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DRAFT October 2019

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DRAFT October 2019 DRAFT October 2019 1 Contents 1. The district ................................................................................................................3 1.1 At a glance ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2. People - Happy, healthy, active and supported .....................................................5 2.1 Population ............................................................................................................................................ 6 2.2 Population change ............................................................................................................................... 7 2.3 Ward populations ................................................................................................................................. 8 2.4 Life expectancy .................................................................................................................................... 9 2.5 Obesity ................................................................................................................................................. 10 2.6 Other health issues and fast food outlets ............................................................................................ 11 2.7 Older people and sport and physical activity ...................................................................................... 12 2.8 Personal wellbeing ............................................................................................................................... 13 2.9 Poverty ................................................................................................................................................. 14 2.10 Deprivation ........................................................................................................................................... 15 2.11 Mosaic profile ....................................................................................................................................... 17 3. Place - Green, clean and safe with quality, affordable homes .............................19 3.1 Satisfaction and quality of life .............................................................................................................. 20 3.2 Energy consumption ............................................................................................................................ 21 3.3 Renewable electricity and carbon emissions……………………………………………………………….22 3.4 Waste ................................................................................................................................................... 23 3.5 Crime and community safety ............................................................................................................... 24 3.6 House prices ....................................................................................................................................... 26 3.7 Affordable housing and Sports facilities…………………………………………………………………….28 4. Prosperity - Vibrant communities with quality jobs and skills .............................29 4.1 Businesses and jobs ............................................................................................................................ 30 4.2 Active enterprises an UK Competitiveness Index ................................................................................ 31 4.3 Employment and out of work benefits .................................................................................................. 32 4.4 Earnings ............................................................................................................................................... 33 4.5 Social mobility and travel times ........................................................................................................... 34 4.6 Tourism…………………………………………………………………………………………………………35 2 The district 3 4 5 Population The mid-2018 estimated population of the district is 127,340. The gender split is 49% male and 51% female. Almost a quarter of the population are aged 65 or over compared with 22.5% in the county and 18.2% in England. Mid-2018 population estimate Age breakdown Wychavon 17.1% 8.2% 20.6% 29.3% 13.7% 7.7% Worcs 17.8% 9.3% 22.9% 27.6% 12.4% 7.1% England 19.2% 10.7% 26.3% 25.6% 9.9% 5.8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 to 15 16 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 85+ The population is projected to increase by 7.5% by 2028 to 134,600 and by 12.4% to over 140,700 by 2038. The proportion of people aged 65+ is projected to increase to almost a third of the population by 2038. Population projections by five year age category 2018 - 2038 12 2018 2028 2038 10 8 6 4 Population(000's) 2 0 0-4 5-9 90+ 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 Age category ONS population estimates (Analysis of population estimates tool) 6 Population change The overall population of the district has increased in each of the last of the last five years although the natural change has seen decreases in the last two. In 2017, internal migration fell slightly from the previous year but was higher than the three years prior to that. Levels of inter- national migration have fallen in each of the last two years. Yearly change in population estimates 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 -500 International migration Internal migration Natural change Overall population change ONS population estimates (Analysis of population estimates tool) Just 2.1% of the district’s residents are from a Black and Ethnic Minority (BME) background. 91% of residents were born in England and a further 3.4% in the rest of the UK. The next largest proportion (2.9%) were born in other EU countries. Ethnicity of Wychavon residents 0.5% 0.4% 3.1% White British 93.9% Other 6.1% 0.8% 1.0% White; British White; Irish White; Gypsy or Irish Traveller White; Other White Mixed/Multiple ethnic groups Asian/Asian British Black/African/Caribbean/Black British Other Ethnic Group Census 2011 (Table KS201EW) 7 Ward populations Population changes at ward level between the 2001 census and 2017 estimates are shown below. The ageing population is evident, with almost all wards seeing a considerable increase in the proportion of those aged 65+. Only the Bengeworth and Great Hampton wards had notable growth across all the age catego- ries. There are three areas: Droitwich Central, The Littletons and Elmley Castle and Somerville which have had a small overall reduction in their population during the 17 year period. The population of the district is split across 32 wards and the population of these wards varies from almost 10,000 people per square mile in Droitwich South West to 132 in Upton Snodsbury. % growth % growth % growth % growth 2017 Area in People per 2001 - 2017 All ages Under 16 16-64 65+ population sq. miles sq. mile Badsey 16.5% -9.6% 10.7% 65.3% 3,096 2.9 1068 Bengeworth 63.1% 81.1% 63.5% 40.3% 7,661 1.2 6384 Bowbrook 22.3% 10.4% 6.6% 111.9% 2,870 13.5 213 Bredon 9.4% -3.2% -2.4% 62.3% 2,666 5.7 468 Bretforton and Offenham 20.3% 15.0% 11.0% 59.6% 2,966 4.6 645 Broadway and Wickhamford 4.6% -13.7% -5.1% 30.7% 4,662 11.6 402 Dodderhill 35.1% 57.0% 27.7% 41.4% 2,835 9 315 Drakes Broughton 4.5% -14.3% -9.6% 98.8% 2,519 10.9 231 Droitwich Central -4.2% -17.6% -9.3% 29.0% 2,570 0.3 8567 Droitwich East 9.1% -1.8% -1.7% 49.0% 5,561 0.9 6179 Droitwich South East 11.0% -15.2% -2.0% 180.9% 5,400 0.7 7714 Droitwich South West 0.1% -6.7% -9.5% 34.5% 4,985 0.5 9970 Droitwich West 2.1% -3.1% -6.6% 65.0% 5,364 0.9 5960 Eckington 4.7% -18.4% -9.3% 76.5% 2,673 13.2 203 Elmley Castle and Somerville -0.6% -17.8% -10.5% 50.1% 2,457 13.8 178 Evesham North 8.5% -2.2% 6.7% 25.9% 5,293 1.3 4072 Evesham South 8.3% -15.7% 6.1% 52.3% 5,417 1 5417 Fladbury 4.9% -14.8% -7.1% 52.7% 2,783 11.4 244 Great Hampton 26.8% 42.5% 17.5% 40.9% 3,168 1.9 1667 Hartlebury 15.2% 14.0% -1.8% 90.1% 2,936 7.1 414 Harvington and Norton 3.2% -2.5% -6.9% 42.8% 2,704 6.2 436 Honeybourne and Pebworth 12.9% -15.0% 7.2% 92.4% 2,758 10.8 255 Inkberrow 7.1% -6.0% -7.7% 72.5% 5,685 36.4 156 Little Hampton 8.4% -5.8% 8.1% 40.5% 5,665 0.8 7081 Lovett and North Claines 13.0% 11.9% 0.5% 56.3% 5,641 19.5 289 Norton and Whittington 26.5% 28.6% 20.6% 59.0% 3,647 4.5 810 Ombersley 12.5% -3.2% 3.4% 56.8% 2,451 12.3 199 Pershore 5.6% 0.2% -7.5% 45.7% 7,716 4.4 1754 Pinvin 5.6% -19.7% -3.4% 59.4% 3,001 9.7 309 South Bredon Hill 4.9% 2.4% -8.6% 43.4% 2,419 12.3 197 The Littletons -3.4% -26.8% -9.3% 57.7% 3,111 6.3 494 Upton Snodsbury 4.8% -11.5% -6.7% 58.2% 2,698 20.5 132 WYCHAVON 11.0% -0.1% 2.1% 55.0% 125,378 256 490 ONS - Ward level mid-year population estimates 8 Life expectancy Life expectancy at birth for Wychavon residents is 81 years for males and 85.4 years for females. These are the highest of the Worcestershire districts and higher than the county and national averages. Life expectancies in Wychavon are consistently around 1.5 years higher than England average for males and around two years longer for females. Life expectancy at birth (male) Life expectancy at birth (female) 2015-17 2015-17 82 82 81 81 80 Worcs 80 Worcs England England 79 79 Age in years in Age Age in years in Age 78 78 77 77 Hills Hills Malvern Malvern Redditch Redditch Worcester Worcester Wychavon Wychavon Bromsgrove Bromsgrove Wyre Forest Wyre Wyre Forest Wyre Although the life expectancy figures for Wychavon are high, the gap in life expectancy
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