Town of Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Plan
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PUBLIC REVIEW DRAFT September 2020 Town of Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Plan Photo courtesy of the Greenfield Recorder Adopted by the Ashfield Select Board on xx, xx Prepared by Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Committee and Franklin Regional Council of Governments 12 Olive Street, Suite 2 Greenfield, MA 01301 (413) 774-3167 www.frcog.org This project was funded by a grant received from the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency (MEMA) and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Acknowledgements The Ashfield Select Board extends thanks to the Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee as follows: George Stephan, Emergency Management Director Del Haskins, Fire Chief Beth Bezio, Police Chief Robert Cherdack, Planning Board Tom Poissant, Highway Superintendent Jennifer Morse, Town Administrator The Ashfield Select Board offers thanks to the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency (MEMA) for developing the 2018 Massachusetts Hazard Mitigation and Climate Adaptation Plan, which served as a resource for this plan, and to the staff of the Franklin Regional Council of Governments for providing technical assistance to the Town to complete this project. Franklin Regional Council of Governments Peggy Sloan, Director of Planning & Development Kimberly Noake MacPhee, Land Use & Natural Resources Program Manager Alyssa Larose, Senior Land Use & Natural Resources Planner Helena Farrell, Land Use & Natural Resources Planner Allison Gage, Land Use & Natural Resources Planner Alexander Sylvain, Emergency Preparedness Program Assistant Ryan Clary, Senior GIS Specialist Town of Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Plan i Contents 1 PLANNING PROCESS .............................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 HAZARD MITIGATION COMMITTEE ..................................................................................................... 1 1.3 PARTICIPATION BY STAKEHOLDERS ..................................................................................................... 3 2 LOCAL PROFILE AND PLANNING CONTEXT ............................................................................................ 6 2.1 COMMUNITY SETTING ......................................................................................................................... 6 2.2 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ......................................................................................................... 14 3 HAZARD IDENTIFICATION AND RISK ASSESSMENT .............................................................................. 19 3.1 NATURAL HAZARD RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY .................................................................... 21 3.2 FLOODING.......................................................................................................................................... 25 3.3 SEVERE SNOWSTORMS / ICE STORMS .............................................................................................. 47 3.4 HURRICANES / TROPICAL STORMS .................................................................................................... 59 3.5 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS / WIND / MICROBURSTS ........................................................................ 70 3.6 TORNADOES ...................................................................................................................................... 82 3.7 WILDFIRE ........................................................................................................................................... 93 3.8 EARTHQUAKES ................................................................................................................................. 108 3.9 DAM FAILURE .................................................................................................................................. 119 3.10 DROUGHT ........................................................................................................................................ 125 3.11 LANDSLIDES ..................................................................................................................................... 134 3.12 EXTREME TEMPERATURES .............................................................................................................. 140 3.13 INVASIVE SPECIES ............................................................................................................................ 159 3.14 OTHER HAZARDS ............................................................................................................................. 175 3.14.1 MANMADE HAZARDS ........................................................................................................ 175 3.14.2 VECTOR-BORNE DISEASES ................................................................................................. 182 4 MITIGATION CAPABILITIES & STRATEGIES ......................................................................................... 193 4.1 NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS FOR HAZARD MITIGATION & CLIMATE RESILIENCY ........................... 193 4.2 EXISTING AUTHORITIES POLICIES, PROGRAMS, & RESOURCES ....................................................... 194 4.3 HAZARD MITIGATION GOAL STATEMENTS AND ACTION PLAN....................................................... 209 5 PLAN ADOPTION AND MAINTENANCE .............................................................................................. 221 5.1 PLAN ADOPTION .............................................................................................................................. 221 5.2 PLAN MAINTENANCE PROCESS ....................................................................................................... 221 Appendix A – Public Participation ............................................................................................................ 231 Appendix B – Certificate of Adoption ....................................................................................................... 232 Town of Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Plan ii Table of Tables Table 2-1: Ashfield 2016 MassGIS Land Cover and Land Use Data ............................................................... 6 Table 2-2: Ashfield 2016 Land Cover and Land Use Data for the Delineated River Corridor ....................... 7 Table 2-3: Ashfield New Building Permits 2010-2020 .................................................................................. 9 Table 2-4: Ashfield Cultural Resources ....................................................................................................... 13 Table 3-1: Comparison of Hazards in the Massachusetts State Hazard Mitigation and Climate Adaptation Plan, Ashfield Hazard Mitigation Plan, and Ashfield MVP Resiliency Plan ................................................. 19 Table 3-2: Location of Occurrence Rating Scale ......................................................................................... 21 Table 3-3: Probability of Occurrence Rating Scale ...................................................................................... 22 Table 3-4: Impacts Rating Scale .................................................................................................................. 22 Table 3-5: Ashfield Hazard Identification and Risk Analysis ....................................................................... 23 Table 3-6: Previous Occurrences of Flash Floods in Franklin County ......................................................... 36 Table 3-7: Previous Occurrences of Floods in Franklin County................................................................... 36 Table 3-8: Flooding Events in Ashfield since 1993 ...................................................................................... 37 Table 3-9: Estimated Ashfield Population Exposed to a 1 Percent Flood Event ......................................... 39 Table 3-10: Estimated Vulnerable Populations in Ashfield ......................................................................... 40 Table 3-11: Acres of Commercial, Industrial, and Public/Institutional Land Use Within the Flood Hazard Area in Ashfield ........................................................................................................................................... 42 Table 3-12: NFIP Policies, Claims, and Repetitive Loss Statistics for Ashfield ............................................ 43 Table 3-13: Regional Snowfall Index Categories ......................................................................................... 50 Table 3-14: Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale Categories .......................................................................... 50 Table 3-15: High-Impact Snowstorms in Franklin County, 1958 - 2018 ..................................................... 52 Table 3-16: Estimated Vulnerable Populations in Ashfield ......................................................................... 54 Table 3-17: Estimated Potential Loss by Tax Classification in Ashfield ....................................................... 56 Table 3-18: Saffir-Simpson Scale ................................................................................................................. 62 Table 3-19: Estimated Vulnerable Populations in Ashfield ......................................................................... 65 Table 3-20: Estimated