completed residential projects Project Location Investor Size A Block New Belgrade Deka Inzenjering 907 units Exing Home 65 New Belgrade Exing B&P 147 units Savada New Belgrade NeimarV 303 units Savada 2 New Belgrade NeimarV 188 units Blok 32 New Belgrade PMC Inzenjering 127 units Kneza Miloša Residence Savski Venac Yossi Avrahami and Almogim Holdings 226 units Central Garden Palilula Direct Capital S (AFI Europe and Shikun&Binui Group) 375 units Kapija Vračara Vračar Aleksandar Group 252 units Panorama Voždovac Voždovac Alpros Invest 187 units 11 Major residential projects in the planning phase in Belgrade Project Location Investor Size Lola Real Estate New Belgrade Lola Real Estate - Jakub Kuburović Zemun PMC Inzenjering 470 units BW Waterfront Savski Venac Eagle Hills 1,530 units Skyline Belgrade – residential building 2 Savski Venac AFI Europe Ca. 200 units BIG Residences Zvezdara Merin Properties/ Minel Kotlogradnja 1,000 units Zvezdano Brdo Zvezdara Urban Developers and Investors 317 units Woodstar Residence Zvezdara Galens Invest 152 units Queens Garden Zvezdara Ecstatika - 12 Residential stock and supply (number of units) Trends in average net earnings 13 Unemployment rate by region Profiles of Residential Real Estate Buyers in Serbia looking to invest their savings in real estate assets, According to our research, the key drivers of the de- which is considered to be the safest type of investment mand for residential real estate are buyers who buy in the country and also carries rental income with it. apartments that they will move into themselves, or who Such purchases are usually made by individuals who seek to improve their living conditions by purchasing have the money to invest. Apartments that are smal- a new apartment. Apartments are usually purchased ler in size are attractive for the „apartment for a day“ with the proceeds of a loan or the sale of existing real leasing concept, which generates significantly higher estate. The trend of demand for smaller flats has also income than traditional lease of apartments. been maintained, where some families buy real esta- te for their parents, and in turn they move to a larger Most customers are members of the domestic popula- apartment where their parents previously resided.
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