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What Statistics Can and Can't Tell Us About Ourselves | the New Yorker
What Statistics Can and Canʼt Tell Us About Ourselves | The New Yorker 2019-09-04, 1005 Books September 9, 2019 Issue What Statistics Can and Can’t Tell Us About Ourselves In the era of Big Data, we’ve come to believe that, with enough information, human behavior is predictable. But number crunching can lead us perilously wrong. By Hannah Fry September 2, 2019 https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/09/09/what-statistics…3&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c9dfd39373-f791742ba3-42227231 Page 1 of 15 What Statistics Can and Canʼt Tell Us About Ourselves | The New Yorker 2019-09-04, 1005 Making individual predictions from collective characteristics is a risky business. Illustration by Ben Wiseman 0"00 / 23"27 Audio: Listen to this article. To hear more, download Audm for iPhone or Android. arold Eddleston, a seventy-seven-year-old from Greater Manchester, H was still reeling from a cancer diagnosis he had been given that week https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/09/09/what-statistics…3&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c9dfd39373-f791742ba3-42227231 Page 2 of 15 What Statistics Can and Canʼt Tell Us About Ourselves | The New Yorker 2019-09-04, 1005 when, on a Saturday morning in February, 1998, he received the worst possible news. He would have to face the future alone: his beloved wife had died unexpectedly, from a heart attack. Eddleston’s daughter, concerned for his health, called their family doctor, a well-respected local man named Harold Shipman. He came to the house, sat with her father, held his hand, and spoke to him tenderly. -
Thames Valley Papists from Reformation to Emancipation 1534 - 1829
Thames Valley Papists From Reformation to Emancipation 1534 - 1829 Tony Hadland Copyright © 1992 & 2004 by Tony Hadland All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form, or by any means – electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise – without prior permission in writing from the publisher and author. The moral right of Tony Hadland to be identified as author of this work has been asserted in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988. British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 0 9547547 0 0 First edition published as a hardback by Tony Hadland in 1992. This new edition published in soft cover in April 2004 by The Mapledurham 1997 Trust, Mapledurham HOUSE, Reading, RG4 7TR. Pre-press and design by Tony Hadland E-mail: [email protected] Printed by Antony Rowe Limited, 2 Whittle Drive, Highfield Industrial Estate, Eastbourne, East Sussex, BN23 6QT. E-mail: [email protected] While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, neither the author nor the publisher can be held responsible for any loss or inconvenience arising from errors contained in this work. Feedback from readers on points of accuracy will be welcomed and should be e-mailed to [email protected] or mailed to the author via the publisher. Front cover: Mapledurham House, front elevation. Back cover: Mapledurham House, as seen from the Thames. A high gable end, clad in reflective oyster shells, indicated a safe house for Catholics. -
Note for the Record: Consultation on Clinical Trial Design for Ebola Virus Disease (EVD)
Note for the record: Consultation on Clinical Trial Design for Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) A group of independent scientific experts was convened by the WHO for the purpose of evaluating a proposed clinical trial design for investigational therapeutics for Ebola virus disease (EVD) during the current outbreak, 26 May 2018 Experts Sir Michael Jacobs (Chair), Dr Rick Bright, Dr Marco Cavaleri, Dr Edward Cox, Dr Natalie Dean, Dr William Fischer, Dr Thomas Fleming, Dr Elizabeth Higgs, Dr Peter Horby, Dr Philip Krause, Dr Trudie Lang, Dr Denis Malvy, Sir Richard Peto, Dr Peter Smith, Dr Marianne Van der Sande, Dr Robert Walker, Dr David Wohl, Dr Alan Young. There are many pathogens for which there is no proven specific treatment. For some pathogens, there are treatments that have shown promising safety and activity in the laboratory and in relevant animal models but have not yet been evaluated fully for safety and efficacy in humans. In the context of an outbreak characterized by high mortality rates, the Monitored Emergency Use of Unregistered Interventions (MEURI)1 framework is a means to provide access to promising but unproven investigational therapies, but is not a means to evaluate reliably whether these compounds are actually beneficial to patients or not. In light of the current Ebola Zaire DRC outbreak with a high case fatality rate, the WHO convened an independent expert panel to evaluate investigational therapeutics for MEURI use2, and that panel affirmed the importance of moving to appropriate clinical trials as soon as possible. Against this background, a clinical trial design has been proposed with a view to generating reliable evidence about safety and efficacy. -
Fav Cricket Yarns Extract
About the Author en Piesse has had a fifty-year love affair with cricket as a Kplayer, watcher, writer and commentator. Born in 1955, the year the MCG wicket was illegallyDistribution watered, Ken has played hundreds of game since his first, aged nine, at Parkdale for the Beaumaris Under 14s. Back then he didn’t know the differenceFor between point and square leg but something about the game intrigued him. He started collecting newspaper cuttings and clippings and compiling statistics books. Forty-nineNot cricket books on – and sixty-eight overall – he says -few are as fortunate as him to be able to work at their hobby each and every day. His wife Susan has long given up trying to plan anything on a summer Saturday. And for that he’s most grateful. Publishing Echo Fav Cricket Yarns-text-finalpp.indd i 1/07/14 8:42 AM Other cricket books by Ken Piesse published by The Five Mile Press: Great Australian Cricket Stories (2010) Dynamic Duos: Cricket’s Finest Pairs and Partnerships (2012) Great Ashes Moments (2013) Distribution For Not - Publishing Echo Fav Cricket Yarns-text-finalpp.indd ii 1/07/14 8:42 AM FAVOURITE Distribution FROM LAUGHS & LEGENDSFor TO SLEDGES & STUFF-UPS Not KEN PIESSE- Publishing Echo Fav Cricket Yarns-text-finalpp.indd iii 1/07/14 8:42 AM The Five Mile Press Pty Ltd 1 Centre Road, Scoresby Victoria 3179 Australia www.fivemile.com.au Part of the Bonnier Publishing Group Distribution www.bonnierpublishing.com Copyright © Ken Piesse, 2014 All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced,For stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted by any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior written permission ofNot the publisher. -
9780521650601 Index.Pdf
Cambridge University Press 0521650607 - Pragmatic Utopias: Ideals and Communities, 1200-1630 Edited by Rosemary Horrox and Sarah Rees Jones Index More information Index Aberdeen, Baxter,Richard, Abingdon,Edmund of,archbp of Canterbury, Bayly,Thomas, , Beauchamp,Richard,earl of Warwick, – Acthorp,Margaret of, Beaufort,Henry,bp of Winchester, adultery, –, Beaufort,Margaret,countess of Richmond, Aelred, , , , , , Aix en Provence, Beauvale Priory, Alexander III,pope, , Beckwith,William, Alexander IV,pope, Bedford,duke of, see John,duke of Bedford Alexander V,pope, beggars, –, , Allen,Robert, , Bell,John,bp of Worcester, All Souls College,Oxford, Belsham,John, , almshouses, , , , –, , –, Benedictines, , , , , –, , , , , , –, , – Americas, , Bereford,William, , anchoresses, , – Bergersh,Maud, Ancrene Riwle, Bernard,Richard, –, Ancrene Wisse, –, Bernwood Forest, Anglesey Priory, Besan¸con, Antwerp, , Beverley,Yorks, , , , apostasy, , , – Bicardike,John, appropriations, –, , , , Bildeston,Suff, , –, , Arthington,Henry, Bingham,William, – Asceles,Simon de, Black Death, , attorneys, – Blackwoode,Robert, – Augustinians, , , , , , Bohemia, Aumale,William of,earl of Yorkshire, Bonde,Thomas, , , –, Austria, , , , Boniface VIII,pope, Avignon, Botreaux,Margaret, –, , Aylmer,John,bp of London, Bradwardine,Thomas, Aymon,P`eire, , , , –, Brandesby,John, Bray,Reynold, Bainbridge,Christopher,archbp of York, Brinton,Thomas,bp of Rochester, Bristol, Balliol College,Oxford, , , , , , Brokley,John, Broomhall -
Sir Richard Doll, Epidemiologist – a Personal Reminiscence with a Selected Bibliography
British Journal of Cancer (2005) 93, 963 – 966 & 2005 Cancer Research UK All rights reserved 0007 – 0920/05 $30.00 www.bjcancer.com Obituary Sir Richard Doll, epidemiologist – a personal reminiscence with a selected bibliography The death of Richard Doll on 24 July 2005 at the age of 92 after a short illness ended an extraordinarily productive life in science for which he received widespread recognition, including Fellowship of The Royal Society (1966), Knighthood (1971), Companionship of Honour (1996), and many honorary degrees and prizes. He is unique, however, in having seen both universal acceptance of his work demonstrating smoking as the main cause of the most common fatal cancer in the world and the relative success of strategies to reduce the prevalence of the habit. In 1950, 80% of the men in Britain smoked but this has now declined to less than 30%. Richard Doll qualified in medicine at St Thomas’ Hospital in 1937, but his epidemiological career began after service in the Second World War when he worked with Francis Avery Jones at the Central Middlesex Hospital on occupational factors in the aetiology of peptic ulceration. The completeness of Doll’s tracing of previously surveyed men so impressed Tony Bradford Hill that he offered him a post in the MRC Statistical Research Unit to investigate the causes of lung cancer. For the representations of Percy Stocks (Chief Medical Officer to the Registrar General) and Sir Ernest Kennaway had prevailed against the then commonly held view that the marked rise in lung cancer deaths in Britain since 1900 was due only to improved diagnosis. -
Whoseжlegacyжwillжreadersж Celebrateжthisжyear?
BMJ GROUP AWARDS •ЖReviewЖtheЖshortlistsЖforЖallЖcategoriesЖatЖhttp://bit.ly/aUWoE5 Sir George Alleyne •ЖListenЖtoЖtheЖawardsЖlaunchЖpodcastЖatЖbmj.com/podcasts A highly respected figure in global health, George Alleyne has played LIFETIME ACHIEVEMENT AWARD a large part in tackling HIV and non-communicable disease and WhoseЖlegacyЖwillЖreadersЖ is an energetic promoter of health equality across the world. Currently the chancellor of the University celebrateЖthisЖyear? of the West Indies, Sir George is also the former director of the Pan Annabel FerrimanЖintroducesЖthisЖyear’sЖawardЖandЖ American Health Organization. Adrian O’DowdЖrevealsЖtheЖshortlistedЖcandidates Born in Barbados, he graduated in medicine from the University When Belgian senator Marleen Temmerman called on women in Belgium of the West Indies in 1957 and to refuse to have sex with their partners until the country’s politicians continued his postgraduate ended eight months of wrangling and formed a government, few people studies in the United Kingdom and effect on national economies. in the UK had heard of her. But readers of the BMJ were in the know and the United States. During more Sir George has served on various unsurprised. than a decade of original research, committees including the For Professor Temmerman, an obstetrician and gynaecologist, had he produced 144 publications in scientific and technical advisory won the BMJ Group’s Lifetime Achievement Award last April. In that case, scientific journals, which qualified committee of the World Health it was not for suggesting a “crossed leg strike” to end political deadlock him at just 40 years of age to be Organization Tropical Research (a solution advocated by the women of Greece in Aristophanes’ play appointed professor of medicine Programme and the Institute of Lysistrata) but for her services to women’s health in Belgium and Kenya. -
Cricket, Football & Sporting Memorabilia 5Th, 6Th and 7Th March
knights Cricket, Football & Sporting Memorabilia 5th, 6th and 7th March 2021 Online live auction Friday 5th March 10.30am Cricket Memorabilia Saturday 6th March 10.30am Cricket Photographs, Scorecards, Wisdens and Cricket Books Sunday 7th March 10.30am Football & Sporting Memorabilia Next auction 10th & 11th July 2021 Entries invited A buyer’s premium of 20% (plus VAT at 20%) of the hammer price is Online bidding payable by the buyers of all lots. Knights Sporting Limited are delighted to offer an online bidding facility. Cheques to be made payable to “Knight’s Sporting Limited”. Bid on lots and buy online from anywhere in the world at the click of a Credit cards and debit accepted. mouse with the-saleroom.com’s Live Auction service. For full terms and conditions see overleaf. Full details of this service can be found at www.the-saleroom.com. Commission bids are welcomed and should be sent to: Knight’s Sporting Ltd, Cuckoo Cottage, Town Green, Alby, In completing the bidder registration on www.the-saleroom.com and Norwich NR11 7PR providing your credit card details and unless alternative arrangements Office: 01263 768488 are agreed with Knights Sporting Limited you authorise Knights Mobile: 07885 515333 Sporting Limited, if they so wish, to charge the credit card given in part Email bids to [email protected] or full payment, including all fees, for items successfully purchased in the auction via the-saleroom.com, and confirm that you are authorised Please note: All commission bids to be received no later than 6pm to provide these credit card details to Knights Sporting Limited through on the day prior to the auction of the lots you are bidding on. -
Index of Manuscripts
Cambridge University Press 978-0-521-44420-0 - The Cambridge History of Medieval English Literature Edited by David Wallace Index More information Index of manuscripts Aberystwyth, National Library of Wales Durham Cathedral Library 6680: 195 b.111.32, f. 2: 72n26 c.iv.27: 42, 163n25 Cambridge, Corpus Christi College 32: 477 Edinburgh, National Library of Scotland 140: 461n28 Advocates 1.1.6 (Bannatyne MS): 252 145: 619 Advocates 18.7.21: 361 171: 234 Advocates 19.2.1 (Auchinleck MS): 91, 201: 853 167, 170–1, 308n42, 478, 624, 693, 402: 111 697 Cambridge, Gonville and Caius College Advocates 72.1.37 (Book of the Dean of 669/646: 513n2 Lismore): 254 Cambridge, Magdalene College Pepys 2006: 303n32, 308n42 Geneva, Fondation Martin Bodmer Pepys 2498: 479 Cod. Bodmer 168: 163n25 Cambridge, Trinity College b.14.52: 81n37 Harvard, Houghton Library b.15.18: 337n104 Eng 938: 51 o.3.11: 308n42 Hatfield House o.9.1: 308n42 cp 290: 528 o.9.38 (Glastonbury Miscellany): 326–7, 532 Lincoln Cathedral Library r.3.19: 308n42, 618 91: 509, 697 r.3.20: 59 London, British Library r.3.21: 303n32, 308n42 Additional 16165: 513n2, 526 Cambridge, University Library Additional 17492 (Devonshire MS): 807, Add. 2830: 387, 402–6 808 Add. 3035: 593n16 Additional 22283 (Simeon MS): 91, dd.1.17: 513n2, 515n6, 530 479n61 dd.5.64: 498 Additional 24062: 651 ff.4.42: 186 Additional 24202: 684 ff.6.17: 163n25 Additional 27879 (Percy Folio MS): 692, gg.1.34.2: 303n32 693–4, 702, 704, 708, 710–12, 718 gg.4.31: 513n2, 515n6 Additional 31042: 697 hh.1.5: 403n111 Additional 35287: -
Issue 40: Summer 2009/10
Journal of the Melbourne Cricket Club Library Issue 40, Summer 2009 This Issue From our Summer 2009/10 edition Ken Williams looks at the fi rst Pakistan tour of Australia, 45 years ago. We also pay tribute to Richie Benaud's role in cricket, as he undertakes his last Test series of ball-by-ball commentary and wish him luck in his future endeavours in the cricket media. Ross Perry presents an analysis of Australia's fi rst 16-Test winning streak from October 1999 to March 2001. A future issue of The Yorker will cover their second run of 16 Test victories. We note that part two of Trevor Ruddell's article detailing the development of the rules of Australian football has been delayed until our next issue, which is due around Easter 2010. THE EDITORS Treasures from the Collections The day Don Bradman met his match in Frank Thorn On Saturday, February 25, 1939 a large crowd gathered in the Melbourne District competition throughout the at the Adelaide Oval for the second day’s play in the fi nal 1930s, during which time he captured 266 wickets at 20.20. Sheffi eld Shield match of the season, between South Despite his impressive club record, he played only seven Australia and Victoria. The fans came more in anticipation games for Victoria, in which he captured 24 wickets at an of witnessing the setting of a world record than in support average of 26.83. Remarkably, the two matches in which of the home side, which began the game one point ahead he dismissed Bradman were his only Shield appearances, of its opponent on the Shield table. -
English Monks Suppression of the Monasteries
ENGLISH MONKS and the SUPPRESSION OF THE MONASTERIES ENGLISH MONKS and the SUPPRESSION OF THE MONASTERIES by GEOFFREY BAS KER VILLE M.A. (I) JONA THAN CAPE THIRTY BEDFORD SQUARE LONDON FIRST PUBLISHED I937 JONATHAN CAPE LTD. JO BEDFORD SQUARE, LONDON AND 91 WELLINGTON STREET WEST, TORONTO PRINTED IN GREAT BRITAIN IN THE CITY OF OXFORD AT THE ALDEN PRESS PAPER MADE BY JOHN DICKINSON & CO. LTD. BOUND BY A. W. BAIN & CO. LTD. CONTENTS PREFACE 7 INTRODUCTION 9 I MONASTIC DUTIES AND ACTIVITIES I 9 II LAY INTERFERENCE IN MONASTIC AFFAIRS 45 III ECCLESIASTICAL INTERFERENCE IN MONASTIC AFFAIRS 72 IV PRECEDENTS FOR SUPPRESSION I 308- I 534 96 V THE ROYAL VISITATION OF THE MONASTERIES 1535 120 VI SUPPRESSION OF THE SMALLER MONASTERIES AND THE PILGRIMAGE OF GRACE 1536-1537 144 VII FROM THE PILGRIMAGE OF GRACE TO THE FINAL SUPPRESSION 153 7- I 540 169 VIII NUNS 205 IX THE FRIARS 2 2 7 X THE FATE OF THE DISPOSSESSED RELIGIOUS 246 EPILOGUE 273 APPENDIX 293 INDEX 301 5 PREFACE THE four hundredth anniversary of the suppression of the English monasteries would seem a fit occasion on which to attempt a summary of the latest views on a thorny subject. This book cannot be expected to please everybody, and it makes no attempt to conciliate those who prefer sentiment to truth, or who allow their reading of historical events to be distorted by present-day controversies, whether ecclesiastical or political. In that respect it tries to live up to the dictum of Samuel Butler that 'he excels most who hits the golden mean most exactly in the middle'. -
Palace Was Situated on a Spot of Ground Now Forming the Junction of Beau- Mont and St
HISTORY OF THE CITY OF OXFORD • 281 . • palace was situated on a spot of ground now forming the junction of Beau- mont and St. John-streets. Previous to the erection of the streets which now • occupy the site of the palace, that district was commonly called the Beaumonts. The religious establishments in Oxford connected with tl1e monastic bodies were, the priory of St. Frideswide, Oseney abbey, and Rewley abbey, St. George's college, St. Bernard's college, Canterbury college, Durham college, London college, St. Mary's college, and Gloucester hall; the Augustinian, ' . Black, Grey, 'Vhite, Crouched, and De Sacco friaries; Trinity house, St. John's hospital, and St. Bartholomew's hospital. Several of these institutions went into decay before the dissolution of monasteries, or were merged into acade mical establishments. ST. FRIDESWIDE'S PRIORY. This establishment which stood on a part of the site of the present college of Christ church, was founded in the beginning o.f the eighth century, by a pious virgin named Frideswide, daughter of Didan, the governor, provost, or viceroy of Oxford, by his wife Saffrida. " Having received a religious education" says Dr. Ingram, on the authority of an account preserved in Leland's Collectanea, "under Elgiva, a most pious devotee ; the youthful Frideswide not only embraced a monastic life herself, but induced 12 other virgins of respectable families to follow her example. It happened about this time (A.D. 727) that Saffrida died; and her husband, seeking consola tion from a work of piety, employed himself in the construction of a conventual church, within the precincts of the city ; and, having dedicated it in honour of St.