2012 Primary Election Voters' Guide
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Gone Rogue: Time to Reform the Presidential Primary Debates
Joan Shorenstein Center on the Press, Politics and Public Policy Discussion Paper Series #D-67, January 2012 Gone Rogue: Time to Reform the Presidential Primary Debates by Mark McKinnon Shorenstein Center Reidy Fellow, Fall 2011 Political Communications Strategist Vice Chairman Hill+Knowlton Strategies Research Assistant: Sacha Feinman © 2012 President and Fellows of Harvard College. All rights reserved. How would the course of history been altered had P.T. Barnum moderated the famed Lincoln-Douglas debates in 1858? Today’s ultimate showman and on-again, off-again presidential candidate Donald Trump invited the Republican presidential primary contenders to a debate he planned to moderate and broadcast over the Christmas holidays. One of a record 30 such debates and forums held or scheduled between May 2011 and March 2012, this, more than any of the previous debates, had the potential to be an embarrassing debacle. Trump “could do a lot of damage to somebody,” said Karl Rove, the architect of President George W. Bush’s 2000 and 2004 campaigns, in an interview with Greta Van Susteren of Fox News. “And I suspect it’s not going to be to the candidate that he’s leaning towards. This is a man who says himself that he is going to run— potentially run—for the president of the United States starting next May. Why do we have that person moderating a debate?” 1 Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the 2008 Republican nominee for president, also reacted: “I guarantee you, there are too many debates and we have lost the focus on what the candidates’ vision for America is.. -
Codebook Indiveu – Party Preferences
Codebook InDivEU – party preferences European University Institute, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies December 2020 Introduction The “InDivEU – party preferences” dataset provides data on the positions of more than 400 parties from 28 countries1 on questions of (differentiated) European integration. The dataset comprises a selection of party positions taken from two existing datasets: (1) The EU Profiler/euandi Trend File The EU Profiler/euandi Trend File contains party positions for three rounds of European Parliament elections (2009, 2014, and 2019). Party positions were determined in an iterative process of party self-placement and expert judgement. For more information: https://cadmus.eui.eu/handle/1814/65944 (2) The Chapel Hill Expert Survey The Chapel Hill Expert Survey contains party positions for the national elections most closely corresponding the European Parliament elections of 2009, 2014, 2019. Party positions were determined by expert judgement. For more information: https://www.chesdata.eu/ Three additional party positions, related to DI-specific questions, are included in the dataset. These positions were determined by experts involved in the 2019 edition of euandi after the elections took place. The inclusion of party positions in the “InDivEU – party preferences” is limited to the following issues: - General questions about the EU - Questions about EU policy - Questions about differentiated integration - Questions about party ideology 1 This includes all 27 member states of the European Union in 2020, plus the United Kingdom. How to Cite When using the ‘InDivEU – Party Preferences’ dataset, please cite all of the following three articles: 1. Reiljan, Andres, Frederico Ferreira da Silva, Lorenzo Cicchi, Diego Garzia, Alexander H. -
These Two Anti-LGBT Republicans May Run for Senate in 2018
Democratic Candidates for AG BY KATE OPALEWSKI a tremendous amount of inluence over issues Republican candidates so far are House relevant to LGBTQ people and their families. Speaker Tom Leonard and state Senator Tonya emocrats are ielding candidates this That’s why the MDP’s nomination for Schuitmaker. year as they seize their moment to attorney general is so important for the Nessel is recognized as one of the premier Dwin back the state of Michigan before LGBTQ community. Accepting and voting for litigators of LGBTQ issues in the state and is the next round of redistricting starts in 2020. a person who believes in anything less than full known for taking the precedent-setting case Four statewide ofices are up for election in equality for all people irrespective of sexual DeBoer v. Snyder to the Supreme Court to win 2018 - senator, governor, secretary of state orientation or gender identity is not an option. same-sex couples the right to marry in 2015. and attorney general. There is no primary election this year for She has been adversarial at times, pushing Election 2018 While several attorneys general nationwide down ballot races so the MDP will nominate the LGBTQ community to take risks in the have been proactive in the ight against anti- under state law their attorney general candidate ight for equal rights. While not everyone has LGBTQ efforts, for the last five years in during a nomination convention Aug. 25-26 agreed with her strategy or tactics along the Michigan, Republican Attorney General Bill in Lansing. The nominee – which will be pre- way, Nessel said, “No one can question my Schuette has derailed any efforts made to determined during an endorsement convention commitment to helping the community in any extend rights to LGBTQ citizens. -
Calvert County Presidential Primary Election Unofficial Results
2012 Calvert County Presidential Primary Election Unofficial Results www.co.cal.md.us NOTE: For state and federal offices, Calvert County’s results are not necessarily indicative of statewide results. Votes listed in green indicate that candidate received the most votes in Calvert County. Preliminary Results: 27 of 27 reporting President of the United States Unofficial Results www.co.cal.md.us Calvert County Unofficial Results President of the United States Democratic Candidates # of Votes BARACK OBAMA Illinois 2946 Unopposed Uncommitted to Any Presidential 626 Candidate www.co.cal.md.us Calvert County Unofficial Results President of the United States Republican Candidates # of Votes NEWT GRINGRICH ‐ Virginia 665 JON HUNTSMAN ‐ Utah 28 FRED KARGER ‐ California 7 RON PAUL ‐ Texas 391 www.co.cal.md.us Calvert County Unofficial Results President of the United States Republican Candidates (cont.) # of Votes RICK PERRY –Texas 26 BUDDY ROEMER –Utah 12 MITT ROMNEY – Massachusetts 2834 RICK SANTORUM – Pennsylvania 1733 www.co.cal.md.us U.S. Senator Unofficial Results www.co.cal.md.us Calvert County Unofficial Results U.S. Senator Democratic Candidates # of Votes RAYMOND LEVI BLAGMON 78 BEN CARDIN 2412 J.P. CUSICK 81 CHRIS GARNER 151 RALPH JAFFE 33 www.co.cal.md.us Calvert County Unofficial Results U.S. Senator Democratic Candidates (cont.) # of Votes C. ANTHONY MUSE 610 BLAINE TAYLOR 38 ED TINUS 13 LIH YOUNG 52 www.co.cal.md.us Calvert County Unofficial Results U.S. Senator Republican Candidates # of Votes JOSEPH ALEXANDER 394 DANIEL JOHN BONGINO 1564 ROBERT “BRO” BROADUS 219 WILLIAM THOMAS CAPPS, JR 188 RICHARD J. -
Evidence from a Political Scandal in Bavaria
Ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Just hire your spouse! Evidence from a political scandal in Bavaria Björn Kauder Niklas Potrafke Ifo Working Paper No. 194 December 2014 An electronic version of the paper may be downloaded from the Ifo website www.cesifo-group.de. Ifo Working Paper No. 194 Just hire your spouse! Evidence from a political scandal in Bavaria This paper has been accepted for publication in the European Journal of Political Economy Abstract We investigate a case of political favoritism. Some members of the Bavarian parliament hired relatives as office employees who were paid using taxpayers’ money. The family scandal was a hot issue in the German media because of the upcoming state and federal elections. We examine whether being involved in the scandal influenced re-election prospects and voter turnout. The results do not show that being involved in the scandal influenced the outcome and voter turnout of the 2013 state elections. Voters did not appear to punish the incumbent government because the reigning CSU endorses Bavarian identity and managed to overcome the family scandal, as the CSU already managed to overcome previous scandals. JEL Code: D72, H7, A13. Keywords: Political scandal, favoritism, nepotism, re-election prospects, voter turnout. Björn Kauder Niklas Potrafke Ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for University of Munich, Economic Research Ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for at the University of Munich Economic Research Poschingerstr. 5 at the University of Munich 81679 Munich, Germany Poschingerstr. 5 Phone: +49(0)89/9224-1331 81679 Munich, Germany [email protected] Phone: +49(0)89/9224-1319 [email protected] 1. -
Afd) a New Actor in the German Party System
INTERNATIONAL POLICY ANALYSIS Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) A New Actor in the German Party System MARCEL LEWANDOWSKY March 2014 The Alternative für Deutschland (AfD – Alternative for Germany) is a new party in the conservative/economic liberal spectrum of the German party system. At present it is a broad church encompassing various political currents, including classic ordo-liberals, as well as euro-sceptics, conservatives and right-wingers of different stripes. The AfD has not yet defined its political platform, which is still shaped by periodic flare-ups of different groups positioning themselves within the party or by individual members. The AfD’s positions are mainly critical of Europe and the European Union. It advo- cates winding up the euro area, restoration of national currencies or small currency unions and renationalisation of decision-making processes in the EU. When it comes to values it represents conservative positions. As things stand at the moment, given its rudimentary political programme, the AfD is not a straightforward right-wing populist party in the traditional sense. The populist tag stems largely from the party’s campaigning, in which it poses as the mouthpiece of »the people« and of the »silent majority«. With regard to its main topics, the AfD functions as a centre-right protest party. At the last Bundestag election in 2013 it won voters from various political camps. First studies show that although its sympathisers regard themselves as occupying the political centre, they represent very conservative positions on social and integra- tion-policy issues. Marcel Lewandowsky | ALternativE füR DEutschland (AfD) Content 1. Origins and Development. -
The Economist/Yougov Poll
The Economist/YouGov Poll Sample 2000 General Population Respondents Conducted July 31 - August 4, 2015 Margin of Error ±2.9% 1. Some people seem to follow what’s going on in government and public affairs most of the time, whether there’s an election going on or not. Others aren’t that interested. Would you say you follow what’s going on in government and public affairs ... ? Most of the time . 45% Some of the time . 32% Only now and then . .13% Hardly at all . 9% Don’t know . .1% 2. Would you say things in this country today are... Generally headed in the right direction . 30% Off on the wrong track . 56% Not sure . 14% 3. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people? Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Don’t favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable know Joe Biden 14% 27% 15% 26% 17% Lincoln Chafee 2% 10% 12% 14% 62% Hillary Clinton 21% 23% 10% 39% 7% Martin O’Malley 3% 13% 14% 14% 56% Bernie Sanders 15% 15% 14% 21% 36% Jim Webb 3% 13% 14% 11% 58% 1 The Economist/YouGov Poll 4. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people? Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Don’t favorable favorable unfavorable unfavorable know Jeb Bush 9% 25% 21% 28% 17% Ben Carson 14% 18% 12% 16% 40% Chris Christie 6% 22% 24% 27% 22% Ted Cruz 11% 20% 14% 26% 29% Carly Fiorina 9% 16% 12% 17% 45% Jim Gilmore 3% 8% 11% 12% 66% Lindsey Graham 4% 16% 19% 22% 39% Mike Huckabee 9% 22% 18% 25% 26% Bobby Jindal 7% 18% 14% 21% 40% John Kasich 6% 14% 13% 13% 53% George Pataki 2% 14% 17% 15% 52% Rand Paul 8% 26% 20% 19% 28% Rick Perry 7% 23% 15% 25% 30% Marco Rubio 11% 23% 15% 21% 30% Rick Santorum 6% 20% 16% 25% 33% Donald Trump 20% 16% 11% 44% 8% Scott Walker 14% 16% 10% 22% 37% 5. -
Marginals [PDF]
Suffolk University/7NEWS Likely NH Republican Presidential Primary Voters POLL IS EMBARGOED UNTIL TUESDAY, JUNE 28, AT 11:15 PM NH Statewide REG N= 400 100% Hillsborough ................................... 1 ( 1/ 91) 118 30% Rockingham ..................................... 2 92 23% North/West ..................................... 3 90 23% Central ........................................ 4 100 25% START Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for 7NEWS/Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions? N= 400 100% Continue ....................................... 1 ( 1/ 93) 400 100% GEND RECORD GENDER N= 400 100% Male ........................................... 1 ( 1/ 94) 201 50% Female ......................................... 2 199 50% S2 S2. How likely are you to vote in the Republican Presidential primary in January of 2012? N= 400 100% Very likely .................................... 1 ( 1/ 95) 326 82% Somewhat likely ................................ 2 37 9% 50/50 .......................................... 3 37 9% Not very likely ................................ 4 0 0% Not at all likely .............................. 5 0 0% Other/Dk/RF .................................... 6 0 0% S3 S3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, Unenrolled/ Independent, something else or are you not registered to vote? N= 400 100% Democrat ..................................... 1 ( 1/ 98) 35 9% Republican .................................... -
SYNOPTIC ELECTIONS Mike Simpson 2002; Revised AJE 2013, 2015, 2016
SYNOPTIC ELECTIONS Mike Simpson 2002; revised AJE 2013, 2015, 2016 Contents Introduction p2 Election Systems p2 Candidate Selection p7 Campaigns p20 The Role of the Media p24 Campaign Finance p26 Voting Behaviour p42 Turnout p62 Issues affecting representation & participation – reform proposals p67 Page 1 Introduction In any system of democracy, elections are likely to have a vital role to play. If Lincoln's “rule of the people, by the people, for the people” is to be achieved, the public must be involved in politics. In a representative democracy this is most likely to be achieved via the use of elections. Elections serve several vital purposes in a democracy; 1. They encourage participation which must be regarded as essential in any democracy. 2. They provide for representation of the people's views. 3. They are a means of providing a government. 4. They also serve as a means of holding that government to account and as means of replacing it. 5. They are a means of recruitment of talented and committed people into the political elite who provide the Executive. The UK and the US whilst both, legitimately, claiming to be liberal democracies have very different arrangements for elections. These differences have a profound impact upon the nature of government and politics in these countries as a consequence. ELECTION SYSTEMS Overview Similarities The US and the UK both use First Past The Post – the Single Member Simple Plurality voting system. This is most obvious in elections to the House of Representatives and the House of Commons, as both are based on single-member districts or constituencies. -
The Many Faces of Strategic Voting
Revised Pages The Many Faces of Strategic Voting Strategic voting is classically defined as voting for one’s second pre- ferred option to prevent one’s least preferred option from winning when one’s first preference has no chance. Voters want their votes to be effective, and casting a ballot that will have no influence on an election is undesirable. Thus, some voters cast strategic ballots when they decide that doing so is useful. This edited volume includes case studies of strategic voting behavior in Israel, Germany, Japan, Belgium, Spain, Switzerland, Canada, and the United Kingdom, providing a conceptual framework for understanding strategic voting behavior in all types of electoral systems. The classic definition explicitly considers strategic voting in a single race with at least three candidates and a single winner. This situation is more com- mon in electoral systems that have single- member districts that employ plurality or majoritarian electoral rules and have multiparty systems. Indeed, much of the literature on strategic voting to date has considered elections in Canada and the United Kingdom. This book contributes to a more general understanding of strategic voting behavior by tak- ing into account a wide variety of institutional contexts, such as single transferable vote rules, proportional representation, two- round elec- tions, and mixed electoral systems. Laura B. Stephenson is Professor of Political Science at the University of Western Ontario. John Aldrich is Pfizer- Pratt University Professor of Political Science at Duke University. André Blais is Professor of Political Science at the Université de Montréal. Revised Pages Revised Pages THE MANY FACES OF STRATEGIC VOTING Tactical Behavior in Electoral Systems Around the World Edited by Laura B. -
Sed76-19615402
10 DOCUMENT RESUME ED 214 775 SE 036 AUTHOR Brams, Steven J. TITLE Spatial Models of Election Competition. INSTITUTION EduCation Development Center, Inc., Newton,Mass., SPONS AGENCY National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C. ' PUB DATE y9 GRANT . ,SED76-19615402 . NOTE 94p.; For related documents, see SE 036 458-459and SE 036 468-469. EDRS PRICE °M,F01rPlus Postage. PCNot Available from EDRS. DESCRIPTORS -*College Mathematics; *Elections; Game Theory; Higher Education; *Instructional Materials; ,Learning Modules; *Mathematical ApplicatiOns; *Mathematical Models; Models; Operations Research; *Political Science; Supplementary Reading Materials;. Textbooks 0 ABSTRACT . This document is addressed primarily to studentsL analytically oriented courses in political scienceand secondarily to students in mathematics courses-in which applications and modeling , are stressed. Except'Ior one optional exercise and material in the' ' appendix, only high school level mathematics is assumed.The emphasis' is lesston mathematical analysis andmore,on developing an approci'ation for logical reasoning.about electionsand substantiVe- pmblems,encountered in their analysis. Some simple one-dimeWsional spatial modIlls aie.developed with informal results derivedand 111ustratedusing rudimentary mathematics. A brief,more formal devloment of-two theorems using.elementary-calculus is giyeain the . alSgendii.,-(MP) . 44: . e # r**************************/,**.*****p**t****************************;**** *- ReprodUttions iuPplie4/by- EDRS are the best thatcan be made -
Counties C Thru E
Official Results CERTIFICATE OF DETERMINATION AND/OR ··..., .:- " ,, ,.,:- r:- ; c- .... rr -.. , , .. ·--.. - - ·- .. -· . " OFFICIAL CANVASS 7"'7•·· J { ? t. l, • 1.. I.;," I '- STATE OF MICHIGAN } '~ ~ . I -3 } ss [. --- ,.r- . ... .. COUNTY OF CALHOUN } The Board of Canvassers of the County of Calhoun, having Ascertained and Canvassed the Votes of the County of Calhoun. for the said Presidential Primary Election, held on TUESDAY, the TWENTY-EIGHTH day of FEBRUARY 2012. DO HEREBY CERTIFY AND DETERMINE THAT THE FOLLOWING VOTES WERE CAST: That, Michele Bachmann, received 24 (Twenty-four) votes by the Republican Party for the office of President of the United States. These votes were received in the following districts: 6th Congressional District: 1 (One) vote; 7th Congressional District: 23 (Twenty-three) votes. That. Herman Cain, received 25 (Twenty-five) votes by the Republican Party for the office of President of the United States. These votes were received in the following districts: 6th Congressional District: 0 (Zero) votes; 7th Congressional District: 25 (Twenty-five) votes. That, Newt Gingrich, received 1,086 (One thousand, eighty-six) votes by the Republican Party for the office of President of the United States. These votes were received in the following districts: 6th Congressional District: 78 (Seventy-eight) votes; 7th Congressional District: 1,008 (One thousand eight) votes. That, Jon Huntsman, received 14 (Fourteen) votes by the Republican Party for the office of President of the United States. These votes were received in the following districts: 6th Congressional District: 2 (Two) votes; 7th Congressional District: 12 (Twelve) votes. That, Gary Johnson, received 6 (Six) votes by the Republican Party for the office of President of the United States.