Telecom Services | CHINA NOMURA INTERNATIONAL (HK) LIMITED Danny Chu, CFA +852 2252 6209
[email protected] Leping Huang, PhD +852 2252 1598
[email protected] NEW THEME Action Stocks for action We believe China’s telecom service operators will find themselves in uncharted BUY China Unicom, where benefits territory in FY11F: 1) Unicom needs to stay focused with initial success achieved in from WCDMA are gradually the 3G business; 2) China Mobile attempts to regain its technological leadership surfacing. BUY China Mobile, where with TD-LTE and mobile wallet; 3) China Telecom hopes to emerge financially we expect a re-rating. We are unscathed with a potential tough iPhone negotiation with dominant Apple. China NEUTRAL on China Telecom due to Unicom looks best positioned to take advantage of the operating environment and a lack of positive catalysts. remains our top pick. Our preference is Unicom > China Mobile > China Telecom. Catalysts Price Price Stock Rating (HK$) target Better-than-expected financial results, growth of DPS in absolute terms, increase in China Mobile (941 HK) BUY 73.05 95.00 market share, and higher-than-expected subscriber growth are potential catalysts. China Telecom (728 HK) NEUTRAL 4.58 4.80 China Unicom (762 HK) BUY 13.00 15.80↑ Anchor themes Pricing as of 28 February 2011 Gradual blossoming of smartphone usage, rising mobile data usage and maturing 3G network coverage will put telecom operators back on the growth track. Venturing into uncharted territory Analysts Danny Chu, CFA China Unicom learning to compete with a winning attitude +852 2252 6209
[email protected] After years of competing as an underdog, we believe it is time for China Unicom to move its 3G mobile business forward swiftly with RMB1,000-priced smartphones Leping Huang, PhD and popular Apple products.