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Lebanon: Managing the Gathering Storm
LEBANON: MANAGING THE GATHERING STORM Middle East Report N°48 – 5 December 2005 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................. i I. A SYSTEM BETWEEN OLD AND NEW.................................................................. 1 A. SETTING THE STAGE: THE ELECTORAL CONTEST..................................................................1 B. THE MEHLIS EFFECT.............................................................................................................5 II. SECTARIANISM AND INTERNATIONALISATION ............................................. 8 A. FROM SYRIAN TUTELAGE TO WESTERN UMBRELLA?............................................................8 B. SHIFTING ALLIANCES..........................................................................................................12 III. THE HIZBOLLAH QUESTION ................................................................................ 16 A. “A NEW PHASE OF CONFRONTATION” ................................................................................17 B. HIZBOLLAH AS THE SHIITE GUARDIAN?..............................................................................19 C. THE PARTY OF GOD TURNS PARTY OF GOVERNMENT.........................................................20 IV. CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................. 22 A. A BROAD INTERNATIONAL COALITION FOR A NARROW AGENDA .......................................22 B. A LEBANESE COURT ON FOREIGN -
Saudi Insistence on Yemen War As Futile As Trump's Show of Power
Iraq to Start New School Year at End of November Thought for Today BAGHDAD (Xinhua) – The Iraqi authorities have decided to start It is a sad sight to see that in one moment we commit the new school year at the end of this month. them to earth and in the next we take hold of the things According to a statement by the media office of Iraqi Prime Minister left by them as if we are going to remain permanently in Mustafa al-Kadhimi, the Higher Committee for Health and National this world after them. The fact is that we forget sensible Safety held a meeting headed by al-Kadhimi and decided to start the advice given to us and become victim of every calamity. school year on Nov. 29, under health restrictions which are to be de- cided by the ministries of education and the higher education. Amir al-Momeneen Ali (AS) VOL NO: LV 11295 TEHRAN / Est.1959 Monday, November 9, 2020, Aban 19, 1399, Rabi al-Awwal 23, 1442 Lebanon Ex-FM: U.S. Demanded Saudi Insistence on Yemen War as Hezbollah Rejection Before Sanctions Futile as Trump’s Show of Power: Houthi Yemen in March 2015 in collabo- ration with a number of its allied states, and with arms support from the US and several Western countries. The aim was to return to power a Riyadh-backed former regime and defeat the Houthi Ansarullah movement that has taken control of state matters. The war has failed to achieve Gebran Bassil, the head of the Lebanese Free Patriotic movement, speaks at its goals, but killed tens of thou- the presidential palace in Baabda, Lebanon, on October 22, 2020. -
USCCB Middle East Fact Finding Mission October 7-20, 2012
USCCB Middle East Fact Finding Mission October 7-20, 2012 “…am I my brother’s keeper?” Gn 4:9 Every year the Committee on Migration and Refugees of the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops (USCCB) undertakes a fact-finding mission to some region of the world in which there is particular concern for the welfare of those who are forced by circumstances to migrate within their home country or seek refuge in a foreign land. The USCCB is the largest resettlement agency in the world (not just the largest resettlement agency in the United States), resettling as many as 20,000 refugees per year across the United States…and the United States is by far the largest resettlement country in the world, welcoming 70% of the total world resettlement population. This is something of which American citizens and especially American Catholics can rightly be proud. The United States is also the most flexible country in receiving refugees for resettlement—we rightly have no limitations based on ethnicity or religion. Moreover, the Catholic network in Muslim countries—especially Catholic Relief Services (CRS), Caritas, and the International Catholic Migration Commission (ICMC)--works hand in hand with the local Catholic Church, which is itself deeply engaged in providing charitable help to the entire local population regardless of religion. We were told: “The US government and individual Americans often do things that incite Muslim anger, but the Catholic Church does things that win the esteem of Muslims!” This year a delegation of from the Committee on Migration and Refugees led by committee member Bishop Anthony B. -
New Delhi Times R.N.I
NEW DELHI TIMES R.N.I. No 53449/91 DL-SW-1/4124/20-22 (Monday/Tuesday same week) (Published Every Monday) New Delhi Page 24 Rs. 7.00 23 - 29 November 2020 Vol - 30 No. 43 Email : [email protected] Founder : Dr. Govind Narain Srivastava ISSN -2349-1221 Islamic Fundamentalism The wise listens more and and the threat speaks less! We have been privileged with a valuable to global peace blessing, the endowment of talking. The blessing makes us capable of communicating Political Islam intends to convert all the our sentiments, feelings, and thoughts into non-Muslims into Muslims in search of a something we usually refer to as words. But Muslim Ummah where Sharia laws will unfortunately, any gift, if overused, might apply universally everywhere in the prompt unforeseen outcomes. world. In France, a school teacher, Samuel Paty, showed some cartoons in Listening and talking in a balanced manner is the class and the next day his head was... vital in one’s life. Individuals who... By Dr. Ankit Srivastava Page 3 By Dr. Pramila Srivastava Page 24 By NDT Special Bureau Page 2 Abrogation of Article 370 Religious fundamentalism: A Canada’s UN Ambassador curse for humanity takes on China Kashmir, a paradise, is a breathtakingly splendid creation Arab world is changing and changing very fast. And good The name Bob Rae has become synonymous with being on Earth. Whomsoever visited Kashmir, fell in love with the news is that it is changing for the better. Saudi Arabia too the voice of the underdog and the voiceless ever since he scenic beauty at once. -
A Snapshot of Parliamentary Election Results
ا rلeمtركnزe اCل لبeنsانneي aلbلeدرLا eساThت LCPS for Policy Studies r e p A Snapshot of Parliamentary a 9 1 0 P 2 l i Election Results r y p A c i l Sami Atallah and Sami Zoughaib o P Founded in 1989, the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies is a Beirut-based independent, non-partisan think tank whose mission is to produce and advocate policies that improve good governance in fields such as oil and gas, economic development, public finance, and decentralization. Copyright© 2019 The Lebanese Center for Policy Studies Designed by Polypod Executed by Dolly Harouny Sadat Tower, Tenth Floor P.O.B 55-215, Leon Street, Ras Beirut, Lebanon T: + 961 1 79 93 01 F: + 961 1 79 93 02 [email protected] www.lcps-lebanon.org A Snapshot of Parliamentary Election Results 1 1 Sami Atallah and Sami Zoughaib The authors would like to thank John McCabe, Ned Whalley, Hayat Sheik, Josee Bilezikjian, Georgia Da gher, and Ayman Tibi for their contributions to this paper. Sami Atallah Sami Atallah is the director of the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies (LCPS). He is currently leading several policy studies on youth social identity and political engagement, electoral behavior, political and social sectarianism, and the role of municipalities in dealing with the refugee crisis. He is the co-editor of Democracy, Decentralization, and Service Delivery in the Arab World (with Mona Harb, Beirut, LCPS 2015), co-editor of The Future of Oil in Lebanon: Energy, Politics, and Economic Growth (with Bassam Fattouh, I.B. Tauris, 2018), and co-editor of The Lebanese Parliament 2009-2018: From Illegal Extensions to Vacuum (with Nayla Geagea, 2018). -
QNTC Launches Exciting Summer Offerings Kyrgyzstan in — DOHA the PENINSULA Qatar Staycation (
www.thepeninsula.qa Tuesday 4 August 2020 Volume 25 | Number 8339 14 Dhul-Hijja - 1441 2 Riyals BUSINESS | 11 SPORT | 16 Trump sets It’s good to be September 15 back in deadline for action: says TikTok sale Al Sulaiti Wishing you a warm and blessed Eid Qatar supports QNTC launches exciting summer offerings Kyrgyzstan in — DOHA THE PENINSULA Qatar Staycation (https://www. The Qatar Summer Programme will be offered in collaboration with QNTC’s partners, qatarstaycation.com), which facing COVID-19 Qatar National Tourism Council will be updated regularly with including hospitality, Qatar Museums and United Development Company, among others. pandemic (QNTC) has launched a vibrant the latest offers. Wide range of staycation packages and other hospitality deals at more than 40 programme of offers and activ- As Qatar’s renowned cultural establishments across the country. ities for residents to enjoy institutions open their doors QNA — BISHKEK during the summer holidays, as once again, residents will be able Residents can avail of a 20 percent discount on select Culture Pass memberships the country prepares to to avail of a 20 percent discount including Culture Pass Plus and Culture Pass Family. The State of Qatar presented welcome back the world. on select Culture Pass member- Residents will get a glimpse of the latest style trends with a virtual fashion show medical aid to the Kyrgyz A host of exciting hospitality ships including Culture Pass Plus Republic in support of its deals, outdoor experiences and and Culture Pass Family, enti- featuring local designers. efforts to contain the corona- activities centred around tling pass holders to exclusive A variety of outdoor excursions will be introduced to satiate any thrill-seeker. -
Understanding the Dynamics of Lebanon's Protest Movementi
POLICY OUTLOOK POLICY OUTLOOK DISCUSSION PAPER Understanding the Dynamics of Lebanon’s Protest Movementi In the midst of a severe economic crisis, the protests that broke out in Lebanon on October 17th represent a potential monumental rupture in the country’s post-Civil War political and social order. Lebanon’s ruling class has been shaken and traditional political dynamics have been disrupted. Yet, in a state often characterised as weak, the political and social regime premised on sectarian and confessional divisions remains strong. Attempts to re-enforce sectarian divisions by traditional political parties are a clear demonstration of this dynamic. While the protest movement continues to press its demands for the removal of what they see as a corrupted political class, an independent cabinet and new a new electoral law, many challenges remain. Understanding both the dynamics of the protest movement and the lenses through which politics are viewed in the country represents an important piece of the puzzle in understanding where the country may be heading and determining long-term policy solutions to the country’s economic, political and social ills. The opinions expressed in this policy outlook represent the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the TRT World Research Centre. POLICY OUTLOOK Introduction Background: The On October 17th 2019, Lebanon witnessed an outburst of popular anger ostensibly in reaction to the declared Ta’if Accord and intention to institute a ‘WhatsApp’ tax in the midst of an ongoing economic crisis. Widespread and largely the cementing of a unprecedented protests have been taking place across the country ever since. -
Lebanon's Unstable Equilibrium
LEBANON'S UNSTABLE EQUILIBRIUM AUTHOR Mona Yacoubian November 2009 UNITED STATES INSTITUTE OF PEACE 1200 17th Street NW, Suite 200 Washington, D.C. 20036-3011 www.usip.org USIP Peace Briefing: Lebanon's Unstable Equilibrium INTRODUCTION Lebanon's recently announced national unity government has eased fears that the country would once again be mired in a dangerous political stalemate. Yet, despite the recent breakthrough, Lebanon's unstable equilibrium -- marked by both internal and regional tensions - - could still devolve into serious violence. Deep seated sectarian animosities persist, raising the prospects for political instability and civil strife if unaddressed. Regionally, mounting tensions with Israel raise the worrisome possibility of isolated border incidents spiraling into more serious conflict. Taken together these two underlying challenges to stability -- internal civil unrest and regional conflict with Israel -- could undermine Lebanon’s fragile peace. This paper will examine internal challenges to Lebanon’s stability. Formed five months after the June 2009 parliamentary elections, Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri's consensus cabinet, comprised of his March 14th coalition together with members of the opposition March 8th bloc, is an essential step toward ensuring that Lebanon gains more stable footing. 1 The new government follows a compromise formula allotting 15 cabinet seats to the majority, 10 to the opposition, and five to President Michel Suleiman. While power-sharing arrangements are by nature less effective and more prone to stalemate, they are crucial to Lebanon’s delicately balanced confessional system and provide an essential pathway to civil peace. Beyond the new consensus government, two critical developments would help to facilitate peace and stability in Lebanon: . -
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MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 3229 Lebanon’s Latest Moves Show the Effectiveness of Targeted International Pressure by Hanin Ghaddar Dec 17, 2019 Also available in Arabic ABOUT THE AUTHORS Hanin Ghaddar Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Fellow at The Washington Institute's Geduld Program on Arab Politics, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant. Brief Analysis By uniting behind the message that financial aid and punishment will be tied to specific courses of action, the United States, France, and the UN may finally be able to push Beirut into establishing a reform-minded government. ince caretaker prime minister Saad Hariri resigned in October, the process of forming a new Lebanese S government has become more complicated. Street protests continue amid increased violence by security institutions, while the country’s dominant political actor—the widely designated terrorist organization Hezbollah—is still insisting on a government headed by Hariri and favorable to its interests. Yet three important events took place last week that could change that plan and break the deadlock. First, the International Support Group for Lebanon (ISGL), co-chaired by France and the United Nations, met in Paris and explicitly stated that the international community will not help Lebanon financially until a new government is formed—specifically, one “that will have the capacity and credibility to deliver the necessary substantive policy package of economic reforms, and that will be committed to dissociate the country from regional tensions and crisis.” Although there was no mention of who should—or should not—head this government, the consensus on reform was clear. -
To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF by Hanin Ghaddar
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 3453 To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF by Hanin Ghaddar Mar 18, 2021 Also available in Arabic ABOUT THE AUTHORS Hanin Ghaddar Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Fellow at The Washington Institute's Geduld Program on Arab Politics, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant. Brief Analysis The political fallout from a recent speech by the Lebanese Armed Forces commander gives Washington and its partners a golden opportunity to prod the country from crisis management toward actual solutions. s Lebanon’s economy continues its freefall and government formation stalls, protestors have responded to A the resultant humanitarian crisis by returning to the streets. Although the movement does not seem as well- organized as it was in 2019, it is certainly more heated. And this time around, the economic meltdown has reached the army. In a March 8 speech, Lebanese Armed Forces commander Gen. Joseph Aoun lamented the dire situation facing the institution and its soldiers. His words also carried weighty political messages against the ruling elites, whom he accused of cutting the LAF’s budget to a dangerous degree. Currency devaluation has left most soldiers earning around $60 per month, and many of them are requesting leaves of absence or no longer reporting to their jobs, while senior commanders are asking for early retirement. Of course, the LAF’s financial situation is no different from that of other state institutions, and simply giving raises to the troops (as suggested by the minister of finance) would be unfair to others and could increase inflation. -
Discourse As an Electoral Campaigning Tool: Exploiting the Emotions of Voters
Discourse as an Electoral Campaigning Tool: Exploiting the Policy Report Policy Emotions of Voters DEC 2020 Founded in 1989, the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies is a Beirut-based independent, non-partisan think tank whose mission is to produce and advocate policies that improve good governance in fields such as oil and gas, economic development, public finance, and decentralization. This report is published in partnership with HIVOS through the Women Empowered for Leadership (WE4L) programme, funded by the Netherlands Foreign Ministry FLOW fund. Copyright © 2020. The Lebanese Center for Policy Studies Designed by Polypod Executed by Zéna Khairallah Sadat Tower, Tenth Flour P.O.B 55-215, Leon Street, Ras Beirut, Lebanon T+ +961 1 79 93 01 F: +961 1 79 93 02 [email protected] www.lcps-lebanon.org Discourse as an Electoral Campaigning Tool: Exploiting the Emotions of Voters Sami Atallah Sami Atallah is the director of the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies. He is currently leading several policy studies on youth social identity and political engagement, electoral behavior, political and social sectarianism, and the role of municipalities in dealing with the refugee crisis. He is the co-editor of Democracy, Decentralization, and Service Delivery in the Arab World (with Mona Harb, Beirut, LCPS 2015), co- editor of The Future of Petroleum in Lebanon: Energy, Politics, and Economic Growth (with Bassam Fattouh, I.B. Tauris, 2019), and co-editor of The Lebanese Parliament 2009-2018: From Illegal Extensions to Vacuum (with Nayla Geagea, 2018). Nadim El Kak Nadim El Kak is a researcher at the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies and research associate at Lebanon Support. -
Political Party Mapping in Lebanon Ahead of the 2018 Elections
Political Party Mapping in Lebanon Ahead of the 2018 Elections Foreword This study on the political party mapping in Lebanon ahead of the 2018 elections includes a survey of most Lebanese political parties; especially those that currently have or previously had parliamentary or government representation, with the exception of Lebanese Communist Party, Islamic Unification Movement, Union of Working People’s Forces, since they either have candidates for elections or had previously had candidates for elections before the final list was out from the Ministry of Interior and Municipalities. The first part includes a systematic presentation of 27 political parties, organizations or movements, showing their official name, logo, establishment, leader, leading committee, regional and local alliances and relations, their stance on the electoral law and their most prominent candidates for the upcoming parliamentary elections. The second part provides the distribution of partisan and political powers over the 15 electoral districts set in the law governing the elections of May 6, 2018. It also offers basic information related to each district: the number of voters, the expected participation rate, the electoral quotient, the candidate’s ceiling on election expenditure, in addition to an analytical overview of the 2005 and 2009 elections, their results and alliances. The distribution of parties for 2018 is based on the research team’s analysis and estimates from different sources. 2 Table of Contents Page Introduction .......................................................................................................