sd UNCLASSIFIED/FOUO : Cyclones and Storms February 23, 2007

(U) SITUATION REPORT: Three storms are 0 50 100 200 300 400 500 Km heading towards Mozambique: 1) Cyclone Favio is a category 4 storm with winds of 144 mph and HUMANITAIRIANU made landfall near Vilanculos during the night of INFORMATION Feb 21. 2) has winds of 52 Radar image acquired UNIT mph and is expected to make landfall further Cyclone Cyclone Unnamed Feb 22 1330Z U.S Department of State north. 3) An as-yet-named storm is expected to Gamede [email protected] follow on the heels of the two cyclones. The Favio http://hiu.state.gov storms could hit at least one of Mozamique's Lilongwe three largest cities -- Maputo (1 million), Beira (300,Z000A), NMampuBla (I20A0,000).

15°S Cahora Bassa Nampula Dam Lusaka MOZAMBIQUE

Zambezi River

Harare Toamasina Antananarivo

20°S Beira 20°S Bulawayo el

Cyclone Favio (U) IMPACTS: When Favio made landfall in Inhambane, strong winds damaged 02/22/1330Z P MozCamhabniqnue Save River a infrastructure, including power, disrupting / th mobile coverage and municipal water supply, Vilanculos o roof damage to concrete structures on the f waterside, and destruction of mud and reed C huts. Across southern Mozambique and Limpopo River yc southeastern Zimbabwe, torrential rains are 02/21/1830Z l expected through Feb 25. These rains, on coupled with rain associated with the / e Toliara cyclones could increase water levels in the Inhambane F already flooded Limpopo and river SOUTH 02/21/00Z a basins. According to NGOs, the flooding vi could impact up to 285,000 people. AFRICA / o

25°S (U) As of Feb 23, Mozambique's National Disaster Relief Agency had not 25°S declared a disaster nor requested any international assistance. Authorities Pretoria believe that they can manage additional water and that Zambezi water levels 02/20/00Z Maputo behind the dam remain relatively low after several controlled releases. The U.S. / Johannesburg Mbabane Embassy issued a warden message on Cyclone Gamede to U.S. citizens. So 02/18/12Z far there are no reports of American injuries as a result of the cyclones. The 02/19/12Z 02/19/00Z U.S. Embassy has not requested disaster assistance. / / / SWAZILAND (FOUO) The Mozambique government is sending a survey team to assess damage and needs. USDAO is preparing to assist with emergency health supplies and USAID Maputo is tracking the flooding. Indian Ocean 30°E 35°E 40°E 45°E

UNCLASSIFIED/FOUO Sources: Radar from Meteosat 7 (Meteo France); Cyclone path on main map from NOAA, path in inset map from Pacific Disaster Center.