Investor Presentation May 2018 2 I
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Investor Presentation May 2018 2 I. Main Facts & Figures II. Key Strengths III. Public Finances IV. Consolidated Debt V. Flanders in a nutshell 3 Main Facts & Figures Key Data Capital Brussels Language Dutch Surface 13 684 km² Population 6 509 894 (1/1/2017) Density 485 hab./km² (2016) Currency Euro N° of Companies 509,660 (subject to VAT) Nominal GDP (PPS) EUR 228 bn (2016) GDP/Capita (PPS) EUR 35 100 (2016) Real GDP growth rate 1.4% (2016) Unemployment rate 4.4% (2017) PPS = purchasing power standards 4 Main Facts & Figures High GDP per Capita (2016) 40.000 35.000 30.000 25.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 Flanders EU-28 Belgium Germany France Netherlands United Kingdom Source: Eurostat 5 Main Facts & Figures Strong Economic Fundamentals Flanders benefits from very strong economic fundamentals. Flanders France Germany Netherlands EU - 28 Unemployment Rate (2017) 4.4% 9.4% 3.8% 4.9% 7.6% Real GDP Growth Rate (average 1.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 2011 – 2016) • In 2016 the real GDP growth rate was 1.4% in Flanders which was much higher compared to the other regions (Walloon Region 1.1% and Brussels Region 0.8%) Source: Eurostat - Labour Force Survey, Study Office of the Governement of Flanders 6 I. Main Facts & Figures II. Key Strengths III. Public Finances IV. Consolidated Debt V. Flanders in a nutshell 7 Key Strengths Located in the Heart of Europe . Flanders lies at the center of the EU’s wealthiest and most populated area; . Highly developed transport and communications systems so that companies can take full advantage of this fact; . Strong stimulus for companies to locate in Flanders – central location; Source: Healey & Baker study 8 Key Strengths A Unique European Hub Flanders offers companies rapid and efficient supply and distribution links with other major European centers and beyond. Leading ports Antwerp, Ghent, Ostend, Zeebrugge Airport freight & logistic Brussels, Ostend hubs Extensive inland Linking into the European waterway system system High density of freeways Connecting directly to other European countries High density rail network Dedicated freight lines to other parts of Europe Source: Healey & Baker study 9 Key Strengths An Economy based on Trade and Services (2016) Flemish GDP-Sector contribution primary sector; Construction 6.1% 0,9% Chemicals 3.2% Iron, Metal & Steel 2.1% Food & Tobacco 2.7% secondary sector; Other 11.6% 25,8% tertiary sector; 73,3% Real Estate and Business Services 23.8% Wholesale and Retail 13.6% Transport 6.4% Health Services 4.6% Other 24.9% Source: Institute of National Accounts 10 Key Strengths Strong Export-Driven Economy Regional Distribution of Belgian exports (%) Flemish Exports (2017) (EUR billion) 2,6% 350 14,2% 300 250 Brussels 200 Flanders 150 Wallonie 100 50 0 83,2% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 . The Flemish economy is strongly export oriented: Flanders’ exports represent 83.2% of Belgium’s total export in volume; . Flemish exports grow steadily over time (+4.99% in 2017); . The region’s most successful export products are chemicals, transport equipment, machines and equipments, pharmaceuticals and minerals. Source: Institute for the National Accounts 11 Key Strengths Diversified Base of Trading Partners Top 10 of Flemish Export Markets in 2017 (as % of total) 18,00% 16,00% 14,00% 12,00% 10,00% 8,00% 6,00% 4,00% 2,00% 0,00% Germany France Netherlands UK Italy USA Spain India China Poland The EU28 is the most important Flemish export market and the 3 neighbouring countries (Germany, France and the Netherlands) are Flanders main trading partners. Also emerging economies like India and China are steadily becoming more important for Flemish exports. Source: Institute of National Accounts 12 Key Strengths Foreign Direct Investment Figures & Trade Partnerships Flanders has a proven track record of welcoming foreign Type of Investments (2017) businesses to its region. Mergers&Ac quisitions: 25,58% Top 10 biggest investors in 2017 Greenfield: 40,93% 1 USA 21,4% 2 Netherlands 11,6% 3 Germany 10,7% Expansions: 33,49% 4 France 8,4% Type of Activities (2017) 5 China 6,5% Sales & 6 Japan 6,1% Marketing: 16,28% 7 Sweden 4,7% HQ: 1,40% Manufaturin g: 33,20% 8 United Kingdom 4,2% R&D: 20,00% 9 Switzerland 3,7% 10 Italy 1,9% Logistics: 24,65% Source: Flanders Investment and Trade Office 13 Key Strengths Low Unemployment Rate 25 20 14,9 15 13,5 (%) 12,2 9,7 10 10,7 10,8 8,2 5 4,4 4,4 4,0 3,9 0 Flemish Region Walloon Region Brussels Capitol Region EU 15 countries Source: Statistics Belgium EAK, Eurostat, Labour Force Survey Website Steunpunt Werk: http://www.steunpuntwerk.be/ Other graphs on labour market see appendix 14 Key Strengths R&D budget evolution (in million euro) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Research and Development (R&D) Education and Training (E&T) Scientific and Technological Services (STS) Source: Department of Economy, Science and Innovation 15 I. Main Facts & Figures II. Key Strengths III. Public Finances IV. Consolidated Debt V. Flanders in a nutshell 16 Public Finances Return to a balanced budget • Several budgettary challenges in last years • Financial-economical crisis: Deficit in 2009 and 2010, but within 2 years return to balanced budget • Stricter European budgetary surveillance: considerable negative impact on budget from 2013, but gradually integrated in budget (completed in 2016) • Sixth state reform: • Financial autonomy raised to 34% (levy surtax on Personal income tax) • more competences and increase in financial means (approx. 9,7 bn EUR for 2015) • Recurrent contribution of 1,55 bn EUR to consolidation of public finances of federal government and social security • Enhancement of federal tax shift (> 300 mln EUR) • Budget 2016 : deficit of 468 mln EUR, in realisation deficit reduced to 127 mln EUR • Budget 2017: surplus of 2 mln EUR, in realisation surplus of 470 mln EUR • Budget 2018: Balanced budget 17 Public Finances Revenues by Segment 45.000.000 40.000.000 35.000.000 30.000.000 keuro In 25.000.000 20.000.000 15.000.000 10.000.000 5.000.000 0 2014 ACT 2015 ACT 2016 ACT 2017 ACT AB 2018 Institutions within scope of consolidation Lottery funds Own non-tax non-allocated income Own non-tax allocated income Regional taxes Specific allocations SFA Regional and Community resources SFA Gross additional personal income tax charge . 2014 - the 6th State Reform • Large increase in revenues • Major transfer of powers and resources . Comparison budget 2016 / 2017: Increase of 2.7 bn € reasons? 1. Increase of the regional taxes and grants from the federal level 2. Expansion of the consolidation perimeter . Budget 2018: Revenues at the same level as in the budget 2017 18 Public Finances Revenues by Segment Key revenues 2018: . 56% Regional and Community resources from Federal level . 33,2% own fiscal instruments: • 15,4% regional taxes • 17,8% additional personal income tax charge ( = surcharges) 19 Public Finances Regional Taxes 4% 6% Regional taxes AB 2018 - Registration tax 37% - Tax on real estate 23% - Road tax (cars) - Registration tax 2.432.946 - Tax on real estate 156.461 - Tax on first use of car - Road tax (cars) 1.097.369 - Heavy goods vehicles charge - Tax on first use of car 247.848 - Inheritance tax - Heavy goods vehicles charge 444.267 - Donation tax - Inheritance tax 1.507.653 7% - Donation tax 388.699 - Other taxes 2% - Other taxes 281.327 4% 17% 6.556.570 In keuro Key regional taxes of Flanders: . Registration tax . Inheritance tax . Road tax for cars 20 Public Finances Breakdown of Public Spending Education and Training Welfare, Public Health and Family Work, professional training and social economy Chancellory and general government Mobility and Public Works Finance and Budget Other Economic development, science and innovation Culture, sport, youth, media 0 4.000.000 8.000.000 12.000.000 16.000.000 2018 AB 2014 ACT . Also in the expenditures we see a large increase, as a result of the Sixth State Reform, in the adjusted budget 2018 (2018 AB) compared to the realizations 2014 (ACT). The largest increases are situated in Welfare, Public Health and Family and in Employment and Social Economy. 21 Public Finances Breakdown of Public Spending Breakdown of the expenditures 2018 AB Education and training 5% 3% 1% 3% Welfare, public health and family 6% 30% Chancellory and general government 8% Mobility and public works Work, professional training and social economy 8% Finance and budget Economic development, science and innovation 9% Environment 27% Culture, sport, youth, media other Key competences in the Flemish budget: . Education . welfare, public health, family 22 Public Finances Realisations Budgetary targets and results (in mio euro) 1.000 500 0 budget realisation -500 -1.000 -1.500 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 . Despite budgetary difficulties in 2009-2010 (financial and economic crisis) and 2013-2014 (stricter European surveillance) the Flemish Community has taken immediately the necessary measures to set the budget back on track. Budget surplus in 2017: 470 million euro 23 I. Main Facts & Figures II. Key Strengths III. Public Finances IV. Consolidated Debt V. Flanders in a nutshell 24 Consolidated Debt Overview of the Strategy • Diversified financing strategy: Combination of banking and non-banking financing tools; • Large and diversified access to short term liquidity: Belgian Commercial Paper programme combined with a short term credit line of EUR 3.25bn; • Conservative Risk management: • Conservative interest rate risk management : indexation linked to fixed rates or simple floating rates in the Euro zone (Euribor…); distribution fixed rate / floating rate adjusted depending on the long term economic trends; 95% of the outstanding debt at fixed rate as of 31/12/2017 • Complete hedging of currency risk: no currency risk incurred by the Flemish Community; • Systematic hedging at the issuance via swaps in EUR; • Conservative approach on derivatives: No structured products; • Issuance of bonds as main medium and long term financing tool: Flanders is a recognized issuer in the capital markets.