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Frontera MDA Q1-2021

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Frontera MDA Q1-2021 Page Certain statements in this MD&A constitute forward-looking statements or “forward- looking information (collectively, “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of 1. PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS 2 applicable securities legislation, which involve known and unknown risks, 2. GUIDANCE 3 uncertainties, and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or 3. FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL RESULTS 4 achievements of the Company or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward- 4. LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES 16 looking statements. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements use words or 5. OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA 19 phrases such as “expects,” “does not expect,” “is expected,” “anticipates,” “does not anticipate,” “plans,” “planned,” “estimates,” “estimated,” “projects,” “projected,” 6. RELATED-PARTY TRANSACTIONS 20 “forecasts,” “forecasted,” “believes,” “intends,” “likely,” “possible,” “probable,” 7. RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES 21 “scheduled,” “positioned,” “goal” or “objective.” In addition, forward-looking statements often state that certain actions, events or results “may,” “could,” “would,” “might” or 8. ACCOUNTING POLICIES 21 “will” be taken, may occur or be achieved. Such forward-looking statements, including, 9. INTERNAL CONTROL 22 but not limited to, statements with respect to estimates and/or assumptions in respect 10. FURTHER DISCLOSURES 22 of the impact of a sustained low oil price environment due to the ongoing impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, and actions of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-OPEC countries, the expected impact of measures that the Frontera Energy Corporation (“Frontera” or the “Company”) is an oil and gas company Company has taken and continues to take in response to these events, expectations formed and existing under the laws of British Columbia, Canada, that is engaged in the regarding the Company’s ability to manage its liquidity and capital structure and exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in South America, generate sufficient cash to support operations, capital expenditures and financial and is committed to working hand in hand with all its stakeholders to conduct business commitments, the timing of release of restricted cash, the impact of fluctuations in the in a socially and environmentally responsible manner. The Company’s Common Shares price of, and supply and demand for oil and natural gas products, production levels, (“Common Shares”) are listed and publicly traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange cash levels, reserves, capital expenditures (including plans and projects related to (“TSX”) under the trading symbol “FEC.” The Company’s head office is located at 333 drilling, exploration activities, and infrastructure and the timing thereof), operating Bay Street, Suite 1100, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5H 2R2, and its registered office is EBITDA, production costs, transportation costs and the impact of the Conciliation 1055 West Georgia Street, 1500 Royal Centre, P.O. Box 11117, Vancouver, British Agreement and obtaining regulatory approvals, involve known and unknown risks, Columbia, Canada V6E 4N7. uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual levels of production, costs and results to be materially different from the estimated levels expressed or implied by Legal Notice – Forward-Looking Information and Statements such forward-looking statements. This Management Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) is management’s assessment and The Company currently believes the expectations reflected in these forward-looking analysis of the results and financial condition of the Company and should be read in statements are reasonable, but cannot assure that such expectations will prove to be conjunction with the accompanying Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial correct, and thus, such statements should not be unduly relied upon. These forward- Statements and related notes for the three months ended March 31, 2021 and 2020 looking statements are made as of the date of this MD&A and the Company disclaims (“Interim Financial Statements”). Additional information with respect to the Company, any intent or obligation to update any forward looking statements, whether as a result including the Company’s quarterly and annual financial statements and Company’s of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2020, dated March 3, 2021 laws. Risk and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from (“AIF”), have been filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and is available those anticipated in these forward-looking statements are described under the on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on the Company’s website at headings “Forward-Looking Information” and “Risk Factors” in the Company’s AIF and www.fronteraenergy.ca. Information contained in or otherwise accessible through the under the heading “Risks and Uncertainties” in this MD&A. Although the Company has Company’s website does not form a part of this MD&A and is not incorporated by attempted to take into account important factors that could cause actual costs or reference into this MD&A. operating results to differ materially, there may be other unforeseen factors and therefore results may not be as anticipated, estimated or intended. The preparation of financial information is reported in United States dollars and is in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) as issued by the Certain information included or incorporated by reference in this MD&A may contain International Accounting Standards Board, unless otherwise noted. This MD&A contains future oriented financial information (“FOFI”) within the meaning of applicable certain financial terms that are not considered in IFRS. These non-IFRS measures do securities laws. The FOFI has been prepared by management to provide an outlook of not have any standardized meaning and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to the Company’s activities and results and may not be appropriate for other purposes. similar measures presented by other companies and should not be considered in Management believes that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with reflecting reasonable estimates and judgments; however, actual results of the IFRS. These measures are described in greater detail under the heading “Non-IFRS Company’s operations and the financial outcome may vary from the amounts set forth Measures” section on page 14. herein. Any FOFI speaks only as of the date on which it was made and the Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update any FOFI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable laws. 1. PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS Financial and Operational Summary Q1 2021 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Operational Results Heavy crude oil production (bbl/d) 20,997 21,074 31,996 Light and medium crude oil production (bbl/d) 18,685 19,756 29,539 Total crude oil production (1) (bbl/d) 39,682 40,830 61,535 Conventional natural gas production (1) (mcf/d) 5,227 6,356 11,611 Total production (2)(3) (boe/d) (4) 40,599 41,945 63,572 Oil & gas sales, net of purchases (5) ($/boe) 58.18 42.20 41.57 Realized (loss) gain on risk management contracts ($/boe) (3.53) (2.00) 2.65 Royalties ($/boe) (1.96) (0.47) (1.18) Diluent costs ($/boe) (2.13) (1.75) (1.28) Net sales realized price (6) ($/boe) 50.56 37.98 41.76 Production costs (7) ($/boe) (10.54) (13.46) (12.48) Transportation costs (8) ($/boe) (10.89) (10.93) (12.44) Operating netback (9) ($/boe) 29.13 13.59 16.84 Financial Results Oil & gas sales, net of purchases ($M) 180,956 172,980 242,835 Realized (loss) gain on risk management contracts ($M) (10,980) (8,205) 15,490 Royalties ($M) (6,110) (1,925) (6,900) Diluent costs ($M) (6,614) (7,158) (7,468) Net sales (9) ($M) 157,252 155,692 243,957 Net (loss) income (10) ($M) (14,126) 48,636 (387,809) Per share – basic ($) (0.14) 0.50 (4.04) Per share – diluted ($) (0.14) 0.48 (4.04) General and administrative ($M) 13,202 19,851 15,015 Operating EBITDA (9) ($M) 69,158 35,639 46,982 Cash provided by operating activities ($M) 47,393 42,055 46,541 Capital expenditures (11) ($M) 14,365 24,871 64,676 Cash and cash equivalents – unrestricted ($M) 248,237 232,288 265,009 Restricted cash short and long-term ($M) 161,230 168,934 96,260 Total cash ($M) 409,467 401,222 361,269 Total debt and lease liabilities ($M) 534,656 538,244 390,259 Consolidated total indebtedness (excluding Unrestricted Subsidiaries) (12) ($M) 361,699 362,001 349,778 Net debt (excluding Unrestricted Subsidiaries) (12) ($M) 139,327 146,976 98,269 1. Reference to crude oil or natural gas production in the above table and elsewhere in this MD&A refer to the light and medium crude oil and heavy crude oil and conventional natural gas, respectively, product types as defined in National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. 2. Represents working interest production before royalties and total volumes produced from service contracts. Refer to the “Further Disclosures” section on page 22. 3. Natural gas liquids have not been presented separately because production for such product type was immaterial to the Company. 4. Boe has been expressed using the 5.7 to 1 Colombian Mcf/bbl conversion standard required by the Colombian Ministry of Mines & Energy. 5. “Oil & gas sales, net of purchases” is a non-IFRS measure and includes crude oil and natural gas sales, net of the cost of volumes purchased from third-party. For further detail refer to the “Non-IFRS Measures” section on page 14. 6. Per boe is calculated using sales volumes from development and producing (“D&P”) assets.
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