GEORGETOWN Child Care Market Analysis JANUARY 2021 Census Data Demographics
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GEORGETOWN Child Care Market Analysis JANUARY 2021 Census data Demographics This section of the report provides statistical information about the market area. The demographic profile of a population is vital to understanding who lives in the community and what their needs for services are. Characteristics such as age, language, education, work force participation and income can be predictors of service use. Georgetown Halton Hills Characteristic Child care demand in Halton # % # % Population, 2016 50,699 … 61,161 … While there are many factors driving the use of child care, there are three main Population change, 2011 to 2016 2,122 4% 2,153 4% Total number of children 13 months to factors that appear to be particularly 7,456 15% 9,065 15% influential in Halton – female participation 12 years of age in the labour force, newcomer status, Infant (13 to 18 months) 228 3% 278 3% and income level. Toddler (19 to 30 months) 493 7% 598 7% Analysis of female labour force Preschool (31 to 3.8 years) 666 9% 808 9% participation rates (LFP) reveals Kindergarten (3.8 to 5.8 years) 1,120 15% 1,354 15% substantial variation across Halton with School age (5.8 to 12 years) 4,949 66% 6,029 67% East Milton showing the highest female LFP of 73 per cent and South West Mother tongue not English 7,815 15% 8,825 14% Recent immigrants (moved to Canada Oakville with the lowest rate of 57 per 460 1% 530 1% cent. From 2011 to 2016, the female between 2011 and 2016) LFP rose for North East Burlington Total population aged 25 to 64 years 2,035 4% 2,665 4% and South East Oakville. However, with no certificate, diploma or degree decreases in rates were noticed across most of the rest of the Region. For Total population aged 25 to 64 years with a postsecondary certificate, diploma 17,970 35% 21,190 35% Halton, a one per cent decrease in LFP or degree translates to 1,472 fewer females in the Labour Force Participation Rate labour force and unlikely to need child 29,550 73% 35,730 73% care. (Males and females) Labour Force Participation Rate 14,360 70% 17,340 70% Another key factor in Halton is (Females) newcomer status. Using child care Income # % # % differs greatly depending on the length of time a person has lived in Canada. Total households in after-tax income groups 17,255 … 21,075 … According to 2018 Kindergarten Parent $0 to $29,999 1,445 8% 1,840 9% Survey results, families who have always lived in Canada are more likely to use $30,000 to $59,999 3,200 19% 4,165 20% child care (84 per cent of respondents) $60,000 to $99,999 4,700 27% 5,920 28% than those who have lived in Canada for $100,000 to $124,999 2,515 15% 3,095 15% 10 years or less (53 per cent). $125,000 and over 5,370 31% 6,035 29% Households with low income based on Child care use differs by income level. 2,485 14% 3,150 15% Families who earn a higher income are after-tax low-income measure (LIM-AT) more likely to use licensed child care. Low Income Measure After-Tax (LIM-AT): A fixed per cent (50%) of median adjusted According to 2018 Kindergarten Parent after-tax family income, where “adjusted” indicates that family needs are taken into account. For the 2016 Census, the reference period is the calendar year 2015 for all Survey results, families that earn above income variables. $150,000 annually are 40 per cent more Statistics Canada randomly rounds each individual value either up or down to a multiple likely to use child care than families with of ‘5’ or ‘10.’ As a result, when these data are summed or grouped, the total value may an annual income of less than $50,000. not match the individual values since totals and sub-totals are independently rounded. Considering these and other variables Similarly, percentages, which are calculated on rounded data, may not necessarily add (alone or together) can better describe up to 100 percent. child care demand in an area. SOURCE: Statistics Canada, Census 2016 Child care Market Analysis The tables below give information about licensed full-day centre-based child care and before and after school programs operating in the vicinity. It does not include data from nursery school programs or licensed home child care providers. Average market rates by type and municipality are included to provide comparative data for prices across Halton. A market rate is the full cost of child care for one day charged by child care providers. Georgetown Halton Hills Halton Description # % # % # % Total number of licensed full-day child care centres and before and after-school programs 28 ... 33 ... 285 ... Total licensed capacity 2,319 ... 2,701 ... 29,343 ... Infant spaces 40 2% 50 2% 794 3% Toddler spaces 200 9% 229 8% 2,985 10% Preschool spaces 399 17% 447 17% 6,057 21% Kindergarten spaces 588 25% 693 26% 7,563 26% School-age spaces (before and after-school) 1,092 47% 1,282 47% 11,929 41% Family age group spaces 0 0% 0 0% 15 0.1% Centres with a Child Care Service Management Agreement1 25 89% 30 91% 240 84% Centres with a Memorandum of Understanding2 15 54% 16 48% 128 45% Sites participating in Quality First3 28 100% 33 100% 242 85% Note: Percentages may not total 100% due to rounding. 1 A Child Care Service Management Agreement (CCSMA) is the agreement between a licensed child care operator (or licensed home child care agency) and Halton Region which allows access to funding that supports high quality, inclusive, and affordable child care in Halton. 2 An agreement with Inclusion Services that supports quality inclusion of children with special needs in licensed centre-based child care programs. 3 Quality First is an early learning initiative focused on quality improvement. Consultants provide training and support to participating licensed child care programs in Halton. The program uses two models, the Centre Model and School Age Model, which are divided into three levels of achievement. Average Market Rate1 Burlington Halton Hills Milton Oakville Halton Infant full-day $73.15 $67.91 $76.67 $74.43 $73.55 Toddler full-day $60.54 $54.89 $60.55 $62.69 $60.88 Preschool full-day $52.68 $49.83 $54.69 $58.33 $54.71 School age before and after-school (JK-12 years) $26.67 $22.79 $23.87 $25.74 $25.28 1 A market rate is available only for licensed child care programs with a Child Care Service Management Agreement. Information from nursery school programs and licensed home child care agencies are not included in the calculation of the average market rates. The market average equals the sum of all current available values in each category divided by the total number of programs in the category. Child care need: The current outlook for Georgetown Comparing demand with the current supply of licensed spaces allows us to estimate met/unmet need. Need is calculated by taking the number of children aged 0-12 and subtracting female labour force participation and child care utilization rates. Whether an area is operating in excess or shortage of licensed child care space is shown in the table below. The number of children is based on population projections released by Ontario’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) in the summer of 2020. The base population for the projections is taken from Statistics Canada’s Census 2016. Infant Toddler Preschool School-age Market area Met/ Number of Met/ Number of Met/ Number of Met/ Number of unmet licensed child care unmet licensed child care unmet licensed child care unmet licensed child care need spaces need spaces need spaces need spaces Georgetown Equal 0 spaces Excess + 26 to 50 spaces Excess + 101 to 100 spaces Excess + Over 200 spaces Halton Hills Excess + 0 to 25 spaces Excess + 0 to 25 spaces Excess + 101 to 100 spaces Excess + Over 200 spaces Halton Excess + Over 200 spaces Excess + Over 200 spaces Excess + Over 200 spaces Excess + Over 200 spaces CHILD CARE MARKET ANALYSIS | JANUARY 2021 • 2 Supply of child care services Georgetown This map shows the location of licensed child care centres within the market area, excluding nursery school programs and licensed home child care providers, and full-day child care programs or before and after school programs licensed after January 15, 2021. Information about licensed capacity and market rate specific to each program are included with the legend on the following page. COUNTYR042 SIDEROAO 15 CAMPBELLVIL ERO STEEL HIGHWAY 401 Licensed capacity2 ($) Market rate3 1 Legend Site name CCSMA Total SA/ INF TOD PRE JK/SK SA INF TOD PRE capacity BAS 1 Apples & Angels Montessori School 1 Yes 26 0 10 16 0 0 $52.60 $50.77 $47.90 * 2 Apples & Angels Montessori School 2 Yes 24 0 0 24 0 0 * * $47.90 * 3 BrightPath Georgetown Yes 108 10 30 48 20 0 $76.32 $66.67 $59.77 * 4 Future Scholars Yes 49 10 15 24 0 0 $69.20 $54.50 $52.25 * 5 Future Scholars Schoolage Program Yes 30 0 0 0 0 30 * $24.00 6 Garderie Porte-Soleil Yes 121 0 15 24 52 30 * $42.00 $36.00 $17.75 7 Georgetown Day Care Centre Yes 63 0 15 48 0 0 $65.62 $51.77 $44.85 * 8 Georgetown Day Care Centre 2 Yes 39 0 15 0 0 24 * $51.77 * $22.00 9 Georgetown School-Age Program Yes 43 0 0 0 13 30 * * * $22.00 10 Halton Hills Child Care Centre Yes 114 10 30 48 0 26 $73.00 $64.00 $59.00 * 11 Harmony Preschool No 24 0 0 24 0 0 * * † * 12 Inkwell Montessori No 52 0 15 16 21 0 * † † * 13 Learningtree childcare corp Yes 80 10 15 55 0 0 $69.00 $56.00 $51.00 * 14 Links2Kids - Joseph Gibbons - SACC Yes 50 0 0 0 20 30 * * * $22.39 15 Links2Kids - Park School - SACC Yes 50 0 0 0 20 30 * * * $22.39 16 Maple Avenue Regional Child Care Yes 39 0 15 24 0 0 * $55.16 $50.82 * 17 The Village Montessori No 34 0 10 24 0 0 * † † * YMCA of Greater Toronto 18 Yes 167 0 0 0 52 115 * * * $23.00 - Gardiner SACC YMCA of Greater Toronto 19 Yes 141 0 0 0 26 115 * * * $23.00 - George Kennedy SACC YMCA of Greater Toronto 20 Yes 112 0 0 0 52 60 * * * $23.00 - Glen Williams YMCA of Greater Toronto 21 Yes 86 0 0 0 26 60 * * * $23.00 - Harrison SACC YMCA of Greater Toronto 22 Yes 125 0 0 0 52 73 * * * $23.00 - Holy Cross SACC YMCA of Greater Toronto 23 Yes 56 0 0 0 26 30 * * * $23.00 - Limehouse YMCA YMCA of Greater Toronto 24 Yes 56 0 0 0 26 30 * * * $23.00 - Pineview YMCA YMCA of Greater Toronto 25 Yes 193 0 0 0 52 141 * * * $23.00 - Silvercreek SACC YMCA of Greater Toronto 26 Yes 221 0 15 24 52 130 * $53.50 $45.00 $23.00 - St.