Kentucky and the New Economy/Challenges for the Next
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Kentucky and the New Economy Challenges for the Next Century THE CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center Kentucky and the New Economy Challenges for the Next Century THE CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS Edited and Compiled by Suzanne King Billie M. Sebastian Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center Published By Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center 111 St. James Court Frankfort, Kentucky 40601 2001 Printed with state funds Available in alternative formats upon request ii Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center BOARD OF DIRECTORS Rep. Steve Nunn, Chair Betty Griffin, Vice Chair EXECUTIVE BRANCH Diane Hancock Mary E. Lassiter Donna B. Moloney James R. Ramsey LEGISLATIVE BRANCH Sen. Tom Buford Sen. Alice Forgy Kerr Rep. “Gippy” Graham Sen. Dale Shrout AT-LARGE MEMBERS Evelyn Boone Ron Carson Paul B. Cook Daniel Hall Jennifer M. Headdy Sheila Crist Kruzner Penny Miller Robert Sexton Alayne L. White EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Michael T. Childress The Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center is governed by a 21-member board of directors, including four appointees from the executive branch, six from the legislative branch, and eleven at-large members representing organizations, universities, local governments, and the private sector. From the at-large component of the board, six members are appointed by the Governor and five by the Legislative Research Commission. In accordance with its authorizing legislation, the Center is attached to the legislative branch of Kentucky state government. iii iv Preface s part of its mission to advise and inform the Governor, the General Assembly, and the public about the Aimplications of trends influencing the state’s future, the Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center presents the proceedings from its seventh annual conference, which was held in Covington at the Northern Kentucky Convention Center in November 2000. The day and a half conference, which was jointly sponsored by Kentucky Leaders for the New Century, an emerging group of young leaders, and which featured collaborative efforts with Kentucky Educational Television, provided significant food for thought. Lively panel discussions and prominent speakers considered Kentucky’s position in the New Economy and trends influencing the future of the Commonwealth. From policymakers at every level to ordinary citizens of the Commonwealth, all who are interested in and concerned about the future of our state will find material of interest in these proceedings. Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center he Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center was created by the General Assembly in 1992 to bring a Tbroader context to the decisionmaking process. The Center’s mission is to illuminate the long-range implications of current policies, emerging issues, and trends influencing the Commonwealth’s future. The Center has a responsibility to identify and study issues of long-term significance to the Commonwealth and to serve as a mechanism for coordinating resources and groups to focus on long-range planning. Michael T. Childress serves as the executive director of the Kentucky Long-Term Policy Research Center. Those interested in further information about the Center should contact his office directly at: 111 St. James Court Frankfort, Kentucky 40601-8486 Phone: 502-564-2851 or 800-853-2851 Fax: 502-564-1412 or 800-383-1412 e-mail: [email protected] www.kltprc.net v vi Table of Contents Preface -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- v Speaker Biographies -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ix Acknowledgments-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- xxiii Kentucky and the New Economy Welcome------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------3 Keynote Address: The New Economy and Kentucky --------------------------------------------------------5 Government’s Role in the New Economy -----------------------------------------------------------------------9 Transitioning from “Bricks and Mortar” to “Clicks and Mortar” -------------------------------------------19 Educating New Economy Citizens-------------------------------------------------------------------------------31 The Digital Divide-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------43 Challenges for the Next Century Welcome and the Vic Hellard, Jr. Award ----------------------------------------------------------------------53 The Forces of the Future-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------59 KET Panel Presentation: Is Kentucky Making Progress? -------------------------------------------------65 Keynote Address: The Future of Social Security ------------------------------------------------------------81 What Does the Aging of Kentucky’s Population Portend for the Future?-----------------------------91 What Are the Trends Affecting Postsecondary Education and How Can We Improve?-------- 105 How Can Kentucky Create an Entrepreneurial Economy? --------------------------------------------- 119 Appendices–Slide Presentations Appendix A: “The Forces of the Future”------------------------------------------------------------------------- 135 Appendix B: What Does the Aging of Kentucky’s Population Portend for the Future?--------------------153 John Watkins’ Slides-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------155 Michael Childress’ Slides -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------161 Appendix C: What Are the Trends Affecting Postsecondary Education and How Can We Improve? --175 Michal Smith-Mello’s Slides --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------177 Corrie Orthober’s Slides ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------183 Amy Watts’ Slides --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------189 vii viii Speaker Biographies Walter A. Baker is an attorney in Glasgow, Kentucky. He graduated from Harvard College (A.B. Magna Cum Laude and Phi Beta Kappa) and from Harvard Law School (LL.B.). Baker served as a state representative from Kentucky’s 23rd House District from 1968-1971 and as a state senator from the 9th Senatorial District from 1972-1981 and from 1989-1996. He was the Assistant General Counsel for International Affairs, Office of Secretary of Defense in the Department of Defense from 1981-1983 and a Justice in the Kentucky Supreme Court in 1996. Baker served as Judge Advocate with the rank of Lt. Colonel for the USAFR, Kentucky Air National Guard, from 1961-1981. He received the Kentucky Council on Crime and Delinquency Outstanding Service Award (1975), Dept. of Defense Outstanding Public Service Award (1983), the Louisville-Jefferson County Crime Commission Legislator of the Year Award (1990 and 1992), the Barren River ADD William H. Natcher Award for Outstanding Public Service (1995), and the Glasgow-Barren County Chamber of Commerce “Ernie Award” (1996). He is a Life Member of the Sixth Circuit Judicial Conference, serves on the Council for Postsecondary Education, and is First Vice President of the Kentucky Historical Society. Betty Winston Bayé is an editorial writer and columnist for The Courier-Journal in Louisville, Kentucky. The Brooklyn, New York, native earned a bachelor’s degree at Hunter College, City University of New York, and earned a master’s degree at Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism. In the 1960s, Bayé was a community organizer for the New York Office of the Student Nonviolent Coordinating, and performed with Barbara Ann Teer’s National Black Theater in Harlem. For many years, Bayé was a secretary or administrative assistant for The Presbyterian Church U.S.A., the Episcopal Church’s General Convention Special Program, Metromedia, The National Committee of Black Churchmen, the Opportunities Industrialization Centers (OIC) of New York, the Interreligious Foundation for Community Organization (IFCO), and the National Council of Churches’ Office of Church and Society. Bayé’s first job in journalism was as a reporter covering politics, housing and community development for The Daily Argus newspaper in Mount Vernon, NY. In 1984, she joined The Courier-Journal in Louisville as a general assignment reporter, and has been with The Courier-Journal since in various capacities, including assistant city editor and Neighborhoods editor. Bayé spent the academic year 1990-91 at Harvard University as a Nieman Fellow. Upon her return to Louisville, she joined The Courier-Journal’s editorial board, and soon thereafter launched a weekly op-ed column, which now is syndicated nationally by the Gannett News Service. Betty Bayé’s novel, The Africans, was published in 1983. In the early 1980s, she was an adjunct lecturer in Hunter College’s Communications Department. In recent years, Bayé has been featured in or has contributed to the following books: Children of the Dream: the Psychology of Black Success; The History of the National Association of Black Journalists; Work Sister Work; Thinking Black: Some of the Nation’s Best Black Columnists Speak Their Mind; and Kentucky Women: Two Centuries of Indomitable Spirit and Vision. Her memberships include the Black