How well do the spring indices predict phenological activity across plant species? Item Type Article Authors Gerst, Katharine L; Crimmins, Theresa M; Posthumus, Erin E; Rosemartin, Alyssa H; Schwartz, Mark D Citation Gerst, K.L., Crimmins, T.M., Posthumus, E.E. et al. How well do the spring indices predict phenological activity across plant species?. Int J Biometeorol (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/ s00484-020-01879-z DOI 10.1007/s00484-020-01879-z Publisher SPRINGER Journal INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY Rights © ISB 2020. Download date 02/10/2021 14:10:42 Item License http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/ Version Final accepted manuscript Link to Item http://hdl.handle.net/10150/638368 1 How well do the Spring Indices predict phenological activity across plant species? 2 3 Katharine L. Gerst1,2,*, Theresa M. Crimmins1,2, Erin E. Posthumus1,2, Alyssa H. 4 Rosemartin1,2,and Mark D. Schwartz3 5 6 1USA National Phenology Network, National Coordinating Office, Tucson, AZ, USA 7 2School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA 8 3Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, USA 9 10 *email for correspondence:
[email protected] 11 12 Katharine Gerst ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6154-906X 13 Theresa Crimmins ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9592-625X 14 Alyssa Rosemartin ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8934-6539 15 Erin Posthumus ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3855-2380 16 Mark Schwartz ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6739-0416 17 18 19 Abstract 20 The Spring Indices, models that represent the onset of spring-season biological activity, were 21 developed using a long-term observational record from the mid-to-late 20th century of three 22 species of lilacs and honeysuckles contributed by volunteer observers across the nation.