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Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific Ab Sins Nicholas S
Louisiana State University LSU Digital Commons LSU Master's Theses Graduate School March 2019 Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific aB sins Nicholas S. Grondin Louisiana State University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses Part of the Climate Commons, Meteorology Commons, and the Physical and Environmental Geography Commons Recommended Citation Grondin, Nicholas S., "Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific asinB s" (2019). LSU Master's Theses. 4864. https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses/4864 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at LSU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in LSU Master's Theses by an authorized graduate school editor of LSU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. CLIMATOLOGY, VARIABILITY, AND RETURN PERIODS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE STRIKES IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC BASINS A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in The Department of Geography and Anthropology by Nicholas S. Grondin B.S. Meteorology, University of South Alabama, 2016 May 2019 Dedication This thesis is dedicated to my family, especially mom, Mim and Pop, for their love and encouragement every step of the way. This thesis is dedicated to my friends and fraternity brothers, especially Dillon, Sarah, Clay, and Courtney, for their friendship and support. This thesis is dedicated to all of my teachers and college professors, especially Mrs. -
Read December 6 Edition
Vol. 46, No. 49 Thursday,December 6, 2018 News/Features: page 2 MacDillAirmantop in AMC News/Features: page 3 Hurricane Hunterswrap up Week in photos: page 4 Images from the week News/Features: page 7 Next generationmasks Readiness showcased - page 10 Photo by Airman 1st Class Ryan C. Grossklag U.S. Air Force Col. Stephen Snelson, 6th Air Mobility Wing Commander,spends time with military working dog handlers Community:page 16 at MacDill Air Force Base Nov.26. Snelson donned abite-suit and attempted to outrun amilitary working dog during a Events, Chapel, more... demonstration by the 6th Security Forces Squadron, showcasing that this SFS team and their canines areready to re- spond at amoment’snotice. NEWS/FEATURES ‘She’sincredible, must be medical’ by Airman 1st Class Scott Warner 6th Air Mobility Wing Public Affairs Senior Airman Amber Durrence,a6th Medi- cal Operations Squadron mental health techni- cian at MacDill Air Force Base,was named Air Mobility Command’s2018 Mental Health Air- man of the Year. MacDill’s6th MDOS leadership nominated Durrence because she reflected Air Force core values and demonstrated not only expertise in her career field, but leadership above her grade and overall commitment to the Mental Health clinic mission. “Airman Durrence alwayshas agreat atti- tude,” said Staff Sgt. PatrickAllen, Durrence’s Photo by Airman 1st Class Scott Warner supervisor and the 6th MDOS NCO in charge of the behavior health optimization program. “She U.S. Air Force Senior Airman Amber Durrence, right, a6th Medical Operations Squadron men- continually exceeds expectations,leads by ex- tal health technician, shows another Airman how to complete the mental health examination of ample and is consistently hungry to help.” their pre-deployment process at MacDill Air Force Base Nov.29. -
Sensitivity of Numerical Simulation of Early Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Emily (2005) to Cloud Microphysical and Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations
Sensitivity of Numerical Simulation of Early Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Emily (2005) to Cloud Microphysical and Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations XUANLI LI and ZHAOXIA PU* Department of Meteorology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT Second revision Submitted to Monthly Weather Review March 25, 2008 * Corresponding author: Dr. Zhaoxia Pu, Department of Meteorology, University of Utah, 135 S 1460 E, Rm.819, Salt Lake City, UT 84112-0110. E-mail: [email protected] 0 ABSTRACT An advanced research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) model is used to simulate the early rapid intensification of Hurricane Emily (2005) using grids nested to high resolution (3 km). A series of numerical simulations are conducted to examine the sensitivity of the simulation to available cloud microphysical (CM) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes. Results indicate that the numerical simulations of the early rapid intensification of Hurricane Emily are very sensitive to the choice of CM and PBL schemes in the ARW model. Specifically, with different CM schemes, the simulated minimum central sea level pressure (MSLP) varies by up to 29 hPa, and the use of various PBL schemes has resulted in differences in the simulated MSLP of up to 19 hPa during the 30 h forecast period. Physical processes associated with the above sensitivities are investigated. It is found that the magnitude of the environmental vertical wind shear is not well correlated with simulated hurricane intensities. In contrast, the eyewall convective heating distributions and the latent heat flux and high equivalent potential temperature (θe) feeding from the ocean surface are directly associated with the simulated intensities. -
Annual Report FY 2018 & FY 2019
Forever Families Annual Report FY 2018 & FY 2019 July 1, 2017 - June 30, 2018 July 1, 2018 - June 30, 2019 1 A message from our Board Chair CFS Brings Communities Together for Families It has been an honor to serve as the Child & Family Service board chair for the past two years and I am truly pleased with how much we have accomplished together. I am confident knowing CFS is in a solid and sustainable financial condition, with outstanding board leadership and engagement, a dynamic leader at the helm, and positive positioning within the industry. TONY MIZUNO WE KNEW REPLACING HOWARD In respect to CFS finances, we continue to Board Chair GARVAL’S 20 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE remain focused on financial diligence and our WOULD BE CHALLENGING, so it was both obligation to use our assets responsibly. Our Executive Vice President exciting and comforting to discover that the numbers are strong and sustainable, which helps Bank of Hawaii most qualified candidate came from within our to ensure we have the ability to provide critical CFS ranks. In re-envisioning CFS’s place in the services even if hit with random hiccups such community, Karen Tan is transcending her role as a government shutdown, natural disasters or as agency president to becoming a champion for other unexpected events. social services in the state. With her guidance, CFS is sharing new learnings, shepherding Lastly, as I close my tenure as board chair, I want innovative projects and fostering inter-agency to thank my fellow board members. It has been collaboration in a kind and respectful way. -
Extension of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Eastern and Central North Pacific
NPS ARCHIVE 1997.12 BOOTHE, M. NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS EXTENSION OF THE SYTEMATIC APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC by Mark A. Boothe December, 1997 Thesis Co-Advisors: Russell L.Elsberry Lester E. Carr III Thesis B71245 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. DUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY NAVAl OSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA 93943-5101 REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching casting data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, I'aperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1 . AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED December 1997. Master's Thesis TITLE AND SUBTITLE EXTENSION OF THE SYSTEMATIC 5. FUNDING NUMBERS APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 6. AUTHOR(S) Mark A. Boothe 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDR£SS(ES) PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION Monterey CA 93943-5000 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESSEES) 10. SPONSORING/MONTTORIN G AGENCY REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. -
Historical Notes Relating to Bideford's East-The-Water Shore.Odt
Historical Notes relating to Bideford's East-the-Water Shore A collection, in time-line form, of information pertaining primarily to the East-the-Water shore. Table of Contents Introduction....................................................................................................................................13 Nature of this document.............................................................................................................13 Development of this document...................................................................................................13 Prior to written records...................................................................................................................13 Prehistory...................................................................................................................................13 Stone Age, flint tools and Eastridge enclosure............................................................................14 Roman period, tin roads, transit camps, and the ford..................................................................15 A Roman transit camp between two crossings.......................................................................15 An ancient tin route?.............................................................................................................15 The old ford...........................................................................................................................15 Saxon period, fisheries (monks and forts?).................................................................................15 -
Battle for the Floodplains
Battle for the Floodplains: An Institutional Analysis of Water Management and Spatial Planning in England Thesis submitted in accordance with the requirements of the for the Degree of Doctor in Philosophy by Karen Michelle Potter September 2012 Abstract Dramatic flood events witnessed from the turn of the century have renewed political attention and, it is believed, created new opportunities for the restoration of functional floodplains to alleviate the impact of flooding on urban development. For centuries, rural and urban landowning interests have dominated floodplains and water management in England, through a ‘hegemonic discourse alliance’ on land use development and flood defence. More recently, the use of structural flood defences has been attributed to the exacerbation of flood risk in towns and cities, and we are warned if water managers proceeded with ‘business as usual’ traditional scenarios, this century is predicted to see increased severe inconveniences at best and human catastrophes at worst. The novel, sustainable and integrated policy response is highly dependent upon the planning system, heavily implicated in the loss of floodplains in the past, in finding the land for restoring functioning floodplains. Planners are urged to take this as a golden opportunity to make homes and businesses safer from flood risk, but also to create an environment with green spaces and richer habitats for wildlife. Despite supportive changes in policy, there are few urban floodplain restoration schemes being implemented in practice in England, we remain entrenched in the engineered flood defence approach and the planner’s response is deemed inadequate. The key question is whether new discourses and policy instruments on sustainable, integrated water management can be put into practice, or whether they will remain ‘lip-service’ and cannot be implemented after all. -
Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: the Way Ahead
INTERAGENCY STRATEGIC RESEARCH PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THE WAY AHEAD FCM-P36-2007 February 2007 Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research THE FEDERAL COMMITTEE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH (FCMSSR) VADM CONRAD C. LAUTENBACHER, JR., USN (RET.) MR. RANDOLPH LYON Chairman, Department of Commerce Office of Management and Budget DR. SHARON L. HAYS MS. VICTORIA COX Office of Science and Technology Policy Department of Transportation DR. RAYMOND MOTHA MR. DAVID MAURSTAD Department of Agriculture Federal Emergency Management Agency Department of Homeland Security BRIG GEN DAVID L. JOHNSON, USAF (RET.) Department of Commerce DR. MARY L. CLEAVE National Aeronautics and Space MR. ALAN SHAFFER Administration Department of Defense DR. MARGARET S. LEINEN DR. JERRY ELWOOD National Science Foundation Department of Energy MR. PAUL MISENCIK MR. KEVIN “SPANKY” KIRSCH National Transportation Safety Board Science and Technology Directorate Department of Homeland Security MR. JAMES WIGGINS U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission DR. MICHAEL SOUKUP Department of the Interior DR. LAWRENCE REITER Environmental Protection Agency MR. RALPH BRAIBANTI Department of State MR. SAMUEL P. WILLIAMSON Federal Coordinator MR. JAMES B. HARRISON, Executive Secretary Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research THE INTERDEPARTMENTAL COMMITTEE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH (ICMSSR) MR. SAMUEL P. WILLIAMSON, Chairman MR. JAMES H. WILLIAMS Federal Coordinator Federal Aviation Administration Department of Transportation MR. THOMAS PUTERBAUGH Department of Agriculture DR. JONATHAN M. BERKSON United States Coast Guard MR. JOHN E. JONES, JR. Department of Homeland Security Department of Commerce MR. JEFFREY MACLURE RADM FRED BYUS, USN Department of State United States Navy Department of Defense DR. -
Supplement of Storm Xaver Over Europe in December 2013: Overview of Energy Impacts and North Sea Events
Supplement of Adv. Geosci., 54, 137–147, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-54-137-2020-supplement © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Supplement of Storm Xaver over Europe in December 2013: Overview of energy impacts and North Sea events Anthony James Kettle Correspondence to: Anthony James Kettle ([email protected]) The copyright of individual parts of the supplement might differ from the CC BY 4.0 License. SECTION I. Supplement figures Figure S1. Wind speed (10 minute average, adjusted to 10 m height) and wind direction on 5 Dec. 2013 at 18:00 GMT for selected station records in the National Climate Data Center (NCDC) database. Figure S2. Maximum significant wave height for the 5–6 Dec. 2013. The data has been compiled from CEFAS-Wavenet (wavenet.cefas.co.uk) for the UK sector, from time series diagrams from the website of the Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrolographie (BSH) for German sites, from time series data from Denmark's Kystdirektoratet website (https://kyst.dk/soeterritoriet/maalinger-og-data/), from RWS (2014) for three Netherlands stations, and from time series diagrams from the MIROS monthly data reports for the Norwegian platforms of Draugen, Ekofisk, Gullfaks, Heidrun, Norne, Ormen Lange, Sleipner, and Troll. Figure S3. Thematic map of energy impacts by Storm Xaver on 5–6 Dec. 2013. The platform identifiers are: BU Buchan Alpha, EK Ekofisk, VA? Valhall, The wind turbine accident letter identifiers are: B blade damage, L lightning strike, T tower collapse, X? 'exploded'. The numbers are the number of customers (households and businesses) without power at some point during the storm. -
Storm Watchers the Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin’S Kite to El Niño • John D
Storm Watchers The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin’s Kite to El Niño • john d. cox John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 01 cox part 1 6/20/02 11:16 AM Page 12 00 cox fm 6/20/02 11:16 AM Page i Storm Watchers The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin’s Kite to El Niño • john d. cox John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 00 cox fm 6/20/02 11:16 AM Page ii To my mother and father, elizabeth cox and ernest y. cox Copyright © 2002 by John D. Cox. All rights reserved Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey Published simultaneously in Canada No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 or the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 750-4470, or on the web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publiser for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, email: permcoordinator@wiley. com. Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. -
The History Group's Silver Jubilee
History of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography Special Interest Group Newsletter 2, 2009 A VIEW FROM THE CHAIR arranges meetings which are full of interest. We need especially to convince students that the The following review of 2008, by the Group’s origins and growth of the atmospheric and Chairman, Malcolm Walker, was presented at oceanic sciences are not only fascinating but the History Group’s Annual General Meeting also important. All too many research students on 28 March 2009. are now discouraged from reading anything Without an enthusiastic and conscientious more than ten years old and, moreover, do not committee, there would be no History Group. My appear to want to read anything that is not on thanks to all who have served on the committee the Web. To this end, historians of science are this past year. Thanks especially to our fighting back. A network of bodies concerned Secretary, Sara Osman, who has not only with the history of science, technology, prepared the paperwork for committee meetings mathematics, engineering and medicine has and written the minutes but also edited and been formed and our Group is one of the produced the newsletter (and sent you network’s members. An issue taken up by the subscription reminders!). She left the Met Office network during the past year is the withdrawal of in January 2008 and has since worked in the Royal Society funding from the National library of Kingston University. Unfortunately, she Cataloguing Unit for the Archives of now wishes to relinquish the post of Secretary Contemporary Scientists, which is based in the and is stepping down after today’s meeting. -
HTA Tropical Storm Watch Issued for Olivia
For Immediate Release: September 9, 2018 HTA Release (18-55) Tropical Storm Watch Issued for O‘ahu, Maui County and Island of Hawai‘i in Response to Olivia HONOLULU – Today, at 5:00 p.m. HST, the National Weather Service issued a tropical storm watch for O‘ahu, Maui County and the island of Hawai‘i in response to Hurricane Olivia, meaning that tropical storm conditions are possible within the next 48 hours. Presently a category 1 hurricane, Olivia is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm as it moves closer to the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days. Olivia has been steadily weakening since the storm briefly peaked as a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific on September 7. As of 5:00 p.m. HST, the center of Olivia was approximately 595 miles east-northeast of Hilo on the island of Hawai‘i and 760 miles east of Honolulu. Olivia has maximum sustained winds of 75 miles per hour and is moving west at 12 miles per hour. The onset of Olivia’s weather impacts are currently forecast to begin affecting Hawai‘i late Tuesday, September 11. Weather impacts from Olivia are projected to initially affect northeast and east shores throughout the Hawaiian Islands. This could include very strong winds, high surf conditions and storm surge along shorelines, and heavy rainfall with the potential for flooding. HTA strongly advises residents and visitors to be prepared for Olivia. This includes having access to an adequate supply of food, water, medications and essential goods. Everyone is strongly encouraged to follow the instructions of Hawai‘i’s civil defense officials and to not take any risks that would put them in danger from Olivia while the storm is completing its pass of the Hawaiian Islands.