2014 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts

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2014 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts Federal Aviation Administration 2014 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts May 2014 FAA Commercial Space Transportation (AST) and the Commercial Space Transportation Advisory Committee (COMSTAC) 2014 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts $ERXWWKH)$$2IÀFHRI&RPPHUFLDO6SDFH7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ 5IF'FEFSBM"WJBUJPO"ENJOJTUSBUJPOT0Gm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4BUFMMJUFT $PNNFSDJBM 3FNPUF 4FOTJOH 4BUFMMJUFT 47 $PNNFSDJBM $BSHP BOE $SFX 5SBOTQPSUBUJPO 4FSWJDFT 55 0UIFS $PNNFSDJBMMZ -BVODIFE 4BUFMMJUFT 61 5FDIOPMPHZ 5FTU BOE %FNPOTUSBUJPO -BVODIFT 6 .*$304"5&--*5&4 64 4"5&--*5& "/% -"6/$) '03&$"45 53&/%4 68 -"6/$) 7&)*$-&4 5:1*$"--: 64&% '03 /(40 .*44*0/4 72 LL 2014 Commercial Space Transportation Forecasts 3*4, '"$5034 5)"5 "''&$5 4"5&--*5& "/% -"6/$) %&."/% 7 'JOBODJBM 6ODFSUBJOUZ 7 1PMJUJDBM 6ODFSUBJOUZ 7 5FDIOJDBM 6ODFSUBJOUZ 74 "11&/%*9 1 )*4503*$"- (40 4"5&--*5&4 "/% -"6/$)&4 76 "11&/%*9 2 )*4503*$"- /(40 ."3,&5 "44&44.&/54 84 "11&/%*9 7&)*$-& 4*;&4 "/% 03#*54 88 "11&/%*9 4 ."44 $-"44&4 '03 (40 "/% /(40 1":-0"%4 88 "11&/%*9 5 "$30/:.4 8 List of Tables 5BCMF 1 $PNNFSDJBM 4QBDF 5SBOTQPSUBUJPO 1BZMPBE BOE -BVODI 'PSFDBTUT 2 5BCMF 2 'PSFDBTU $PNNFSDJBM (40 4BUFMMJUF BOE -BVODI %FNBOE 6 5BCMF 21 (40 'PSFDBTU 5FBN 6 5BCMF 4 "EESFTTBCMF BOE 6OBEESFTTBCMF 4BUFMMJUFT 4JODF 24 8 5BCMF 5 4BUFMMJUF .BTT $MBTT $BUFHPSJ[BUJPO 5BCMF 6 5PUBM 4BUFMMJUF 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