1. Trends in Globalization
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The Effects of ASEAN Free Trade Are to Its Members
Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade Working Paper Series, No. 21, November 2006 Determinants of AFTA Members’ Trade Flows and Potential for Trade Diversion By Indira M. Hapsari and Carlos Mangunsong* *Indira M. Hapsari and Carlos Mangunsong are Research Assistant at the Department of Economics Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Teaching Assistant at the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia, The views presented in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of CSIS, ARTNeT members, partners and the United Nations. This study was conducted as part of the Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade (ARTNeT) initiative, aimed at building regional trade policy and facilitation research capacity in developing countries. This work was carried out with the aid of a grant from the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada. The technical support of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific is gratefully acknowledged. Any remaining errors are the responsibility of the authors. The authors may be contacted at [email protected] and [email protected] The Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade (ARTNeT) aims at building regional trade policy and facilitation research capacity in developing countries. The ARTNeT Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about trade issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. ARTNeT working papers are available online at: www.artnetontrade.org. -
Chapter 2 New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model
Chapter 2 New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model Song Hong Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) December 2012 This chapter should be cited as Song, H. (2012), ‘New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model’, in Zhang, Y., F. Kimura and S. Oum (eds.), Moving Toward a New Development Model for East Asia- The Role of Domestic Policy and Regional Cooperation . ERIA Research Project Report 2011-10, Jakarta: ERIA. pp.27-54. CHAPTER 2 New Challenges to the Export Oriented Growth Model SONG HONG Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) The export-oriented strategy played a crucial role for the successful development of East Asian economies after the World War II. They first exported low-technology manufactured goods, then gradually upgraded and transformed their export goods packages and finally caught up with the developed countries. Export oriented strategy in East Asia has been based on a series of internal and external conditions. Those conditions includes an open international environment, the existence of a certain size of external market, a stable supply of raw materials, as well as good and convenient navigation, and some internal conditions. Global financial crisis badly changed some of these conditions. For example, the external market was very unstable and was growing very slow; after the financial crisis, international raw material and energy prices experienced sharp volatility, which caused great challenges to the countries and enterprises seeking to implement an export oriented strategy. However, after the financial crisis the changes in international and domestic environments did not change the nature and trends of globalization, only temporarily slowed the pace of this process. -
The Global Trading System
COVER STORY • Global Governance at a Crossroads – a Roadmap Towards the G20 Summit in Osaka • 3 he Global Trading System: What Went Wrong & How to Fix It TBy Edward Alden Author Edward Alden Introduction in what will become a prolonged era of growing nationalism and protectionism. Gideon Rachman, the Financial Times columnist, has It has now been more than a quarter century since the United argued that the nationalist backlash symbolized by Trump’s election States, the European Union (EU), Japan and more than 100 other and the 2016 Brexit vote in the United Kingdom is likely to spread to countries came together to conclude the Uruguay Round global trade other countries and persist for several decades. But, he noted, those agreement and establish the World Trade Organization (WHO). It was movements will have to show that they can deliver not just promises a time of extraordinary optimism. Mickey Kantor, US trade but real economic results. So far – as the process of the UK representative for President Bill Clinton, had endured many sleepless government and parliament’s efforts to leave the EU show – real nights with his counterparts to bring the deal home by the Dec. 15, economic results have not been delivered. But champions of 1993 deadline. He promised the new agreement would “raise the globalization and the “rules-based trading system” cannot simply standard of living not only for Americans, but for workers all over the wait and hope that the failures of economic nationalism will become world”. Every American family, he said, would gain some $17,000 evident. -
A Citizen's Guide to the World Trade Organization
A Citizens Guide to THE WORLD TRADE A Citizens Guide to the World Trade ORGANIZATION Organization Published by the Working Group on the WTO / MAI, July 1999 Printed in the U.S. by Inkworks, a worker- owned union shop ISBN 1-58231-000-9 EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW TO The contents of this pamphlet may be freely reproduced provided that its source FIGHT FOR is acknowledged. FAIR TRADE THE WTO AND this system sidelines environmental rules, health safeguards and labor CORPORATE standards to provide transnational GLOBALIZATION corporations (TNCs) with a cheap supply of labor and natural resources. The WTO also guarantees corporate access to What do the U.S. Cattlemen’s Associa- foreign markets without requiring that tion, Chiquita Banana and the Venezu- TNCs respect countries’ domestic elan oil industry have in common? These priorities. big business interests were able to defeat hard-won national laws ensuring The myth that every nation can grow by food safety, strengthening local econo- exporting more than they import is central mies and protecting the environment by to the neoliberal ideology. Its proponents convincing governments to challenge the seem to forget that in order for one laws at the World Trade Organization country to export an automobile, some (WTO). other country has to import it. Established in 1995, the WTO is a The WTO Hurts U.S. Workers - Steel powerful new global commerce agency, More than 10,000 which transformed the General Agree- high-wage, high-tech ment on Tarriffs and Trade (GATT) into workers in the U.S. an enforceable global commercial code. -
International Trade
International Trade or centuries, people of the world have traded. From the ancient silk routes and spice trade to modern F shipping containers and satellite data transfers, nations have tied their economies to the rest of the world by complex flows of products and services. Free trade, which allows traders to interact without barriers imposed by government, can improve the living standards of people because it reduces prices and increases the variety of goods and services for consumers. It can also create new jobs and opportunities, and it encourages innovative uses of resources. However, even though free trade can benefit an economy as a whole, specific groups may be hurt. While certain sectors will experience job gains, others will face job losses. Still, societies throughout history have found that the benefits of international trade outweigh the costs. Why Trade? As consumers, all of us have an interest in trading they live, is because they believe they will be better with other countries. We often are unaware of trade’s off by trading. When we consider the alternative— influence on product prices and the quality and each of us producing everything for ourselves—trade availability of the goods we buy. But we all benefit simply makes more sense. from the greater abundance and variety of products and the lower prices that trading with others makes Trade is beneficial because it allows people to possible. Without trade, countries become isolated. specialize, or concentrate their work in the type of The quality of their goods and services lags behind production that they do best. -
Sustainable Growth Based on Export-Oriented Economic Strategy : the Bulgarian Case in an International Comparison
ECONOMIC POLICY ANALYSES Sustainable Growth Based on Export-Oriented Economic Strategy The Bulgarian Case in an International Comparison Prof. András Inotai This paper aims at identifying the strengths and weaknesses of the Bulgarian economy’s transformation to a more dynamic and export-oriented growth model. By referring to two groups of countries – Central European EU member states as well as the Western Balkans, the study puts an emphasis on the impact the EU membership and the 2009 crisis year have on the Bulgarian foreign trade and export performance in particular. The first chapter gathers arguments in favour of the export-oriented growth model but also addresses potential risk factors of such long-term policy. Despite some drawbacks as increasing vulnerability and de- pendence on external factors, this development path is justified as the better way for achieving sustainable economic growth of small economies like Bulgaria. The second chapter deals with the global financial crisis and its influence on the exports and foreign trade in general. Then, the author focuses on Bulgaria’s export performance in the EU and on a regional compari- son by stressing on the role of foreign direct investments in the export orientation of the country. Finally, the paper concludes by summarizing measures and instruments for catching-up export-driven economic development and by formulating policy recommendations supporting the successful implementa- tion of such an export-led growth model. April 2013 Imprint Orders All texts are available online Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Economic www.fes.bg Office Bulgaria Policy Institute 97, Knjaz Boris I St. Yasen Georgiev The views expressed in this publication 1000 Sofia, Bulgaria are not necessarily those of the Responsible: e-mail: [email protected] Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung or of the Regine Schubert, Director Fax: (+359 2) 9522693 organization for which the author works. -
International Trade: Who Is Left Behind and What to Do About It”
Department of Economic & Social Affairs CDP Background Paper No. 45 ST/ESA/2018/CDP/45 Rev.1 December 2018 International trade or technology? Who is left behind and what to do about it* Ann Harrison** ABSTRACT We examine globalization’s effects on those left behind in both industrial and emerging mar- kets. While access to global markets has lifted billions out of poverty in emerging markets, the benefits have not been equally shared. Increased competition through globalization as well as skill-biased technical change has hurt less educated workers in rich and poor countries. While much of the rising inequality is often attributed to globalization alone, a brief review of the literature suggests that labor-saving technology has likely played an even more important role. The backlash has focused on the negative consequences of globalization in developed countries, and now threatens the global trading system and access to that system for emerging markets. We conclude by proposing some solutions to compensate losers from the twin forces of techni- cal change and globalization. Keywords: trade, “leaving no one behind”, globalization, inequality JEL Classification: F02, F16, D63 * This paper replaces a previous version entitled “International Trade: Who is left behind and what to do about it”. ** Member of the Committee for Development Policy (CDP); University of California, Berkeley Haas; research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). All errors remain those of the author. CONTENTS 1 Countries left behind by globalization ....................................................................... 3 2 Individuals left behind by globalization in emerging markets ................................................ 9 3 Individuals left behind in industrial countries: disentangling globalization and technology .................. -
Intra-ASEAN Trade – Gravity Model and Spatial Hausman-Taylor Approach
Working Paper No. 20/2017 | December 2017 Intra-ASEAN trade – Gravity model and Spatial Hausman-Taylor approach Phung Duy Quang Foreign Trade University (FTU), Vietnam [email protected] Pham Anh Tuan Vietnam Military Medical University Nguyen Thi Xuan Thu Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam Abstract: This study examines determinants of intra-industry trade between Vietnam and Asean countries. By solving endogenous problem and applying Hausman-Taylor model for panel two-way dataset, we detect that export flows of Vietnam gravitate to neighbouring countries and those with similar GDP. More importantly, the research indicates the existence of spatial-lag interaction. Keywords: Intra-trade, export, import, gravity model, two-dimensions fixed effect panel model, Hausman- Taylor model, Spatial Hausman - Taylor model. Research for this paper was funded by the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs under the SECO / WTI Academic Cooperation Project, based at the World Trade Institute of the University of Bern, Switzerland. SECO working papers are preliminary documents posted on the WTI website (www.wti.org) and widely circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. These papers have not been formally edited. Citations should refer to a “SECO / WTI Academic Cooperation Project” paper with appropriate reference made to the author(s). 1 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS From my heart, I would like to show my gratitude and sincere thanks to Dr. Anirudh ([email protected]), from World Trade Institute, Switzerland, who is my mentor, for guiding me to find out research, practical approach, looking for material, processing and data analysis, solving problem ... so that I can complete my research. Also, in the process of learning, researching and implementing the research I was getting a lot of attention, suggestions, supporting from my precious colleagues, expertise and organizations. -
The Impacts of Technological Invention on Economic Growth – a Review of the Literature Andrew Reamer1 February 28, 2014
THE GEORGE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC POLICY The Impacts of Technological Invention on Economic Growth – A Review of the Literature Andrew Reamer1 February 28, 2014 I. Introduction In their recently published book, The Second Machine Age, Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee rely on economist Paul Krugman to explain the connection between invention and growth: Paul Krugman speaks for many, if not most, economists when he says, “Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it’s almost everything.” Why? Because, he explains, “A country’s ability to improve its standard of living over time depends almost entirely on its ability to raise its output per worker”—in other words, the number of hours of labor it takes to produce everything, from automobiles to zippers, that we produce. Most countries don’t have extensive mineral wealth or oil reserves, and thus can’t get rich by exporting them. So the only viable way for societies to become wealthier—to improve the standard of living available to its people—is for their companies and workers to keep getting more output from the same number of inputs, in other words more goods and services from the same number of people. Innovation is how this productivity growth happens.2 For decades, economists and economic historians have sought to improve their understanding of the role of technological invention in economic growth. As in many fields of inventive endeavor, their efforts required time to develop and mature. In the last five years, these efforts have reached a point where they are generating robust, substantive, and intellectually interesting findings, to the benefit of those interested in promoting growth-enhancing invention in the U.S. -
The Emerging Private Sector and the Industrialization of Vietnam
Public Disclosure Authorized PRIVATE SECTOR DISCUSSIONS NO. 1 THE EMERGING PRIVATE SECTOR AND THE INDUSTRIALIZATION OF VIETNAM Public Disclosure Authorized James Riedel and Chuong S. Tran of James Riedel Associates Inc. For submission of the Project Sponsors: The Mekong Project Development Facility The International Finance Corporation The Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry Nissho Iwai Corporation Public Disclosure Authorized Mobil Oil Corporation The Asia Foundation Copies of this report are available to the public from The Mekong Project Development Facility Suite 706, Metropole Center 56 Ly Thai To Street, Hanoi, Vietnam Telephone: 844 8247892 Facsimile: 844 8247898 Email: [email protected] Public Disclosure Authorized Hanoi, April, 1997 TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENT........................................................................................III INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................IV THE EMERGING PRIVATE SECTOR AND THE INDUSTRIALIZATION OF VIETNAM.........................................................................................................1 I. THE IMPORTANCE OF PRIVATE SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED COMPANIES ......................................................................................................3 a. The Imperative of Export-Oriented Industrialization ..................................3 b. The Appropriateness of the Export-Oriented Industrialization Strategy for Vietnam................................................................................................ -
World Trade Statistical Review 2021
World Trade Statistical Review 2021 8% 4.3 111.7 4% 3% 0.0 -0.2 -0.7 Insurance and pension services Financial services Computer services -3.3 -5.4 World Trade StatisticalWorld Review 2021 -15.5 93.7 cultural and Personal, services recreational -14% Construction -18% 2021Q1 2019Q4 2019Q3 2020Q1 2020Q4 2020Q3 2020Q2 Merchandise trade volume About the WTO The World Trade Organization deals with the global rules of trade between nations. Its main function is to ensure that trade flows as smoothly, predictably and freely as possible. About this publication World Trade Statistical Review provides a detailed analysis of the latest developments in world trade. It is the WTO’s flagship statistical publication and is produced on an annual basis. For more information All data used in this report, as well as additional charts and tables not included, can be downloaded from the WTO web site at www.wto.org/statistics World Trade Statistical Review 2021 I. Introduction 4 Acknowledgements 6 A message from Director-General 7 II. Highlights of world trade in 2020 and the impact of COVID-19 8 World trade overview 10 Merchandise trade 12 Commercial services 15 Leading traders 18 Least-developed countries 19 III. World trade and economic growth, 2020-21 20 Trade and GDP in 2020 and early 2021 22 Merchandise trade volume 23 Commodity prices 26 Exchange rates 27 Merchandise and services trade values 28 Leading indicators of trade 31 Economic recovery from COVID-19 34 IV. Composition, definitions & methodology 40 Composition of geographical and economic groupings 42 Definitions and methodology 42 Specific notes for selected economies 49 Statistical sources 50 Abbreviations and symbols 51 V. -
Trade and Employment Challenges for Policy Research
ILO - WTO - ILO TRADE AND EMPLOYMENT CHALLENGES FOR POLICY RESEARCH This study is the outcome of collaborative research between the Secretariat of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the TRADE AND EMPLOYMENT International Labour Office (ILO). It addresses an issue that is of concern to both organizations: the relationship between trade and employment. On the basis of an overview of the existing academic CHALLENGES FOR POLICY RESEARCH literature, the study provides an impartial view of what can be said, and with what degree of confidence, on the relationship between trade and employment, an often contentious issue of public debate. Its focus is on the connections between trade policies, and labour and social policies and it will be useful for all those who are interested in this debate: academics and policy-makers, workers and employers, trade and labour specialists. WTO ISBN 978-92-870-3380-2 A joint study of the International Labour Office ILO ISBN 978-92-2-119551-1 and the Secretariat of the World Trade Organization Printed by the WTO Secretariat - 813.07 TRADE AND EMPLOYMENT CHALLENGES FOR POLICY RESEARCH A joint study of the International Labour Office and the Secretariat of the World Trade Organization Prepared by Marion Jansen Eddy Lee Economic Research and Statistics Division International Institute for Labour Studies World Trade Organization International Labour Office TRADE AND EMPLOYMENT: CHALLENGES FOR POLICY RESEARCH Copyright © 2007 International Labour Organization and World Trade Organization. Publications of the International Labour Office and World Trade Organization enjoy copyright under Protocol 2 of the Universal Copyright Convention. Nevertheless, short excerpts from them may be reproduced without authorization, on condition that the source is indicated.