Staff Presentation October 1, 2013 Meeting Agenda

Adhoc Planning Commission Committee Review of the Virginia Square Sector Plan Virginia Square Site

• Introductions • Analysis of Office Uses in Virginia Square • Arts/Cultural Facilities in Virginia Square • Discussion of Transportation Concerns • Draft Matrix of Sector Plan Guidance • Discussion & Next steps Analysis of Office Use on Virginia Square Site • Determination that Virginia Square Site is not a critical office location • From a market perspective, Virginia Square neighborhood not a primary office cluster • Residential/mixed-use character • Large institutional presence • In between two existing/emerging primary office clusters – Ballston and Clarendon/Courthouse Analysis of Office Use on Virginia Square Site Analysis of Office Use on Virginia Square Site Analysis of Office Use on Virginia Square Site • Determination that Virginia Square Site is not a critical office location • Sufficient site capacity exists to support future expansion of primary demand driver – large institutions Analysis of Office Use on Virginia Square Site • Determination that Virginia Square Site is not a critical office location • Sector plan use guidance for this site driven in some part by assumption that office use more compatible with potential theater/cultural use • Significant cultural facility that would benefit from office use above accomplished at 3901 N Fairfax • Building form of office building would limit ability to meet other sector plan goals, as compared to a residential building • Plaza size and connectivity • Affordable housing Consideration of Office Use on Virginia Square Site Did Not Consider Short- Term Market Conditions

Projections based on known vacancies and deliveries. Source: AED; CoStar Impact of Longer Term Trends for Office Market Demand

• Changing Nature of Federal Presence • Off Shoring • Changing Nature of How We Work • Teleworking, Hoteling, Etc. • Reduced Footprint of the Office Worker • Impact of the Silver Line • Increased Office Market Competitiveness • Increased Demand for Urban, Transit-Oriented Residential Development Summary for Virginia Square (1/1/03 – 7/1/13)

Development Summary for Virginia Square

Office Retail Other Residential Hotel (GFA) (GFA) (GFA) (Units) (Rooms) Completions (1/1/2003 –7/1/2013) 803,054 66,111 165,807 881 85 Demolitions (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) 29,428 21,252 11,000 66 0 Net Increase (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) 773,626 44,859 154,807 815 85 Net Increase by Land Use (%) 40.1% 2.3% 8.0% 46.5% 3.1%

Under Construction (as of 7/1/2013) 0 12,815 0 535 0 Approved (as of 7/1/2013) 311,176 14,200 63,985 0 0

Net Increase + Under Construction + Approved 1,084,802 71,874 218,792 1,350 85 Net Increase + Under Construction + Approved by Land Use (%) 37.2% 2.4% 7.5% 50.8% 2.0%

Virginia Square Sites with Remaining Office Capacity

Development Activity Summary for Virginia Square Summary of Development Activity for Virginia Square Table Residential Number Office (SF) Retail (SF) Other (SF) (Units) Hotel (Rooms) Completions (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) Table 1 803,054 66,111 165,807 881 85 Demolitions (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) Table 2 29,428 21,252 11,000 66 0 Net Increase (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) 773,626 44,859 154,807 815 85

Under Construction 0 12,815 0 535 0 Table 3 Net Under Construction 0 12,815 0 535 0

Approvals 311,176 14,200 195,985 0 0 Table 4 Net Approvals 311,176 14,200 63,985 0 0

Net Increase (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) + Net Under 1,084,802 71,874 218,792 1,350 85 Construction + Net Approvals

Office sites with redevelopment potential* 868,040 Not Calculated Not Calculated Not Calculated Not Calculated

Demolitions from that scenario 220,805 46,524 0 1 44 Net Increase in office site redevelopment scenario 647,235 -46,524 0 -1 -44

Net Increase (1/1/2003 - 7/1/2013) + Net Under Construction + Net Approvals + Net Remaining 1,732,037 - - - - Office Capacity Scenario Virginia Square Arts/Cultural Facilities Transportation

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The Metro system’s core is the destination or transfer point for 80 per cent of all rail riders system-wide. Crowded conditions during peak periods exist currently.

Source: Momentum: The Next Generation of Metro, Strategic Plan 2013—2025. WMATA, January 2013. Average daily boardings, Virginia Square Metro station, 1980—2013

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Source: WMATA ridership data, prepared by Crystal Reports, revised 6/2013 Virginia Square Metro station in context Average weekday boardings at Virginia Square for May 2013: 3,695 Rank: 71st of 86 stations Average weekday boardings, Metrorail system, May 2013: 725,770

Average weekday boardings, Arlington stations, May 2013 Pentagon 16,324 Rosslyn 15,632 Pentagon City 15,589 Crystal City 12,594 Ballston 11,590 Court House 7,690 National Airport 6,561 Clarendon 4,829 East Falls Church 4,108 Virginia Square 3,695 Arlington Cemetery 1,768

Rank for Arlington: 10th of 11 stations

Source: WMATA ridership data, prepared by Crystal Reports, revised 6/2013 Metro at Virginia Square: Morning entries

Morning peak entries: 1723 Direction: West on orange line: 2.6% Maryland: 3.0% Arlington east and south: 12.6% Alexandria and south: 2.0% Washington: 79.5%

Principal destinations: Farragut West: 301 Foggy Bottom: 187 McPherson Square: 185 Metro Center: 145 Rosslyn: 103 Union Station: 94

Six stations account for 60% of morning riders. Source: PlanIt Metro, May 2012 data released by WMATA on October 31, 2012 Metro at Virginia Square: Morning exits Morning peak exits: 784 Direction: From west on orange line: 23.4% From Maryland: 25.0% From Arlington east and south: 13.4% From Alexandria and south: 6.4% From Washington: 31.3% Principal origins: Vienna: 86 West Falls Church: 57 New Carrollton: 37 Rosslyn: 35 Union Station: 34 Foggy Bottom 24

Six stations account for 35% of morning riders exiting at Virginia Square.

Source: PlanIt Metro, May 2012 data released by WMATA on October 31, 2012 Metro Station Balance: AM Peak Showing station balance during the AM Peak period (May 2012) Shady Grove ~ En tering passengers

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Source: Greater Greater Washington, November 29, 2012, based upon WMATA ridership data for May 2012 Most balanced stations, morning peak

Metro station balance: AM Peak Rank Station Entries Exits Balance 1 Bethesda 3,278 3,269 1.003 2 Pentagon 6,479 6,954 1.07 3 Brookland 2,075 1,914 1.08 4 King Street 2,986 2,712 1.10 5 Mt Vernon Square 1,157 1,323 1.14 6 Crystal City 4,105 4,912 1.20 7 Tenleytown 1,849 2,218 1.20 8 Ballston 4,441 3,656 1.21 9 Union Station 9,712 12,030 1.24 10 Waterfront 1,334 1,015 1.31

(N. B. To acquire balance ratio, divide the larger number by the smaller number.)

Source: Greater Greater Washington, November 29, 2012, based upon WMATA ridership data for May 2012 Least balanced stations, morning peak

Metro station balance: AM Peak Rank Station Entries Exits Balance 77 Vienna 9,614 768 12.5 78 Branch Avenue 4,828 380 12.7 79 Huntington 6,298 486 13.0 80 Judiciary Square 486 6,515 13.4 81 Farragut North 1,232 16,754 13.6 82 Archives 391 5,596 14.3 83 Arlington 20 303 14.9 Cemetery 84 Glenmont 4,280 236 18.1 85 Smithsonian 323 5,938 18.4 86 Federal Triangle 210 6,617 31.5 System average, morning peak: 5.8

Virginia Square 1723 784 2.2

Source: Greater Greater Washington, November 29, 2012, based upon WMATA ridership data for May 2012 1.1 Goals and Standards The objectives of WMATA's joint development program are to: 1. Promote Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) by giving priority to joint development proposals that contain the following smart growth development principles: reduce automobile dependency; increase pedestrian/bicycle originated transit trips; foster safe station areas; enhance surrounding area connections to transit stations, including bus access; follow good land use principles, including establishing density near transit; provide mixed-use development, including housing in compliance with local laws and requirements; and the promote opportunity to obtain goods and services near transit stations and offer active public spaces. 2. Attract new riders to the transit system-particularly riders who will use underutilized transit capacity in outbound directions and in off-peak time periods by fostering commercial and residential development projects on WMATA-owned or controlled land and on private properties adjacent to Metro stations. 3. Where appropriate to station setting, market dynamics, and local policy, support the establishment of employment centers consistent with TOD design principles and transit system operating and investment needs.

Source: Joint Development Policies and Guidelines, Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority, Office of Property Development & Management, Revised: July 25, 2013 Metro “K” line station, platform design

Source: WMATA (1977)

Ballston Virginia Square Station length: 600’ Station length: 600’ Platform width: 13’ 5-3/8” Platform width: 13’ 5-3/8”

Clarendon Farragut West Station length: 600’ Station length: 600’ Platform width: 13’ 5-3/8” Platform width: 13’ 5-3/8”

Source: WMATA Metro “K” line station, mezzanine layout

Source: WMATA (N.D.) Ballston Virginia Square Nine fare gates Six fare gates

Clarendon Farragut West Four fare gates 18+ fare gates

Average weekday boardings, May 2013. Source: WMATA Ballston Virginia Square 11,590 daily boardings 3,695 daily boardings

Clarendon Farragut West 4,829 daily boardings 22,545 daily boardings

Average weekday boardings, May 2013. Source: WMATA Metrorail railcar capacity

Car Length: 75 feet Car Width: 10 feet Car Height: 11.8 feet

Railcars in the 1000 to 6000 series (total = 1,126): Seating capacity: 64—82 Total Capacity: 175

Railcars in the proposed 7000 series (total = 748). 138 of these are expected for the Silver line: Seating capacity: 58—68 Total Capacity: 175—192 (depending upon seating configuration) Source: WMATA When is a railcar crowded?

•Acceptable: < 100 passengers per car •Crowded: 100-120 ppc •Overcrowded: > 120 ppc

“The Orange Line is Metro’s second busiest, carrying approximately 180,000 passenger trips on a typical weekday. In a phenomenon known as “Orange Crush,” peak trains on the Orange Line between Court House and Rosslyn carry more passengers Source: WMATA news release issued March 19, 2012, per car than anywhere else on the and posted on wmata.com system.”

Metro describes the Orange line as currently “crowded”, meaning 100 to 120 passengers per car, during weekday mornings in the peak period, peak direction, between Court House and Foggy Bottom stations.

Source: Momentum: The Next Generation of Metro, Strategic Plan 2013—2025. WMATA, January 2013. Metrorail service at Virginia Square, during peak period

•2002: all six-car trains •June 2012: 33% eight-car trains •Feb. 2014, Silver line: 100% six-car trains •Feb. 2014, Orange line: 50% eight-car trains •2020: all eight-car trains, all lines

Sources: E-mail from Shi (Shelley) Xie, Director of Rail Operations Planning and Scheduling, WMATA, July 2, 2013. (right) Momentum: The Next Generation of Metro, Strategic Plan 2013—2025. WMATA, January 2013. WMATA short term strategies: add more train service

Source: Customer Service and Operations Committee Information Item IV-A: Silver Line Operating Plan, Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority, December 6, 2012 WMATA long term strategies: Expand to All Eight-Car Trains During Peak

According to Metro projections, if no improvements are made, conditions will worsen to “extremely crowded” (over 120 passengers per car) between these locations on the Orange and Silver lines by 2020. With expansion to all eight-car trains during peak periods, Metro railcars will remain “crowded,” but still within capacity, until 2040.

Source: Momentum: The Next Generation of Metro, Strategic Plan 2013—2025. WMATA, January 2013. WMATA long term strategies: Add

Capacity at Rosslyn Option 1 Addressing the Rosslyn chokepoint is one of seven capital projects identified in the “Metro 2025” recommendations of WMATA’s Momentum plan. Two options: 1. Build a “wye” at Rosslyn, a track connection so that trains from Tysons Corner or Vienna could turn south and head for Arlington Cemetery, and vice versa. The wye at Rosslyn would also let Metro add rail service between the Blue-Yellow corridor and the Orange- Silver corridor. Some trains going through Arlington Option 2 Cemetery would go toward downtown, as the Blue Line does today, while some trains would turn west and run through Ballston and Tysons Corner.

2. The other option is to build a new station at Rosslyn with separate platforms for the Blue Line.

Source: Momentum: The Next Generation of Metro, Strategic Plan 2013—2025. WMATA, January 2013.

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-~- @- ®==--- ®=- Metrorail Silver line

Phase 1 of the Silver line is an 11-mile, 5-station extension of the Metrorail system, the first extension since 2004. The Silver line will operate between the new Wiehle-Reston East station and the Largo Town Center station, serving the four new stations in Tysons Corner, merging with the Orange line west of the East Falls Church station, operating on the existing Orange and Blue lines through downtown, and terminating at the Largo Town Center station. Silver line trains will operate every 6 minutes during peak periods, and every 12 – 20 minutes during off-peak and late-night. Changes to Orange line: There will be a reduction of some peak period rail trips between Vienna and West Falls Church stations as a result of the projected passenger shifts to the new Silver line. All service initiating at Vienna will terminate at New Carrollton station.

Source: Customer Service and Operations Committee Information Item IV-A: Silver Line Operating Plan, Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority, December 6, 2012 Silver line, projected ridership

The projected net new average monthly ridership on the Silver line is approximately 740,000. In addition, it is expected that some current Metrorail riders will shift their travel patterns and begin using Silver line stations.

Source: Finance & Administration Committee Information Item IV-A: FY2014 Operating Budget Discussion. Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority, October 11, 2012 Residential project (Latitude): projected Metrorail impacts 265 units with a normalized occupancy of 95% = 252 1.1 transit trips per unit per day = 277 trips/day Transit mode split = 80% Metrorail (Orange and Silver), 20% bus (Metro 38B, ART 41, 42, 75) = 221 rail trips, and 56 bus trips/day

Daily Metrorail trip distribution (221 trips):

TIME PCT. TOTAL TRIPS INBOUND (80%) OUTBOUND (20%) a.m. peak* 40% 88 trips 70 18 Daytime off-peak 15% 33 trips 26 7 p.m. peak** 35% 77 trips 62 15 Evening off-peak 10% 22 trips 18 4

In the a.m. peak, the additional 70 persons corresponds to an average of 23 additional persons per hour in the inbound direction. With the introduction of Silver line service, Metrorail will run 21 Orange and Silver line trains per hour in each direction through Virginia Square, during peak periods. The added 23 persons per hour would mean an additional 1.1 persons per train during the morning peak period, on average.

*a.m. peak is 6:00 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. **p.m. peak is 3:30 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. Commercial office project: projected Metrorail impacts Assume commercial development: 190,000 s.f. office Assume 0% vacancy

Assuming a 34% transit mode split, this project would generate 744 average weekday Metrorail trips at Virginia Square.

TIME TRIPS Boarding Alighting a.m. peak 106 trips/hr 12 94 p.m. peak 99 trips/hr 82 17

With the introduction of Silver line service, Metrorail will run 21 Orange and Silver trains per hour in each direction through Virginia Square, during peak periods. The added 94 persons per hour would mean an additional 4.5 persons per train alighting at the station during the morning peak period, on average. The 12 boardings per hour would mean less than one person per train (0.6).

*a.m. peak is 6:00 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. **p.m. peak is 3:30 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. Virginia Square Towers project: projected Metrorail impacts 534 units with a normalized occupancy of 95% = 507 1.1 transit trips per unit per day = 558 trips/day Transit mode split = 80% Metrorail (Orange and Silver), 20% bus (Metro 38B, ART 41, 42, 75) = 446 rail trips, and 112 bus trips/day

Daily Metrorail trip distribution (446 trips):

TIME PCT. TOTAL TRIPS INBOUND (80%) OUTBOUND (20%) a.m. peak* 40% 179 trips 143 36 Daytime off-peak 15% 67 trips 54 13 p.m. peak** 35% 156 trips 125 31 Evening off-peak 10% 45 trips 36 9

In the a.m. peak, the additional 143 persons corresponds to an average of 48 additional persons per hour in the inbound direction. With the introduction of Silver line service, Metrorail will run 21 Orange and Silver line trains per hour in each direction through Virginia Square, during peak periods. The added 48 persons per hour would mean an additional 2.3 persons per train during the morning peak period, on average.

*a.m. peak is 6:00 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. **p.m. peak is 3:30 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. Garage Parking

Total Number of Spaces 262 Standard Spaces 217 Compact Spaces 36 Handicap Spaces 9 Shared Parking Spaces 23 Residential Parking Ratio 0.9 “C-O” Required Residential Parking Ratio 1:1 Virginia Square Sector Plan Recommendation Matrix • Handout – Lists guidance within the context of larger sector plan goals – Preliminary analysis of the goals, objectives, and specific recommendations and guidelines that are pertinent to the Virginia Square site Questions & Comments?