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Peer-Reviewed Journal Tracking and Analyzing Disease Trends pages 853-1040 EDITOR-IN-CHIEF D. Peter Drotman Managing Senior Editor EDITORIAL BOARD Polyxeni Potter, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Dennis Alexander, Addlestone, Surrey, UK Associate Editors Timothy Barrett, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Paul Arguin, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Barry J. Beaty, Ft. Collins, Colorado, USA Charles Ben Beard, Ft. Collins, Colorado, USA Martin J. Blaser, New York, New York, USA Ermias Belay, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Christopher Braden, Atlanta, Georgia, USA David Bell, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Arturo Casadevall, New York, New York, USA Sharon Bloom, Atlanta, GA, USA Kenneth C. Castro, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Mary Brandt, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Louisa Chapman, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Corrie Brown, Athens, Georgia, USA Thomas Cleary, Houston, Texas, USA Charles H. Calisher, Ft. Collins, Colorado, USA Vincent Deubel, Shanghai, China Michel Drancourt, Marseille, France Ed Eitzen, Washington, DC, USA Paul V. Effler, Perth, Australia Daniel Feikin, Baltimore, Maryland, USA David Freedman, Birmingham, Alabama, USA Anthony Fiore, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Peter Gerner-Smidt, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Kathleen Gensheimer, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA Stephen Hadler, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Duane J. Gubler, Singapore Nina Marano, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Richard L. Guerrant, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA Martin I. Meltzer, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Scott Halstead, Arlington, Virginia, USA David Morens, Bethesda, Maryland, USA Katrina Hedberg, Portland, Oregon, USA J. Glenn Morris, Gainesville, Florida, USA David L. Heymann, London, UK Patrice Nordmann, Paris, France Charles King, Cleveland, Ohio, USA Tanja Popovic, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Keith Klugman, Seattle, Washington, USA Didier Raoult, Marseille, France Takeshi Kurata, Tokyo, Japan Pierre Rollin, Atlanta, Georgia, USA S.K. Lam, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Ronald M. Rosenberg, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA Stuart Levy, Boston, Massachusetts, USA Dixie E. Snider, Atlanta, Georgia, USA John S. MacKenzie, Perth, Australia Frank Sorvillo, Los Angeles, California, USA Marian McDonald, Atlanta, Georgia, USA David Walker, Galveston, Texas, USA John E. McGowan, Jr., Atlanta, Georgia, USA J. Todd Weber, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Tom Marrie, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada Philip P. Mortimer, London, UK Founding Editor Joseph E. McDade, Rome, Georgia, USA Fred A. Murphy, Galveston, Texas, USA Barbara E. Murray, Houston, Texas, USA Senior Associate Editor, Emeritus P. Keith Murray, Geelong, Australia Brian W.J. Mahy, Bury St. Edmunds, Suffolk, UK Stephen M. Ostroff, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, USA Copy Editors Claudia Chesley, Karen Foster, Thomas Gryczan, Richard Platt, Boston, Massachusetts, USA Jean Michaels Jones, Shannon O’Connor, Carol Snarey, Gabriel Rabinovich, Buenos Aires, Argentina P. Lynne Stockton Mario Raviglione, Geneva, Switzerland David Relman, Palo Alto, California, USA Production Alicia Scarborough, Barbara Segal, Reginald Tucker Connie Schmaljohn, Frederick, Maryland, USA Editorial Assistant Tracey Hodges Tom Schwan, Hamilton, Montana, USA Communications/Social Media Sarah Logan Gregory Ira Schwartz, Valhalla, New York, USA Tom Shinnick, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Emerging Infectious Diseases is published monthly by the Centers for Disease Bonnie Smoak, Bethesda, Maryland, USA Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Mailstop D61, Atlanta, GA 30333, Rosemary Soave, New York, New York, USA USA. Telephone 404-639-1960, fax 404-639-1954, email [email protected]. P. Frederick Sparling, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA The opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not neces- Robert Swanepoel, Pretoria, South Africa sarily reflect the opinions of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or Phillip Tarr, St. Louis, Missouri, USA the institutions with which the authors are affiliated. Timothy Tucker, Cape Town, South Africa All material published in Emerging Infectious Diseases is in the public do- Elaine Tuomanen, Memphis, Tennessee, USA main and may be used and reprinted without special permission; proper citation, however, is required. John Ward, Atlanta, Georgia, USA Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement Mary E. Wilson, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA by the Public Health Service or by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. ∞ Emerging Infectious Diseases is printed on acid-free paper that meets the requirements of ANSI/NISO 239.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper) Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 19, No. 6, June 2013 June 2013 On the Cover Pandemic Influenza Planning, United States, 1978–2008................... 879 James Barsness J. Iskander et al. (b. 1954) My Valley (2003–2005) Benefits from pandemic planning preparedness Acrylic, ink on paper mounted will enhance our collective public health on canvas (125.7 cm x 171.5 cm) response to the next infectious disease crisis. Copyright courtesy of the artist and Cell Culture and Electron Microscopy George Adams Gallery, New York for Identifying Viruses in Diseases of About the Cover p. 1036 Unknown Cause .................................. 886 C.S. Goldsmith et al. Perspectives Rapid identification of causative agents of viral diseases is imperative. Prospects for Emerging Infections in East and Southeast Asia 10 Years after SARS ........................................... 853 P.W. Horby et al. Capacities for predicting, identifying, and Iatrogenic Blood-borne controlling biological threats must not stagnate. Viral Infections in Refugee Public Health Lessons from Children from War and SARS a Decade Later ......................... 861 Transition Zones ................. 892 J.P. Koplan et al. P.N. Goldwater Incidence is unknown because modes of National public health institutes have long-term transmission of individual cases is difficult value during disease outbreaks. to document. p. 855 Synopses Zoonotic Mycobacterium bovis–induced Tuberculosis in Humans .................... 899 Progress in Global Surveillance B. Müller et al. and Response Capacity 10 Years A systematic review suggests worldwide low after SARS ........................................... 864 incidence but reveals elevated effects among C.R. Braden et al. some populations. Global surveillance and response capacity has improved, but important gaps persist, Research and microbial threats remain. p. 948 Group A Streptococcus Strains New Delhi Metallo-β-Lactamase– Circulating during Scarlet Fever producing Enterobacteriaceae, Epidemic, Beijing, China, 2011 .......... 909 United States....................................... 870 P. Yang et al. J.K. Rasheed et al. Wider surveillance is warranted to monitor Isolates comprise a diversity of bacterial possible spread of the predominant strain type, species, plasmid types, and NDM alleles. emm12, to other countries. Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 19, No. 6, June 2013 Transmission Potential of Rift Valley Fever Virus over Course of the 2010 Epidemic in South Africa ................... 916 June 2013 R. Métras et al. Novel Mycobacterium tuberculosis Epidemic fade-out occurred as susceptible Complex Isolate from a Wild hosts were depleted and vector-suitable Chimpanzee ........................................ 969 environmental conditions declined. M. Coscolla et al. Effect of Travel on Influenza New strains could emerge as a result of Epidemiology ...................................... 925 proximity between humans and wildlife. S.-M. Belderok et al. Short-term travel to tropical and subtropical Dispatches areas probably contributes to spread worldwide. 977 Endemic Norovirus Infections Haemophilus influenzaeSerotype in Children, Ho Chi Minh City, a Invasive Disease, Alaska, Vietnam, 2009–2010 1983–2011 ............................................ 932 P.V. Tra My et al. M.G. Bruce et al. Highest rates of this invasive disease in Alaska p. 956 981 Human Melioidosis, Malawi, 2011 were among Alaska Native children. T. Katangwe et al. Effect of Winter School Breaks on 985 BSE-associated Prion-Amyloid Influenza-like Illness, Argentina, Cardiomyopathy in Primates 2005–2008............................................ 938 S. Krasemann et al. R.C. Garza et al. Two-week breaks significantly reduced illness 989 Novel SARS-like among children and adults. Betacoronaviruses in Bats, China, 2011 Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Dengue L. Yang et al. Epidemics, Southern Vietnam ........... 945 H.Q. Cuong et al. p. 986 992 Human Papillomavirus Genital Control efforts could be limited to areas where Infections among Men, incidence is high and dry seasons are common. China, 2007–2009 Z. He et al. Active Surveillance for Influenza A Virus among Swine, Midwestern 996 Treatment of Tularemia in United States, 2009–2011 ................... 954 Pregnant Woman, France C.A. Corzo et al. C. Dentan et al. Different influenza viruses circulate simultaneously among pig populations 999 Ciprofloxacin-Resistant throughout the year. Salmonella enterica Serovar Kentucky in Canada M.R. Mulvey et al. 1002 Novel Poxvirus in Big Brown Foodborne Botulism Bats, Northwestern in Canada, 1985–2005 ........ 961 United States D. Leclair et al. G.L. Emerson et al. Improvements in case identification and early treatment have led to a substantial 1005 Fatal Influenza decrease in case-fatality rates. A(H1N1)pdm09 Encephalopathy in Immunocompetent Man M. Simon et al. Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 19, No. 6, June 2013 1023 Flaviviruses in Game Birds, Southern Spain, 2011–2012 June 2013 1025 Absence of Rift Valley Fever Letters