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Ground-Level Ozone in the 21St Century: Future Trends, Impacts And
Edinburgh Research Explorer Ground-level ozone in the 21st century: future trends, impacts and policy implications Citation for published version: Fowler, D, Amann, M, Anderson, R, Ashmore, M, Cox, P, Depledge, M, Derwent, D, Grennfelt, P, Hewitt, N, Hov, O, Jenkin, M, Kelly, F, Liss, P, Pilling, M, Pyle, J, Slingo, J & Stevenson, D 2008, Ground-level ozone in the 21st century: future trends, impacts and policy implications. Royal Society Policy Document 15/08, vol. 15/08, RS1276 edn, The Royal Society, London. <http://royalsociety.org/policy/publications/2008/ground-level-ozone/> Link: Link to publication record in Edinburgh Research Explorer Document Version: Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record General rights Copyright for the publications made accessible via the Edinburgh Research Explorer is retained by the author(s) and / or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing these publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. Take down policy The University of Edinburgh has made every reasonable effort to ensure that Edinburgh Research Explorer content complies with UK legislation. If you believe that the public display of this file breaches copyright please contact [email protected] providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. Download date: 03. Oct. 2021 Ground-level ozone in the 21st century: future trends, impacts and policy implications Science Policy REPORT 15/08 October 2008 Price £39 web royalsociety.org Cover image: Sunrise over the River Ganges in Varanasi, India showing a sunny and polluted sky, characteristic of photochemical smog. -
The History Group's Silver Jubilee
History of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography Special Interest Group Newsletter 1, 2010 ANNUAL REPORT CONTENTS We asked in the last two newsletters if you Annual Report ........................................... 1 thought the History Group should hold an Committee members ................................ 2 Annual General Meeting. There is nothing in Mrs Jean Ludlam ...................................... 2 the By-Law s or Standing Orders of the Royal Meteorological Society that requires the The 2010 Summer Meeting ..................... 3 Group to hold one, nor does Charity Law Report of meeting on 18 November .......... 4 require one. Which papers have been cited? .............. 10 Don’t try this at home! ............................. 10 Only one person responded, and that was in More Richard Gregory reminiscences ..... 11 passing during a telephone conversation about something else. He was in favour of Storm warnings for seafarers: Part 2 ....... 13 holding an AGM but only slightly so. He Swedish storm warnings ......................... 17 expressed the view that an AGM provides an Rikitea meteorological station ................. 19 opportunity to put forward ideas for the More on the D-Day forecast .................... 20 Group’s committee to consider. Recent publications ................................ 21 As there has been so little response, the Did you know? ........................................ 22 Group’s committee has decided that there will Date for your diary .................................. 23 not be an AGM this year. Historic picture ........................................ 23 2009 members of the Group ................... 24 CHAIRMAN’S REVIEW OF 2009 by Malcolm Walker year. Sadly, however, two people who have supported the Group for many years died during I begin as I did last year. Without an enthusiastic 2009. David Limbert passed away on 3 M a y, and conscientious committee, there would be no and Jean Ludlam died in October (see page 2). -
A Destabilizing Thermohaline Circulation–Atmosphere–Sea Ice
642 JOURNAL OF CLIMATE VOLUME 12 NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE A Destabilizing Thermohaline Circulation±Atmosphere±Sea Ice Feedback STEVEN R. JAYNE MIT±WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts JOCHEM MAROTZKE Center for Global Change Science, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 18 November 1996 and 9 March 1998 ABSTRACT Some of the interactions and feedbacks between the atmosphere, thermohaline circulation, and sea ice are illustrated using a simple process model. A simpli®ed version of the annual-mean coupled ocean±atmosphere box model of Nakamura, Stone, and Marotzke is modi®ed to include a parameterization of sea ice. The model includes the thermodynamic effects of sea ice and allows for variable coverage. It is found that the addition of sea ice introduces feedbacks that have a destabilizing in¯uence on the thermohaline circulation: Sea ice insulates the ocean from the atmosphere, creating colder air temperatures at high latitudes, which cause larger atmospheric eddy heat and moisture transports and weaker oceanic heat transports. These in turn lead to thicker ice coverage and hence establish a positive feedback. The results indicate that generally in colder climates, the presence of sea ice may lead to a signi®cant destabilization of the thermohaline circulation. Brine rejection by sea ice plays no important role in this model's dynamics. The net destabilizing effect of sea ice in this model is the result of two positive feedbacks and one negative feedback and is shown to be model dependent. To date, the destabilizing feedback between atmospheric and oceanic heat ¯uxes, mediated by sea ice, has largely been neglected in conceptual studies of thermohaline circulation stability, but it warrants further investigation in more realistic models. -
Results from the Implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic Sea Ice Rheology in Hadcm3 W
Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3 W. M. Connolley, A. B. Keen, A. J. Mclaren To cite this version: W. M. Connolley, A. B. Keen, A. J. Mclaren. Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3. Ocean Science, European Geosciences Union, 2006, 2 (2), pp.201- 211. hal-00298295 HAL Id: hal-00298295 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00298295 Submitted on 23 Oct 2006 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Ocean Sci., 2, 201–211, 2006 www.ocean-sci.net/2/201/2006/ Ocean Science © Author(s) 2006. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License. Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3 W. M. Connolley1, A. B. Keen2, and A. J. McLaren2 1British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, UK 2Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK Received: 13 June 2006 – Published in Ocean Sci. Discuss.: 10 July 2006 Revised: 21 September 2006 – Accepted: 16 October 2006 – Published: 23 October 2006 Abstract. We present results of an implementation of the a full dynamical model incorporating wind stresses and in- Elastic Viscous Plastic (EVP) sea ice dynamics scheme into ternal ice stresses leads to errors in the detailed representa- the Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere climate model tion of sea ice and limits our confidence in its future predic- HadCM3. -
3. CICE-Mixed Layer Model 4. Mixed Layer/ Sea Ice Results 5. Surface
The ocean mixed layer, buoyancy fluxes, and sea ice over the Antarctic continental shelf Alek Petty1, Daniel Feltham2 & Paul Holland3 1. Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Department of Earth Sciences, UCL, London, WC1E6BT 2. Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Department of Meteorology, Reading University, Reading, RG6 6BB 2. British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Cambridge, CB3 0ET A sea ice-mixed layer model has been used to investigate regional variations in the surface-driven formation of Antarctic shelf sea waters. The model captures well the expected sea ice thickness distribution, and produces deep mixed layers in the Weddell and Ross shelf seas each winter (1985-2011). By deconstructing the surface power input to the mixed layer, we have shown that the salt/fresh water flux from sea ice growth/melt dominates the evolution of the mixed layer in all shelf sea regions, with a smaller contribution from the mixed layer-surface heat flux. An analysis of the sea ice mass balance has demonstrated the contrasting mean ice growth, melt and export in each region. The Weddell and Ross shelf seas expereince the highest annual ice growth, with a large fraction of this ice exported northwards each year, whereas the Bellingshausen shelf sea experiences the highest annual ice melt, despite the low annual ice growth. Cur- rent work (not shown) is focussed on atmospheric forcing trends and the resultant trends in the sea ice and mixed layer evolution using both ERA-I hindcast forcing and hadGEM2 future climate projections. 1. Introduction The continental shelf seas surround- ing Antarctica are a crucial compo- nent of the Earth’s climate system, with the Weddell and Ross (WR) shelf seas cooling and ventilating the deep ocean and feeding the global thermohaline circulation, whereas the warm waters in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen (AB) shelf seas (see Figure 1) are implicit in the recent ocean-driven melting of the Antarctic ice sheet. -
Test Plan: CICE Sea Ice Model for NGGPS
Test Plan: CICE Sea Ice Model for NGGPS Final 16 March 2016 POC: Shan Sun – NOAA ESRL/GSD/GMTB – [email protected] Introduction After reviewing several sea ice models at the Sea Ice Workshop organized by Global Modeling Test Bed (GMTB) in February 2016, the committee has selected the Los Alamos Community Ice CodE (CICE) as the sea ice model to be incorporated as a component of Next-Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS). The GMTB is proposing to carry out testing and evaluations with this model in two phases as the next step. Testing framework Hebert et al. (2015) showed that the Arctic Cap Nowcast/Forecast System (ACNFS) demonstrated a high level of skill compared to persistence in 1-7 day forecasts over a period of one year. ACNFS uses CICE version 4.0 [Hunke and Lipscomb, 2008] as the sea ice model two-way coupled to the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) [Bleck, 2002; Metzger et al., 2014, 2015]. Building on this study, we propose to base the test on a similar configuration. In order to make the test most relevant for NGGPS, there will be three important differences with respect to the Herbert et al. (2015) configuration. First, CICE will be upgraded to its latest version v5, [in which both the code structure and the state variables are similar to v4. The CICE5 code does include a number of new physics options such as the mushy-layer thermodynamics and two new melt pond parameterizations.] V5.1.2 is available at http://oceans11.lanl.gov/svn/CICE/tags/release-5.1.2. -
Volume 3: Process Issues Raised by Petitioners
EPA’s Response to the Petitions to Reconsider the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act Volume 3: Process Issues Raised by Petitioners U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Atmospheric Programs Climate Change Division Washington, D.C. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 3.0 Process Issues Raised by Petitioners............................................................................................5 3.1 Approaches and Processes Used to Develop the Scientific Support for the Findings............................................................................................................................5 3.1.1 Overview..............................................................................................................5 3.1.2 Issues Regarding Consideration of the CRU E-mails..........................................6 3.1.3 Assessment of Issues Raised in Public Comments and Re-Raised in Petitions for Reconsideration...............................................................................7 3.1.4 Summary............................................................................................................19 3.2 Response to Claims That the Assessments by the USGCRP and NRC Are Not Separate and Independent Assessments.........................................................................20 3.2.1 Overview............................................................................................................20 3.2.2 EPA’s Response to Petitioners’ -
A New Dynamical Downscaling Approach with GCM Bias
PUBLICATIONS Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres RESEARCH ARTICLE A new dynamical downscaling approach with GCM 10.1002/2014JD022958 bias corrections and spectral nudging Key Points: Zhongfeng Xu1 and Zong-Liang Yang2,3 • Both GCM and RCM biases should be constrained in regional climate 1RCE-TEA and Young Scientist Laboratory, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, projection 2 3 • The NDD approach significantly RCE-TEA, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Department of Geological improves the downscaled climate Sciences, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA • NDD is designed for regional climate projection at various time scales Abstract To improve confidence in regional projections of future climate, a new dynamical downscaling Supporting Information: (NDD) approach with both general circulation model (GCM) bias corrections and spectral nudging is developed • Figures S1–S4 and assessed over North America. GCM biases are corrected by adjusting GCM climatological means and • Figure S1 variances based on reanalysis data before the GCM output is used to drive a regional climate model (RCM). • Figure S2 • Figure S3 Spectral nudging is also applied to constrain RCM-based biases. Three sets of RCM experiments are integrated • Figure S4 over a 31 year period. In the first set of experiments, the model configurations are identical except that the initial and lateral boundary conditions are derived from either the original GCM output, the bias-corrected GCM output, Correspondence to: orthereanalysisdata.Thesecondset of experiments is the same as the first set except spectral nudging is applied. Z.-L. Yang, [email protected] The third set of experiments includes two sensitivity runs with both GCM bias corrections and nudging where the nudging strength is progressively reduced. -
Assimila Blank
NERC NERC Strategy for Earth System Modelling: Technical Support Audit Report Version 1.1 December 2009 Contact Details Dr Zofia Stott Assimila Ltd 1 Earley Gate The University of Reading Reading, RG6 6AT Tel: +44 (0)118 966 0554 Mobile: +44 (0)7932 565822 email: [email protected] NERC STRATEGY FOR ESM – AUDIT REPORT VERSION1.1, DECEMBER 2009 Contents 1. BACKGROUND ....................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 4 1.2 Context .................................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Scope of the ESM audit ............................................................................................ 4 1.4 Methodology ............................................................................................................ 5 2. Scene setting ........................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 NERC Strategy......................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Definition of Earth system modelling ........................................................................ 8 2.3 Broad categories of activities supported by NERC ................................................. 10 2.4 Structure of the report ........................................................................................... -
Review of the Global Models Used Within Phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI)
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 639–671, 2017 www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/639/2017/ doi:10.5194/gmd-10-639-2017 © Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Review of the global models used within phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) Olaf Morgenstern1, Michaela I. Hegglin2, Eugene Rozanov18,5, Fiona M. O’Connor14, N. Luke Abraham17,20, Hideharu Akiyoshi8, Alexander T. Archibald17,20, Slimane Bekki21, Neal Butchart14, Martyn P. Chipperfield16, Makoto Deushi15, Sandip S. Dhomse16, Rolando R. Garcia7, Steven C. Hardiman14, Larry W. Horowitz13, Patrick Jöckel10, Beatrice Josse9, Douglas Kinnison7, Meiyun Lin13,23, Eva Mancini3, Michael E. Manyin12,22, Marion Marchand21, Virginie Marécal9, Martine Michou9, Luke D. Oman12, Giovanni Pitari3, David A. Plummer4, Laura E. Revell5,6, David Saint-Martin9, Robyn Schofield11, Andrea Stenke5, Kane Stone11,a, Kengo Sudo19, Taichu Y. Tanaka15, Simone Tilmes7, Yousuke Yamashita8,b, Kohei Yoshida15, and Guang Zeng1 1National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand 2Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK 3Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, Universitá dell’Aquila, L’Aquila, Italy 4Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montréal, Canada 5Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich (ETHZ), Zürich, Switzerland 6Bodeker Scientific, Christchurch, New Zealand 7National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, Colorado, USA 8National Institute of Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan 9CNRM UMR 3589, Météo-France/CNRS, -
Smutty Alchemy
University of Calgary PRISM: University of Calgary's Digital Repository Graduate Studies The Vault: Electronic Theses and Dissertations 2021-01-18 Smutty Alchemy Smith, Mallory E. Land Smith, M. E. L. (2021). Smutty Alchemy (Unpublished doctoral thesis). University of Calgary, Calgary, AB. http://hdl.handle.net/1880/113019 doctoral thesis University of Calgary graduate students retain copyright ownership and moral rights for their thesis. You may use this material in any way that is permitted by the Copyright Act or through licensing that has been assigned to the document. For uses that are not allowable under copyright legislation or licensing, you are required to seek permission. Downloaded from PRISM: https://prism.ucalgary.ca UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY Smutty Alchemy by Mallory E. Land Smith A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE FACULTY OF GRADUATE STUDIES IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY GRADUATE PROGRAM IN ENGLISH CALGARY, ALBERTA JANUARY, 2021 © Mallory E. Land Smith 2021 MELS ii Abstract Sina Queyras, in the essay “Lyric Conceptualism: A Manifesto in Progress,” describes the Lyric Conceptualist as a poet capable of recognizing the effects of disparate movements and employing a variety of lyric, conceptual, and language poetry techniques to continue to innovate in poetry without dismissing the work of other schools of poetic thought. Queyras sees the lyric conceptualist as an artistic curator who collects, modifies, selects, synthesizes, and adapts, to create verse that is both conceptual and accessible, using relevant materials and techniques from the past and present. This dissertation responds to Queyras’s idea with a collection of original poems in the lyric conceptualist mode, supported by a critical exegesis of that work. -
Presentation of Professor Julia Slingo Dsc OBE Mr
Presentation of Professor Julia Slingo DSc OBE Mr President It has been a turbulent week in the weather – high winds, lots of rain, highly changeable. Just the sort of thing that excites our distinguished guest, Professor Julia Slingo, Chief Scientist of the UK Met Office. Julia Slingo has been a leading figure in weather and climate research for more than 30 years. She has made profound contributions to the physics of the atmosphere and to the development of the computer models we use for prediction of weather, climate and climate change. Climate science is increasingly interdisciplinary, and she is playing a leading international role in setting the agenda for the physics of the climate system, how climate will change and our response to it. After completing a degree in Physics at University of Bristol, Julia went straight into the front line and moved to the Met Office. Her research focussed on the physics of clouds. Clouds play a key role in regulating Earth’s climate, and Julia Slingo’s pioneering work distilled important physical processes and developed methods for representing clouds in climate models, which are still in use today. It was during this first period at the Met Office that Julia met and married a fellow scientist, Tony Slingo. They worked together on many research topics and published important papers together. Tony died tragically after a sudden illness three years ago. It was a huge shock to everyone. I know that Julia has had tremendous support from their two daughters, Mary and Anna, and I am delighted that they have been able to join us for this celebration today.