On a Class of Historical Superprocesses in the Dynkin Sense
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Poisson Representations of Branching Markov and Measure-Valued
The Annals of Probability 2011, Vol. 39, No. 3, 939–984 DOI: 10.1214/10-AOP574 c Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2011 POISSON REPRESENTATIONS OF BRANCHING MARKOV AND MEASURE-VALUED BRANCHING PROCESSES By Thomas G. Kurtz1 and Eliane R. Rodrigues2 University of Wisconsin, Madison and UNAM Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure- valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are con- structed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a “level,” but unlike earlier con- structions, the levels change with time. In fact, death of a particle occurs only when the level of the particle crosses a specified level r, or for the limiting models, hits infinity. For branching Markov pro- cesses, at each time t, conditioned on the state of the process, the levels are independent and uniformly distributed on [0,r]. For the limiting measure-valued process, at each time t, the joint distribu- tion of locations and levels is conditionally Poisson distributed with mean measure K(t) × Λ, where Λ denotes Lebesgue measure, and K is the desired measure-valued process. The representation simplifies or gives alternative proofs for a vari- ety of calculations and results including conditioning on extinction or nonextinction, Harris’s convergence theorem for supercritical branch- ing processes, and diffusion approximations for processes in random environments. 1. Introduction. Measure-valued processes arise naturally as infinite sys- tem limits of empirical measures of finite particle systems. A number of ap- proaches have been developed which preserve distinct particles in the limit and which give a representation of the measure-valued process as a transfor- mation of the limiting infinite particle system. -
Superprocesses and Mckean-Vlasov Equations with Creation of Mass
Sup erpro cesses and McKean-Vlasov equations with creation of mass L. Overb eck Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, 367, Evans Hall Berkeley, CA 94720, y U.S.A. Abstract Weak solutions of McKean-Vlasov equations with creation of mass are given in terms of sup erpro cesses. The solutions can b e approxi- mated by a sequence of non-interacting sup erpro cesses or by the mean- eld of multityp e sup erpro cesses with mean- eld interaction. The lat- ter approximation is asso ciated with a propagation of chaos statement for weakly interacting multityp e sup erpro cesses. Running title: Sup erpro cesses and McKean-Vlasov equations . 1 Intro duction Sup erpro cesses are useful in solving nonlinear partial di erential equation of 1+ the typ e f = f , 2 0; 1], cf. [Dy]. Wenowchange the p oint of view and showhowtheyprovide sto chastic solutions of nonlinear partial di erential Supp orted byanFellowship of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft. y On leave from the Universitat Bonn, Institut fur Angewandte Mathematik, Wegelerstr. 6, 53115 Bonn, Germany. 1 equation of McKean-Vlasovtyp e, i.e. wewant to nd weak solutions of d d 2 X X @ @ @ + d x; + bx; : 1.1 = a x; t i t t t t t ij t @t @x @x @x i j i i=1 i;j =1 d Aweak solution = 2 C [0;T];MIR satis es s Z 2 t X X @ @ a f = f + f + d f + b f ds: s ij s t 0 i s s @x @x @x 0 i j i Equation 1.1 generalizes McKean-Vlasov equations of twodi erenttyp es. -
A Stochastic Processes and Martingales
A Stochastic Processes and Martingales A.1 Stochastic Processes Let I be either IINorIR+.Astochastic process on I with state space E is a family of E-valued random variables X = {Xt : t ∈ I}. We only consider examples where E is a Polish space. Suppose for the moment that I =IR+. A stochastic process is called cadlag if its paths t → Xt are right-continuous (a.s.) and its left limits exist at all points. In this book we assume that every stochastic process is cadlag. We say a process is continuous if its paths are continuous. The above conditions are meant to hold with probability 1 and not to hold pathwise. A.2 Filtration and Stopping Times The information available at time t is expressed by a σ-subalgebra Ft ⊂F.An {F ∈ } increasing family of σ-algebras t : t I is called a filtration.IfI =IR+, F F F we call a filtration right-continuous if t+ := s>t s = t. If not stated otherwise, we assume that all filtrations in this book are right-continuous. In many books it is also assumed that the filtration is complete, i.e., F0 contains all IIP-null sets. We do not assume this here because we want to be able to change the measure in Chapter 4. Because the changed measure and IIP will be singular, it would not be possible to extend the new measure to the whole σ-algebra F. A stochastic process X is called Ft-adapted if Xt is Ft-measurable for all t. If it is clear which filtration is used, we just call the process adapted.The {F X } natural filtration t is the smallest right-continuous filtration such that X is adapted. -
Local Conditioning in Dawson–Watanabe Superprocesses
The Annals of Probability 2013, Vol. 41, No. 1, 385–443 DOI: 10.1214/11-AOP702 c Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2013 LOCAL CONDITIONING IN DAWSON–WATANABE SUPERPROCESSES By Olav Kallenberg Auburn University Consider a locally finite Dawson–Watanabe superprocess ξ =(ξt) in Rd with d ≥ 2. Our main results include some recursive formulas for the moment measures of ξ, with connections to the uniform Brown- ian tree, a Brownian snake representation of Palm measures, continu- ity properties of conditional moment densities, leading by duality to strongly continuous versions of the multivariate Palm distributions, and a local approximation of ξt by a stationary clusterη ˜ with nice continuity and scaling properties. This all leads up to an asymptotic description of the conditional distribution of ξt for a fixed t> 0, given d that ξt charges the ε-neighborhoods of some points x1,...,xn ∈ R . In the limit as ε → 0, the restrictions to those sets are conditionally in- dependent and given by the pseudo-random measures ξ˜ orη ˜, whereas the contribution to the exterior is given by the Palm distribution of ξt at x1,...,xn. Our proofs are based on the Cox cluster representa- tions of the historical process and involve some delicate estimates of moment densities. 1. Introduction. This paper may be regarded as a continuation of [19], where we considered some local properties of a Dawson–Watanabe super- process (henceforth referred to as a DW-process) at a fixed time t> 0. Recall that a DW-process ξ = (ξt) is a vaguely continuous, measure-valued diffu- d ξtf µvt sion process in R with Laplace functionals Eµe− = e− for suitable functions f 0, where v = (vt) is the unique solution to the evolution equa- 1 ≥ 2 tion v˙ = 2 ∆v v with initial condition v0 = f. -
6 Mar 2019 Strict Local Martingales and the Khasminskii Test for Explosions
Strict Local Martingales and the Khasminskii Test for Explosions Aditi Dandapani∗† and Philip Protter‡§ March 7, 2019 Abstract We exhibit sufficient conditions such that components of a multidimen- sional SDE giving rise to a local martingale M are strict local martingales or martingales. We assume that the equations have diffusion coefficients of the form σ(Mt, vt), with vt being a stochastic volatility term. We dedicate this paper to the memory of Larry Shepp 1 Introduction In 2007 P.L. Lions and M. Musiela (2007) gave a sufficient condition for when a unique weak solution of a one dimensional stochastic volatility stochastic differen- tial equation is a strict local martingale. Lions and Musiela also gave a sufficient condition for it to be a martingale. Similar results were obtained by L. Andersen and V. Piterbarg (2007). The techniques depend at one key stage on Feller’s test for explosions, and as such are uniquely applicable to the one dimensional case. Earlier, in 2002, F. Delbaen and H. Shirakawa (2002) gave a seminal result giving arXiv:1903.02383v1 [q-fin.MF] 6 Mar 2019 necessary and sufficient conditions for a solution of a one dimensional stochastic differential equation (without stochastic volatility) to be a strict local martingale or not. This was later extended by A. Mijatovic and M. Urusov (2012) and then by ∗Applied Mathematics Department, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027; email: [email protected]; Currently at Ecole Polytechnique, Palaiseau, France. †Supported in part by NSF grant DMS-1308483 ‡Statistics Department, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027; email: [email protected]. -
Geometric Brownian Motion with Affine Drift and Its Time-Integral
Geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its time-integral ⋆ a b, c Runhuan Feng , Pingping Jiang ∗, Hans Volkmer aDepartment of Mathematics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Illinois, USA bSchool of Management and Economics,The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518172, P.R. China School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230026, P.R.China cDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA Abstract The joint distribution of a geometric Brownian motion and its time-integral was derived in a seminal paper by Yor (1992) using Lamperti’s transformation, leading to explicit solutions in terms of modified Bessel functions. In this paper, we revisit this classic result using the simple Laplace transform approach in connection to the Heun differential equation. We extend the methodology to the geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and show that the joint distribution of this process and its time-integral can be determined by a doubly-confluent Heun equation. Furthermore, the joint Laplace transform of the process and its time-integral is derived from the asymptotics of the solutions. In addition, we provide an application by using the results for the asymptotics of the double-confluent Heun equation in pricing Asian options. Numerical results show the accuracy and efficiency of this new method. Keywords: Doubly-confluent Heun equation, geometric Brownian motion with affine drift, Lamperti’s transformation, asymptotics, boundary value problem. ⋆R. Feng is supported by an endowment from the State Farm Companies Foundation. P. Jiang arXiv:2012.09661v1 [q-fin.MF] 17 Dec 2020 is supported by the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China (No.2020M671853) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. -
Non-Local Branching Superprocesses and Some Related Models
Published in: Acta Applicandae Mathematicae 74 (2002), 93–112. Non-local Branching Superprocesses and Some Related Models Donald A. Dawson1 School of Mathematics and Statistics, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, Canada K1S 5B6 E-mail: [email protected] Luis G. Gorostiza2 Departamento de Matem´aticas, Centro de Investigaci´ony de Estudios Avanzados, A.P. 14-740, 07000 M´exicoD. F., M´exico E-mail: [email protected] Zenghu Li3 Department of Mathematics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, P.R. China E-mail: [email protected] Abstract A new formulation of non-local branching superprocesses is given from which we derive as special cases the rebirth, the multitype, the mass- structured, the multilevel and the age-reproduction-structured superpro- cesses and the superprocess-controlled immigration process. This unified treatment simplifies considerably the proof of existence of the old classes of superprocesses and also gives rise to some new ones. AMS Subject Classifications: 60G57, 60J80 Key words and phrases: superprocess, non-local branching, rebirth, mul- titype, mass-structured, multilevel, age-reproduction-structured, superprocess- controlled immigration. 1Supported by an NSERC Research Grant and a Max Planck Award. 2Supported by the CONACYT (Mexico, Grant No. 37130-E). 3Supported by the NNSF (China, Grant No. 10131040). 1 1 Introduction Measure-valued branching processes or superprocesses constitute a rich class of infinite dimensional processes currently under rapid development. Such processes arose in appli- cations as high density limits of branching particle systems; see e.g. Dawson (1992, 1993), Dynkin (1993, 1994), Watanabe (1968). The development of this subject has been stimu- lated from different subjects including branching processes, interacting particle systems, stochastic partial differential equations and non-linear partial differential equations. -
Jump-Diffusion Models for Asset Pricing in Financial Engineering
J.R. Birge and V. Linetsky (Eds.), Handbooks in OR & MS, Vol. 15 Copyright © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved DOI: 10.1016/S0927-0507(07)15002-7 Chapter 2 Jump-Diffusion Models for Asset Pricing in Financial Engineering S.G. Kou Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University E-mail: [email protected] Abstract In this survey we shall focus on the following issues related to jump-diffusion mod- els for asset pricing in financial engineering. (1) The controversy over tailweight of distributions. (2) Identifying a risk-neutral pricing measure by using the rational ex- pectations equilibrium. (3) Using Laplace transforms to pricing options, including European call/put options, path-dependent options, such as barrier and lookback op- tions. (4) Difficulties associated with the partial integro-differential equations related to barrier-crossing problems. (5) Analytical approximations for finite-horizon Amer- ican options with jump risk. (6) Multivariate jump-diffusion models. 1Introduction There is a large literature on jump-diffusion models in finance, including several excellent books, e.g. the books by Cont and Tankov (2004), Kijima (2002). So a natural question is why another survey article is needed. What we attempt to achieve in this survey chapter is to emphasis some points that have not been well addressed in previous surveys. More precisely we shall focus on the following issues. (1) The controversy over tailweight of distributions. An empirical motiva- tion for using jump-diffusion models comes from the fact that asset return distributions tend to have heavier tails than those of normal dis- tribution. However, it is not clear how heavy the tail distributions are, as some people favor power-type distributions, others exponential-type distributions. -
1 the Ito Integral
Derivative Securities, Fall 2010 Mathematics in Finance Program Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, NYU Jonathan Goodman http://www.math.nyu.edu/faculty/goodman/teaching/DerivSec10/resources.html Week 6 1 The Ito integral The Black Scholes reasoning asks us to apply calculus, stochastic calculus, to expressions involving differentials of Brownian motion and other diffusion pro- cesses. To do this, we define the Ito integral with respect to Brownian motion and a general diffusion. Things discussed briefly and vaguely here are discussed in more detail and at greater length in Stochastic calculus. Suppose Xt is a diffusion process that satisfies (18) and (19) from week 5. Suppose that ft is another stochastic process that is adapted to the same filtration F. The Ito integral is Z t Yt = fs dXs : (1) 0 You could call this the \indefinite integral" because we care how the answer depends on t. In particular, the Ito integral is one of the ways to construct a new stochastic process, Yt, from old ones ft and Xt. It is not possible to define (1) unless ft is adapted. If ft is allowed to depend 0 on future values Xt0 (t > t), then the integral may not make sense or it may not have the properties we expect. The essential technical idea in the definition of (1) is that dXs is in the future of s. If we think that dXs = Xs+ds − Xs, then we must take ds > 0 (but infinitely close to zero). This implies that if Xt is a martingale, then Yt also is a martingale. -
A Representation for Functionals of Superprocesses Via Particle Picture Raisa E
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Elsevier - Publisher Connector stochastic processes and their applications ELSEVIER Stochastic Processes and their Applications 64 (1996) 173-186 A representation for functionals of superprocesses via particle picture Raisa E. Feldman *,‘, Srikanth K. Iyer ‘,* Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, University oj’ Cull~ornia at Santa Barbara, CA 93/06-31/O, USA, and Department of Industrial Enyineeriny and Management. Technion - Israel Institute of’ Technology, Israel Received October 1995; revised May 1996 Abstract A superprocess is a measure valued process arising as the limiting density of an infinite col- lection of particles undergoing branching and diffusion. It can also be defined as a measure valued Markov process with a specified semigroup. Using the latter definition and explicit mo- ment calculations, Dynkin (1988) built multiple integrals for the superprocess. We show that the multiple integrals of the superprocess defined by Dynkin arise as weak limits of linear additive functionals built on the particle system. Keywords: Superprocesses; Additive functionals; Particle system; Multiple integrals; Intersection local time AMS c.lassijication: primary 60555; 60H05; 60580; secondary 60F05; 6OG57; 60Fl7 1. Introduction We study a class of functionals of a superprocess that can be identified as the multiple Wiener-It6 integrals of this measure valued process. More precisely, our objective is to study these via the underlying branching particle system, thus providing means of thinking about the functionals in terms of more simple, intuitive and visualizable objects. This way of looking at multiple integrals of a stochastic process has its roots in the previous work of Adler and Epstein (=Feldman) (1987), Epstein (1989), Adler ( 1989) Feldman and Rachev (1993), Feldman and Krishnakumar ( 1994). -
Immigration Structures Associated with Dawson-Watanabe Superprocesses
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you COREby provided by Elsevier - Publisher Connector stochastic processes and their applications ELSEVIER StochasticProcesses and their Applications 62 (1996) 73 86 Immigration structures associated with Dawson-Watanabe superprocesses Zeng-Hu Li Department of Mathematics, Beijing Normal University, Be!ring 100875, Peoples Republic of China Received March 1995: revised November 1995 Abstract The immigration structure associated with a measure-valued branching process may be described by a skew convolution semigroup. For the special type of measure-valued branching process, the Dawson Watanabe superprocess, we show that a skew convolution semigroup corresponds uniquely to an infinitely divisible probability measure on the space of entrance laws for the underlying process. An immigration process associated with a Borel right superpro- cess does not always have a right continuous realization, but it can always be obtained by transformation from a Borel right one in an enlarged state space. Keywords: Dawson-Watanabe superprocess; Skew convolution semigroup; Entrance law; Immigration process; Borel right process AMS classifications: Primary 60J80; Secondary 60G57, 60J50, 60J40 I. Introduction Let E be a Lusin topological space, i.e., a homeomorphism of a Borel subset of a compact metric space, with the Borel a-algebra .N(E). Let B(E) denote the set of all bounded ~(E)-measurable functions on E and B(E) + the subspace of B(E) compris- ing non-negative elements. Denote by M(E) the space of finite measures on (E, ~(E)) equipped with the topology of weak convergence. Forf e B(E) and # e M(E), write ~l(f) for ~Efd/~. -
A Stochastic Lomax Diffusion Process: Statistical Inference and Application
mathematics Article A Stochastic Lomax Diffusion Process: Statistical Inference and Application Ahmed Nafidi 1,†, Ilyasse Makroz 1,*,† and Ramón Gutiérrez Sánchez 2,† 1 Department of Mathematics and Informatics, National School of Applied Sciences, Hassan First University of Settat, LAMSAD, Avenue de l’université, Berrechid BP 280, Morocco; ahmed.nafi[email protected] 2 Department of Statistics and Operational Research, Facultad de Ciencias, Campus de Fuentenueva, University of Granada, 18071 Granada, Spain; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] † These authors contributed equally to this work. Abstract: In this paper, we discuss a new stochastic diffusion process in which the trend function is proportional to the Lomax density function. This distribution arises naturally in the studies of the frequency of extremely rare events. We first consider the probabilistic characteristics of the proposed model, including its analytic expression as the unique solution to a stochastic differential equation, the transition probability density function together with the conditional and unconditional trend functions. Then, we present a method to address the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood with discrete sampling. This estimation requires the solution of a non-linear equation, which is achieved via the simulated annealing method. Finally, we apply the proposed model to a real-world example concerning adolescent fertility rate in Morocco. Keywords: stochastic differential equation; lomax distribution; trend functions; statistical inference; simulated annealing; adolescent fertility rate Citation: Nafidi, A.; Makroz, I.; 1. Introduction Gutiérrez-Sánchez, R. A Stochastic Stochastic diffusion models are used to analyze the evolution of phenomena in multi- Lomax Diffusion Process: Statistical ple fields of science, including biology, finance, energy consumption and physics.