Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia
May 20 – June 11, 2019 Detailed Methodology
• The field work was carried out by Institute of Polling & Marketing. The survey was conducted by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene of the public and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research.
• Data was collected throughout Georgia between May 20 and June 11, 2019, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ home.
• The sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Georgia aged 18 or older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and size of the settlement.
• A multistage probability sampling method was used with random route and next-birthday respondent selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Georgia are grouped into 10 regions. All regions of Georgia were surveyed (Tbilisi city – as separate region). • Stage two: Selection of the settlements – cities and villages. • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage three: Primary sampling units were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus, or minus 2.5 percent and the response rate was 68 percent.
• The achieved sample is weighted for regions, gender, age, and urbanity.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.
2 National Outlook In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 80%
70% 67% 70% 65% 65% 65% 66% 63% 63% 60% 58% 59% 60% 57% 56% 57% 56% 55% 54% 51% 55% 48% 48% 47% 48% 50% 50% 43% 43% 40% 38% 41% 41% 41% 42% 41% 39% 32% 31% 31% 33% 36% 29% 27% 30% 25% 24% 24% 25% 23% 21% 22% 27% 26% 25% 22% 20% 16% 22% 19% 19% 20% 16% 16% 16% 10% 14% 15% 14% 12% 13% 13% 12% 13% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 6% 0%
4 How would you evaluate the prevailing mood of the Georgian population? Optimism Neutral Pessimism 100% 92% 92% 88% 90% 87% 83% 81% 82% 78% 76% 76% 77% 80% 75% 74% 73% 72% 70% 68% 66% 70% 64% 65% 59% 62% 60% 60%
50%
40% 33% 30% 29% 29% 30% 25% 25% 24% 23% 22% 21% 22% 19% 18% 18% 18% 17% 20% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 9% 8% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 10% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
5 How interested or uninterested are you in politics?
Very interested Somewhat interested Somewhat uninterested Very uninterested Don't know/No answer
Age 50+ 11% 34% 29% 25%
Age 30-49 6% 34% 28% 32% 1%
Age 18-29 6% 25% 33% 35% 1%
Total 8% 32% 29% 30% 1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
6 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
59% Economy (Unemployment) 73% 11% Economy (Cost of living/High prices) 34% 7% Poverty 28% 5% Lost territories 7% 4% Economy (Other/General) 9% 2% Education 6% 2% Pensions 6% 1% Healthcare 5% 1% Internal conflicts 3% 1% External conflicts/War 3% Crime/Public Safety 1% 4% First Response 1% Agriculture 3% All Responses 1% Social services/benefits 2% 1% Economy (Small business opportunities/Access to loans) 2% 1% Environment 1% 1% Emigration 2% 1% Insecurity 2% Illicit drugs 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 7 What is the most important problem facing your town/village today? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
31% Unemployment 43% 9% Drinking water 13% 7% Roads 12% 6% Poverty 13% 4% Infrastructure 8% 4% Economy 8% 4% Ecology 6% 3% Traffic jams 4% 2% Agriculture 4% 2% Low salaries/Low pensions 5% 1% Emigration 4% 1% Gasification 2% 1% Ugly constructions/Ugly buildings 3% First Response 1% All Responses Nothing 1% 1% Lost territories 2% 1% Lack of entertainment places 2% 1% Sewage system 1% 1% Public transport 2% 1% Irrigation water 2% 1% Unsanitary conditions 2% 1% High prices 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 8 What is the most important problem facing your household today? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
29% Unemployment 36% 10% Poverty 17% 9% Low salaries 13% 9% Economy 13% 8% None 8% 6% Healthcare 12% 4% Bank debt 6% 3% Low pensions 6% First Response 2% All Responses Expensive medication 5% 2% Housing 2% 1% High utility taxes 3% 1% High prices on everything 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
9 Over the last 12 months*, the economic situation in Georgia has…
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 2% 7% 28% 31% 30% 2% Apr-18 1% 7% 27% 28% 35% 2% Mar-17 1% 7% 21% 34% 36% 1% Mar-16 1% 6% 25% 31% 34% 3% Feb-15 7% 29% 33% 29% 2% Feb-14 1% 15% 52% 22% 7% 3% May-13 1% 26% 53% 12% 3% 5% Feb-13 1% 26% 58% 10% 1%4% Nov-12 1% 11% 78% 7%1%2% Jul-12 2% 28% 47% 15% 5% 4% Mar-12 2% 26% 45% 17% 6% 4% Nov-11 2% 25% 42% 19% 8% 3% May-11 1% 19% 30% 32% 14% 3% Oct-10 1% 24% 27% 31% 13% 3% Mar-10 1% 20% 35% 27% 13% 3% Oct-09 2% 19% 34% 25% 15% 4% Jun-09 1% 6% 20% 37% 34% 2% Feb-09 1% 8% 19% 37% 34% 2% Sep-08 3% 12% 20% 39% 23% 4% Feb-08 4% 20% 28% 30% 16% 2% Sep-07 1% 17% 27% 32% 22% 1% Feb-07 3% 34% 27% 22% 10% 3% Apr-06 2% 30% 28% 25% 11% 3% Oct-05 3% 34% 32% 18% 7% 5% Jun-05 5% 44% 33% 10% 4% 4% Oct-04 4% 40% 38% 10% 3% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
* In surveys before 2008, the question referenced a period of 3 months. In surveys from 2008 to 2017, the reference period was 2 months. 10 Over the last 12 months*, how has the economic situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 1% 10% 40% 27% 22% Apr-18 7% 41% 22% 29% 1% Mar-17 1% 5% 37% 28% 28% 1% Mar-16 4% 41% 26% 29% Feb-15 4%0% 45% 28% 22% 1% Feb-14 8% 64% 20% 7%1% May-13 1% 11% 70% 13% 4%1% Feb-13 10% 76% 11% 2%1% Nov-12 6% 83% 8% 1%1% Jul-12 1% 9% 61% 21% 8% Mar-12 1% 9% 54% 23% 12% 1% Nov-11 1% 11% 53% 23% 11% 1% May-11 1% 9% 44% 29% 16% 1% Oct-10 1% 11% 42% 29% 16% 1% Mar-10 1% 9% 49% 24% 15% 2% Oct-09 1% 10% 48% 23% 16% 2% Jun-09 4% 38% 26% 31% 1% Feb-09 4% 33% 32% 30% 1% Sep-08 1% 6% 45% 28% 19% 1% Feb-08 1% 10% 48% 26% 15% 1% Sep-07 1% 7% 46% 26% 20% Feb-07 1% 14% 49% 21% 13% 1% Apr-06 1% 14% 49% 22% 14% 1% Oct-05 1% 15% 57% 18% 8% 1% Jun-05 2% 21% 58% 12% 6%1% Oct-04 1% 16% 61% 14% 6%1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
* In surveys before 2008, the question referenced a period of 3 months. In surveys from 2008 to 2017, the reference period was 2 months. 11 How do you feel about the direction of each of the following issues during the past year?
Progressed Neither progressed nor regressed Regressed Don't know/No answer
Freedom of speech 38% 39% 20% 3%
Media independence 30% 44% 21% 5%
Individual human rights 24% 47% 26% 3%
Education 21% 42% 29% 8%
Democracy 20% 46% 28% 6%
National security 14% 43% 36% 6%
Fighting crime 13% 30% 52% 5%
Fighting corruption 11% 38% 42% 9%
Economy 8% 26% 65% 1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 12 International Relations How would you evaluate the current state of the relationship between Georgia and the following countries?
Good Neither good nor bad Bad No answer
Ukraine 90% 5% 2%3%
United States 87% 7% 2% 4%
European Union 87% 6% 2% 5%
Turkey 72% 15% 8% 5%
Armenia 66% 19% 7% 8%
China 58% 21% 7% 14%
Azerbaijan 56% 17% 20% 7%
Iran 45% 24% 11% 20%
Russia 4% 7% 86% 3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
14 Which of these countries do you consider the most important political/economic partners for Georgia? Which of these countries do you consider the greatest political/economic threat to Georgia?
Political partners Economic partners Political threats Economic threats 79% 80%
70%
60% 57% 50% 50% 47%
39% 40% 33% 29% 30% 25% 19% 20% 17% 13% 14% 11% 12% 9% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 5% 3%3% 4% 4% 3% 3%4% 1%1% 1%1% 2%1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%2%2%2%
0%
Iran
None
China
Russia
Turkey
Ukraine
Armenia
Azerbaijan
answer
United States United
Don'tknow/No European Union European 15 Do you support or oppose further dialogue with Russia?
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 46% 29% 7% 12% 5%
Apr-18 47% 30% 7% 12% 4%
Mar-17 53% 29% 6% 10% 2%
Mar-16 59% 24% 4% 10% 3%
Feb-15 65% 20% 4% 8% 3%
Feb-14 76% 16% 3% 4% 2%
May-13 82% 11% 2%3%2%
Feb-13 82% 13% 2%2% 1%
Nov-12 83% 11% 2% 2%2%
Mar-12 74% 19% 2%3%2%
Nov-11 73% 17% 2% 4% 4%
May-11 78% 16% 2%2%2%
Oct-10 84% 12% 1%1% 2%
Mar-10 78% 15% 2% 2%3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 16 How do you rate the current government’s handling of Georgia’s relationship with Russia?
Very positively Somewhat positively Somewhat negatively Very negatively Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 7% 26% 30% 22% 15%
Apr-18 4% 30% 31% 23% 12%
Mar-17 15% 39% 24% 11% 11%
Mar-16 14% 45% 18% 11% 11%
Feb-15 17% 42% 18% 8% 15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 17 Given the current state of Georgia’s relationship with Russia, how secure do you feel living in Georgia?
Very secure More secure than insecure More insecure than secure Very insecure Don’t'know/No answer
Jun-19 16% 37% 32% 8% 7%
Apr-18 11% 37% 36% 8% 8%
Mar-17 11% 47% 28% 9% 4%
Mar-16 12% 41% 32% 10% 5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18 Do you think that Russian aggression towards Georgia is over or is it still going on?
It is over and unlikely to resume It is over but likely to resume It is still going on Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 5% 17% 71% 7% Mar-17 10% 23% 60% 7% Mar-16 9% 19% 67% 5% Feb-15 6% 21% 67% 6% Feb-14 7% 16% 71% 6% May-13 20% 18% 49% 13% Feb-13 19% 26% 44% 11% Nov-12 23% 19% 47% 11% Mar-12 4% 10% 78% 8% Nov-11 7% 17% 65% 11% May-11 3% 12% 72% 13% Oct-10 7% 18% 69% 6% Mar-10 5% 14% 74% 7% Oct-09 2% 11% 82% 5% Jun-09 2% 11% 82% 6% Feb-09 2% 10% 84% 4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 19 In your opinion what should Georgia’s foreign policy course be?
Only pro-European Union and the West Pro-Western but keep up relations with Russia Pro-Russian but keep up relations with the European Union and the West Only pro-Russian Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 30% 47% 8% 2% 13%
Apr-18 27% 50% 11% 2% 9%
Mar-17 23% 53% 12% 3% 9%
Mar-16 22% 52% 11% 4% 11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
20 Do you support or oppose Georgia joining the European Union?
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 57% 18% 4% 8% 13%
Apr-18 59% 26% 6% 3% 6%
Mar-17 64% 26% 3% 3% 3%
Mar-16 63% 22% 5% 6% 4%
Feb-15 62% 23% 4% 5% 6%
Feb-14 70% 18% 3% 4% 5%
May-13 67% 20% 2%2% 8%
Feb-13 67% 21% 3% 2% 7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 21 If you support, what is the main benefit of joining the European Union? (Respondents supporting Georgia joining the European Union: n=1,128)
Strengthened economy 47%
Visa liberalization 8%
Job creation 5%
Security 4%
Better future 3%
High quality education 3%
Peace and stability 2%
Development of the country 2%
Trade relationships 2%
Defense 1%
Military support 1%
Cultural relationships with European countries 1%
Return of lost territories 1%
Other 2%
Don't know/No answer 18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 22 Do you support or oppose Georgia joining NATO?
Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 49% 19% 6% 13% 13% Apr-18 50% 26% 9% 9% 6% Mar-17 56% 26% 6% 7% 5% Mar-16 55% 24% 7% 9% 5% Feb-15 57% 21% 6% 9% 7% Feb-14 58% 22% 5% 8% 7% May-13 61% 19% 5% 6% 8% Feb-13 63% 19% 6% 5% 7% Nov-12 65% 17% 4% 5% 9% Mar-12 59% 20% 4% 6% 11% Nov-11 61% 19% 5% 5% 10% May-11 55% 22% 6% 6% 11% Oct-10 55% 19% 5% 9% 12% Mar-10 50% 22% 6% 9% 13% Oct-09 54% 21% 6% 6% 13% Jun-09 45% 23% 9% 12% 10% Feb-09 49% 23% 7% 10% 11% Sep-08 70% 17% 4% 4% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 23 If you support, what are the main benefits of joining NATO? (Respondents supporting Georgia joining NATO: n=1,018)
Security 34%
Defense 12%
Return of the lost territories 8%
Stability and peace 8%
Strengthen economy 6%
Military support 5%
Better future 2%
Development of the country 1%
Defense from Russia 1%
Visa liberalization 1%
Maintain country's independence 1%
Other 4%
Don't know/No answer 17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
24 When do you think Georgia will become a member of NATO?
3% 1% 3% 3%
In 2020 16% In 2021 In 2022 In 2023 After 2023 59% Never Don't know/No answer 15%
25 Political Parties If elections were held this coming Sunday, for which party, if any, would you vote? (First choice) If your first-choice party would not be on the ballot, who would you vote for instead? (Second choice)
Georgian Dream - Democratic Georgia 26% 3%
United National Movement – United Opposition 22% 6%
European Georgia - Free Democrats 7% 11%
Patriotic Alliance 5% 5%
Labor Party 5% 4%
Civil Movement 2%2% First Response All Responses Democratic Movement United Georgia 2% 3%
Development Movement 2% 2%
Girchi 1%<1%
Other 1% 2%
None 6% 7%
Don't know/No answer 22% 55%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 27 Which parties, if any, would you not vote for under any circumstances? (Multiple responses permitted) All respondents Tbilisi Rural Urban
40%
35% 33% 33% 32%33% 32% 33% 29% 30% 28%
25% 24% 25% 24% 23% 21% 20% 17% 15% 15% 15% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 7%7%7% 7% 6% 5%5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3%3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1%1%1% 1% 1%
0%
Other
None
Girchi
United
–
answer
Labor Party Labor
Movement
Republicans
Georgia
Development
Democratic
Don't know/No Don't
Civil Movement Civil
Opposition
United Georgia United
Patriotic Alliance Patriotic
Free Free Democrats
Georgian Dream - GeorgianDream United Movement
United NationalUnited
Conservative Party Conservative
European Georgia - Georgia European Movement 28 What will be the most important factor in determining your vote? (Spontaneous response)
21% 23% Candidate's party affiliation 15% 24% 21% 23% Party or candidate's past performance/track record 21% 18% 17% 14% Candidate's character 23% 14% 13% Party or candidate’s platform or program or promises 14% 11%15% 5% 7% Party or candidate's outreach efforts 7% 2% 4% 3% All Responses Candidate's independence 4% 7% Rural 4% 3% Candidate's name recognition 2% Urban 5% 2% Tbilisi 3% Party or candidate’s performance in debates 3% 1% 2% 2% Candidate's home region 2% 1% Someone I trust or respect recommend to vote for <1% this party or candidate (endorsement) 1% 1% 3% 3% Other 5% 1% 6% 4% Don't know/No answer 1% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 29 Which issue is the most relevant for your city, district, or village? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
Unemployment 40% Roads 11% Infrastructure 10% Drinking water 9% Poverty 8% Agriculture 5% Nothing 5% Ecology 5% Economy 4% Lack of entertainment places 3% Social problems 3% High utility taxes 3% Public transport 2% Closed enterprises 2% Traffic jams 2% Illegal constructions 2% Gas supply 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 30 Do you believe that at least one political party in Georgia represents your interests?
Completely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Don't know/No answer
Age 50+ 35% 34% 12% 10% 9%
Age 30-49 27% 35% 15% 16% 7%
Age 18-29 24% 36% 15% 15% 10%
Total 30% 35% 14% 13% 9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
31 Generally, are you familiar with the election program of the parties/candidates running in your district?
Very familiar Somewhat familiar Somewhat unfamiliar Very unfamiliar Don't know/No answer
Age 50+ 12% 38% 25% 22% 3%
Age 30-49 12% 35% 21% 29% 3%
Age 18-29 8% 31% 24% 35% 2%
Total 11% 38% 25% 22% 3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
32 When deciding which candidate to support, how important is it to you that a candidate visit your household or meet with you in- person?
3% 17% 20% Very important
Somewhat important
It does not matter one way or the other
Not especially important
13% Not important at all 27% Don't know/No answer
20%
33 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “It is healthy for Georgia’s democracy to have multiple parties in power?”
7%
8%
Strongly agree 36% 11% Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Don't know/No answer
38%
34 In the past six months, has any of the following happened to you? (Percentage “yes”)
Political party or movement held a public event that I 5% was invited to
Representative(s) of a political party or movement 3% visited my home to tell me about their party
Representative(s) of a political party or movement 2% visited my home to gain my vote
Political party or movement contacted me through 2% social media or another form of online campaigning
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
35 For each of the items I will read to you, please tell me how they influence your views of parties or candidates:
Great influence or some influence Little influence or no influence Don't know/No answer
Meetings with authorities 47% 50% 3%
Party or candidate meetings with other politicians 45% 51% 4%
Television ads 42% 57% 1%
Social media 36% 59% 5%
Party or candidate visits to your home 35% 61% 4%
Brochures and pamphlets 29% 69% 2%
Personal letters from the candidate 29% 67% 4%
Billboards 28% 69% 3%
Newspaper articles about candidates 27% 71% 2%
Political party or candidate phone calls 26% 69% 5%
Slogans or messages on vehicles 24% 73% 3%
Radio ads 16% 79% 4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
36 Would you vote for a candidate who did not post billboards and campaign materials across the city?
26%
Yes, I would vote
No, I would not vote 50%
Don't know/No answer
24%
37 If yes, why? (Respondents who said that would vote for such candidate: n=750; multiple responses permitted)
I will vote the candidate or party that most closely 87% aligns with my beliefs
I will vote the candidate or party that best 20% represents my region/city
I will vote the candidate or party that my family 8% supports
Other 2%
Don't know/No answer 3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 38 If no, why not? (Respondents who said that would not vote for such candidate: n=366; multiple responses permitted)
I need to see the candidate or party’s face(s) to know 70% for whom to vote
If they do not post billboards and campaign materials, 28% I would have no idea who is running
Lack of billboards means the candidate has no money 7%
Don't know/No answer 6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
39 How would you evaluate the parliamentary pension reform initiative that makes participation voluntary and offers tax concessions to participants?
12%
Strongly favorable 36% 18% Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable
Strongly unfavorable
Don’t know/No answer 11%
23%
40 Should the Georgian government officially congratulate the Ukrainian Church for gaining autocephaly?
25%
Definitely should 39% Likely should
Likely should not 3% Definitely should not 5% Don't know/No answer
28%
41 Persons and Institutions I am going to read you the names of some Georgian institutions and organizations. Please tell me your opinion about the work of each of these institutions: Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Church 89% 6% 5% Army 87% 9% 4% Georgian media 70% 25% 5% Police 52% 38% 10% Local authorities 48% 44% 8% Public education 40% 48% 12% Parliament 37% 59% 4% Government (Cabinet of Ministers) 35% 59% 6% Central Election Commission (CESKO) 34% 54% 11% Prime Minister's office 33% 56% 11% President’s office 33% 59% 7% Governors 27% 51% 22% Political parties 26% 62% 12% Prosecutor's office 25% 57% 18% National bank 25% 62% 13% Courts 23% 59% 18% Trade unions 18% 44% 37%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 43 How do you assess performance of the following institutions in terms of openness and transparency?
Very open and transparent Somewhat open and transparent Somewhat not open and transparent Not at all open and transparent Don't know/No answer
Ministry of Justice 8% 33% 31% 20% 8%
Local authorities 5% 38% 33% 18% 6%
Prime Minister's office 5% 23% 37% 23% 12%
Police 4% 31% 31% 21% 13%
President's office 4% 24% 36% 24% 12%
Government 3% 29% 42% 20% 6%
Prosecutor's office 2% 16% 32% 33% 17%
Courts 1% 16% 32% 34% 16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 44 What is the main accomplishment of the current Government? (Spontaneous response)
Healthcare 15%
Visa liberalization with European Union 4%
Freedom of speech 4%
Infrastructure 3%
Roads 2%
Education 2%
Democracy 2%
Stability 2%
Human rights protections 1%
Increase in pensions 1%
Annulled debts 1%
Other 2%
None 35%
Don't know/No answer 26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 45 In your opinion, what is the most successful reform adopted by parliament? (Spontaneous response)
Healthcare 19%
Education 4%
Visa-free travel to European Union 2%
Increasing pensions 1%
Other 3%
None 30%
Don't know/No answer 41%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
46 What is the biggest failure of the government? (Spontaneous response)
Not fulfilling promises 12% Economic crisis 6% Unemployment 6% Poverty 4% Cohabitation 4% GEL devalvation 3% Not caring about people 3% Creeping occupation 3% Loss of trust 2% Law on marijuana 2% Falsification of elections 2% Increased crime 2% Staff policy 2% Court reform 2% Abolishment of social benefits for the poor 1% Migration 1% Corruption 1% Other 6% None 8% Don't know/No answer 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
47 I am going to read you the names of Georgian politicians and public figures. Please tell me your opinion of him/her.
Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard the name Don't know/No answer
David Bakradze (European Georgia) 59% 34% 1%6% Kakha Kaladze 49% 43% 1%6% Grigol Vashadze (United Opposition) 48% 43% 1% 8% David Usupashvili 41% 45% 3% 11% Shalva Natelashvili 41% 50% 2% 7% Aleksandre Elisashvili 40% 35% 11% 14% Giorgi Gakharia 40% 47% 3% 10% Mamuka Bakhtadze 38% 50% 2% 10% Salome Zurabishvili 36% 57% 7% Giorgi Vashadze (For New Georgia) 35% 49% 4% 13% Bidzina Ivanishvili 35% 57% 8% Irma Inashvili 29% 59% 3% 9% Nino Burjanadze 28% 64% 1% 7% Irakli Kobakhidze 26% 62% 2% 10% Zviad Dzidziguri 18% 67% 4% 11% Zurab Girchi Japaridze 9% 73% 7% 11% Gia Gachechiladze 8% 57% 17% 18% Levan Samushia 6% 32% 41% 20% Gia Jorjoliani 5% 48% 25% 22%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 48 Do you believe that democracy is the best possible form of government for our country or not?
23%
Yes, it is the best possible form of government for our country.
No, there are other forms of government that could be equally good 6% for our country. 58% No, there are other forms of government that are better than democracy. 13% Don't know/No answer
49 Now I would like to discuss corruption with you. When I say corruption, I mean having to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe because someone misuses their position for personal gains. To what extent, if any, has corruption had a negative impact on you?
15%
6% It has had a lot of negative impact It has had some negative impact
7% It has had little negative impact 51% It has not had any negative impact Don’t'know/No answer
21%
50 In the past 12 months, how often have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe?
<1% <1 % <1% 7% 2%
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
Less frequently
Not at all
Don't know/No answer
90%
51 What is your perception of the level of impact of civil society organizations (CSOs) in Georgia?
11% 18%
CSOs have a great impact on government policy CSOs have some impact on government policy 14% CSOs have little impact on government 36% policy CSOs have no impact on government policy Don’t know/No answer
21%
52 During the past six months have you participated in any of the following activities?
Yes No Don't know/No answer
Attended a public meeting or 6% 92% 2% town hall
Volunteered without expecting 3% 95% 2% compensation
Attended a rally (political and/or 4% 94% 2% social)
Signed a petition or demand, 98% 1% including online 1%
Donated money to a political party, non-governmental 99% 1% organization, or civil society organization
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 53 Local Governance Do you think that the following services should be provided by local/municipal governments or by the central government?
Definitely by local government Probably by local government Probably by central government administration Definitely by central government administration Don't know/No answer
Water supply 40% 28% 13% 16% 3%
Management of waste 39% 29% 13% 15% 4%
Kindergartens 37% 26% 14% 20% 3%
Granting social protections to 33% 28% 17% 19% 3% certain individuals
Taking care of elderly and 33% 26% 17% 21% 3% handicapped people
Protection of forests 27% 19% 18% 31% 5%
School education 20% 16% 25% 37% 2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
55 How much do you trust or distrust Georgia's local government bodies?
6% 10%
20% Fully trust
Somewhat trust
Somewhat distrust
Fully distrust 41% Don't know/No answer
23%
56 How much do you trust or distrust Georgia's local government bodies?
Fully trust Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don't know/No answer
"Democracy has progressed" 24% 55% 10% 7% 5% (n=307)
"Democracy has regressed" 3% 28% 32% 33% 4% (n=421)
"Economy has progressed" 39% 39% 10% 4% 8% (n=115)
"Economy has regressed" 5% 38% 27% 26% 5% (n=980)
Rural 11% 43% 23% 18% 5%
Urban 9% 44% 22% 22% 3%
Tbilisi 9% 36% 25% 20% 10%
Total 10% 41% 23% 20% 6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
57 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your local Sakrebulo's performance?
11% 9%
Fully satisfied
Somewhat satisfied 20% Somewhat dissatisfied
37% Fully dissatisfied
Don't know/No answer
23%
58 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your local Sakrebulo's performance?
Fully satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Fully dissatisfied Don't know/No answer
Vake-Sabartulo 10% 24% 14% 19% 33% (n=99)
Didube-Chughureti 10% 34% 18% 32% 6% (n=51)
Gidani-Nadzaladevi 8% 31% 18% 18% 26% (n=143)
Mtatsminda-Krtanisi* 6% 20% 37% 20% 17% (n=34)
Isani-Samgori 1% 24% 29% 20% 27% (n=112)
Tbilisi Total 7% 27% 22% 20% 25%
Total 9% 37% 23% 20% 11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
* Interpretation of Mtatsminda-Krtanisi’s small sample size n should be treated with caution. 59 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your local Mayor's office performance?
10% 10%
Fully satisfied
19% Somewhat satisfied
Somewhat dissatisfied
Fully dissatisfied 39% Don't know/No answer
22%
60 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your local Mayor's office performance?
Fully satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Fully dissatisfied Don't know/No answer
Didube-Chughureti 18% 37% 14% 26% 6% (n=51)
Vake-Sabartulo 16% 40% 13% 17% 13% (n=99)
Gidani-Nadzaladevi 14% 33% 21% 14% 18% (n=143)
Isani-Samgori 5% 48% 26% 13% 8% (n=112)
Mtatsminda-Krtanisi* 3% 27% 41% 15% 15% (n=34)
Tbilisi total 12% 39% 21% 16% 13%
Total 11% 39% 22% 19% 10%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
* Interpretation of Mtatsminda-Krtanisi’s small sample size n should be treated with caution. 61 What are the two main problems that Tbilisi Mayor Kakha Kaladze needs to address? (Residents of Tbilisi: n=440; spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted) Unemployment 21% Ecology 20% Ugly construction/Ugly buildings 16% Infrastructure 14% Public transport 12% Traffic jams 12% Social problems 8% Planting greenery in public places 8% High utility taxes 7% Roads 7% Beautification of the city 4% Low pensions 4% Cleaning of public gardens 4% Poverty 4% Caring for the people 3% Improve parking 2% Unsanitary conditions 2% High prices 2% Economic problems 2% Healthcare 2% Non-professional personnel in government 1% Crime 1% Low salaries 1% Crumbling houses 1% Other 10% Don't know/No answer 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 62 What are the two major accomplishments of Tbilisi Mayor Kakha Kaladze’s in office? (Residents of Tbilisi: n=440; spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted) Cleaning of public gardens 10% New buses 9% Infrastructure 8% Repairing roads 7% Restoring streets 6% Looking after outward appearance of the city 4% Cleaning underground entrances 3% Caring for the people 3% Restoring Orbeliani Square 3% Requiring car insurance 2% Renovating recreational areas 2% Ecology 2% Ordering public transport 2% Education 1% Cleaning yards 1% Planting trees and shrubs 1% Cleaning the city 1% Other 6% None 17% Don't know/No answer 44% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
63 Elections and Electoral Integrity How likely is it that ordinary people can influence decisions made in our country?
7% 20%
Very likely
31% Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
Very unlikely 26% Don't know/No answer
16%
65 Did you vote in the 2018 presidential elections?
2%
18%
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
80%
66 Thinking about the 2018 presidential elections, do you believe the election was free, fair and transparent?
13% 18%
Definitely free, fair and transparent
Somewhat free, fair and transparent
25% Somewhat not free, fair and transparent Definitely not free, fair and transparent 24% Don't know/No answer
20%
67 Do you believe that the 2018 presidential election was more or less free, fair and transparent than the previous election?
9% 15%
15% Definitely more free, fair and transparent Somewhat more free, fair and transparent Somewhat less free, fair and transparent Definitely less free, fair and transparent 11% Both were the same 35% Don't know/No answer
14%
68 Do you trust the opinions of international election observation organizations regarding whether or not an election was free, fair and transparent?
6% 5% 21% Fully trust
14% Somewhat trust
Somewhat distrust
Fully distrust
I’m not familiar with the opinions of international 16% election observation organizations. Don't know/No answer 38%
69 Do you agree or disagree that the Central Election Commission (CESKO) performs its work in a trustworthy manner?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 15% 33% 21% 21% 10%
Apr-18 9% 33% 21% 26% 11%
Mar-17 15% 35% 21% 14% 15%
Mar-16 15% 38% 16% 13% 18%
Feb-15 26% 43% 12% 6% 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 70 In the 2018 presidential election, was your polling station a safe environment for you to vote confidently and without fear of violence or intimidation?
15%
6% Definitely yes
Somewhat yes 46% 8% Somewhat no
Definitely no
Don't know/No answer
25%
71 To what degree do you either agree or disagree with the following statements about the work of the CESKO?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/No answer
The CESKO provides clear and understandable information to 17% 31% 24% 16% 12% the public about the election process in Georgia
The CESKO provides regular updates and information on its 16% 34% 23% 14% 13% work to the public
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 72 How important is it for you to receive information regarding sources of funding for political parties and candidates when you are making your electoral choice?
5%
25% 20% Very important
Somewhat important
Not very important
Not important at all 14% Don't know/No answer
36%
73 Did you personally witness or hear about any of the following things during the 2018 presidential elections?
Yes, witnessed Yes, heard about it No Don't know/No answer
Controllers from one party or another working outside of polling stations influencing voters on 7% 24% 49% 20% the day of elections Calls for supporting a candidate during events organized by government bodies or state- or 4% 16% 54% 26% communal-owned enterprises/institutions.
Civil servants expressing support for a specific candidate during working hours 3% 18% 54% 25%
A candidate or his/her representative using public institutions, such as a school or hospital, 2% 15% 58% 25% for campaign events Voters being provided transportation in government vehicles to polling stations or to 2% 15% 58% 25% campaign rallies
A candidate or his/her representatives using government vehicles when campaigning 2% 13% 63% 22%
A candidate or his/her representatives using government buildings for campaign events 2% 13% 61% 23%
Civil servants taking part in campaign events for specific candidates during official working hours 2% 13% 58% 27%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 74 What would increase your overall trust in the electoral process? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)
More transparency 14%
Fulfillment of promises 11%
Fair elections 10%
No bribes 3%
More observers 3%
Objective elections 3%
Relief from pressure 3%
Equal conditions for candidates 2%
Electronic/Online elections 2%
Activity of the electorate 1%
Lack of propaganda 1%
Changes to the Election Code 1%
Lack of crime/Free environment 1%
Neutral CESKO chairperson 1%
Other 1%
Nothing 16%
Don't know/No answer 37%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 75 Do you support snap parliamentary elections in Georgia?
12%
28% Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no 24% Definitely no Don't know/No answer
24% 12%
76 Underrepresented Groups How important is it that all members of our country’s adult population, including women, youth, minorities, and persons with disabilities, are included in political decision making?
6% 4%
7% Very important
Somewhat important 43% Somewhat unimportant
Very unimportant
Don't know/No answer
40%
78 If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support? 70% 63% 60% 60% 57%
50% 48% 50%
40%
32% 31% 28% 30% 25% 22%
20% 17% 17% 12% 13% 13%
10% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3%
0% 15-Feb 16-Mar 17-Mar 18-Apr 19-Jun
Man Woman Makes no difference to me Don't know/No answer
79 In your opinion, should there be more women in Georgian politics?
13% Yes, there should be more women in Georgian politics
There should be the same number of 13% 41% women as there are currently No, there should be fewer women in Georgian politics
Don't know/No answer
33%
81 Are you familiar with the legislative proposal to institute a quota which would guarantee a certain percentage of women on political party candidate lists?
4%
19% 16% Know a lot about it
Know some about it
Know a little about it
Know nothing about it
22% Don't know/No answer
39%
82 Do you support efforts to establish quotas for women’s representation in elected bodies, including Parliament and Sakrebulos?
Very supportive Somewhat supportive Somewhat unsupportive Very unsupportive Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 20% 31% 14% 11% 23%
Apr-18 29% 36% 16% 13% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
83 In your opinion, should there be more youth in Georgian politics?
7% 6% Yes, there should be more youth in Georgian politics There should be the same number of 19% youth as there are currently No, there should be fewer youth in Georgian politics Don't know/No answer 68%
84 Media Usage and Viewership Which Georgian TV station’s news and political information do you trust the most? (Up to two responses permitted)
37% Imedi TV 56% 34% Rustavi 2 53% 4% TV Pirveli 17% 2% Palitra TV 5% 2% Public Broadcasting 7% 1% Obiektivi 3% 1% Maestro 4% 1% First Response Patriarch's Channel 2% All Responses 1% Other 4% 15% None 15% 2% Don't know/No answer 2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
86 In your opinion, is Georgian mass media free to express various political views?
Totally free Somewhat free Not very free Not free at all Don't know/No answer
Jun-19 19% 44% 21% 6% 10% Apr-18 17% 50% 18% 7% 8% Mar-17 18% 51% 20% 5% 6% Mar-16 23% 54% 13% 3% 6% Feb-15 30% 53% 7% 1% 9% Feb-14 29% 55% 7% 1% 8% May-13 22% 59% 7% 1% 10% Feb-13 27% 55% 8% 1% 9% Nov-12 17% 56% 14% 3% 10% Mar-12 14% 40% 21% 11% 14% Nov-11 14% 38% 25% 9% 14% May-11 16% 42% 19% 7% 16% Oct-10 13% 39% 22% 11% 15% Mar-10 11% 43% 22% 9% 15% Oct-09 15% 37% 23% 11% 14% Jun-09 10% 35% 25% 14% 15% Feb-09 14% 35% 26% 14% 11% Sep-08 13% 44% 24% 8% 11% Feb-08 10% 41% 28% 13% 7% Sep-07 13% 47% 28% 5% 7% Feb-07 22% 53% 14% 2% 9% Apr-06 17% 51% 20% 4% 8% Oct-05 20% 45% 16% 3% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
87 Why do you think that Georgian mass media is not free to express various political views? (Among those believing that mass media is not free)
80% 76% 76% 71% 70% 64%
60%
50% 45% 41% 40% 33% 28% 30%
20% 20% 15% 13% 11% 11% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 12% 8% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2% 7% 3% 1% 1% 0% 3% Feb-14, n=312 Feb-15, n=125 Mar-16, n=248 Mar-17, n=368 Apr-18, n=373 Jun-19, n=414
Government puts pressure on media Media is corrupt Media does not report bad news Other Don't know/No answer
88 How many times per week do you access the internet?
Every day 4-6 times per week 1-3 times per week Monthly Never Don't know/No answer
Age 18-29 84% 5% 5%1%5%1%
Age 30-49 66% 8% 9% 1% 16% 1%
Age 50+ 32% 4% 6% 2% 55% 1%
Tbilisi 69% 4% 4% 19% 4%
Urban 61% 7% 7% 1% 25%
Rural 41% 6% 9% 2% 42%
Total 55% 6% 7% 1% 30% 1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
89 Where do you access the internet? (Among those who use the Internet; multiple responses permitted)
100% 92% 90% 87% 90% 82% 80%
70%
60%
50% 46% 38% 40%
26% 30% 24% 22% 19% 20% 19% 12% 20% 10% 4% 4% 5% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% Mar-16, n=766 Mar-17, n=866 Apr-18, n=893 Jun-19, n=1,024
Home Mobile phone Work Friend's house Other Don't know/No answer
90 What internet sites do you visit most often for getting news? (Internet users: n=1,024; up to three spontaneous answers)
Ambebi.ge 31%
News.ge 12%
Interpressnews.ge 12%
Newposts.ge 5%
Netgazeti.ge 3%
Radiotavisupleba.ge 3%
On.ge 2%
Liberali.ge 1%
Other 3%
I don’t get news on internet sites 45%
Don't know/No answer 12%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
91 Which social media sites do you use most often? (Internet users; up to three spontaneous answers)
100% 89% 87% 90% 85% 83% 80%
70%
60%
50%
40% 32% 30%
20% 16% 16%
10% 7% 7% 9% 7% 4% 8% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% Mar-16, n=766 Mar-17, n=866 Apr-18, n=893 Jun-19, n=1,024
Facebook Instagram Odnoklasniki Vkontakte Twitter LinkedIn None Don't know/No answer
92 Which sources do you use for information about the current international situation?
Georgian TV 85%
Social media, n=305 Social media 20% 1% 1% Georgian internet news sites 14%
Russian TV stations 4% 98% Georgian print media 4% Facebook Instagram Don’t know/No answer Georgian radio stations 3%
Western TV 2%
Russian internet news sites 1%
Other 1%
None - I don’t seek information about the 6% current international situation
Don't know/No answer 2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
93 Which of these information channels do you trust most for information about the current international situation?
Georgian TV 69%
Social media, n=105 Social media 7% 1%
Georgian internet news sites 3%
99% Russian TV stations 1% Facebook Don't know/No answer
Georgian radio stations 1%
Other 2%
None - I don’t seek information about the 11% current international situation
Don't know/No answer 6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
94 Demographics Demographics
Male 46%
SEX Female 54% 18-29 years 20%
30-49 years 37% AGE 50 years and older 43% Georgian 92% Armenian 3% Azeri 3%
ETHNICITY Other 2% Unfinished secondary 2% Secondary 36% Vocational 21%
EDUCATION Higher, incomplete higher 41% Blue collar 7% Farmer 2% White collar 9% Executive 10% Retired 19% Student 2% OCCUPATION Housewife 13% Unemployed 29% Self-employed 9%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 96 Demographics
Orthodox Christian 91%
Muslim 5%
Other 3% RELIGION None 1%
Tbilisi 29%
Other town 28% TYPE
Rural area 43% SETTLEMENT Tbilisi 29%
Kakheti 9%
Shida Kartli 7%
Kvemo Kartli 11%
Samtskhe-Javakheti 4%
Ajara 9% REGIONS Guria 3%
Samegrelo 9%
Imereti 16%
Mtskheta-Mtianeti 2%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 97 Center for Insights in Survey Research 202.408.9450 | [email protected] www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls