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Climate Vulnerability Monitor Nd 2Edition a Guide to the Cold Calculus of a Hot Planet

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Climate Vulnerability Monitor Nd 2Edition a Guide to the Cold Calculus of a Hot Planet CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR ND 2EDITION A GUIDE TO THE COLD CALCULUS OF A HOT PLANET Climate Vulnerable Forum KEY TO THE MONITOR DEATHS ECONOMIC COST MULTI-DIMENSIONAL 2010YEAR 2030VULNERABILITY 2010YEAR 2030 CLIMATE CHANGE IN CLIMATE VULNERABILITY CLIMATE ACUTEW MOZAMBIQUE COUNTRY 2 HIGHU CHANGE IN VULNERABILITY CARBON COUNTRY GROUP CARBON HOTSPOTS MULTI-DIMENSIONAL Countries estimated to experience among the largest VULNERABILITY total impacts of any country irrespective of overall size of CARBON population or wealth/GDP in at least one of the indicators MULTI-DIMENSIONAL COMBINED CAPACITY CLIMATE + CARBON VULNERABILITY COUNTRY GROUPS MULTI-DIMENSIONAL CAPACITY W INCREASING ACUTE DEVELOPED 4 EXTENSIVE P STABLE SEVERE OTHER INDUSTRIALIZED 3 INTERMEDIARY U DECREASING HIGH DEVELOPING COUNTRY HIGH EMITTERS 2 RESTRICTED MODERATE DEVELOPING COUNTRY LOW EMITTERS 1 HIGHLY RESTRICTED LOW ACUTE + ACUTE - SEVERE + SEVERE - HIGH + HIGH - MODERATE LOW COUNTRY GROUPS List of countries by main Monitor country groups DEVELOPING COUNTRY LOW EMITTERS DEVELOPED (ANNEX II) (NON-ANNEX I BELOW 4 TONS CO2E 2005) Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Afghanistan, Albania, Angola, Armenia, Bangladesh, Barbados, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cape Verde, Chad, Colombia, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Comoros, Costa Rica, Cuba, Djibouti, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Fiji, Gambia, Georgia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Honduras, India, Jamaica, Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Lesotho, Liberia, OTHER INDUSTRIALIZED Madagascar, Malawi, Maldives, Mali, Marshall Islands, Mauritania, (ANNEX I OUTSIDE OF ANNEX II) Mauritius, Micronesia, Moldova, Morocco, Mozambique, Nepal, Nicaragua, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Palau, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Belarus, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Rwanda, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sri Lanka, Sudan/South Sudan, Ukraine Swaziland, Syria, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tonga, Tunisia, Tuvalu, Uganda, Vanuatu, Vietnam, Yemen, Zimbabwe DEVELOPING COUNTRY HIGH EMITTERS (NON-ANNEX I ABOVE 4 TONS CO2E 2005) Algeria, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Azerbaijan, Bahamas, Bahrain, Belize, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Brazil, Brunei, Bulgaria, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chile, China, Congo, Cyprus, DR Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Grenanda, Guatemala, Guinea, Guyana, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Laos, Libya, Macedonia, Malaysia, Mexico, Mongolia, Myanmar, Namibia, North Korea, Oman, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Singapore, Solomon Islands, South Africa, South Korea, Suriname, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkmenistan, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Zambia CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR ND 2EDITION A GUIDE TO THE COLD CALCULUS OF A HOT PLANET DARA and the Climate Vulnerable Forum Climate Vulnerability Monitor 2nd Edition. A Guide to the Cold Calculus of a Hot Planet This book was set in Heroic Condensed, Franklin Gothic and Uni Sans Graphic Design: wearebold.es Icons inspired in The Noun Project collection Photographs: Thinkstock/Getty Images Includes bibliographical references ISBN: 978-84-616-0567-5 (paper: offset 120 gr., interior; couché semimate 300 gr., cover) LD: M-31813-2012 First published 2012 Copyright © Fundación DARA Internacional 2012 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. Printed and bound in Spain by Estudios Gráficos Europeos, S.A. HEADQUARTERS GENEVA OFFICE Felipe IV, 9 – 3 Izquierda International Environment House 2/MIE2 28014 Madrid – Spain 7-9 Chemin de Balexert Phone: +34 91 531 03 72 Châtelaine CH-1219 Geneva – Switzerland Fax: +34 91 522 0039 Phone: +41 22 749 40 30 [email protected] Fax: +41 22 797 40 31 www.daraint.org DEDICATED TO THE INNOCENT VICTIMS OF CLIMATE CHANGE A GREAT DEAL has been FEW OF THOSE familiar with IF AT THE END of this written on the influence of the the natural heat exchanges absorption of the atmosphere century, measurements upon the climate.. Another of the atmosphere, which side of the question that has go into the making of our show that the carbon long attracted the attention of climates and weather, dioxide content of physicists, is this: Is the mean would be prepared to admit temperature of the ground the atmosphere has in any way influenced by the that the activities of man presence of heat-absorbing could have any influence risen appreciably and gases in the atmosphere? (..) upon phenomena of so at the same time If the quantity of carbonic vast a scale.. I hope to acid [CO2] decreases from 1 to the temperature has 0.67, the fall of temperature show that such influence is nearly the same as the is not only possible, but it continued to rise increase in temperature if this is actually occurring at the throughout the world, it quantity augments to 1.5. And present time.” will be firmly established to get a new increase of this GUY STEWART CALLENDAR order of magnitude (3-4°C), it April 1938 that carbon dioxide is will be necessary to alter the Quarterly Journal of the Royal quantity of carbonic acid till it Meteorological Society an important factor in reaches a value nearly midway between 2 and 2.5.” causing climatic change.” GILBERT NORMAN PLASS SVANTE AUGUST ARRHENIUS May 1956 April 1896 American Journal of Physics The London, Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science THE EARTH’S CLIMATE A HUNDRED YEARS system has demonstrably changed on both global from now, looking and regional scales since back, the only question the pre-industrial era.. The atmospheric concentrations that will appear of key anthropogenic important about the greenhouse gases (i.e., historical moment in carbon dioxide (CO2)..) reached their highest which we now live recorded levels in the 1990s.” is the question of THE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE September 2001 whether or not we did anything to arrest climate change.” THE ECONOMIST December 2011 COLLABORATORS ADVISORY PEER REVIEW PANEL COMMITTEE MARY CHINERY-HESSE, Member MICHAEL MARMOT, Director, YASEMIN AYSAN, Former Under ANNE HAMMILL, Senior of the Panel of the Wise of the International Institute for Society Secretary General, International Researcher, Climate Change and African Union; Chief Advisor to and Health, University College, Federation of Red Cross and Red Energy, International Institute for the Former President of Ghana; London Crescent Societies (IFRC) Sustainable Development (IISD), Former Deputy Director-General SIMON MAXWELL, Executive SURUCHI BHADWAL, Associate Geneva of the International Labour Chair, Climate and Development Director, Earth Sciences and RANDOLPH KENT, Director, Organization (ILO) Knowledge Network (CDKN) Climate Change Division, The Humanitarian Futures Programme, HELEN CLARK, Administrator, DAVID NABARRO, Special Energy and Resources Institute King’s College, London United Nations Development Representative of the UN (TERI), New Delhi TORD KJELLSTROM, Senior Programme (UNDP) Secretary-General for Food DIARMID CAMPBELL-LENDRUM, Professor, Department of Public JOSÉ MARÍA FIGUERES, Former Security and Nutrition Senior Scientist, Public Health Health and Clinical Medicine, President of Costa Rica; Chairman ATIQ RAHMAN, Executive Director, and Environment, World Health Umea University; Visiting Fellow, of the Carbon War Room Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Organization (WHO) Honorary Professor, Australia ROBERT GLASSER, Secretary Studies (BCAS), Dhaka MANUEL CARBALLO, Executive National University, Canberra, and University College, London General, CARE International, TERESA RIBERA, Former Director, International Centre Geneva Secretary of State for Climate for Migration, Health and ISABEL KREISLER, Climate SALEEMUL HUQ, Director, Change of Spain Development (ICMHD), Geneva Policy Specialist, Environment and Energy Group, Bureau for International Institute for JOHAN ROCKSTRÖM, Executive IAN CHRISTOPLOS, Senior Project Environment and Development Researcher, Danish Institute Development Policy, Bureau Director, Stockholm Environment for Development Policy, United (IIED), Independent University, Institute (SEI) and Stockholm for International Studies (DIIS), Dhaka Copenhagen Nations Development Programme Resilience Centre (UNDP) YOLANDA KAKABADSE, JEFFREY SACHS, Director, JOSHUA COOPER, Director, International President, WWF Hawaii Institute for Human Rights JUERGEN KROPP, Head, North- The Earth Institute, Columbia South Research Group, Potsdam ASHOK KHOSLA, President, University, New York MARIANE DIOP KANE, Head of Institute for Climate Impact International Union for HANS JOACHIM SCHELLNHUBER, Forecasting, Agence Nationale Research (PIK) Conservation of Nature (IUCN); Founding Director of the Potsdam de la Météorologie du Sénégal Chairman of Development (ANAMS) ALLAN LAVELL, Coordinator, Institute for Climate Impact Programme for Disaster Risk Alternatives, Co-Chair of the UN Research (PIK) SEAN DOOLAN, Climate Change Resources Panel Management, Secretary General’s JAVIER SOLANA, President, & Environmental Governance Office, Latin America Social RICARDO LAGOS, Former ESADE Center for Global Economy Advisor,
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