THE FEASIBILITY of the X-RAY LASER PUMPED with a NUCLEAR EXPLOSION David W
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Report: the New Nuclear Arms Race
The New Nuclear Arms Race The Outlook for Avoiding Catastrophe August 2020 By Akshai Vikram Akshai Vikram is the Roger L. Hale Fellow at Ploughshares Fund, where he focuses on U.S. nuclear policy. A native of Louisville, Kentucky, Akshai previously worked as an opposition researcher for the Democratic National Committee and a campaign staffer for the Kentucky Democratic Party. He has written on U.S. nuclear policy and U.S.-Iran relations for outlets such as Inkstick Media, The National Interest, Defense One, and the Quincy Institute’s Responsible Statecraft. Akshai holds an M.A. in International Economics and American Foreign Policy from the Johns Hopkins University SAIS as well as a B.A. in International Studies and Political Science from Johns Hopkins Baltimore. On a good day, he speaks Spanish, French, and Persian proficiently. Acknowledgements This report was made possible by the strong support I received from the entire Ploughshares Fund network throughout my fellowship. Ploughshares Fund alumni Will Saetren, Geoff Wilson, and Catherine Killough were extremely kind in offering early advice on the report. From the Washington, D.C. office, Mary Kaszynski and Zack Brown offered many helpful edits and suggestions, while Joe Cirincione, Michelle Dover, and John Carl Baker provided much- needed encouragement and support throughout the process. From the San Francisco office, Will Lowry, Derek Zender, and Delfin Vigil were The New Nuclear Arms Race instrumental in finalizing this report. I would like to thank each and every one of them for their help. I would especially like to thank Tom Collina. Tom reviewed numerous drafts of this report, never The Outlook for Avoiding running out of patience or constructive advice. -
Images of Nuclear Energy: Why People Feel the Way They Do Emotions and Ideas Are More Deeply Rooted Than Realized
SPECIAL REPORT Images of nuclear energy: Why people feel the way they do Emotions and ideas are more deeply rooted than realized by ^/ontroversy over nuclear energy, both bombs anxiety and anger. Even among pro-nuclear Spencer R. Weart and reactors, has been exceptionally durable and people, beneath the controlled language, there is violent, exciting more emotion and public a lot of anxiety, a lot of anger. And why not? protest than any other technology. A main reason After all, everyone has heard that nuclear is that during the 20th century, nuclear energy weapons can blow up the world — or maybe gradually became a condensed symbol for many deter those who would blow it up. With nuclear features of industrial and bureucratic authority reactors, too, everyone agrees they are immense- (especially the horrors of modern war). ly important. They will save us from the global Propagandists found nuclear energy a useful disasters of the Greenhouse Effect — or perhaps symbol because it had become associated with they will poison all our posterity. potent images: not only weapons, but also un- Most of us take for granted these intensely canny scientists with mysterious rays' and mutant emotional ideas; we suppose the ideas flow from monsters; technological Utopia or universal the nature of the bombs and reactors themselves. doom; and even spiritual degradation or rebirth. But I have come to feel uneasy about this over These images had archaic connections stretching the years doing historical research on nuclear back to alchemical visions of transmutation. energy. The fact is, emotions came first, and the Decades before fission was discovered, the im- powerful devices themselves came later. -
Jihadists and Nuclear Weapons
VERSION: Charles P. Blair, “Jihadists and Nuclear Weapons,” in Gary Ackerman and Jeremy Tamsett, eds., Jihadists and Weapons of Mass Destruction: A Growing Threat (New York: Taylor and Francis, 2009), pp. 193-238. c h a p t e r 8 Jihadists and Nuclear Weapons Charles P. Blair CONTENTS Introduction 193 Improvised Nuclear Devices (INDs) 195 Fissile Materials 198 Weapons-Grade Uranium and Plutonium 199 Likely IND Construction 203 External Procurement of Intact Nuclear Weapons 204 State Acquisition of an Intact Nuclear Weapon 204 Nuclear Black Market 212 Incidents of Jihadist Interest in Nuclear Weapons and Weapons-Grade Nuclear Materials 213 Al-Qa‘ida 213 Russia’s Chechen-Led Jihadists 214 Nuclear-Related Threats and Attacks in India and Pakistan 215 Overall Likelihood of Jihadists Obtaining Nuclear Capability 215 Notes 216 Appendix: Toward a Nuclear Weapon: Principles of Nuclear Energy 232 Discovery of Radioactive Materials 232 Divisibility of the Atom 232 Atomic Nucleus 233 Discovery of Neutrons: A Pathway to the Nucleus 233 Fission 234 Chain Reactions 235 Notes 236 INTRODUCTION On December 1, 2001, CIA Director George Tenet made a hastily planned, clandestine trip to Pakistan. Tenet arrived in Islamabad deeply shaken by the news that less than three months earlier—just weeks before the attacks of September 11, 2001—al-Qa‘ida and Taliban leaders had met with two former Pakistani nuclear weapon scientists in a joint quest to acquire nuclear weapons. Captured documents the scientists abandoned as 193 AU6964.indb 193 12/16/08 5:44:39 PM 194 Charles P. Blair they fled Kabul from advancing anti-Taliban forces were evidence, in the minds of top U.S. -
US Nuclear Weapons
U.S. NUCLEAR DETERRENCE POLICY Today's Strategic Environment: Increasingly Complex and Dangerous For decades, the United States led the world in efforts to reduce the role and number of nuclear weapons. Successive treaties enabled reductions in accountable strategic U.S. nuclear warheads, first to 6,000, and ultimately to 1,550. Thousands of shorter-range nuclear weapons not covered by any treaty were almost entirely eliminated from the U.S. nuclear arsenal. Overall, the U.S. nuclear weapons stockpile has drawn down by more than 85 percent from its Cold War high. Many hoped conditions had been set for even deeper reductions in global nuclear arsenals. Unfortunately, the United States and our allies now face a security environment with increased complexity and worsening strategic threats. Today’s central challenge to our security is the reemergence of long-term strategic competition with Russia and China. While the United States has focused on maintaining its existing nuclear systems, Russia and China have increased the role of nuclear weapons in their strategies and have been actively increasing the size and sophistication of their nuclear forces. Further, North Korea’s nuclear capabilities threaten our allies and homeland and add to an already complex strategic picture. Russia has been developing, testing, and fielding new systems for its nuclear triad over the past decade. This includes new road-mobile and silo-based ICBMs, ballistic missile submarines and missiles, bomber aircraft, and cruise missiles. Russia is also actively testing never-before-seen nuclear weapon capabilities, such as hypersonic glide vehicles, nuclear-powered cruise missiles, and nuclear-powered unmanned underwater vehicles. -
DOE-OC Green Book
SUBJECT AREA INDICATORS AND KEY WORD LIST FOR RESTRICTED DATA AND FORMERLY RESTRICTED DATA U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY AUGUST 2018 TABLE OF CONTENTS PURPOSE ....................................................................................................................................................... 1 BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................................................... 2 Where It All Began .................................................................................................................................... 2 DIFFERENCE BETWEEN RD/FRD and NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION (NSI) ......................................... 3 ACCESS TO RD AND FRD ................................................................................................................................ 4 Non-DoD Organizations: ........................................................................................................................... 4 DoD Organizations: ................................................................................................................................... 4 RECOGNIZING RD and FRD ............................................................................................................................ 5 Current Documents ................................................................................................................................... 5 Historical Documents ............................................................................................................................... -
1 Distant Nuclear Fusion 1. Introduction 2. ITER
Distant Nuclear Fusion By John Benson January 2021 1. Introduction When we look up at night and view the stars, everything we see is shining because of distant nuclear fusion. — Carl Sagan, Cosmos (1980, p. 238) I have been posting papers to Energy Central since 2017, and weekly posts since 2018. During this time, I have occasionally come across a subject and considered writing a post on it. The reason I haven’t is because, even though it is an advanced technology for producing energy, it will not produce any usable electric power for decades. There are currently two experiments that are designed to reach “break-even” fusion within the next several years, but this means that the experiment will inject as much energy into the inner, or core process as comes out in the form of high energy neutrons. Forget any energy-conversion efficiencies outside of the core – no electric energy will come out of these initial facilities in spite of huge amounts going in. One of these two projects, the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) is in Saint-Paul-lez-Durance, France. The other, the National Ignition Facility (NIF) is here in my home town of Livermore, California. ITER is scheduled to turn on in 2025, and reach full power by 2035. NEF has been running for over a decade. ITER cost $25 billion. The cost of NIF is a bit difficult to parse. The official cost is $3.5 billion, but there were several earlier experiments that led up to NIF, and NIF has been expanded and modified since it was commissioned in 2009. -
Nuclear Weapons 19671A
_NA_ru_R_Ev_o_L._319_9_JA_Nu_A_RY_1_9s6____ CQRRESPQNDENCE----------- 93 within the accuracy of the Babylonian observations. Sakharov's scientific legacy C. Leroy Ellenberger, no longer a con S1R-Erast B. Gliner is right to say that When asked about Sakharov's fate, vinced Velikovskian, has pointed out to Sakharov's contribution to science' should some Soviet officials (including Anatoly me that I might nevertheless have even be emphasized in the campaign to end his Alexandrov, president of the Academy of better cited the uniformity of Greenland exile and to save his life. However, Glin Sciences of the USSR) normally answer ice core Dye 3 as a way in which science er's statement that Sakharov "is not consi that Sakharov is restricted to Gorky be could actually demonstrate that Velikovs dered as a head of some scientific school cause he is in the possession of important ky's scenario did not happen. This 2,000- inside of the Soviet Union or abroad" is military secrets and that this exile is made metre sample is continuous and datable not entirely correct. Sakharov's pioneer in strict observance of Soviet laws. Neith for the past 10,000 years and shows no ing work on the problem of a controlled er reason is correct. Sakharov was exiled dust or acid layers that would signal the thermonuclear reaction, which began the to Gorky on the basis of an "individual" sort of universal catastrophe predicted by well known tokamak project, was the decree signed by the late President Leonid Velikovsky. main reason for his election as a full mem Brezhnev in 1980 as a reprisal for Sakhar OwEN GINGERICH ber of the Academy of Sciences of the ov's protest over the Soviet invasion of Harvard-Smithsonian Center for USSR in 1953, together with his co-author Afghanistan. -
Nuclear Weapons Databook
Nuclear Weapons Databook . The Amount of Plutonium ..and Highly-Enri.chedUranium Needed . for ..' . Pure Fission Nuclear Weapons by .Thomas B. Cochran and· Christopher E.Paine Revised 13 April 1995 ____ Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc. _ 1350 New York Avenue, NW, Suite 300 Washington, D.C. 20005· . Tele: 202-783·7800 .FAX: 202·783·5917 The Amount of Plutonium and Highly-Enriched Uranium Needed for Pure Fission Nuclear Weapons Thomas B. Cochran and Christopher E. Paine Revised 13 April 1995 Natural Resources Defense Council. Inc. 1350 New York Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20005 Tele: 202-783-7800 FAX: 202-783-5917 NRDC's work on nonproliferation issues is supported by grants from the W. Alton Jones Foundation, the Carnegie Corporation of New York, the Prospect Hill Foundation, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, and the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. III. The Amount of Fissile Material Required to Make a Pure Fission Weapon ' . 5 IV. U.S. Government Requirements 6 Approximate Fissile Material Requirements for Pure Fission Nuclear Weapons. NRDC News Reiease, "Nuclear Explosives Can Be Constructed With Far Less Material Than Currently Acknowledged by the International Atomic Energy Agency," 22 August 1994. Letter to IAEA Director General Hans Blix from T. B. Cochran and C. E. Paine, NRDC, 18 August 1994. "A Smuggling Boom Brings Calls for Tighter Nuclear Safeguards," New York Times, 21 August 1994, p. 1. "IAEA Says Its Plutonium Threshold For Making Nuclear Bombs Is Too High," The Wall Street journal, 23 August 1994, p. A4. Letter to T. B. Cochran and C. E. Paine, NRDC, from IAEA Deputy Director General B. -
NATO and Nuclear Disarmament
North Atlantic Treaty Organization www.nato.int/factsheets Factsheet October 2020 NATO and Nuclear Disarmament NATO Allies are strongly committed to arms control, disarmament, and non-proliferation, which play an important role in preserving peace in the Euro-Atlantic region. NATO actively contributes to effective and verifiable nuclear disarmament efforts through its policies and activities, and the commitments of its member countries. Allies recognise the threat posed by weapons of mass destruction (WMD), as well as their means of delivery, by state and non-state actors. NATO designs its partnership programmes to provide effective frameworks for dialogue, consultation, and coordination on a wide range of arms control-related issues, including nuclear disarmament. NATO’s Role in Nuclear Disarmament Disarmament is the act of eliminating or abolishing weapons, either unilaterally or reciprocally. It may refer either to reducing and limiting the number and types of arms, or to eliminating entire categories of weapons. NATO’s policies in this field support consultation and practical cooperation on nuclear policy issues, including arms control, disarmament, and non-proliferation. NATO supports and facilitates policy-making among members, and consultations with partners and other countries, and aids in the implementation of international obligations. All NATO Allies are parties to the most important of the global treaties on WMD, such as the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), the Chemical Weapons Convention, and the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention. NATO consults and cooperates with relevant international organizations, including the UN Office for Disarmament Affairs, the African Union, the League of Arab States, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, and the European Union. -
The United Kingdom's Nuclear Inventory
1 The United Kingdom’s Nuclear Inventory One of five nuclear-weapon states recognized under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, the United Kingdom is in the process of reducing the overall size of its nuclear weapon stockpile. The United Kingdom maintains a minimal deterrent with the smallest deployed nuclear arsenal of the nuclear-weapon states. Its nuclear forces are entirely sea-based and the country maintains a deliberately ambiguous nuclear use policy. This policy is intended to complicate the strategic decision-making of potential adversaries, but the ambiguity could lead to miscalculation in the event of a nuclear confrontation. Nuclear weapons collaboration between the United Kingdom and the United States is rooted in the World War II effort to develop the first atomic bomb and the programs remain linked today. The Mutual Defense Agreement of 1958 between the two countries allows for the sharing of classified information to develop nuclear power and weapons for military use. The United Kingdom relies solely on its nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBN) for its nuclear deterrent, and the warhead deployed, the Trident Holbrook, is based on the United States’ W76 warhead. There is speculation that the United States’ W93 warhead – which may replace the U.S. Navy’s W76 warhead – might be the design basis for the United Kingdom’s next nuclear warhead. The United Kingdom also buys its Trident II submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBM) from the United States. The United Kingdom’s nuclear forces are a part of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) integrated military command structure, but London retains independent decision-making powers. -
Nuclear Arms Control: Coming Back from Oblivion, Again
SYMPOSIUM Nuclear Arms Control: Coming Back from Oblivion, Again Dakota S. Rudesill* INTRODUCTION As tensions between the United States and Russian Federation have spiraled in recent years, the outlook for the bilateral nuclear arms control regime has become increasingly grim. Comparisons to the early 1980s Cold War are common. Now, as then, Washington and Moscow are geopolitical adversaries. A key arms con- trol agreement has been abandoned. Nuclear modernization accelerates. Old nu- clear hands warn that the potential for nuclear war is rising. Amid growing unease, practitioners and commenters debate nuclear policy priorities, how the arms control process might resume, and how best to reduce nuclear risks. This essay analyzes the comparison of our present moment of nuclear destabi- lization with the Cold War's frigid and perilous depths in the early 1980s. It argues that the analogy is not perfect, but it is instructive. The Cold War teaches us that nuclear arms racing is hazardous and that nuclear arms control can come back from oblivion. By focusing on the right priorities ± strategic stability in particular ± and generating ideas now, a pragmatic slate of actionable stability- enhancing proposals can be ready when the geopolitical currents change and prospects for nuclear arms control recover. I. THE COLD WAR COMPARISON The nuclear age was nearly four decades old when ªThe Day Afterº aired in November 1983. The public was accustomed to hearing about nuclear dangers, but the TV movie had a powerful impact thanks to its major-network billing and depiction of average people dying in a mid-American town.1 Thirty-®ve years later came another unsettling nuclear ªday after:º rising concern about nuclear * Assistant Professor, Moritz College of Law, and Af®liated Faculty, Mershon Center for International Security Studies, The Ohio State University. -
The Physics of Nuclear Weapons
The Physics of Nuclear Weapons While the technology behind nuclear weapons is of secondary importance to this seminar, some background is helpful when dealing with issues such as nuclear proliferation. For example, the following information will put North Korea’s uranium enrichment program in a less threatening context than has been portrayed in the mainstream media, while showing why Iran’s program is of greater concern. Those wanting more technical details on nuclear weapons can find them online, with Wikipedia’s article being a good place to start. The atomic bombs used on Hiroshima and Nagasaki were fission weapons. The nuclei of atoms consist of protons and neutrons, with the number of protons determining the element (e.g., carbon has 6 protons, while uranium has 92) and the number of neutrons determining the isotope of that element. Different isotopes of the same element have the same chemical properties, but very different nuclear properties. In particular, some isotopes tend to break apart or fission into two lighter elements, with uranium (chemical symbol U) being of particular interest. All uranium atoms have 92 protons. U-238 is the most common isotope of uranium, making up 99.3% of naturally occurring uranium. The 238 refers to the atomic weight of the isotope, which equals the total number of protons plus neutrons in its nucleus. Thus U-238 has 238 – 92 = 146 neutrons, while U-235 has 143 neutrons and makes up almost all the remaining 0.7% of naturally occurring uranium. U-234 is very rare at 0.005%, and other, even rarer isotopes exist.