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TONY CZARNECKI POSTHUMANS - II Democracy For a Human Federation REFORMING DEMOCRACY FOR HUMANITY’S COEXISTENCE WITH SUPERINTELLIGENCE London, July 2020 Democracy for a Human Federation Reforming Democracy for Humanity’s Coexistence with Superintelligence © Tony Czarnecki 2020 The right of Tony Czarnecki to be identified as the author of this book has been asserted in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. This edition, July 2020 First published in 2019 by Sustensis ISBN: 9781689622332 London, July 2020 For any questions or comments please visit: http://www.sustensis.co.uk 2 For my grandson Leon 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS POSTHUMANS - II ................................................................................................................................ 1 FOREWORD TO POSTHUMANS SERIES ........................................................................................ 7 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................... 8 PART 1 A PERILOUS ROAD TOWARDS A HUMAN FEDERATION ........................................ 11 CHAPTER 1 HUMANITY AT A TURNING POINT ........................................................................ 12 WHAT MAKES US HUMAN? ................................................................................................................. 12 LIVING IN THE WORLD OF EXPONENTIAL CHANGE ............................................................................. 13 IS THIS THE END OF HISTORY? ............................................................................................................ 18 MAN-MADE EXISTENTIAL RISKS ........................................................................................................ 19 WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN IF WE JUST KEEP GOING ON? .................................................................. 24 CHAPTER 2 SUPERINTELLIGENCE .............................................................................................. 26 HOW TO CREATE SUPERINTELLIGENCE? ............................................................................................ 26 WHAT MIGHT SUPERINTELLIGENCE LOOK LIKE? ............................................................................... 29 HOW MIGHT SUPERINTELLIGENCE BECOME CONSCIOUS? .................................................................. 30 WHEN WILL A MATURE SUPERINTELLIGENCE EMERGE? .................................................................... 33 WHAT MAY BE THE RISK OF SUPERINTELLIGENCE TO HUMANS? ........................................................ 36 CHAPTER 3 FROM IMMATURE SUPERINTELLIGENCE TO NOVACENE ........................... 39 LIVING IN THE AGE OF IMMATURE SUPERINTELLIGENCE ................................................................... 39 HOW THE ‘AI CONTROL DILEMMA’ MAY BRING PEACE TO THE WORLD? ............................................ 43 THE TWILIGHT OF ANTHROPOCENE ................................................................................................... 45 CHAPTER 4 WHO WILL FIGHT FOR THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY? ................................... 48 DO WE NEED THE WORLD GOVERNMENT? ......................................................................................... 48 WHY IS THE EU THE BEST TO CANDIDATE FOR A HUMAN FEDERATION? ........................................... 51 KEY STEPS TOWARDS DEMOCRACY FOR THE HUMAN FEDERATION ................................................... 54 PART 2 DEMOCRACY IN CRISIS ................................................................................................... 57 CHAPTER 1 WHAT’S WRONG WITH DEMOCRACY? ............................................................... 58 GOVERNMENT OF THE PEOPLE – A BROKEN PROMISE? ....................................................................... 58 STRUCTURAL CRACKS IN TODAY’S DEMOCRACY ............................................................................... 61 SOCIAL ATOMISATION........................................................................................................................ 61 GENERATIONAL WAR ......................................................................................................................... 62 THE ‘ELITES’ OR ‘US VERSUS THEM’ .................................................................................................. 62 CLINGING TO POWER ......................................................................................................................... 62 CORRUPTION...................................................................................................................................... 63 POLITICAL DYNASTIES ...................................................................................................................... 63 SYMMETRISM IN POLITICAL DEBATES ................................................................................................ 63 LONG DECISION-MAKING PROCESS .................................................................................................... 64 HAS DEMOCRACY PAST ITS SELL-BY DATE? ....................................................................................... 65 CHAPTER 2 WHY DO WE NEED DEMOCRACY? ........................................................................ 67 IS THERE AN ALTERNATIVE TO DEMOCRACY? .................................................................................... 67 HAPPINESS - THE KEY PURPOSE OF DEMOCRACY ................................................................................ 68 THE PRINCIPLES OF DEMOCRACY ...................................................................................................... 69 CHAPTER 3 THE PROS AND CONS OF TYPES OF DEMOCRACY .......................................... 74 WHAT IS MISSING IN CURRENT DEMOCRATIC SYSTEMS? .................................................................... 74 CONSTITUTIONAL MONARCHY .......................................................................................................... 76 DIRECT DEMOCRACY ......................................................................................................................... 77 PARLIAMENTARY DEMOCRACY ......................................................................................................... 78 A REPUBLICAN SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT ......................................................................................... 79 PRESIDENTIAL DEMOCRACY .............................................................................................................. 80 E-DEMOCRACY .................................................................................................................................. 80 A TRANSPARTISAN DEMOCRACY – THE DANISH ALTERNATIVET ...................................................... 81 CHAPTER 4 CITIZENS’ ASSEMBLIES - A NEW TOOL FOR DEMOCRACY .......................... 84 WHAT ARE CITIZENS’ ASSEMBLIES? .................................................................................................. 84 WHAT IS A CITIZENS’ CHAMBER? ...................................................................................................... 86 ADVANTAGES OF CITIZENS’ ASSEMBLY ............................................................................................ 88 DISADVANTAGES OF CITIZENS’ ASSEMBLY SYSTEM .......................................................................... 90 CONCLUSIONS ON CITIZENS’ ASSEMBLIES ......................................................................................... 92 REFERENDUM VERSUS A CITIZENS’ ASSEMBLY ................................................................................. 93 CHAPTER 5 THE NEED TO RESHAPE THE ELECTORAL SYSTEM ....................................... 97 CURRENT ELECTORAL SYSTEMS IN WESTERN DEMOCRACIES ............................................................. 97 SHOULD EVERYONE’S VOTE BE EQUAL?........................................................................................... 101 AI-BASED ELECTORAL SOLUTIONS ................................................................................................... 103 A POLITICAL QUIZ FOR ELECTIONS ................................................................................................... 104 PART 3 CONSENSUAL PRESIDENTIAL DEMOCRACY .......................................................... 107 CHAPTER 1 FOUR PILLARS OF CONSENSUAL PRESIDENTIAL DEMOCRACY .............. 108 CHAPTER 2 BALANCED RIGHTS AND RESPONSIBILITIES – PILLAR 1 ............................ 110 WHAT ARE VALUES? ........................................................................................................................ 110 WHAT ARE RIGHTS? ......................................................................................................................... 111 UNIVERSAL VALUES OF HUMANITY ................................................................................................ 112 FREEDOM ......................................................................................................................................... 113 DEMOCRACY.................................................................................................................................... 115 EQUALITY ........................................................................................................................................ 115 OTHER UNIVERSAL VALUES OF HUMANITY ...................................................................................