Mahdi: Silk City, Privatization & Kuwait's Strategic Plan
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Issued by Union of Investment Companies June 2019 - Issue No.6 MAHDI: SILK CITY, PRIVATIZATION & KUWAIT’S STRATEGIC PLAN IIF EXAMINES TURKEY INVESTING KUWAIT’S FINANCIAL IN KUWAIT FOR THE FUTURE LONG TERM FITCH RATINGS: ME GLOBAL MORTGAGE AMBITIOUS FOR CRISIS 10 YEARS ON RENEWABLES 1 President's Message Silk City and Kuwait’s strategic development he New Kuwait 2035 strategic our in-depth interview with Dr Khalid development plan is ambitious, Mahdi, Secretary General of the Su- Tsweeping and necessary. Ku- preme Council for Planning and the wait stands at the cusp of a critical man overseeing the implementation of juncture. Will we move toward the fu- Kuwait’s strategic development plan. ture with a strong, diversified and sus- He offers some important insights into tainable economy beyond oil or will how this plan is evolving and what we continue to fall behind? challenges lie ahead. Our choice is clear: We need to grow We are also pleased to share import- the private sector to build a vibrant ant insights on Kuwait’s economic and thriving knowledge economy, a future from Dr Garbis Iradian, Chief regional trading hub that rivals the Economist for MENA and Boban Mar- glory of our illustrious past and that kovic, Senior Analyst at the Institute serves not only Kuwait but the rest of of International Finance. In this issue, the region and the world as an import- we also are pleased to share an inter- ant destination for economic develop- view with Turkish Ambassador to Ku- ment in the Arab world. wait Her Excellency Ayse Hilal Say- an Koytak, an article examining the Opportunities like the Northern Eco- evolving role of fintech in the region nomic Zone – also known as the Silk and much more. City project – are not only a chance for Kuwait to regain its past glory as an As President of the Union of Invest- important trading hub, but also for us ment Companies, I look forward to as local investors to partner with inter- a future filled with opportunities, to national investors to build profitable, a changing economy where private sustainable economic opportunities. sector and investment lead the way in building efficient, effective busi- To achieve these ambitions, there are nesses that serve the varied needs of many challenges ahead and many de- the country’s growing population, tails that remain to be decided. To this provide our youth with employment end, the investment community as a and professional development oppor- whole needs to understand fully what tunities, and transfer and develop the opportunities and challenges exist knowledge bases and skills we will and what role we have to play in this need far into the future. exciting future. Thank you In this issue, we hope to offer some answers to these questions through Saleh S. Al-Selmi Issue 6 Th s ssue 06 04 WORLD ENERGY BALANCES 06 KUWAIT’S FINANCIAL FUTURE: A VIEW FROM THE IIF 12 FITCH RATINGS: MIDDLE EAST IN AMBITIOUS DRIVE FOR RENEWABLES GENERATION 14 SILK CITY, DIVERSIFICATION, PRIVATIZATION AND KUWAIT’S NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 22 DEVELOPING KUWAIT’S FUTURE ECONOMY THROUGH ITS YOUTH 24 GROWING INTEREST IN BILATERAL, GREENFIELD INVESTMENTS 30 KUWAIT MAKES GREAT STRIDES 34 GLOBAL MORTGAGE CRISIS 10 YEARS ON 3 Investor Briefs Gulf adopts modern bankruptcy laws Cent banks up gold holdings man is the latest in the Gulf Cooperation Council to work on the adoption of a bankruptcy and insolvency law intended to help protect businesses and inves- Otors. The law is expected in the second half of 2019. Saudi Arabia adopted a new bankruptcy law last August and may soon see its first major test now that the Saudi conglomerate Ahmad Hamad Algosaibi and Brothers (AHAB) has filed for financial restructuring under the new law. The UAE issued a bankruptcy law in 2016 to oversee financial bankruptcies and restructuring but the law wasn’t implement- ssue 06 ed until March 2019, when the first UAE company successfully restructured its debt under the Chapter 4 filing. Bahrain introduced new insolvency legislation in December entral banks across 2018, using Chapter 11 bankruptcy legislation from the United States as a model. the globe are revis- ing their relation- Kuwait and Qatar have yet to update their insolvency legislation. The Kuwait Central C ship with gold bullion, Bank completed draft legislation on the issue of banks’ bankruptcies but general insol- buying more of the metal vency laws remain outdated or insufficient. and bringing more home The GCC states have begun modernizing bankruptcy legislation in a bid to create a to be held domestically. more attractive destination for foreign investors and to provide a legal framework for Central Banks in China, local businesses that need Hungary, India, Poland, to restructure debt due to a Russia and Kazakhstan three year slump in global How economies in Arab World rank among others have upped oil prices. on the ease of resolving insolvency monthly gold purchases. Oman’s new bankruptcy “Demand from central legislation is part of a slate banks in January and of new statutes planned February amounted to 90 by Muscat to improve the tons of fresh buying,” said sultanate’s investment and Ross Norman, CEO of business climate and im- London-based gold bul- prove its ease of doing lion broker Sharps Pixley business rankings. Accord- speaking at the recent ing to the World Bank’s Dubai Precious Metals Ease of Doing Business Conference. The purchas- 2019 ranking, the United es are 61% higher than Arab Emirates leads the the 56 tons bought at the Gulf region, ranked at 11. same time last year, ac- Bahrain comes in much cording to a Zawya report further down the index at on the subject. 62; Oman at 78; Qatar at At the same time, central 83; Saudi Arabia at 92 and banks are also shifting Kuwait at 97, with the scale more gold to home ter- from 1 to 190 with 190 be- ritories. Zawya attributes ing the worst ranking. the moves, at least in part, Investors typically consid- to the recent decision by er a country’s legal frame- the Bank of England to work and protections for refuse a request from the investors, especially mi- Venezuelan government nority investors, when of Nicolas Maduro to making investment deci- repatriate $1.2 billion in sions – especially in fron- gold reserves. tier or emerging markets. Issue 6 4 Charts & Graphs World Energy Balances he IEA’s World Energy Balances presents comprehensive energy balances for all the world’s largest energy producing and consuming countries. It contains detailed data on the supply Tand consumption of energy for 150 countries and regions, including all OECD countries, over 100 other key countries, as well as world totals. The companion World Energy Statistics provides more detailed data for all energy sources - coal, gas, oil, electricity, renewables and waste - in original units. Purchase them together for a dis- counted price. Access documentation and methodology for IEA balances and world energy statistics. Between 1971 and 2016, world total primary energy supply (TPES) increased by almost 2.5 times. While oil was still the dominant fuel in 2016, its share has fallen over the past decades. In con- trast, the share of natural gas and nuclear power have both grown significantly. In 2011, coal reached its highest level since 1971 at 29% (peaking at 71% of TPES in China). However in the past five years its share has declined. Mtoe oal il atral gas clear Hydro iofelswaste ther renewables IEA. All rights reserved. Energy demand has evolved differently across world regions – the OECD’s share of global TPES has fallen significantly since 1971, while almost tripling in non-OECD Asia. The IEA family of countries, which includes IEA member economies, Association and Accession countries, accounted for 71% of global TPES in 2016. Issue 6 June 2019 5 Mtoe OECD Africa on Americas on roe and rasia iddle ast on Asia nkers IEA. All rights reserved. One of the drivers for the change seen in Asia has been the growth of energy consumption which has soared since the early 2000s. Meanwhile, energy consumption growth in the OECD stopped in 2008 with the global economic crisis, and total final consumption is oscillating around a plateau of just over 3,500 Mtoe or 38% of global TFC. Middle East With energy production more than 2.5 times as large as demand, the Middle East has the highest energy self-sufficiency ratio in the world. The region produced nearly 15% of global energy in 2016, an increase from just over 13% for the previous five years. The Middle East produced 34% of global oil, and nearly 17% of the world’s gas. Natural gas is developing rapidly in the region, used for power generation and the petrochemical sector. This has resulted in the share of oil in electricity production continuing to shrink, falling from 54% in 1971 to 28% in 2016. OECD Africa on Americas on roe and rasia iddle ast ther il atral gas Issue 6 6 Kuwait’s financial future: A view from the IIF “We expect the current account and fiscal balances (including investment income) to remain in surpluses over the next three years if oil prices stay above $60 per barrel.” Kuwait Finance Minister Dr. Nayef Al-Hajraf during the press conference announcing the country's fiscal budget for 2019-2020. Interview by Jamie Etheridge Kuwait’s economic future will depend in large part on its ability to diversify its revenue streams, attract foreign investment and grow its private sector. To understand better the challenges Kuwait faces, The Investor spoke with Dr Garbis Iradian, Chief Economist for MENA at the Institute of International Finance for his take on where Kuwait’s economy is heading.