Global Risks and the European Integration
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Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 1 (1) Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 2 (2) Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 3 (3) Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 4 (4) Contents Preface — KRZYSZTOF PAW£OWSKI .................................................... 7 Editorial Intoduction — ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI, KRZYSZTOF PAW£OWSKI ....................... 9 PART ONE STRONG OR WEAK EUROPE ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI: StrongorWeakEurope........................................... 13 TOMASZ GRZEGORZ GROSSE: TheoreticalModelsfortheFutureoftheEuropeanUnion ..... 21 MAROSÁN GYÖRGY:FuturesofEurope ................................................. 39 JULIUSZ KOTYÑSKI:GlobalRisksandTheEuropeanIntegration ......................... 47 JAN KOZ£OWSKI: SevenMileBootsorTakingaShortcut ............................... 57 KATARZYNA ¯UKROWSKA: ScenariosforFutureEurope .................................. 73 JÓZEF NI¯NIK:GovernancesystemandleadershipintheEU ........................... 85 PART TWO THE INSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES JAN BIELAWSKI: EuropeandtheavailabilityofGlobalPublicGoods ..................... 91 LÁSZLÓ CSABA: EuropeanGovernance—theChallengesAhead .......................... 115 JAN OLBRYCHT: Cohesionand/orgrowthpolicy......................................... 125 DARIUSZ MILCZAREK: Foreign and security policy—a challenge and a strategic choice for the European Union of the 21st Century ...................................... 135 KOLJA RAUBE: Efficiency and Democracy in CFSP/ESDP—The institutional set-up oftheConstitutionalTreaty ..................................................... 151 KLAUS WITTMANN: Threats and European Security Policy in the Transatlantic Perspective . 161 Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 5 (5) 6 Contents PART THREE THE CHALLENGES OF THE EUROPEAN SPACE WILHELM KRULL, SIMON SOMMER: Opportunities and Problems inaNewEuropeanResearchArea .............................................. 169 st GILBERT FAYL, ULRIC FAYL VON HENTALLER: Innovation and Civil Society in the 21 Century 183 HERMAN BAEYENS: EuropeanStrategicPlanninginTheXXICentury ................... 191 HANS VAN ZON:ThenewdivideinEuropeandthethreatsofmarketsociety ............. 201 BRUNO AMOROSO: TheFutureoftheEuropeanUnion .................................. 215 MAREK ZIÓ£KOWSKI: Central-EasternversusWesternEurope ........................... 227 BOLES£AW DOMAÑSKI: ThedevelopmentofEuropeanditsCentral-Easternperiphery...... 239 ANNA SOSNOWSKA: DevelopmentandDivisionsofEurope ............................... 247 TOMASZ ZARYCKI: At the core or in the margins? Poland’s search for its place in Europe . 259 ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI: The Information Society and the Welfare State. The Finnish Model . 265 ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI: The Ukrainian Strategic Choice as a Challenge for the European Union—ThreeReflectionsandaThesis .......................................... 265 KRZYSZTOF ISZKOWSKI: TheTurkishDilemma .......................................... 273 KARI LIUHTO: Russia—onthewaytoaninformationsociety? ........................... 277 JAN WORONIECKI: Russia:QuoVadis? ................................................. 285 ANDRIS SPRUDS: Values and Interests in The European Union – Russia Relations: TowardsCooperationorConflict?................................................ 299 PIOTR NAIMSKI: “NewEurope”andtheAtlantic ....................................... 307 PART FOUR SUSTAINABLE EUROPE? UWE MÖLLER: EuropeinthePerspectivesofGlobalChange ............................ 313 ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI: Sustainable development as the major challenge for the XXI century . 327 THOMAS SCHAUER: TheLisbonStrategyandthechallengeofSustainability............... 333 ILDIKO TULBURE, ALEKSANDER ZIDANŠEK: Analysing Sustainability in the Information Society 337 EL¯BIETA GOÑCZ:DoesTheFuturejustHappen? ...................................... 351 ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI: TheFourMegaspacesoftheXXICentury .......................... 357 Post Scriptum — ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI ................................................. 361 Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 6 (6) PREFACE Wy¿sza Szko³a Biznesu–National-Louis University is one of the most successful private business schools in East Central Europe. It is a driving example of the structural change of the Polish Academic Community in the period of glorious transformation at the turn of the XX and XXI century. In spring 2004 WSB-NLU has decided to create new Research and Publication Programme as an attempt to integrate three fields of academic and pragmatic reflection: 1) regional studies including the management of regional development 2) studies in the field of science and technology including knowledge management 3) European studies as an reflection on global challenges and strategic choices related to the future of Europe This Programme will be animated and coordinated by RECiFER—Research Center for European Regions founded by WSB-NLU. In this context the WSB-NLU has decided to create a New European Publication Forum—defined as RECiFER—Eurofutures Publication Series (REUPUS). It is a great honor and pleasure for me to introduce the first volume of this New Series: “Europe—The global challenges”. Let me acknowledge in this place the generous grant of Bank Przemys³owo-Handlowy which creates the financial background for the publication of the first two volumes of REUPUS. Krzysztof Paw³owski Rector of WSB-NLU Nowy S¹cz, December 15th 2004. Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 7 (7) EDITORIAL INTRODUCTION This is the beginning of the RECiFER Eurofutures Publication Series. The first two volumes of this series are dedicated to the European Parliament to promote brainstorming reflection illuminating the global challenges and strategic choices emerging in the European intellectual and political landscape of the XXI century. TheeditorsareexpressingthehopethattheNewSerieswillfindafavorablereception in the environment of European academic and political communities. We are convinced that the discussion related to the great European drama of the XXI century will find some interesting contributions in the New Series. *** The editorial process of the preparation of the two volumes was a beneficiary of the intellectual capacity and good will of 60 eminent personalities from 12 European countries. Naturally the evaluation of the final results of this effort is allocated to all persons who will read the volumes and find some time for critical reflection related to their content. The Editors have however a pleasant obligation to express the deep feeling of gratitude to all Authors who have prepared contributions to be published in the two first volumes of the New Series. We hope that the Authors will appreciate the editorial shape of the two volumes. In the final sentences of the editorial introduction let us say that our volumes were built on the foundation of the pluralistic philosophy open to Authors representing different academic and political value judgments. This is the only way to promote an open- minded discussion related to the Future of Europe. Antoni Kukliñski Krzysztof Paw³owski Nowy S¹cz, December 15th 2004. Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 9 (9) Part One Strong or Weak Europe Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 11 (11) ANTONI KUKLIÑSKI STRONG OR WEAK EUROPE The global Environment of the XXI century I. The Future of the European Union—Internal dynamics versus external relations1 . The external relations are an important factor in the development of the European Union. The global patterns of political, economic, cultural and military power will constantly create new challenges for the Union, new opportunities, which can be transformed into trajectories of success or failure. However the most important determinants of the external relations are located not outside but inside the Union. The internal dynamics of the Union—leading to a strong Union—an active global player of the XXI century or a weak Union—a passive participant of the global scene—is the most important determinant of the external relations of the Union. The two dilemmas—strong versus weak Union—and independent versus dependent Union can be presented jointly in the following scheme: The power Thenatureofexternalrelations of the Union independent–active dependent—passive STRONG ❶ 2 WEAK 3 ❹ In this scheme only two situations are important in political and academic terms. Situation ❶ — strong Europe an active global player—enjoying a relative independency in external relations. Situation ❹ — weak Europe a passive participant of the global scene—pushed into a relative dependency in external relations. 1 A. Kukliñski, B. Skuza (eds) Europe in the perspective of global change. Polish Association for the Club of Rome, Warsaw 2003.The volume will be quoted as “Europe”. Compare: K. ¯ukrowska, A.Konaszewska (eds) External relations of the European Union—determinants, casual links, areas, The Knowledge Institute, Warsaw 2004. Compare also: Outgrowing the Union—A survey of the European Union, “The Economist”, September 25th 2004. Europe—The Global Challenges strona: 13 (12) 14 Antoni Kukliñski This is the European “To be or not to be” of the XXI century not only in terms of political, economic, scientific and military power—but also in terms of European honor and dignity. Weak passive Europe will be an object of permanent humiliation on the changing global scene of the XXI century. I hope that I am a false prophet—“Utinam falsus vates sim, dii avertite omen”. I am convinced however, that we should have some reflection related to controversial value judgments, which are outside—conventional wisdom, political correctness and intellectual self-satisfaction.