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Wards for Communities Hackney Conservatives Submission on The Wards for Communities Hackney Conservatives submission on the new electoral arrangements for London Borough of Hackney September 2012 1 1. The Commission's draft proposal was published in July 2012 and we are supportive of its proposals to retain 57 Councillors for the London Borough of Hackney. A mayoral form of local government does not require less scrutiny, it requires more as power is more centralised than in other forms of government. 2. We oppose the basis of the review as we believe that the data supplied by Hackney Council in predicting future electoral growth is faulty and underestimates the growth in the population in the North East of the Borough. 3. Should a new scheme of wards be required, however, we are broadly supportive of many parts of the Commission's draft proposals but think it can be enhanced to: Aim for greater electoral equality; 4. The range of variances from the average of the Commissions proposals is for 2011 go from -9% for Haggerston to +8% for Stamford Hill East and for 2017 -9% for Haggerston and +9% for Brownswood. We think it to be ill advised to have a scheme that widens over time and pushes ward sizes so close to the tolerance level for triggering another review. We have, therefore, prepared an amendment that would provide for a 2011 range of -8% (New River) to +8% (Victoria) closing in 2017 to -5% (Springfield) and +6% (manor House). Recognise communities; 5. Some of the proposals have retained divisions which this review should have attempted to fix. Putting local community centres such as Chatsworth Road, Well Street and Wilton Way at the middle of wards as the basis for reorganisation would help their nascent renaissance. Our suggestions attempt to ensure that these local community hubs (as opposed to the larger shopping streets which could be used as boundaries) are at the centre of a councillors responsibilities, not on the periphery. 6. Where people travel for their local services is an important consideration when deciding on ward boundaries. This is much stronger than just grouping together communities by housing tenure as in the Commission's London Fields and Haggerston proposals. 7. Whilst electoral equality is important it should at least be recognised that a ward spanning both sides of busy roads (eg. Leabridge Road) may have problems in maintaining a single identity. 8. For these reasons we have proposed a substantial change from the old boundaries in an attempt to recognise how communities look now. Provide for special cases. 9. We have proposed some one member wards where a particular need can be demonstrated. These are in four categories. a) A community may be isolated or remote from surrounding communities due to the positioning of roads and other features (Manor House, Wick, Leabridge), b) A different mode of Government is planned (Wick), c) Strong local institutions exist (Broadway) d) Where a single member ward may assist in moderating variations in electoral representation (Manor House). 2 Electorate figures 10. We believe the draft proposals which has been informed by data provided by Hackney has a number of errors contained within it. Errors relating to 2011 register: 11. We have made counts of the electorates for each proposed ward on the 2011 figures based upon the numbers of electors in each postcode contained in that area. When a polling district has been split between two new wards we can, with a level of granularity down to the postcode, therefore calculate the electorates in each part of a divided polling district. We believe that the Council has made estimates of these electorates rather than counting each individual postcode. This has resulted in them misreporting the existing populations of the proposed wards. This is most stark in the case of the Commission's proposed De Beauvoir Ward where the actual population of the area proposed is some 400 electors larger than reported. Whilst this would still keep the proposed 2 member ward within 10% once the expected growth to 2017 is applied it would mean that De Beauvoir would be over 13% larger than the average. For the purposes of compiling our proposals we have therefore used the actual count of the December 2011 register but have applied, in most cases, the increases as suggested by the pro forma1 submitted by Hackney. Population assumptions 12. We believe that the Council have made the assumption that each new property has an average occupancy of 1.5 persons and that half of the total would be entitled to vote. This assumption has been made on the same criteria used by the Council. There are, however, communities whose occupancy is far greater than the average. This includes the Charedi communities of Stamford Hill. Insufficient data has been provided by the Council to justify a one-size fits-all statistical assumption. We believe that the predicted populations in the Stamford Hill area are understated by as many as 300 electors per ward 1 http://www.lgbce.org.uk/__documents/lgbce/data/electoral-figures/2012/hackney-proforma-2012.xls 3 Our proposals Our proposals in detail are available through a google map here: http://bit.ly/RnQOkZ 2 2 Full link: https://maps.google.co.uk/maps/ms? msid=203059216962057256273.0004ca473db25268d2530&msa=0&ll=51.54879,- 0.071411&spn=0.068532,0.181789 4 North Hackney Brownswood 13. Brownswood is likely to substantially increase in population due to the developments at King Crescent. A smaller ward would maintain better electoral equality than that proposed by the Commission and we therefore recommend that the northern boundary for this ward be Gloucester Drive and Alexandra Grove. Cazenove Ward 14. Whilst we broadly support the Commission's proposals in this area we think to remove the name Cazenove is change for change's sake as many people identify with the name. We also think the northern boundary of the ward should aim to include the locally important Northwold and Cazenove Conservation Area. Clapton 15. The weakness of the Commission's proposals in this area is to attempt to create a ward across the Leabridge Road. Community movements are easier across the Upper Clapton Road so it makes sense to combine this area with the area north of Hackney Downs. Clissold Ward 16. We believe the Clissold Ward proposed by the Commission is unnecessarily oversized and have proposed boundaries that are closer to the electoral quota. This boundary is similar to the existing ward boundary. 5 Lordship 17. There is a cohesive and distinct community between Abney Park Cemetery and Clissold Park which needs a distinctive recognition within one ward and so we oppose the Commissions plan to split this between two. We propose that Lordship Ward should incorporate that area as well as the area south of the reservoirs. This makes sense in terms of easily definable boundaries and community identity. 18. The proposed boundary in Abney Park Cemetery follows the entrance path at Stoke Newington High Street , north.round the West and North boundary Roads. 3 Manor House & New River 19. We beleive there is no good reason to change the name of New River Ward and, as there is local recognition of the name, we propose that it remain as New River. 20. We understand the Commission's position of uniting Woodberry Down under one ward but would like to submit that we believe this to be mistaken approach. It is because this area is likely to see a rapid growth over the next few years that mitigates against the entire development being incorporated into one 3 member ward. The huge increase in electors would result in a period of over representation and then a longer period of under representation as the number of electors rose towards the quota. Better representation will be achieved by splitting Woodberry Down between two wards. The proposed Manor House Ward provides a distinctive voice for a community that is squeezed between the Borough boundary and the Reservoir and New River allows for a degree of continuity with existing arrangements, which have worked well. During the uncertainty that will be brought to the area as a result of the development, four councillors representing the concerns of the residents of Woodberry Down would be better than three. Any future revision to take account of the population growth could be resolved by adding an additional councillor to Manor House to make 58 councillors or to adjust the border. 21. Whilst we recognise that using Stamford Hill (the road) as a boundary, as proposed by the Commission in its draft, has its advantages it fails to recognise that many residents at the north end of Clapton Common will tend to look west for their services and places of worship with many residents on the west side of Stamford Hill looking east. We have therefore proposed that most of Leweston Place, Egerton Road and Tatton Crescent be incorporated into New River. Springfield 22. We believe that the whole of Springfield Park should be kept in one ward. 23. The Council data4 infers that the population increase to 2017 in the polling districts covered by the old Springfield Ward is 175 electors. 24. A number of developments are taking pace which challenge the data originally provided by the Council. Even assuming an electorate of 1 per household the figure of 175 looks well below what can be expected. With a higher than average occupancy rate amongst the communities in this part of the Borough5, this could make a substantial difference to the projections for 2017. 3 Map provided by http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/73/Abney_Park_Section_Map.jpg 4 Electoral figures for Hackney spreadsheet - http://www.lgbce.org.uk/__documents/lgbce/data/electoral- figures/2012/hackney-proforma-2012.xls 5 Ward profile for Springfield Page 8 http://www.hackney.gov.uk/Assets/Documents/springfield-ward-profile.pdf 6 25.
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