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Morrison's Miracle the 2019 Australian Federal Election
MORRISON'S MIRACLE THE 2019 AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION MORRISON'S MIRACLE THE 2019 AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION EDITED BY ANIKA GAUJA, MARIAN SAWER AND MARIAN SIMMS In memory of Dr John Beaton FASSA, Executive Director of the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia from 2001 to 2018 and an avid supporter of this series of election analyses Published by ANU Press The Australian National University Acton ACT 2601, Australia Email: [email protected] Available to download for free at press.anu.edu.au ISBN (print): 9781760463618 ISBN (online): 9781760463625 WorldCat (print): 1157333181 WorldCat (online): 1157332115 DOI: 10.22459/MM.2020 This title is published under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial- NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0). The full licence terms are available at creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode Cover design and layout by ANU Press Cover photograph: Scott Morrison Campaign Day 11. Photo by Mick Tsikas, AAP. This edition © 2020 ANU Press CONTENTS Figures . ix Plates . xiii Tables . .. xv Abbreviations . xix Acknowledgements . xxiii Contributors . xxv Foreword . xxxiii 1 . Morrison’s miracle: Analysing the 2019 Australian federal election . 1 Anika Gauja, Marian Sawer and Marian Simms Part 1. Campaign and context 2 . Election campaign overview . 21 Marian Simms 3 . The rules of the game . 47 Marian Sawer and Michael Maley 4 . Candidates and pre‑selection . .. 71 Anika Gauja and Marija Taflaga 5 . Ideology and populism . 91 Carol Johnson 6 . The personalisation of the campaign . 107 Paul Strangio and James Walter 7 . National polling and other disasters . 125 Luke Mansillo and Simon Jackman 8 . -
Documents Released Under FOI 19/250 Page 2 of 133
Document 1 - Page 2 of 2 S22(1)(a)(ii) S22(1)(a)(ii) Previous Cabinet Warringah NSW Tony Abbott Minister S22(1)(a)(ii) S22(1)(a)(ii) Attorney-General's Department documents released under FOI 19/250 Page 2 of 133 Document 2 - Page 4 of 5 (www.blackberry.com) From: S47F(1) Date: Friday, 02 Aug 2019, 4:25 pm To: S47F(1) , Wellington, Tim <[email protected] > Subject: FW: CPAC talking points [DLM=For-Official-Use-Only] For Official Use Only FYI From: Atkinson, Lucinda Sent: Friday, 2 August 2019 4:20 PM To: S47F(1) Cc: AGO DLO; Transparency; Walter, Andrew Subject: CPAC talking points [DLM=For-Official-Use-Only] For Official Use Only Hi S47F(1) As requested, below are some points about the CPAC letter and FITS in case this is raised with the AGO. Happy to discuss. L ______________ Talking Points · The Foreign Influence Transparency Scheme (the scheme) commenced on 10 December 2018. The scheme is designed to provide the public and government decision-makers with visibility of the nature, level and extent of foreign influence on Australia's government and political process. · The scheme does not prevent people or groups from participating in political conversations, expressing views about a government or political party or advocating their political opinions on various platforms. Nor should the scheme deter people from doing so. Rather, the scheme is intended to ensure that the source of the interests being represented through such activities is clear and appropriately disclosed. · The scheme requires people or entities undertaking certain activities on behalf of a foreign principal to register, unless an exemption applies. -
What Could Trigger a Federal Election
What could trigger a federal election by Phillip Coorey Just over a year ago, Britain's Conservative government came close to defeat when a gamble by Prime Minister Theresa May to call an early election backfired. May, who had taken over from David Cameron, sought a fresh five-year term in the belief that strong opinion polls would hand her a decisive victory over Labour's Jeremy Corbyn and give the government clear air to preside over Britain's exit from the European Union. The voters did not appreciate another election just two years into a new term and for this reason, among others, May was punished and her government reduced to a minority. Privately, Malcolm Turnbull cites May's disaster as one of the reasons he believes his government should leave it until next year before calling the election. Because Turnbull held the last election, a double dissolution, on July 2, 2016, this term of Parliament was always going to be shortish. That is because half the Senators – those who received three-year terms at the 2016 poll – need to face an election, the results be counted and those chosen to be in their seats, all before July 1, 2019. And that means the government could never go the full three years this term. Still, Turnbull believes that if he goes early and holds the next election before Christmas, the government will be marked down for it. Additionally, the government believes it needs as much time as possible to close the gap on Labor in the polls, buttressed by an improving economic outlook. -
April 2017 MELBOURNE LAW SCHOOL
Electoral Regulation Research Network Newsletter E RRN Electoral Regulation Research Network April 2017 MELBOURNE LAW SCHOOL 2 Director’s Message 3 Electoral News 13 Research Collaboration Initiative 14 Forthcoming Events Re Day [2017] HCA 2 15 Event Reports Re Culleton [2017] HCA 3 17 Working Papers Re Culleton (No 2) [2017] HCA 4 Victorian Electoral Commission v Municipal 18 Recent Publications Electoral Tribunal (2017) VCAT 294 19 Case Notes Director’s Message ‘Populism’ has clearly become a dirty word after Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States. Commenting on the government’s withdrawal of China-Australia extradition treaty from ratification, Mark Kenny, The Age’s national affairs editors said: The trouble with populism is that it invites more of the same. Sober leadership becomes unfashionable, even dangerous. Principles are sent on vacation. Courage is deported. If these are the only meanings of ‘populism’ then there is only occasion for deprecation. But perhaps, we can gain better insight by attending to other meanings of ‘populism’. The Cambridge English Dictionary, for instance, defines ‘populism’ as: political ideas and activities that are intended to get the support of ordinary people by giving them what they want. To be granted, ‘ordinary people’ can often be a site of myths and fictions. But if one meaning of ‘populism’ is that found in the Cambridge English Dictionary, we should not be too quick to deride ‘populism’. After all, isn’t responsiveness to the wishes and concerns of citizens an essential element of democracy? This brings us to a significant critique of ‘populism’ – the system of government is not working in the interests of ‘ordinary people’ because it has been captured by the elite. -
Report on the Conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and Matters Related Thereto
PARLIAMENT OF THE COMMONWEALTH OF AUSTRALIA Report on the conduct of the 2016 federal election and matters related thereto Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters November 2018 CANBERRA © Commonwealth of Australia ISBN 978-1-74366-741-5 (Printed Version) ISBN 978-1-74366-742-2 (HTML Version) This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Australia License. The details of this licence are available on the Creative Commons website: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/au/. Contents Chair's Foreword .............................................................................................................................. ix Members .......................................................................................................................................... xiii Terms of Reference ......................................................................................................................... xix Abbreviations .................................................................................................................................. xxi List of Recommendations ............................................................................................................ xxiii Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................... xxxi The Report 1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 1 Conduct -
The 2019 Australian Federal Election
MORRISON'S MIRACLE THE 2019 AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION MORRISON'S MIRACLE THE 2019 AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION EDITED BY ANIKA GAUJA, MARIAN SAWER AND MARIAN SIMMS In memory of Dr John Beaton FASSA, Executive Director of the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia from 2001 to 2018 and an avid supporter of this series of election analyses Published by ANU Press The Australian National University Acton ACT 2601, Australia Email: [email protected] Available to download for free at press.anu.edu.au ISBN (print): 9781760463618 ISBN (online): 9781760463625 WorldCat (print): 1157333181 WorldCat (online): 1157332115 DOI: 10.22459/MM.2020 This title is published under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial- NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0). The full licence terms are available at creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode Cover design and layout by ANU Press Cover photograph: Scott Morrison Campaign Day 11. Photo by Mick Tsikas, AAP. This edition © 2020 ANU Press CONTENTS Figures . ix Plates . xiii Tables . .. xv Abbreviations . xix Acknowledgements . xxiii Contributors . xxv Foreword . xxxiii 1 . Morrison’s miracle: Analysing the 2019 Australian federal election . 1 Anika Gauja, Marian Sawer and Marian Simms Part 1. Campaign and context 2 . Election campaign overview . 21 Marian Simms 3 . The rules of the game . 47 Marian Sawer and Michael Maley 4 . Candidates and pre‑selection . .. 71 Anika Gauja and Marija Taflaga 5 . Ideology and populism . 91 Carol Johnson 6 . The personalisation of the campaign . 107 Paul Strangio and James Walter 7 . National polling and other disasters . 125 Luke Mansillo and Simon Jackman 8 .