School Place Planning Strategy

Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames

November 2020

CONTENTS

Page Subject

3 Background

7 Developments since June 2017

10 Primary phase

20 Secondary phase

23 Special schools, specialist resource provisions and SEND forecasting

28 Early Years

31 Financial implications

31 Contact

32 Appendix 1: Reception class capacity, 2008–2020

33 Appendix 2: Year 7 capacity, 2012–2020

34 Appendix 3: SRP capacity

37 Appendix 4: Growth in SEND school places, 2017–2028

38 Appendix 5: Approved and proposed housing developments in the borough

1. BACKGROUND

1.1 In June 2017, Kingston Council’s then Growth Committee adopted a revised School Place Planning Strategy, following the adoption of a previous version in November 2012 which was revised in March 2013.

1.2 This report therefore:

 provides an update on the provision of new school places since the June 2017 Strategy, and;

 analyses demand for additional school places, particularly in the secondary phase and for children and young people with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND);

 considers how that demand could be met; and

 gives options for securing local school provision, to ensure that children and young people can be educated within their home community, without being dependent on private car usage for home to school travel.

1.3 Assumptions regarding long-term demand are based upon the Greater London Authority’s and the Office of National Statistics’ pupil and general population projections respectively, but are naturally more speculative than those used to inform the short- to medium-term demand.

1.4 The Mayor’s ‘Intend to Publish’ new London Plan (December 2019)1 sets a target for an additional 9,640 net new homes, including 2,250 from small sites, to be provided in Kingston Borough over a 10 year period between 2019/2020 and 2028/2029, equating to 1,364 per year. Assessing the impact of this target is difficult, and is difficult to plan for in a pre-emptive manner, other than by the general principle of working closely with Council planning strategy officers to ensure that any large-scale housing developments are flagged up and considered, in terms of the need for additional school places, at the earliest possible opportunity.

1.5 In addition, paragraphs 2.1.24–2.1.26 of the Mayor’s ‘Intend to Publish’ new London Plan identifies Kingston as an ‘Opportunity Area’:

The Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames’s network of town centres with their good levels of public transport accessibility have been identified as areas capable of accommodating development and intensification to provide leisure, cultural and night-time activity, commercial and retail uses, as well as high density housing. A Direction of Travel document was adopted in 2016 to guide planning policies in these areas. In particular it identified four areas where there is scope for significant change:

• Kingston Town Centre • Norbiton, London Road and Cambridge Road Estate • New Malden • Tolworth

1 https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/intend_to_publish_-_clean.pdf. 3

These areas are capable of supporting some development in the short and medium term. However, once Crossrail 2 is operational, the borough will benefit from more Crossrail 2 stations than any other and the arrival of the new, higher frequency, higher capacity service will enable significant additional growth opportunities in these areas. It will improve Kingston’s attractiveness as an office location and therefore support additional commercial growth in the town centre, building on links with Kingston University and Kingston College. The Local Plan and/or Planning Framework should set out how Crossrail 2 will support and deliver further growth and intensification in these areas. It should also explore how the use of industrial land can be intensified to make more efficient use of land. Kingston town centre, with its ancient market is rich in heritage and forms an important part of the setting of Hampton Court Palace, its gardens, the Thames and surrounding Royal Parks.

In the longer term, and following the opening of Crossrail 2 in the 2030s, there may be potential for selective redevelopment in the following areas:

• Berrylands Station and Hogsmill Valley • Chessington

1.6 The Mayor’s ‘Intend to Publish’ new London Plan goes on to state that,

To ensure there is a sufficient supply of good quality education and childcare facilities to meet demand and offer educational choice, boroughs should:

1) Prepare Development Plans that are informed by a needs assessment of education and childcare facility needs. Needs should be assessed locally and sub- regionally, addressing cross-boundary issues. Needs assessments should include an audit of existing facilities. 2) Identify sites for future provision through the Development Plan process, particularly in areas with significant planned growth or need for school places (including Special Educational Needs and Disability places). 3) Ensure that development proposals for housing and commercial facilities incorporate suitable childcare provision and encourage nursery provision within primary schools, where there is a need.

This Strategy therefore includes an audit of existing state-funded school capacity insofar as that can be objectively assessed for schools which are outside the Council’s control.

1.7 More generally, the Plan also states that,

There is a growing need for school places in London, with projected need for 705,000 mainstream state-funded primary school places required for the academic year 2018/19. This is an increase of 7,000 over the number of places required in 2016/17. The level of need is projected to fall to 686,000 places a year by 2027/28. In 2016/17, there was a need for 403,000 places in mainstream state-funded secondary schools. The number of places required is projected to increase by 65,000, over the period to 2027/28. This need, particularly for secondary school places, requires a strategic approach to delivery, making it harder to quantify within

individual boroughs. Boroughs are encouraged to work together to meet the needs for secondary school places. Where possible, sites for schools should be allocated within Development Plans.

There is a need for an increase in Special Educational Needs and Disability (SEND) provision in London and it is important that these places are planned for.

1.8 It is considered that the work undertaken to provide additional school places in the last 10 years has given the borough a solid platform from which it can meet the challenges of the coming years. However, forecasting and meeting demand for school places in a borough where educational standards and parental expectations are generally high is not, and never has been, straightforward, not least because of rivers, major roads and railways which present barriers to changed school admission patterns: the Thames, the Hogsmill, the A3 (Kingston by- pass) and the south-west mainline railway.

1.9 It should be acknowledged that the significant progress made in recent times has involved the usage of much of the usable space on existing schools’ sites. It is also the case that opportunities for the Council or the Department for Education (DfE) and its agencies to acquire and use new sites for school provision have become much scarcer.

1.10 It is noted, too, that despite the Council’s wish to see school places provided locally, where they are needed, its inability, by law, to establish state-funded schools and to decide the location of new schools are constraints which impede its efforts to meet is statutory duty, as outlined in Section 14 of the Education Act 1996 (as amended), to provide school places for residents, and particularly within their home community.

1.11 It should be borne in mind that several different factors influence forecast and actual pupil numbers:

 Live-birth data  On-roll numbers;  Historical admission patterns;  Economic change, i.e. post-Covid downturn/recession leading to more parents/carers opting for state-funded schools or upturn leading to more parents/carers opting for private schools;  Migration patterns, both from and to countries outside the UK, possibly as result of the ‘Brexit factor,’ and from within the UK, particularly from inner to outer London;  Housing development / regeneration;  Parental perception of individual schools, which can sometimes be historical and not reflective of current educational standards, either good or not;  Ofsted inspection outcomes for state-funded schools both in and outside the borough; and  Provision of additional, or removal of, school places in neighbouring local authority areas.

Any combination of these factors is complex and therefore not straightforward to predict. The impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic have added to that complexity.

1.12 Despite the many contingent factors, the DfE’s quality assurance places Kingston in the top quartile nationally for the accuracy of its pupil forecasts: in June 2019, the DfE published their

‘Local Authority School Places Scorecards’2 for 2018, which showed very small over-forecasts of primary numbers and under-forecasts of secondary:

Phase Accuracy within the previous year Accuracy within the previous three years Primary +0.3% +1.0% Secondary -0.6% -1.8%

The 2019 scorecards3, published in June 2020, were as follows:

Phase Accuracy within the previous year Accuracy within the previous three years Primary -0.8% +2.8% Secondary -0.2% -1.0%

1.13 With a large number of major planning applications having been approved in the last few years and with others due to come forward, it has become necessary to create a Kingston Borough specific formula for estimating the likely ‘pupil yield’. In order to start that work, a cross-party working group met twice earlier in 2020, and recommended that survey work be undertaken with households in some recently-occupied large housing developments. To that end, an online survey was undertaken in September and October 2020 of the 315 households of the Queenshurst development, on the site of the former gasholder, in Sury Basin, North Kingston, in which residents were asked to say if they have any school-age children and, if so, what their children’s ages are, whether those children are still attending the same school they attended prior to moving into the development, and what types of school the children are attending. Unfortunately, the response rate was low and it is considered that further surveys need to be undertaken of other newly occupied housing developments to enable a sufficiently large enough sample from which data can be used to inform a borough-wide pupil yield formula.

1.14 Appendix 5 contains data relating to recent and proposed housing developments, including the pupil yield figures derived from using the GLA population calculator, albeit that it is a generic calculator, which, although it can be set to ‘outer London’, takes no account of the specific local circumstances of Kingston, particularly the dampener percentages, and it only breaks the children down by age, rather than by type of school (i.e. primary, secondary and special).

2 See: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/local-authority-school-places-scorecards-2018. 3 See: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/local-authority-school-places-scorecards-2019. 6

2. DEVELOPMENTS SINCE JUNE 2017

Primary phase

2.1 The closure, in August 2020, of Kingston Community School (KCS), the two-form-entry free school which opened in September 2015, will have a significant impact on the forecasts in the Primary planning areas 1, 2 and 6. The Education and Skills Funding Agency (ESFA) were unable to deliver the school’s permanent accommodation, on the Kingstons House site, in Coombe Road, Norbiton, despite achieving planning permission in January 2017, and that impacted on parental confidence in the school; that, in turn, meant that recruitment and retention of pupil numbers was always difficult and seriously impacted upon the school’s budgetary position, to the point where the DfE deemed the school to be financially unviable.

2.2 As detailed in the 2017 Strategy, the ESFA were originally unable to secure a suitable site in Surbiton/Tolworth for the proposed two-form-entry free school GEMS Surbiton Primary Academy, which was approved by the then Secretary of State in 2014. The ESFA, instead, acquired Swan House and two adjacent buildings in High Street, Kingston, with a view to the school opening there as Kingston Primary Academy. Planning permission was granted in September 2017 for the school’s permanent accommodation on that site, but, in the same tendering process for KCS, the ESFA were unable to procure a development partner. As a result, in 2018, the DfE notified the Council that the school’s opening had been deferred for a fifth time, to September 2020. Since then, discussions between the ESFA/DfE and the Council/AfC have resulted in a proposal for the school to be established in the area it had originally been approved to serve, by the Council long-leasing the King Charles Centre site in Hollyfield Road, Surbiton. The Council’s Finance and Partnerships Committee agreed the lease arrangements at its meeting in October 2019, with a view to the requisite demolition and new build happening in time to enable the school to open in September 2022. Since then, though, the Covid-19 pandemic has moved that date back to September 2023.

2.3 As a result of the many deferrals of the opening of GEMS Surbiton Primary Academy, the Council has had to arrange a ‘bulge’ Reception class in Surbiton/Tolworth in every year from 2013 onwards, most recently at Tolworth Infant in the 2018/2019 and 2019/2020 school years and Christ Church Primary (Surbiton) in 2020/2021. Christ Church will also be able to accommodate bulge classes in 2021/2022 and 2022/2023.

2.4 In order to provide additional places to keep pace with proposed housing developments in New Malden, informal consultation was undertaken in April and May 2019 on proposals to expand Burlington Infant and Burlington Junior. However, the Infants’ decided that they did not wish to be permanently expanded, so the Council formally consulted on expanding Burlington Junior only. The Council’s Children’s and Adults' Care and Education Committee approved that proposal at its meeting in November 2019. Subject to planning approval, it is likely that Burlington Juniors’ new accommodation will be ready in good time for September 2023, although it is unlikely that the school will need to move to five-form entry until 2025 or 2026 at the earliest. Before a bulge class in reception is provided in New Malden, which would feed into Burlington Junior at Year 3, the Council needs first to be sure that spare capacity at King’s Oak becomes filled.

2.5 Appendix 1 shows how the Reception class capacity of individual infant and primary schools changed between 2008 and 2020.

Secondary phase

2.6 The numbers of in-borough applicants for Year 7 places increased by 268 (16.3%) between 2015 and 2019, followed by an expected one-year dip in 2020, as the table below shows.

Year of entry 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Number of applicants 1,642 1,709 1,642 1,758 1,910 1,853

2.7 The increased numbers of applications were absorbed within existing capacity up to and including the 2018 intake, but additional places have been provided since then:

2019: 30 each at Coombe Boys’ and The Hollyfield and 15 at Southborough; 2020: 30 each at Coombe Boys’, The Hollyfield and the Kingston Academy.

2.8 The Council does not have sufficient capital available to expand existing schools in the borough to the extent that enough additional places would be created to meet forecast demand. The only way to meet that need is through the provision of another new secondary school. Unfortunately, the last two free school application waves have been solely for areas of low social mobility and low educational attainment, thereby closing off any possibility that an application for a new secondary free school in Kingston upon Thames would be approved.

2.9 The Diocese of Southwark has continued to work to fulfil their aspiration to open a voluntary-aided Church of England secondary school in the borough. In December 2018, the DfE invited bids for new voluntary-aided schools for which they would pay 90% of the capital costs, on the condition that the local authority in whose area the educational provider wanted to establish the school would provide a site on a peppercorn-rent basis and pay the remaining 10%. Accordingly, after consultation with the Council, the Diocese of Southwark submitted an application for a six-form entry 11–16 Church of England secondary school to be established, subject to formal agreement of a long-lease arrangement, on Council-owned land between Hampden Road and the Kingsmeadow Stadium car park. The Secretary of State conditionally approved the application in April 2020, subject to a number of factors, including: full site feasibility; publication (by the Diocese) and approval (by the Council’s Children’s and Adult Care Committee, acting as ‘local decision-maker’) of a statutory proposal to establish the school; formal leasing of the site; and planning approval for the requisite build. The Diocese is due to publish its statutory proposal in November 2020.

2.10 The school would be a natural destination for some of the children attending the 10 Church of England primary-phase school in the borough, but the school’s oversubscription criteria would allocate 120 of the 180 places to any applicants, and 60 to children whose families provided evidence of Anglican or other Christian faith/practice.

2.11 Appendix 2 shows how the Year 7 capacity within the borough changed between 2012 and 2020.

Special schools

2.12 The Council has short-term leased the former School Lane Community Centre site in Tolworth to enable a second site for Dysart School, providing 15 primary-phase places, from

September 2019. Although discrete, the site’s location beside Tolworth Infant and Junior Schools affords inclusion opportunities for the children concerned in mainstream lessons and other activities, as appropriate, and reciprocally provides additional, more specialist SEND expertise for Tolworth Infant and Junior Schools.

2.13 The Council has also funded a new building to enable the expansion of St Philip’s School from 143 places to 183, from September 2018.

2.14 In October 2018, AfC submitted two special free school applications, one in Kingston for children and young people with ASD and one in Richmond for children and young people with social, emotional and mental health (SEMH) needs. In March 2019, the DfE approved both applications. Each school will have 90 places; the Kingston school will reserve 60 places for Kingston-resident children and 30 for Richmond-resident children, and the Richmond school will have those proportions in reverse. The Kingston school is proposed, subject to formal decision-making, to open in September 2023 on the Moor Lane Centre site, where it will have synergy with the Respite Centre which has recently been built there. Ambitious About Autism have been appointed as the education provider for the school.

2.15 Work is ongoing to provide additional special school places in the borough (see Section 5).

Specialist Resource Provisions (SRPs)

2.16 AfC undertook consultation in early 2018 on proposals to expand existing and establish new SRPs for children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) in mainstream schools, and the response was largely very positive. An SRP can be defined as, ‘a mainstream school teaching space where places are reserved for children who have a specific type of SEND which requires an Education, Health and Care Plan (EHCP), and who are taught mainly within mainstream classes, but require a base and some specialist facilities within, the school concerned’. Since then, expansions of SRPs have taken place at Surbiton Children’s Centre Nursery, Castle Hill Primary and Latchmere, providing 28 additional places between them.

2.17 Four new SRPs have been established since September 2018, providing 66 places between them, as follows:

 King Athelstan (six places for children with SEMH);  Coombe Girls’ (30 places for girls with Hearing Impairment and/or other Communication Needs);  The Hollyfield (20 places for children and young people with ASD);  Tolworth Girls (10 places for girls with Emotional Health needs, including Autism)

2.18 From September 2021, the Enhanced Specialist Teaching Arrangement (ESTA) in place at Alexandra School will be changed into an ESTA for infant years and an SRP for junior.

2.19 Appendix 3 contains a list of current and planned SRPs in the borough.

2.20 Appendix 4 shows the planned growth in SEND school places from 2017 to 2028: 146 additional places have been created since 2017 and (at least) a further 110 places will be created by 2028.

3. PRIMARY PHASE

3.1 As reported in the June 2017 strategy, since 2014 the Council has ensured the permanent provision of six forms of Reception entry, which provide 180 extra places per year and 1,260 primary phase places in total; and nine forms of Year 7 entry, which provide 270 extra places per year and 1,350 secondary phase places in total.

3.2 For the purposes of primary school place planning, the borough is divided into areas, which are co-terminous with one or more electoral wards, as follows:

 Area 1: North Kingston – Canbury and Tudor wards  Area 2: Kingston Town and Norbiton – Grove and Norbiton wards  Area 3: Chessington and Hook – Chessington North & Hook, and Chessington South wards  Area 4: Surbiton – St Mark’s and Surbiton Hill wards  Area 5: Tolworth and Berrylands – Alexandra, Berrylands, and Tolworth & Hook Rise wards  Area 6: New Malden and Coombe – Beverley, Coombe Vale and St James wards  Area 7: Old Malden and Worcester Park – Old Malden ward  Area 8: Coombe Hill – Coombe Hill ward

3.3 The ward boundaries are shown on this map:

3.4 Numbers of births within the borough have decreased in the last four years, as shown below:

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2,000 2,046 2,197 2,202 2,292 2,270 2,289 2,306 2,211 2,246 2,314 2,204 2,185 2,025 1,946

The number in 2019 was the lowest since 2005, but came only four years after the borough’s largest birth cohort this century. The mean number of births across the 2005–2019 period was 2,182.

3.5 However, the children born in 2019 will not enter Reception until 2023 and will not transfer to secondary school until 2030, so whilst this strategy should have one eye on the decrease in births between 2015 and 2019, and a close watch should be kept on whether the number of births keeps reducing, there are more immediate school place planning issues to be addressed, particularly in the Surbiton / Tolworth and Berrylands and New Malden and Coombe areas where demand for Reception places is forecast to increase.

3.6 The methodology for forecasting Reception places in the borough is as follows:

 In-borough pupil intakes are projected using a catchment method, deriving the potential demand for Reception places from births, with actual birth data provided by the Office for National Statistics and estimated births for the preceding, current and future years.  For Reception roll forecasts, average area level take-up rates from births are applied after consideration of changes planned in the provision of school places. The forecasts are then modified to reflect the most recent data available on admissions for the coming year and for any significantly large housing developments which have received planning permission. Take-up rates take account of out-borough demand for in-borough places and vice versa. (Relatively few Kingston parents/carers apply for out-borough schools – for the September 2020 Reception intake, only 5% of in-borough applicants – 97 out of 1,908 – named an out- borough school as their first preference.)  Finally, rolls by area are calculated by rolling forward existing year-groups and applying average area-level retention rates for year-group cohorts.

3.7 Pages 12 to 19 analyse capacity, likely demand and possible options within each of these areas. Where the possibility of expanding individual schools is discussed, the detail relates to each school’s existing site(s) except in cases where expansion onto an additional site is specifically considered. Current capacity per school and planning area is given in multiples of forms of entry (FE); one form of entry equates to 30 places per year. The 2018 and 2019 totals are actual data, derived from the 2018 autumn term pupil census, and the 2020 totals are data held by the School Admissions Team (as the autumn pupil census data was not available at the time of writing).

Area 1: North Kingston

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Alexandra 2FE Expanded from 2FE in 2011; and converted from 3FE infant to 2FE all-through primary school from September 2016. No room for further expansion. Fern Hill Primary 3FE Expanded from 2FE in 2011; no room for further expansion. Has room for a bulge class if needed. Latchmere 4FE Expanded from 3FE in 2011; may have room for expansion to 5FE. St Agatha’s Catholic 2FE Has room for expansion to 3FE. Primary St Luke’s Church of England 1FE No room for permanent expansion. Primary St Paul’s Church of England 2FE Expanded from 2FE in 2011; and converted from 3FE Primary junior to 2FE all-through primary school from September 2016. No room for further expansion. Total 14FE

* A shared form of entry is an innovative, flexible arrangement whereby two or three schools, which do not have room for full permanent expansion by a form of entry, effectively share an additional form of entry between them by taking in in turns to admit an additional form of reception children within bespoke permanent accommodation.

Housing

The recently occupied Queenshurst development on the former gasholder site in Sury Basin has 315 units. The application for the ‘Kingston Gate’ development on the Canbury car park site is proposing 445 units.

Likely demand

Demand for places remains high and has declined only at St Agatha’s, as part of a general decrease in applications for Catholic primary schools in Kingston, Richmond and elsewhere. Whether that pattern can be attributed to the ‘Brexit factor’ or is due to other reasons is not known.

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 420 412 412 411 447 416 414

Recommendations

No action is required in the short-term, but, if approved, Kingston Gate and other possible housing developments are likely to trigger a longer-term need for places within this area. As expansion options are limited, long-term need may have to be met by the establishment of a new school.

Area 2: Kingston Town and Norbiton

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity King Athelstan Primary 2FE Expanded from 1FE before 2004, although only in recent years has sufficient accommodation being provided to facilitate 2FE in all year-groups; has room for expansion to 3FE. King’s Oak Primary 3FE Expanded from 2FE in 2014; might have room for further expansion. St John’s Church of England 1FE No room for expansion Primary St Joseph’s Catholic Primary 1FE No room for expansion Total 7FE

Housing

10 developments in Grove and Norbiton wards which have either started or been approved will, if all are built, provide 1,321 units between them in the next three years. They include: Royal Exchange (320); Eden Walk (380); and Homebase (297). In addition, planning applications are expected for the development of: County Hall (500); Surrey House (400); and other central Kingston sites; and for the regeneration of the Cambridge Road Estate (CRE), which would provide an additional 1,300 units. In total, it is expected that more than 3,000 units will be built within the next 10 years.

Likely demand

The closure of Kingston Community School has reduced capacity by 2FE in this area. Housing development means that demand for school places will increase significantly. The net additional ‘pupil yield’ from the CRE regeneration alone is estimated as 178 primary-aged children and 51 secondary-aged children. A significant proportion of the 178 primary-aged children would, in any given year, be of Reception-entry age, so there is a continued longer- term need for a new school, effectively to replace Kingston Community School. The DfE/ESFA recognise this need and will be inviting education providers to bid, in the next wave of the Free Schools programme, to run a new two-form entry school on the Kingstons House site from c. 2026.

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 210* 194 196 172 210 193 203 * This was 270 until September 2020.

Recommendations

It is essential that a new primary school opens on the Kingstons House site in due course, with the timescales dependent upon the construction of the regenerated CRE.

Area 3: Chessington and Hook

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Castle Hill Primary 2FE Has room for expansion to 3FE. Ellingham Primary 2FE Expanded from 1FE in 2011; no room for further expansion. Lovelace Primary 3FE Expanded from 2FE in 2014; no room for further expansion. St Mary’s Church of 1FE No room for expansion. England Primary St Paul’s Church of England 1FE No room for expansion. Primary Total 9FE

Housing

No significant development other than the 45 units approved for 11–25 Leatherhead Road has come forward in recent times. The possibility of building on Green Belt in this area – most recently the proposed ‘Hook Park’ development at land north of Clayton Road, and a previous proposal for the creation of a major ‘garden city’ housing development beyond Chessington South Station – has sometimes been mooted but has so far not led to planning applications being submitted.

Likely demand

The expansion of Lovelace has met forecast short to medium term demand within this area.

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 270 262 269 255 257 242 260

Options

If more places are required in the longer term, expanding Castle Hill by 1FE should be a relatively straightforward option.

Recommendations

No action is required at present. Longer term, it may become necessary to undertake a feasibility for the expansion of Castle Hill.

Area 4: Surbiton

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Lime Tree Primary 2FE No room for expansion. Maple Infants’ and St Andrew’s 3FE Expanded to 3FE in 2015; no room for further and St Mark’s Church of expansion. England Junior St Matthew’s Church of 2FE Expanded from 1½FE in 2011; has room for England Primary expansion to 3FE. Tolworth Infant and Tolworth 3FE Has room for expansion to 4FE. Junior Total 10FE

Housing

A number of small sites, such as the ‘Villers’ developments at the South Kingston end of Lower Marsh Lane will add a small pupil yield to an area where demand is already high. No large housing developments are expected in this area unless Surbiton station car park is developed.

Likely demand

There is a need for up to two forms of entry within this area and Area 5 (Tolworth and Berrylands).

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 300 336* 324* 296** 293 294 306 * Extra class provided at Tolworth Infant; extra class provided at Christ Church Primary

Recommendations

The two forms of entry which GEMS Surbiton Primary Academy (on the boundary of this area, but just within Area 5) would (subject to planning permission) provide from September 2023 would meet short- to medium-term demand for places within this area and Tolworth and Berrylands. In the short term, Christ Church Primary, also in Area 5, has agreed to provide an extra form of entry in both 2020 and 2021 to bridge the gap until the GEMS school opens, which is expected to happen in September 2023.

Area 5: Tolworth and Berrylands

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Christ Church of England 2FE Admitted an extra class in each year from 2013 to Primary (Surbiton) 2017 and in 2020, and will admit an extra class in 2021 and 2022; may have room for full expansion to 3FE. Grand Avenue Primary 3FE Expanded from 2FE in 2011; no room for further expansion. Knollmead Primary 1FE Has room for expansion to 2FE, which was previously planned but has been put on hold pending the build of the ‘King George’s Gate’ development on the ex-Government Offices site on Hook Rise South. Our Lady Immaculate Catholic 2FE No room for full expansion. Primary Total 8FE

Housing

The Tolworth Tower, ‘Alpha Wharf’ (in Howard Road) and former NHS building in South Place will between them add pupil yield to an area of already high demand, but the largest and most significant development is King George’s Gate, which is set to provide 950 units.

Likely demand

In the short to medium term, demand from within this area will be met by existing capacity and the opening, expected in 2023, of the GEMS school in the adjacent Area 4. But the King George’s Gate development means that further places will be needed in the medium to long term.

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 240 (300 239 237 260 288 265 313 from 2023)

Recommendations

In the medium to long term, i.e. from c.2025, Knollmead Primary would need to be expanded, as it is the closest community school to the King George’s Gate development. Plans have previously been agreed with the school for how expansion could be achieved.

Area 6: New Malden and Coombe

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Burlington Infant and 4FE Expanded from 3FE in 2011; could be expanded to Burlington Junior 5FE. Coombe Hill Infant and 3FE From 2015 onwards, Coombe Hill Infant is Coombe Hill Junior admitting a fourth class every other year. Feasibility studies have shown that full expansion of both schools would be too difficult to achieve. Christ Church (New Malden) 2FE No room for expansion. Primary Corpus Christi Catholic 2FE Has room for expansion to 3FE, but most of its Primary extra places would be allocated to children living in Merton Borough or Worcester Park, rather than in New Malden and Coombe. Total 11FE

Housing

A number of small developments – 1 and 23-37 Blagdon Road, and the former Roselands Clinic site – will between them add pupil yield to an area of already high demand, but the largest and most significant development is Cocks Crescent, which is likely to provide 400+ units.

Likely demand

In the medium to longer term, the proposed redevelopment of Cocks Crescent and other housing developments in New Malden, including the proposed development of Tesco’s car park on the Merton side of Shannon Corner, are likely to create demand for a further 1–2FE. As Burlington Infants’ does not want to be permanently expanded, excess demand for Reception places would have to be met through the provision of ‘bulge’ classes, either at the Infants’ and/or at other local schools. As noted in paragraph 2.4, Burlington Junior will, subject to planning permission for its requisite new build, expand to five forms of entry from 2025 or 2026 (at the earliest).

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 330 319 328 330 372 321 361

Recommendations

Unless Burlington Infants’ Governing Body wishes to re-consider permanent expansion, no further action will be needed until it is evident that King’s Oak, in Area 2, is filling up, or will fill, to a level whereby a Reception bulge class is needed in New Malden.

Area 7: Old Malden and Worcester Park

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Green Lane Primary 2FE No room for full expansion, but, despite its location within the London Borough of Sutton (where most of its pupils live) and proximity to the Merton part of Motspur Park, could be part of a shared form of entry with Malden Manor and Malden Parochial. Malden Manor Primary 2FE Has room for expansion to 3FE, or could be part of a shared for of entry with Green Lane and Malden Parochial, or – more likely – just the latter. Malden Parochial Church of 1FE Has room for expansion to 2FE, or could be part of a England Primary shared form of entry with Green Lane and Malden Manor, or – more likely – just the latter. Total 5FE

Housing

The only significant development which might happen in the short- to medium-term is on the gasholders site in Motspur Park, though its proximity would make its impact arguably as much of an issue for school place planning in Merton and Sutton boroughs as it would be for Kingston.

Likely demand

Although demand is forecast to exceed supply marginally in most years, the probable medium-to-long-term expansion of Knollmead in Area 5 and the addition of places in Area 6 will meet any excess demand from within this area.

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 150 141 150 150 120 141 130

Recommendations

No action is required in the short to medium term, but in the much longer term there may be a need to undertake a feasibility study into the expansion of Malden Manor.

Area 8: Coombe Hill

School(s) Current Comments and scope for expansion capacity Robin Hood Primary 1FE Has room for expansion to 2FE. Total 1FE

Housing

No development larger than the 52-unit development of Kingston Riding Centre, in Crescent Road, is foreseeable at present.

Likely demand

There is no forecast need for more places within this area. Robin Hood admitted a bulge class in September 2014, but half of the additional places were filled by Wandsworth and Merton resident children so it is unlikely that providing additional classes at the school again would be especially helpful or cost-effective for the Council in meeting its statutory duty to provide places.

Capacity 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 30 29 24 23 21 22 22

Recommendations

No action required.

4. SECONDARY PHASE

4.1 As reported in the June 2017 strategy, since 2014 the Council has ensured the net provision of 10 forms of Year 7 entry, which provide 300 extra places per year and 1,500 secondary phase places in total. Since 2012, the permanent Year 7 capacity within the borough’s state-funded secondary schools has increased by 18%, as follows:

School 2012 2019 Difference Chessington 150 150 0 Coombe Boys’ 180 180 0 Coombe Girls’ 210 240 +30 Richard Challoner 135 150 +15 Southborough High 150 135 -15 The Hollyfield 180 180 0 The Holy Cross 150 150 0 The Kingston Academy 180 +180 The Tiffin Girls’ 150 180 +30 Tiffin (Boys’) 150 180 +30

Tolworth Girls’ 210 240 +30

Total 1,665 1,965 +300

4.2 For 2018 entry, no offers were made above any school’s published admission number. In September 2018, there was a 5% vacancy rate in Year 7 places across the borough, 96 places in three schools: Chessington, Coombe Boys’ and Tolworth Girls’.

4.3 For 2019 entry, 75 offers – 30 at Coombe Boys, 30 at The Hollyfield and 15 at Southborough High – were made in addition to the overall total, 1,935, of published admission numbers of the 11 secondary schools, making a total of 2,010 offers. In September 2019, there was a 2.3% vacancy rate – 47 spare places, all of which were at Chessington School.

4.4 For 2020 entry, 90 offers 30 at Coombe Boys, 30 at The Hollyfield and 30 at The Kingston Academy – were made in addition to the overall total, 1,935, of published admission numbers of the 11 secondary schools, making a total of 2,025 offers. In September 2020, there was a 1% vacancy rate – 20 spare places, all of which were at Chessington School.

4.5 Now that the primary expansions of the last decade are feeding into the secondary phase, catchments of most schools have shrunk. It should be noted that the catchment for The Kingston Academy in particular has shrunk significantly – from 4km in 2017 to 1.2km in 2018, to 1km in 2019 and 0.97km in 2020, just five years after its opening.

4.6 Demand for secondary school places within the borough is forecast on a whole-borough basis.

4.7 The methodology for forecasting Year 7 places in the borough is as follows. The most recent percentage of children who transfer from Year 6 of the borough’s state-funded primary schools into Year 7 of the borough’s state-funded secondary schools is applied to the number of children expected, on the basis of the most recent pupil census data, to transfer in future years, and the totals thereby arrived at are compared to the capacity of the schools to give a

surplus or shortfall of places. The most recent trend, i.e. the current intake, is the most important for forecasting purposes.

4.8 Whilst this methodology does not directly show every variable, e.g. children transferring from out-borough or independent primary schools, it is the most reliable one for forecasting demand as it is based on two data measures – Year 6 leavers and Year 7 starters – which can be compared from year to year. It is the standard methodology used by local authorities.

4.9 For the most recent forecasts (below), the ‘retention’ percentage is derived from the number of children who were on roll in Year 7 in October 2019 compared with the number of children who, in October 2018, were in Year 6 in the primary schools, i.e. the Year 6 cohort was 1,913, which fed into an intake of 1,987 in Year 7, so the retention rate was 103.5% (1,987 divided by 1,919 multiplied by 100), which compares with the 104.3% rate for 2018 .

* Numbers derived from pupil censuses; ** Conversion rates derive from % of Year 6 leavers compared with Year 7 starters; Numbers in bold in PAN columns are permanent or temporary expansions

4.10 As can be seen, there is a growing forecast shortfall of places in borough, which requires substantial additional permanent provision to address. Only the provision of a new secondary school will meet that shortfall. That is because the extra places provided in 2018, 2019 and 2020 cannot – with the possible exception of Southborough – become permanent expansions without additional building work, for which sufficient Basic Need funding is not available, and even then would not provide enough places to meet forecast need.

4.11 It should be noted that the forecasts take no account of the ‘pupil yield’ from the approved and probable housing developments in the borough, such as those in central Kingston, in Tolworth, and at Cocks Crescent and the proposed regeneration of the Cambridge Road Estate.

4.12 Nor do the forecasts account either for movers-in to the borough after the start of the autumn term until the end of the school year who require school places as ‘in-year’ applicants or for leavers during the same period.

4.13 As per 2.9–2.10, full approval of the Diocese of Southwark’s application for a Church of England secondary school would enable the forecast medium-term need for additional secondary places within the borough to be met. The school is expected to admit its first Year 7 intake in September 2024, at the earliest.

4.18 In the short term, until the opening of the proposed Church of England secondary school, there will be a continuing need for temporary expansions (bulge classes) of existing schools.

5. SPECIAL SCHOOLS, SPECIALIST RESOURCE PROVISIONS AND SEND FORECASTING

Special schools

5.1 As noted in Section 2, the last two years have seen the expansion, in the primary phase, of two – Dysart and St Philip’s – of the borough’s three existing special schools, providing 55 additional places between them. Those expansions include the opening of a satellite of Dysart at School Lane in Tolworth. Work is ongoing to see if further satellite provisions of Dysart, and perhaps of St Philip’s too, can be created.

5.2 AfC and the Council are working with Orchard Hill College and Academy Trust (OHCAT), who run the borough’s existing special schools, to develop an ambitious proposal for a 16–25 campus, which would co-locate the sixth forms of the three schools, and some of the provision currently at the Orchard Hill College site in Beaconsfield Road, New Malden, thereby releasing space for more pre-16 places at the three schools – 15 at Dysart, and 20 each at Bedelsford and St Philip’s – and 20+ post-16 places at Orchard Hill College. The campus would also have some supported accommodation and other facilities:

 A digital media, radio and electric wheelchair and alternative communication technology hub;  A creative and performing arts hub;  A catering, cafe and learning-for-living hub;  A workshops and enterprise hub (motor vehicle, bicycle, painting & decorating, up cycling, hair and beauty, gardening and small animal care hub); and  A customer service, voluntary and community pathways hub.

5.2 The opening of Capella House, in Richmond Borough, in September 2019 filled another gap in the local offer for children and young people with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND), because the borough did not previously have a special school designated for children and young people whose primary needs were speech, language and communication.

5.3 The opening of the two proposed special schools in 2022 – one in Kingston and one in Richmond – will also fill two major gaps in the Local Offer, for children and young people with, respectively, autism and social, emotional and mental health needs (SEMH) as their main needs.

5.4 The designations of the special schools within the borough broadly complement those of the special schools in Richmond so that duplication is minimised and take-up of places by Kingston and Richmond resident children is maximised:

Borough Designation Places Age-range Bedelsford Physical disabilities, profound and multiple 2–19 learning difficulties (PMLD), multisensory 119 impairments and complex learning disabilities including complex health needs Dysart Severe learning disabilities (SLD) and a large 5–19 majority have a diagnosis of autism. Some pupils 120 Kingston have profound and multiple learning disabilities and complex health needs. St Philip’s Moderate learning difficulties (MLD). Many pupils 175 9–19 have additional needs, e.g. mild to moderate (183 autism, language impairment or emotional issues; in a few have sensory or medical needs 2020) New school ASD-specific 90 4–19 Borough total 504 Capella House Speech, language and communication needs 4–19 72 (SLCN) Clarendon inc. Moderate learning difficulties and additional 4–16 148 The Gateway Richmond complex needs including autism Strathmore Severe, profound and multiple learning 4–19 98 difficulties and autism New school Social, emotional and mental health (SEMH) 90 7–19 Borough total 408

Specialist Resource Provisions (SRPs)

5.5 The June 2017 strategy stated that proposals would be consulted upon in March 2017 for establishing new and expanding existing specialist resource provisions. As noted in Section 2, the consultation and proposals resulted in 94 additional SRP places being provided since then. Appendix 3 outlines the capacity and designation of all the current SRPs within the borough.

5.6 Further proposals will be put forward and consulted upon, subject to the availability of additional capital.

SEND forecasting

5.7 AfC commissioned an external data company to analyse recent trends and forecast the likely need for places in future years. That modelling included the impact which the additional SEND places already provided or planned will have on the filling of gaps and on the revenue costs incurred by the Council.

5.8 Recent and forecast (using ONS population data) incidences of EHCPs by year-groupings within the borough are as follows:

As can be seen, steep increases in secondary-phase and post-16 demand are forecast, mainly because there will be many more children within the secondary phase in general.

5.9 The chart below shows the forecast incidence of EHCPs by primary needs:

It is clear that the three main needs will continue to be ASD, SLCN and SEMH, and that they will continue to grow in incidence, most especially ASD. In addition, significantly large numbers of Kingston-resident children with MLD and SpLD will continue to need EHCPs.

5.10 The charts below and on the next page shows how the additional places recently, and set to be, provided, in state-funded special schools and specialist resource provisions have reduced / will reduce, the Council’s dependence on the independent sector for the provision of SEND school places:

6. EARLY YEARS

6.1 As with Reception class places, demand for free Early Years places in the borough is very high. According to the borough’s Childcare Sufficiency Audit for 2018/20194, 26 of the borough’s 301 childcare providers are ‘maintained’ nurseries: 25 of the 31 infant and primary schools in the borough have attached state-funded nurseries, and there is one stand-alone nursery school, Surbiton Nursery. The table below identifies the number of full-time equivalent places currently available at each school. Some schools are providing the 30 hours entitlement offer to eligible working parents, either via current capacity or in partnership with as part of wrap around provision.

Nursery Places Alexandra 78 Burlington Infant 104

Castle Hill Primary 78 Christ Church Primary (New Malden) 52 Corpus Christi Catholic Primary 52 Ellingham Primary 26 Fern Hill Primary 52

Grand Avenue Primary 52 Green Lane Primary 34 King Athelstan Primary 52 King’s Oak Primary 104 Knollmead Primary 26 Latchmere 78 Lime Tree Primary 26 Lovelace Primary 52

Malden Manor Primary 52 Malden Parochial C of E Primary 26 Maple Infants’ 52 Robin Hood Primary 52 St Agatha’s Catholic Primary 52

St John’s C of E Primary 52 St Joseph’s Catholic Primary 52 St Luke’s C of E Primary 52 St Mary’s C of E Primary 26 Surbiton Children’s Centre Nursery 118 Tolworth Infant 52 Total 1,452

6.2 Each school allocates its own places in accordance with published oversubscription criteria. For the community schools, the nursery criteria are the same as for Reception class places, i.e. most places are allocated to siblings and on the basis of home-to-school distance. (However, it should be noted that attendance at the nursery or having a younger sibling at the nursery does not form part of the criteria for entry to Reception and higher primary year-groups.)

4 See: https://www.kingston.gov.uk/downloads/file/3078/kingston_childcare_sufficiency_update_201819. 28

Unlike for entry to Reception, the Council does not have a statutory duty to coordinate applications for the nursery schools and therefore does not have any central role in nursery admissions.

6.3 From the DfE Early Years Census 2019, there are 2,728, three- and four- year-olds accessing an Early Education place in the borough, with a further 1,289 four year olds in a maintained reception class. 55% (1,516) of the Early Education places taken up are within the Private, Voluntary and Independent sector with the remaining places taken up in the maintained sector. From the 2018 Childcare Sufficiency Assessment there are approximately 4,000 registered childcare places for nought- to five-year-olds within the borough. The Council has a duty to ensure that there is sufficient childcare for those parents that need it. Providing sufficient places at or within the early education funding rate is a significant challenge for the PVI sector, therefore, most of the free three- and four-year-old places are within the maintained nursery classes. This places families with a low income at a disadvantage.

6.4 Some School and PVI nurseries also offer free places for eligible two-year-olds. Provision for two year olds to access early education places has increased, with nationally 40% of the population eligible. For two-year-olds, the Council has a statutory duty to secure free early education places for every child in their area that is either looked-after, in receipt of Disability Living Allowance or who falls within the eligibility closely aligned to the criteria for free school meals. From Department of Work and Pensions information, currently in Kingston 19% (444) of the two-year-old population are eligible, with 73% (322) of those children accessing a place in spring 2019. 29% (93) of these children were in a school nursery.

6.5 All Early Years providers who offer the early education entitlement must adhere to the provisions of the Department for Education’s Early Years Foundation Stage Framework. However, maintained nurseries, with the support of Achieving for Children, are reviewing their offer to further meet the increased flexible childcare and early education needs of families and to support the ongoing sustainability of the nursery offer. This may include offering 30 hours funding either to fill vacancies or as a fixed planned offer, offering wrap around care for early years children or working in partnership to offer and developing a two year old offer.

6.6 For three- and four-year-olds, the Council has a statutory duty to secure early education funded places for every child in their area whose parents require it.

6.7 From September 2017, for three- and four-year-olds, the Council has a statutory duty to secure early education places offering the extended 15 hours which will give 30 hours per week for 38 weeks a year, to children of working parents who meet the eligibility criteria. A number of schools offer some ‘extended’ six-hour-a-day places to children eligible for the funding, this can be a planned offer of a small fixed number of places or a way of filling vacant sessions

6.8 For the current offer of 15 hours, evidence shows that parents are challenged to find places that are entirely free of charge for 15 hours per week for 38 weeks a year. In January 2019, of the three-year-olds accessing Early Education Funding 44% of three-year-olds in the borough were accessing maintained nursery provision, 54% were in PVIs and 2% were in independent schools.

6.9 There are three possible methods for providing additional maintained nursery places:

A. Open new nurseries at other state-funded infant and primary schools within the borough. There is no direct funding available for nursery expansion, but some additional capacity could be created as part of a school expansion. If this option is pursued, the selection criteria must be based on current unmet need.

B. Bring private nurseries on state-funded school sites into the maintained sector. Some schools are already considering this option and are in discussion with the Early Years’ Service.

C. Expand the number of places at some of the existing maintained nurseries.

All options to increase nursery places could also offer some additional new provision within the nursery class for disadvantaged two-year-olds. The introduction of the 30 hours entitlement for working parents has given the opportunity for maintained schools to develop out of school provision either themselves or in partnership with a third party.

6.10 The geographical distribution of the current maintained nurseries within the borough is good. The expansion of statutory school age provision over the last few years has enabled the number of places to keep in line with children progressing through maintained school nurseries.

6.11 However, demand is reducing for the traditional model of three-hour, five-day, 38-weeks-a- year nursery places. This is causing sufficiency concerns for both maintained nurseries and private traditional sessional pre-schools with more families accessing flexible offers at full day nurseries or with childminders. Sessional providers are therefore having to consider a more flexible offer; for maintained schools, this may mean looking at expanded hours, either self- delivered or in partnership with private or voluntary providers either on- or off-site whilst ensuring that the traditional model, which most maintained schools offer, remains available for those disadvantaged families who may not access early years education if additional costs were involved.

6.12 Across England, Local Authorities are working with schools to consider and make changes, such as reviewing the hours and age-range of the nursery offer, to offer a Governor-Led Pre- School (whereby the nursery becomes a separate voluntary provider with the governing body as the registered organisation) or to invite a private provider on-site who would work closely with the school concerned to offer the early years provision.

7. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS

7.1 Since 2011, the Council has received ‘Basic Need’ allocations5 from the Education and Skills Funding Agency (ESFA) of £51,958,602, including the latest amount of £1,049,626 which covers the 2021/2022 period. (No money was allocated for 2020/2021.) Those allocations, supported by additional Council funding, have funded the provision of 12.5 additional forms of Reception entry, including the establishment of Lime Tree Primary School in 2012 and, most recently, the conversion of Alexandra Infant and St Paul’s Church of England Junior into all-through primary schools from September 2016. A breakdown of how additional Reception places have been provided – permanently and temporarily – since 2007 is given in Appendix 1.

7.2 The ESFA bear the capital costs of providing free school places. However, if the Council wishes to long-lease sites within its ownership for new free schools (or voluntary-aided schools), then it would need to balance the financial saving of school places being provided without it having to spend any capital against the loss of potential income from the rent or permanent disposal of such sites. In the case of the Church of England secondary school, the Council is required, as a condition of establishing the school, to pay 10% of the capital cost, estimated at £2.5m.

7.3 Adding bulge classes in secondary schools would cost more, and be more difficult to achieve, than in primary schools since there would be pressure on specialised spaces, such as science labs.

7.4 In addition to the capital costs, each expansion, whether permanent or temporary, would require revenue, to pay for seven-twelfths of the costs of a teacher, teaching assistant and other resources for the period from September to April, of c.£50,000. These costs are paid from the ‘Growth Fund’ element of the Council’s Dedicated Schools’ Grant.

7.5 In March 2017, the ESFA allocated £1,688,448 to the Council for SEND capital projects, and topped it up in May 2018 with £392,662 and in December 2018 with £785,325, making a total of £2,866,435. This money has been, and is being, used to fund satellites of the special schools and the expansion and establishment of specialist resource provisions.

7.6 The revenue savings to be accrued by having more state-funded SEND places available locally are significant and still being worked through based on average costings.

8. CONTACT

Matthew Paul, Associate Director, School Place Planning, Achieving for Children; [email protected].

5 See: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/basic-need-allocations. 31

Appendix 1: Reception class capacity, 2008–2020

Year of Reception Entry 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Year of Year 7 Transfer 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Area School Alexandra 90 90 60 90 90 120 90 90 60* 60 60 60 60 Fern Hill 90 90 60 90 90 120 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 Latchmere 90 120 90 120 120 120 150 120 120 120 120 120 120 1 St Agatha's 60 60 90 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 St Luke's 30 30 60 30 30 30 30 60 30 60 30 30 30

St Paul’s, Kingston 60* 60 60 60 60

Total 360 390 360 390 390 450 420 420 420 450 420 420 420

King Athelstan 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 King's Oak 60 60 60 60 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 2 Kingston Commun. 30 60 60 60 60 St John's 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 St Joseph's 30 30 60 60 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Total 180 180 210 210 240 210 210 270 270 270 270 270 210 Castle Hill 60 60 90 90 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 Ellingham 30 30 30 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60

Lovelace 90 90 90 60 60 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 3 St Mary's 30 30 30 30 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30

St Paul's, Hook 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Total 240 240 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 270 Lime Tree 90 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 Maple 90 90 60 90 90 60 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 4 St Matthew's 45 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 Tolworth 90 120 90 120 90 120 90 90 90 90 120 120 90 Total 225 270 210 270 330 300 300 300 300 300 330 330 300 Christ Church Sur. 90 90 60 60 60 90 90 90 90 90 60 60 90 Grand Avenue 60 60 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 5 Knollmead 30 60 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Our Lady Immacul. 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 Total 240 270 270 240 240 270 270 270 270 270 240 240 270 Burlington 120 120 90 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 Christ Church NM 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 6 Coombe Hill 120 90 90 120 90 120 90 120 90 120 90 90 90 Corpus Christi 60 60 90 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 Total 360 330 330 360 330 360 330 360 330 360 330 330 330 Green Lane 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 Malden Manor 60 60 90 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 7 Malden Parochial 30 30 30 30 60 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Total 150 150 180 150 180 180 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Robin Hood 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 8 Total 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 Overall total 1785 1860 1860 1920 2010 2070 2010 2040 2070 2100 2040 2040 1980 New permanent FE 0 0 0 6.5 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 Number of bulges 7 8.5 9 5 6 8 3 3 1 3 1 1 1

Figures in bold = permanent provision; figures italicized = temporary provision. * Alexandra and St Paul’s were converted from 3FE infant and junior schools into 2FE all-through primary schools.

Appendix 2: Year 7 capacity, 2012–2020

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Chessington 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Coombe Boys’ 180 180 180 180 180 180 150 180 180 Coombe Girls’ 210 210 210 210 210 210 240 240 240 Richard Challoner 135 135 135 150 150 150 150 150 150 Southborough High 150 150 150 150 150 135 135 150 135 The Hollyfield 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 210 210 The Holy Cross 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 The Kingston Academy 180 180 180 180 180 210* The Tiffin Girls’ 150 150 150 150 180 180 180 180 180 Tiffin (Boys’) 150 150 150 180 180 180 180 180 180 Tolworth Girls’ 210 210 210 240 240 240 240 240 240 Total 1665 1665 1665 1920 1950 1935 1935 2010 2025

Figures in bold = expansion, permanent or temporary; figures italicized = decrease

Appendix 3: SRP capacity

School Age-range Designation Date of opening Number of places

Surbiton Children's Nursery ASD Already open 12 children in part time Centre Nursery placements

Alexandra Nursery to PD Already open 19: 2–3 in Nursery (part- Year 6 time places), 6 in Reception/ KS1 8 children in KS2; usually no more than 2 per year group. This is an Enhanced Specialist Teaching Arrangement (ESTA), whereby the children are supported full-time in mainstream lessons. From September 2021, the 8 KS2 places will form an SRP.

Castle Hill Primary Nursery to SLCN Open N–Y2 35 currently: 16 part-time Year 6 places in Nursery, 15 places Adding KS2 over KS1, 4 places KS2 a four-year period Further KS2 places being added as follows:

2019: 8 in KS2 2020: 12 in KS2 2021: 16 in KS2

Grand Avenue Nursery to ASD Already open 8, no more than 2 per year Primary Year 6 group. This is an Enhanced Specialist Teaching Arrangement (ESTA), whereby the children are supported full-time in mainstream lessons.

King Athelstan Reception SEMH September 2019: 4 Primary to Year 6 2019 2020: 6 (capacity)

No more than 2 per year group

King’s Oak Primary Nursery to ASD Already open 31: 4 in Nursery, 9 in KS1,

Year 6 18 in KS2

Knollmead Primary Nursery to ASD Already open 16: 2 in Nursery, 6 in Year 6 Reception/KS1, 8 in KS2

Knollmead Primary Reception HI Already open 12; usually no more than 2 to Year 6 per year group

Latchmere Reception ASD Already open, 2018: 12 to Year 6 but expanding 2019: 14

Usually no more than 2 per year group

Lime Tree Primary Reception ASD Already open 21: 9 in Reception/KS1; 12 to Year 6 in KS2

Tolworth Infant Nursery to MLD Already open 24: 3 in Nursery, 9 in and Junior Year 6 Reception/KS1, 12 in KS2

Coombe Girls’ Year 7 to HI Already open – 2018: 6 Year 11 numbers 2019: 12 building up over 2020: 18 five years 2021: 24 2022: 30 (capacity)

Maximum of 6 per year group; girls-only

The Hollyfield Year 7 to ASD September 2019: 8 (Years 7 to 9) Year 11 2019 2020: 16 (Years 7 to 10) 2021: 20 (Years 7 to 11, capacity)

The Kingston Year 7 to ASD Already open 15; usually no more than 3 Academy Year 11 per year group

Richard Challoner Year 7 to ASD Already open 20; boys-only. This is an Year 11 Enhanced Specialist Teaching Arrangement (ESTA), whereby the children are supported full- time in mainstream lessons.

Richard Challoner Year 7 to SEMH Already open 15; boys-only; usually no Year 11 more than 3 per year group

Richard Challoner Year 12 to MLD Already open 16; mixed-sex Year 13

Tolworth Girls’ Year 7 to SEMH September 2019: 4 Year 11 2019 2020: 10

Girls-only.

Key:

ASD – Autistic Spectrum Disorders

HI – Hearing Impairment

MLD – Moderate Learning Difficulties

PD – Physical Disability

SEMH – Social, Emotional and Mental Health needs

SLCN – Speech, Language and Communication Needs

SpLD – Specific Learning Difficulties

Appendix 4: Growth in SEND school places, 2017–2028

School 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Surbiton Children's Centre Nursery 6 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Alexandra 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Castle Hill Primary 23 35 39 43 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Grand Avenue Primary 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 King Athelstan Primary 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 King's Oak Primary 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 Knollmead Primary (ASD) 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 Knollmead Primary (HI) 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Latchmere 8 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Lime Tree Primary 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 Tolworth Infant and Junior 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 Coombe Girls' 6 12 18 24 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 The Hollyfield 8 16 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 The Kingston Academy 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Richard Challoner (ASD) 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Richard Challoner (SEMH) 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Richard Challoner (MLD) 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 Tolworth Girls' 4 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Bedelsford Special School 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 Dysart Special School 96 105 112 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 St Philip's Special School 143 159 175 183 183 183 183 183 183 183 183 183 New ASD special school 12 24 36 48 52 56 60 New SEMH special school (in Richmond) 10 20 24 27 30 30 30 Totals 592 645 696 738 752 780 802 818 833 840 844 848

Appendix 5: Approved and proposed housing developments in the borough

N.B. Cambridge Road Estate pupil yield figures are net of current pupils 38