2017 Republic of Uzbekistan THE CENTRAL ASIA COUNTRY SERIES
Republic of Uzbekistan
November 2017 ii REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 For any queries or feedback regarding report, contact this please [email protected] or [email protected] statistics are used correct as of September 1st, 2017,and may subject to be change. The Pakistan Council,Business the or author(s), do not guaranteethedata includedthis in work.data All and World or Bank, CIA. effort made been to cross-checkhas Although every the and authenticityverify thedata, of World Factbook are responsibility the of author(s) the and donotthe necessarily reflect opinionWTO, the UN, of Any conclusions and analysis on data based from ITC, UNComtrade, World Doing Bank, Business and CIA Directors and Members of The Pakistan CouncilBusiness the companiesor they represent. The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed doBoard viewsnecessarily not the the of of reflect Disclaimer: Mustafa Researcher: Lead Gul Kaliya Team Samir S.Amir Leader: Acknowledgements: More information its on members, PBC, the and its workings, found can be on its website: www.pbc.org.pk • • • • • The major objectivesas statedthe of PBC in its founding documents are: FoundingThe PBC’s Objectives: and reforms. State SECP Bank, and other regulators with objective the to provide assistance policy on initiatives new It on various serves taskforces also and committees of Government the of Pakistan as well of as those the recommendations to government the on legislation and other government affecting policies businesses. impact conduct the of business inand from Pakistan. has Thesubmitted PBC position paperskey and as well as other stakeholders including professional to develop bodies, consensus on major issues which worksThe PBC closelywiththe relevant government departments, ministries, regulators and institutions, on major the issues by faced Pakistan. to facilitate flow the of relevant information all stakeholdersto in order to help create an informed view compete inregional and arenas. global conducts The PBC research and holds conferences seminarsand business sector. Rather, is on its thrust easing key to advocacy barriers allow Pakistani businesses to group. advocacy pan-industry is a The PBC It is body nornot trade a does it advocate for any specific of CorporateCode Governance as applicable to listed companies. Though it is not requiredthelaw under so, to do followsthe PBC greatest the to extentpossible, the is a not-for-profitThe PBC entity, registeredSection 42 Companiesthe of under Ordinance 1984. chief by executiveheaded afull-time officer. businessesPBC cover nearly sectors of all formal the economy. It is aprofessionally-run organization (now 62)of Pakistan’s largest private-sector businesses and conglomerates, including multinationals. The Pakistan platform,is a CouncilBusiness advocacy business (PBC) policy established in2005 by 14 The Pakistan BusinessCouncil: further the economic, social and economic, the humanfurther social resource development of Pakistan. To interact with governments economic inthe development of Pakistan and to facilitate, foster and encourage development inthe and growth of Pakistani multinationals. To promote and facilitate integration the of businesses inPakistan into World the economy and to businesses within and outside Pakistan. information relating to businesses of any kind, nature or description and on opportunities for such To acquire, compile, collect, analyze, publish and provide statistics, data analysis and other affecting businesses in Pakistan. seminars and field works outforcarrying research and raising awareness in regard to matters To conduct, organize, up, set administer and manage campaigns, groups, focus surveys, workshops, business inand from Pakistan. To provide for formation the and exchange of on views any question connected with conduct the of An Overview iii REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 iv REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 The PBC’s MemberCompanies The PBC’s The PBC’s MemberCompanies The PBC’s v REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 vi REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 Shakhrisyabz and Western the Tien-Shan. sitesThese includethe HistoricCenter of Samarkand,Bukhara, Itchan (Khiva), Kala HistoricCentre of As a major of part ancient the road, silk Uzbekistan is home to five of UNESCO’s World Heritage Sites. of 8%. 2016, Uzbekistan had an inflation rate of 8%, unemployment rate rateof 8.9%,policy and a monetary and exemptions. fiscal Uzbekistan has received investmentsfromSouth China, Korea, and Japan. In were achieved by commercial have which policies included customs high tariffs, closure border,the of and sectors eachcontribute primary 33%and 17%respectively. Favorable foreign direct investment rates transport. Furthermore, 50%of Uzbekistan’s GDP is generated sector, by tertiary the secondary while initiative,(OBOR) envisages which exchange ofand through energy technology an improved system of Moreover, in order to expand trade, Uzbekistan is actively involved in China’s One One Belt Road Russia, Afghanistan, Kyrgyzstan, China, and Turkmenistan. havegas exports facilitated been by Uzbekistan’s network of pipelines that provide to links Kazakhstan, investments and of exports its natural resources; gold, natural gas, cotton and copper. and Oil natural however, over past the 15years growth the rate has averaged 7.16%.Growth by fueled has been Uzbekistan’s economic growth went through a rough patch early in the years after its independence, of Pakistan and Uzbekistan: capita income is much than higher Pakistan’s. Table below provides abrief comparison of economies the Though incomparison to Pakistan, Uzbekistan has a population much smaller and alower GDP, per its first president. In 2016, deathafter the of President Karimov, Shavkat Mirziyoyevbecame the President. of Union, Soviet the Uzbekistan achieved its 1991 with Islam independence inDecember Karimov as its conquests from Alexander Great, the Ghaznavids, Mongols and finally Russians. After the dissolution Theland was occupiedonce by Iranian nomads, and overthe course time of been subject it to has UzbekistanBC). datesBC which richhistory to 1 hasBC (1,000 back to avery first the millennium literacy rate is about 99.6%with Uzbek as dominant the language. and has a population of 31.8 million, 88% of arewhich Muslim, with a growth of annum. 0.93% per The makes it one of only two doubly landlocked countries world. inthe It covers atotal area of 447,400km2 TheRepublic of Central Uzbekistan is a AsianEconomy bordered by five landlocked countries. This is first the publication Series Centraland the features Country of Asian theRepublic of Uzbekistan. – Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are covered being This by PBC. the Argentina, Brazil, Columbia Chile, and Mexico were featured. In ‘5’countries 2017the of Asia Central Mozambique, Nigeria and were South Africa showcased. In 2016, ‘5’ countries from South – America traditional markets to Pakistan’s exporters. In 2015‘6’countries –Angola, from Africa Ethiopia, Ghana, doing Profile since 2015has been Series (PBC) aimed aCountry Council at introducing non- In order to promote Pakistan’s with its trade non-traditional trading Pakistan the partners, Business Summary Official exchangerate(US$,periodaverage) Inflation GDP growth(%) US$) GDP percapita(Current US$billions) GDP (Current Year Population 244.36 1,316 2014 101 7.2 4.7 207,774,520 -(2017)Census Pakistan 271.05 1431 2015 103 2.5 4.7 283.66 1468 2016 105 3.8 5.7 2,050 63.07 2,422 2014 9.1 7.8 31,848,200 -(2016)Estimate Uzbekistan 2,138 2015 2810 66.9 8.5 8 67.22 2,111 2016 3218 7.8 8 where it and ranks 165th respectively. 138th in starting a business25th but back due falls to measures such as trading across borders and paying taxes abusinessrunning for by alocal eachcountry, Uzbekistan world inthe ranks 87th as of 2017.It ranks According to Doing the Business Index, is which measured to determine relative the of ease starting and and Georgia. agreements with have Kyrgyzstan, signed been also Tajikistan, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Russia, Moldova Economic Cooperation Organization In (ECO). of case WTO, it is only an observer. Bilateral trade Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), Commonwealth of independent states (CIS)and the In order to enhance relations, trade Uzbekistan has become amember of three major alliances: fromgoes Kandahar to Kabul to Mazar-i-Sharif before entering into Uzbekistan at Termez. The routefrom goes Karachi Quettato Chamanto before entering into Afghanistan; in Afghanistan, it andtextile products. agricultural between trade The Uzbekistan and throughPakistan goes Afghanistan. from Pakistan are pharmaceutical products, photography and cinematography equipment, other various to Pakistan include cotton, plastics, salts and stones, earthly and vegetables. Meanwhile, major imports Uzbekistan are $9.14billion potential the while imports from Uzbekistan are $6.98billion. Major exports twothe countries is considering minimal indicative the potential trade. Pakistan’s potential to exports $0.15 million as imports at and stood exports $3.38and $3.22million respectively.between trade The Trade erratic with Pakistan due to very fluctuations has been inexports. trade deficitthe In 2016, was resins and zinc articles,totaling $46.5million in2016. and garments and amounted consisted to $90.8million in2016.Exports of vegetables, gums, fertilizers, of in2015.Imports goods from India mainly comprise of pharmaceutical products, machinery, vehicles Uzbekistan worth $335million to goods Afghanistan exported importing while only $0.3million worth and Tajikistan cannot commented be upon. imports amounted to to$125 million in 2016. Due lack of data, Uzbekistan’s with Turkmenistan trade vehicles, iron, steel, machinery, and fuels. mineral Total to Kyrgyzstan exports were $70million and total and plastics., Uzbekistan supplies nuts plastics, fertilizers, fruits, and to Kyrgyzstan, carpets and receives million, meanwhile, amounted exports to $588million and included vegetables, fruits, fuels mineral Kazakhstan included cereals, iron and steel and products for industries milling and amounted to $922.5 Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan, out of Kazakhstan which holds aprominent position. In 2016,Imports from Nearer home, Uzbekistan with other the Asian trades Central Republics, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, roughly 16%of Uzbekistan’s GDP. andfruits nuts, knitted or crocheted fabrics and plastics. Moreover, remittances from Russia amount to ironwood, and steel and vegetable oils to Uzbekistan, and imports cotton and clothing accessories, machinery, plastics and iron and steel. Russia, another major trading partner, fuels, mineral exports chemicals. Imports totaled $2billion included which machinery, mechanical appliances, electrical amountedChina to $1.6billion consisted in2016which mainly of fuels, mineral cotton and inorganic Bilateral and China between Uzbekistan trade has increased ten folds over last the 10years. to Exports Kazakhstan. gold and gold plates. Uzbekistan imports most of its products from Russian the China, Federation and andChina Russian the Federation; most of from exports the Uzbekistan to Switzerland comprise of makes up 40%of total Uzbek The exports. major destinations export of areUzbek goods Switzerland, and steel and pharmaceuticals. The most significant commodity exported by Uzbekistan is which gold gas, pure cotton yarn and refinedthe copper topwhile imports are parts, machinery, vehicular iron in anegative balance of trade about $2.1 billion. The major exports of Uzbekistan include gold, natural Uzbekistan $7billion exported worth of and goods imported valued at goods $9.1billion, resulted which Trade plays an important role economy inthe of Uzbekistan contributing about 10%of GDP. the In 2016, vii REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017
List ofContents 4.2. Russia 4.1. China Uzbekistan’s Trade Partners 3.4 Trade Alliances 3.3. Trade Trend: Partners 3.2. Trade Trend: Products 3.1 Trade Overview Trade 29 2.5. OneBeltRoad(OBOR) 2.4. OilandGasPipelines 2.3. Tourism 2.2. SectorsoftheEconomy 2.1. EconomicProfile Economic Profile 1.4. CountryHistory 1.3. PhysicalInfrastructure 1.2. Demographic 1.1 Geography Uzbekistan 01 Geographic andSocialLandscapeof Summary vi MemberCompanies The PBC’s Founding Objectives: The PBC’s The Pakistan BusinessCouncil:AnOverview Disclaimer: ii Acknowledgements: 50 47 45 40 36 32 31 27 24 18 16 11 09 07 06 05 03 Tourism 72 Section Breaks Cover Page Data Sources: 5.3 Sources Pakistani EmbassyinTashkent, Uzbekistan Uzbek EmbassyinIslamabad,Pakistan 5.2. EmbassiesandConsulates 5.1. EaseofDoingBusiness Doing Business 4.9. Tajikistan 4.8. Turkmenistan 4.7. Pakistan 4.6. India 4.5. Kyrgyzstan 4.4. Afghanistan 4.3. Kazakhstan iv iii iii ii 71 71 71 71 70 70 70 69 67 66 65 61 59 56 54 52 ix REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 x REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 Table 25:Uzbekistan’sExports to Afghanistan (HS-02)(US$ Millions)(2011-2015) Table 24:Uzbekistan’sExports to Afghanistan (HS-06)(US$ Millions)(2011-2015) Table 23:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Afghanistan (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2011-2015) Table 22:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Kazakhstan (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 21:Uzbekistan’sExportsto Kazakhstan (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 20:Uzbekistan’sExportsto Kazakhstan (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 19:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Kazakhstan (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 18:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom (HS-06) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 17:Uzbekistan’sExportstoRussia (HS-02) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 16:Uzbekistan’sExportstoRussia Russia (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 15:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Russia (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 14:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom (HS-06) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 13:Uzbekistan’sExportstoChina (HS-02) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 12:Uzbekistan’sExportstoChina (HS-06) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 11:Uzbekistan’sImportsfromChina (HS-02) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 10:Uzbekistan’sImportsfromChina Uzbekistan 44 Table 9:Free Trade AgreementsSignedby Uzbekistan (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 8:Top 10ImportPartners of Uzbekistan (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 7:Top 10ExportPartners of Wise (HS-06)(2012-2016)(US$Millions) Table 6:Uzbekistan’sExportsProduct Wise (HS-02)(2012-2016)(US$Millions) Table 5:Uzbekistan’sExportsProduct Wise (HS-06)(2012-2016)(US$Millions) Table 4:Uzbekistan’sImportsProduct Wise (HS-02)(2012-2016)(US$Millions) Table 3:Uzbekistan’sImportsProduct Table 2:EconomicIndicatorsofUzbekistan Table 1:RegionsofUzbekistan List ofTables 55 55 55 54 53 53 53 51 51 51 51 49 49 48 48 38 36 35 34 33 32 11 04 Table 40:DoingBusinessinUzbekistan Uzbekistan 64 Table 39:Pakistan’s Potential Exportsto Uzbekistan 63 Table 38:Pakistan’s Potential Importsfrom (HS-06) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 37:Uzbekistan’sExportstoPakistan (HS-02) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 36:Uzbekistan’sExportstoPakistan Pakistan (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 35:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Pakistan (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 34:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom (HS-06) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 33:Uzbekistan’sExportstoIndia (HS-02) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 32:Uzbekistan’sExportstoIndia (HS-06) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 31:Uzbekistan’sImportsfromIndia (HS-02) (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 30:Uzbekistan’sImportsfromIndia Kyrgyzstan (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 29:Uzbekistan’sExportsto Kyrgyzstan (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 28:Uzbekistan’sExportsto Kyrgyzstan (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 27:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Kyrgyzstan (HS-02)(US$Millions)(2012-2016) Table 26:Uzbekistan’sImportsfrom Afghanistan (HS-06)(US$Millions)(2011-2015) 69 63 62 62 62 60 60 60 60 58 57 57 57 55 Afghanistan (US$ Millions)(2008-2015) Figure 24:Uzbekistan’sTrade with Kazakhstan (US$Millions) (2007-2016) Figure 23:Uzbekistan’sTrade with (US$ Millions)(2007-2016) Figure 22:Uzbekistan’sTrade with Russia (US$ Millions)(2007-2016) Figure 21:Uzbekistan’sTrade with China (US$ Millions)(2007-2016) Members ofWorld Trade Organization Figure 20:Uzbekistan’sTrade with Organization (US$Millions)(2007-2016) members ofEconomicCooperation Figure 19:Uzbekistan’sTrade with Independent States(US$Millions)(2007-2016) Members ofCommonwealth Figure 18:Uzbekistan’sTrade with Cooperation (US$Millions)(2007-2016) Members ofOrganizationIslamic Figure 17:Uzbekistan’sTrade with Uzbekistan (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Figure 16:Top 10ImportPartners of Uzbekistan (US$Millions)(2012-2016) Figure 15:Top 10ExportPartners of (2001-2016) (US$Millions) Figure 14:Uzbekistan’sTrade overview Figure 13:MapoftheOneRoadBeltProject Figure 12:MapofCentralAsianGasPipelines Figure 11:MapofCentralAsianOilPipelines Economic SectorsforUzbekistan Figure 10:DistributionofGDPby Rate (1996-2016) Figure 9:Uzbekistan’sMonetaryPolicy 2016) (ConsumerPriceIndex) Figure 8:Uzbekistan’sInflationRate(2006- Rate (%oftotallaborforce)(1990-2016) Figure 7:Uzbekistan’sUnemployment Investment, NetInflows(1992-2015) Figure 6:Uzbekistan’sForeign Direct Rate (1990-2016) Figure 5:Uzbekistan’sAnnualGDPGrowth (1990-2016) (US$) Figure 4:Uzbekistan’sGDPperCapita (US$ Billions) Figure 3:Uzbekistan’sGDP(1990-2016) Groups 05 Figure 2:DistributionofPopulation byAge Figure 1:MapofUzbekistan List ofFigures 54 52 50 47 43 42 41 40 39 37 31 27 25 24 16 16 15 14 14 13 12 12 03 Figure 28:Trade RoutetoPakistan Pakistan (US$Millions)(2007-2016) Figure 27:Uzbekistan’sTrade with (US$ Millions)(2007-2016) Figure 26:Uzbekistan’sTrade withIndia Kyrgyzstan (US$Millions)(2007-2016) Figure 25:Uzbekistan’sTrade with 65 61 59 56 xi REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017
The Tomb of the King Timur Barlas, Samarkand, Uzbekistan SECTION 1 Geographic and Social Landscape of Uzbekistan
1.1.2. Area Geographic Coordinates: 41.3775°N,64.58530E doubly landlocked countries world inthe other -the Liechtenstein being Europe. inCentral northeast; Afghanistan to south; the and Turkmenistan to southwest. the This makes it one of twoonly by fivelandlocked countries: Kazakhstan the to north; Tajikistansoutheast; the to the to Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan, officially Republicthe oflocated Central Uzbekistan, is in Asia. Uzbekistan is bordered 1.1.1 Location 1.1 • • • Geography Water: 22,000km² 425,400km² Land: Total Area: 447,400km² Other: 29.7%(2011 est.) Other: Forest: 7.7% Agricultural land: 62.6% Figure 1:Map of Uzbekistan 03 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 04 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 republic within Uzbekistan. addition, capital the city, area and population of Karakalpakstan shown is also is which an autonomous population of each of provinces the along with that of Tashkent is which Capital the of Uzbekistan. In There are 12 provinces in Uzbekistan. The following table shows the capital city, the area the and 1.1.4. RegionsofUzbekistan whereincludes its Sea, Aral shoreline the is 420Km long. Sea with Aral the Since Uzbekistan is doubly landlocked, it has no coastline.southern Theportion of Uzbekistan, however, Border Countries: Total border length: 6,893 km 1.1.3. LandBoundaries Table 1:Regions of Uzbekistan Andijan Region Navoiy Region Namangan Region Xorazm Region Jizzakh Region Fergana Region Bukhara Region Tashkent Karakalpakstan Tashkent Region Region Surxondaryo Region Sirdaryo Samarqand Region Region Qashqadaryo • • • Kyrgyzstan - 1,314 km Kazakhstan - 2,330 km Afghanistan Division - 144 km Capital City Regions ofUzbekistan Regions Samarkand Namangan Tashkent Andijan Urgench Guliston Bukhara Fergana Jizzakh Termez Navoiy Qarshi Nukus — • • Turkmenistan - 1,793 km Tajikistan 110,800 160,000 20,500 39,400 15,300 20,800 16,400 28,400 4,200 7,900 6,300 6,800 5,100 Area 335 - 1,312 km Population 2,857,300 2,554,200 1,250,100 1,785,400 1,715,600 3,444,900 2,352,300 2,758,300 2,358,300 3,514,800 2,958,900 1,763,100 777,100 913,200 1.2.1 Population 1.2. Uzbekistan is aresource rich country, following natural resources are found inUzbekistan: 1.1.5. NaturalResources • • • • • • • • • • Total at for birth life expectancy Uzbeks is 68.45years. (2016) Percentage of Population in Urban areas: 36.4%(2015) Population Growth Rate: 0.93%(2016) Total Population: 31,848,200(31.8million) (2016)(Largest Asia) inCentral Silver Uranium Coal Petroleum Natural gas Gold Demographic o o Female life expectancy atFemale is 71.9years. birth life expectancy atMale is 65.1years. birth life expectancy Figure 2:Distribution of Population by Age Groups • • • • • Molybdenum Tungsten Zinc Lead Copper 05 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 06 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 • • • • • • • 1.3. Physical distributionThe ethnic of Uzbekistan (1996) is as follows: 1.2.5. EthnicGroups Church Orthodox Eastern accounts for 9%of population. the afurther Islam is by far most the dominant religion inUzbekistan with 88%of population the Muslim. being The 1.2.4. Religion and business use. communication, cities, inthe including especially much day-to-day technical, scientific, governmental and since which 1992 iswritten officially the in Latin alphabet. Russian also an is important language for and Tajik. The language, Uzbek withthe highest number of users theat 74%, is only official state language, There are a number languagesof spoken in theUzbekistan, more important beingones Uzbek, Russian 1.2.3. Language for and males females respectively. youth the Overall literacy rate is 99.95%. adult literacy rate is 99.59%.The youth literacy rates, for fromages 15 to 24 years, are 99.9% and 100% population, aged 15years and above, is 99.72%and 99.47%for and males females respectively. The total rateLiteracy is defined the by ability to read andwrite. The Literacy rate in Uzbekistan the for adult 1.2.2. Education • • • • Internet access (%of population) – 52.4%(2016) Access (%of population) to Electricity – 100%(2014) Ports Waterways –1,100Km (2012) Railway –4,304Km (2016) –53(2013) Airports NetworkRoad –86,496Km (2000) 3% Kazakh Tajik 5% Russian 5.5% Uzbek 80% o o o o o River Port –Termiz (Amu Darya) Without Paved Runways –20 With Paved Runways –33 Unpaved –10,985Km Paved –75,511Km Infrastructure • • • other 2.5% Tatar 1.5% Karakalpak 2.5%
election withelection alandslide. Karimov’s termfrom extended Karimov when 1997to was 2000which further was re-elected inthe toled acouple of violent outbreaks ineastern Uzbekistan. In 1995,areferendum extended President constitution was approved. The main oppositionbanned, was party and suppressionmedia began. This After independence Islam Karimovthebecame president theRepublic of of Uzbekistan and a new laid down foundation the of bilateral relations two the countries. between Karimov President then the of Uzbekistan made first the visit to Pakistan in August visits 1992. These Prime then the Minister of Pakistan, made first the visitofficial toUzbekistan and subsequentlyIslam relations with Pakistan were established inMay of 1992.In June 1992,Mian Mohammad Nawaz Sharif, Pakistan immediately Uzbekistan recognized as an independent state 1991. Diplomatic in December from Union Soviet the in1991. Islam Karimov as Communist the Party Chief. The SupremeSoviet of Uzbekistan approved independence nationalism. of violent 1989aseries During clashes involving Uzbeks ethnic to appointment led the of purge of Uzbek the mid-1980s, began however,in the party last the unlike one this time Uzbek boosted ofpart Russification the of thatUzbekistan beganthe 1930s in andlasted through the 1970s. Another replaced with Russian who accelerated Officials the migration of Russians to Uzbekistan. This was As of part Stalin’s purge of communist 1930s, the the leadership under Khojayev was executed and andSoviets Uzbek in1924,the Republic was formed Socialist Soviet tsarthe in1917and established an autonomous state at Quqon. Uzbekistan was reconquered by the twentieththe century, Jadidist the movement began from present-day Uzbekistan; Jadidists overthrew Uzbekistan grewdue to immigration from Russia, and some industrialization At occurred. of start the and by 1876Russia had incorporated present-day Uzbekistan into its empire. The Russianpopulation of mid-nineteenth the During century, conquest Imperial military Russia of Asia Central began afull-scale Bukhara and irrigation the system along Amu the Darya. fora devastating Asia. Central period The conquestcaused large damage scale to wealthy cities such as At of start the century, thirteenth the Mongols the invaded Asia Central under Khan. Genghis This was TransoxianaQarakhanids ruled for next the two centuries. Asia were as they closely followed by Turkic the Qarakhanids took who Bukhara in999AD. The Turkic Asia, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. rule the Theof Ghaznavid Empire was however shortCentral lived in Ghaznavidthe state of Sultan under rule the Mahmud conquered large areas of Iran, Eastern Central geographers of Muslim the empire were natives of region. this Towards end the of tenth the century, centers of learning, culture, and Muslim inthe art world. Some of greatest the scientists, historians and Tajikistan, southern Kyrgyzstan, and southwest Kazakhstan. Bukhara one became of leading the were golden the age of learning and culture inTransoxiana consists which of modern-day Uzbekistan, was complete by eighth the century AD. According to some historians, eighth the and ninth centuries Afterrise the of Islam in622AD., beganit to spread rapidlythrough Asia. The conquest Central of Asia and brought it under control the of Macedonian the Empire for abrief period. Europe on what known became Alexander Road. as Silk the Great the conquered region the in328BC towns at Samarqand and Bukhara; extremely became which wealthy as transit points and China between withstarted Iranian nomads building irrigation systems along rivers the of Asia. Central They built UzbekistanBC). datesBC which rich history to 1 hasBC (1,000 back to avery It first the millennium 1.4. Country History 07 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 08 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 President by Shavkat Mirziyoyev. presidential elections. Islam Karimov inSeptember 2016,from died astroke, and was replaced as In 2007Islam December Karimov was re-elected to power followed by wins 2011&2015 inthe plagued by terrorist attacks by extremist groups such as Al-Qaeda. to Kyrgyzstan due toriots inUzbekistan ethnic mid-2000sUzbekistan the 1990s.During inthe was Problems with Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan grew when demanded extradition of refugees the had who fled Turkmenistan. Adefense treaty Russia between was signed and Uzbekistan during mid-2000s. the Tajikthe border. Tensions rose with other also neighboring countries including Kyrgyzstan and regionalSerious issues developed afterthe elections in2000 as layingUzbekistan started along mines Registan, Samarkand, Uzbekistan SECTION II Economic Profile 10 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 associationsfree-trade to ensure increased flow trade of economicand cooperation. Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)and other in 2016.To avoid any likely economic chaos, Uzbekistan has joined many institutions such as the by 78%in2016,over 2012.The rate growthof economythe of waswith 7.80%, aGDP of $67.22 billion Even though balance of the for trade Uzbekistan negative has been for past the few years it improved shows alist of economic indicators for last the 5years: that Uzbek the economy is endowed with such as gold, natural gas, cotton and copper.table The below Development has Bank credited economic high the growth rates to large the of exports commodities While World the has Bank credited Uzbekistan’s growth high rates of around 8%to investment, Asian the regulations. registration process for businesses, incentives giving tax extra to investors and rationalized customs environmentthe of country, the government the initiatives taking has been have which simplifiedthe foreign exchange, it to led an has also overregulated banking and sector rampant corruption. To improve and import-substituting havewhich policies resulted in restricted access of private businesses sector to regulations. The government hascarried out various state-led interventions based on export-oriented to Uzbekistan’s authoritarian of style governance, economic growth impeded due has to been strict economythe growing has been at about 8%eachyear. However, according to World the owing Bank, According to World the major the Bank, reason for economic growth inUzbekistan investment; has been by its exporting natural resources. cotton and exporter largest 9th the producer of gold. Uzbekistan earns large sums of foreign exchange Uzbek economy is an agriculture-oriented economy with cotton as its main crop. It is fifth largest the ofstyle government by exercising controls strict on prices, production and foreign access. The currency After fromits independenceSoviet the Union,the Uzbek government continuedwith an autocratic 2.1.1. EconomicOverview 2.1. Economic Table 2:Economic Indicators of Uzbekistan Exchange Rate (versusUS$) Inflation (annual%) Human DevelopmentIndex(HDI) Balance ofTrade (US$Billions) Unemployment (%oftotallaborforce) Real GDPgrowth(annual%) US$) GDP percapita(Current US$Billions) GDP (Current Economic Indicators Profile $1,740 11.90 2012 -4.54 1984 0.68 9.13 8.20 $52 $1,908 11.70 2013 -4.39 2202 0.69 9.05 8.00 $58 $2,050 2014 -6.44 2422 9.10 0.70 8.96 7.79 $63 $2,138 2015 -4.09 2810 8.50 0.70 8.92 8.00 $67 $2,111 2016 -2.18 3218 8.00 8.90 7.80 $67 NA 11 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 12 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 Uzbekistan suffered a capitaslight inGDPper fall from $2,137 in2015 to $2,110in2016. Much like GDP, GDPcapita per an upward seen has also trend after it reached its lowestpoint in2002. 2.1.3. GrossDomesticProductPer Capita Uzbekistan reached its highest recorded GDP in2016at $67billion to rise. and is this expected increasethe and infuel public transport prices by 6-8%;stimulating demand domestic inthe market etc. include upgrading production and encouraging cuts inproduction cost for import substitution; capping Program on aimed policies focused to support real of the sector economy. the Some of measures the Crisis (2008)due to Anti-Crisis the Programme implemented by Islam Karimov. The Anti-Crisis of economic the downturns Asian like Central the Crisis (2007-2008)or World Energy the Financial Uzbekistan arising trend has seen over last the 15years. Uzbekistan’s GDP has not affected been by any $15.0 billion. It reached its lowest point in2002at $9.69billion but rising since. has been The GDP of In 1991, Uzbekistan had aGDP of $13.6 billion; from 1991to GDP 1998, the ranged $13.5 & between 2.1.2. GrossDomesticProduct UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC Figure UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC a2002. Uzbekistan suffered slight 2016. capita fallto$2,110in inGDPper from $2,137in2015 Much likecapita GDP, GDP per also has DomesticGross 2.1.3. Per Product (2007 Asian Energy Crisis economiclike the Central the anydownturns of has affected been by not since. The has GDP of Uzbekistan $13.5 &It $15.0billion. reached lowest point its 2002in at$9.69 billion has but been rising GDP ranged between from 1998,the 1991 to $13.6billion; In a 1991,UzbekistanGDP had of Domestic Product Gross 2.1.2. public transport pricesby 6 andcapping fuel increasesubstitution; the in import costfor encouragingproduction cutsin the realsector of the economy. of Some the measuresinclude upgrading production and Islamimplemented by The Karimov. Anti reached highest GDP in2016at its recorded
US$ US$ (Billions) $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00 1000 1500 2000 2500 4 - $0.00 500 : Uzbekistan's: p GDP 2008) or the 0 651.42 13.36 1990 1990
1991 1991 1992 1992 AN AN
er Capita(1990 1993 World World
1993 1994
Figure Figure 1994 Figure 4:Uzbekistan’s GDP per Capita (1990-2016)(US$) -
1995 Figure 3:Uzbekistan’s GDP (1990-2016)(US$Billions) 8%; 1995 1996 Financial(2008) Crisis duethe toAnti 3 1996
:
- stimulatin Uzbekistan's(1990 GDP
2016) (US$) 1997 seen GDP CapitaPer 1997
1998 Nominal GDP Capita 1998 a rising
1999 seen
1999 - Crisis Program focu Crisis
2000 and $67 billion 2000 g
an upwardan trend 383.35 2001 the domesticmarket in demand
2001 9.69 2002 15 overlast trend the Year 2002 Year
2003 - 2016)(US$ Billions) 2003 2004 2004
2005 this this 2005 2006 after
2006 aimedsupport to onpolicies sed 2007 is expected torise. 2007
2008 in lowest reached its point it 2008
2009 years. 2009 2010 2010 - Crisis ProgrammeCrisis
2011 Uzbekistan’s GDP 2011
2012 etc 2012
2013 . Uzbekistan 2013 2014
2,110.65 2014 2015
2015 67.22 2016
22 21 2016
predicted to go as $2.65billion as high in2017,according to office the the of President of Uzbekistan. opportunities and increased FDI from $0.62billion to $1billion from 2014-2015.The inflow of FDI is closure of border, the andexemptions. fiscal These changes policies in resulted in favorable investment Since has country the promoted then, commercial have which policies included customs high tariffs, on Uzbekistan’s economy and resulted implementation in the of and structural economic reforms. aftergrowth.gradualwhich it experienced A sharp decline in FDI in 2012 of 65%, had a major impact Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inUzbekistan relatively had been stable 1992and between 2006, 2.1.5. Foreign DirectInvestment(FDI) possibly due to adoption the of Anti-Crisis the Programme by late the Uzbek President, Islam Karimov. from economic the and financial downturnsthat have plagued many countriespastthe in few years, thing that is apparent from graph the below is that Uzbek the economy more has been or less insulated last the 15years,10%. Over on an average, Uzbekistan growing has been at ahealthy rate of 7.16%.One enjoyingbeen apositive growth rate. The GDPgrowth rate reached pointits highest in2007 at about lowest the 1992 being point with agrowth rate of negative 11%.From 1996onwards Uzbekistan has Uzbekistan went through a rough patch early in the years after its independence fromi.e. 1991 to 1995; 2.1.4. EconomicGrowth UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC Figur ProgrammeIslam President, by thelate Uzbek Karimov. years,plaguedthe in past manyfewof countries the Anti possiblythe toadoption due financialdownturns that orthe economic and lessinsulated economyfrom has more been that t graph is the below at Oneapparentarate of thatis from healthy7.16%. thing years,growing average, Uzbekistan has onanbeen 15 Over the 2007 atlast inabout 10%. point Uzbekistan hasbeengrowth rate. enjoying aGDP growth positive rate reachedThe highest its onwards From 1996 rateof negative 11%. growth a with lowestpoint 1992 being1995; the yearsindependenceafter from aits Uzbekistan1991 to wentthe rough i.e. inearlythrough patch Economic Growth 2.1.4.
e Percentage -15 -10 5 10 15 -5 : Uzbekistan'sGDP: Rate Annual (1990Growth 0 5 1.60 1990
-
11.20 1991 1992
AN 1993
1994
Figure 5:Uzbekistan’s Annual GDP Growth Rate (1990-2016) 1995 Annual GDP Growth Rate GDPGrowth Annual
1996 1997 1998 1999 - 2016) 2000 2001
2002 Year 2003
2004
2005 2006 9.92 2007
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2014 he Uzbek
2015 - 7.80 Crisis Crisis 2016 have
23
13 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 14 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 constant hovering 8.9%and between unemployment 9.4%.the rate in2016was estimated at 8.89%. past the 25 yearsOver since Uzbekistan independent, became unemployment the rate relatively has been 2.1.6. Unemployment invest exploration inthe of hydrocarbon deposits. invested $2.6billion for achemical production plant. Japan, along with South Korea have agreed to also Uzbekistan. South Korea amajor been has also since trading 2011and partner is reported to have promisedhas also to invest $5billion mining inthe and sector help inimproving within infrastructure included launch the of a pipeline extension, Asia Central links which and Along China. with China this, cooperationChinese has paved way the for flowsChina trade easy between and thisUzbekistan, has UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC Figure estimated at 8.89%. relativelyconstanthovering between 9.4%. 8.9% the and unemploymentrate 2016 wasin yearsOver 25 the past sincebecameUzbekistan independent, the unemployment been rate has Unemployment2.1.6. UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC from2014 $1 billion and FDI tofrom increasedpolicies resulted$0.62 billion investmentopportunities favorable in included high country economic then,has the reforms.Since major impacton Uzbekistan’s economy andthe inimplementation resulted of structuraland 2006, aftergrowthgradual which experienced it Investmenthad(FDI)relatively Foreign beenbetween 1992and Uzbekistan stable in Direct Foreign2.1.5. Direct Investment Chinese cooperation has pavedChinese cooperationeasy has theforway trade according tothe KoreaSouth also have of agreedtheexploration hydrocarbon toinvest in deposits. a chemicalproduc for $2.6 billion invested have to andreported is 2011 since tradinga partner major also been Korea has South infrastructure Uzbekistan. within helpimproving in and sector the inmining $5 billion invest to China has alsothis, promised hasincluded the
Percentage 10 7 US$ (Millions) 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ment Rate (%Uzbekistan's: Rate Unemployment labor total force) (1990 of -200 200 400 600 800 0
1990 $9.00 8.98 1991
customs office of the office of
1992 andwhichCentral China. Along with links Asia extension, of a pipeline launch Foreign Direct Investment, Net Inflows Investment,Direct Foreign
Figure 7:Uzbekistan’s Unemployment Rate (%of total labor force) (1990-2016)
1993 Figure AN - AN Figure 6:Uzbekistan’s Foreign Direct Investment, Net Inflows (1992-2015) 2015. The inflow of FDI is predicted to go as high as $2.65 billion go as high as predicted FDI to is of The inflow 2015.
1994
tariffs,These offiscalclosure the border, andexemptions. changes in
1995 6 : Uzbekistan'sDirect: Foreign (1992NetInflows Investment, 9.30
1996 President ofUzbekistan.
1997 Unemployment Rate
1998 (FDI) 1999
2000 2001 2002 . A sharpFDI 2012of declinein 65%, had a in Year
2003 Years promoted
-
2004 flows 2016) 2005 $173.80
2006 and Uzbekistan, between China commercial policies which have commercial 2007
2008 tion plant. Japan, along with alongJapan, plant. tion 2009 -2015 2010 $1,635.15 )
2011
2012
2013 2014
$1,068.39 2015 in 2017, 8.90 2016
this this 25 24
(Pakistani Rupees) as of 25 is UZS.лв code 4217 currency 1 over medium the term. hyperinflation theduring first fewyears, it is an improvement. Inflation to expected is stay under 10% last In decade. 2016,inflation had dropped ahigh to 8%.This is,still rate ofinflation but considering the 500% in1993.Through sustained efforts the by government, inflationfalling gradually the in been has from a communist to a free-market economy. In its first inflation decade reached 1500% in 1994 up from The independence of Uzbekistan brought rates high with it very of inflation transaction the as country 2.1.8. Inflation So’m of is currency Uzbekistan. the The symbol So’mfor is лв 2.1.7 Currency The independence 2.1. UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC 1 Tiyin. The So Currency 2.1.7 (US Dollars) improvement. Inflationimprovement. expected tostay is over 10% the under mediumterm. highconsidering rate of hyperinfl inflation but the hasbeen fallinggradually Inthe decade. inlast 2016,inflationhad dropped8%. to Thisstill is, a 1500%1994 upfrom in 500%1993.Through in sustained efforts transited from a communist to a to free atransited communist from
ISO 8 – Percentage ISO–International Organization for Standardization
. Inflation 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 International Organization for Standardization Standardization for Organization International 0.0 The ISO ’ m is the currency of Uzbekistan. The symbol for the currency ofis So m Uzbekistan. The symbol 1996 and Rs0.0252 (PakistaniRupees)of 25 asand Rs0.0252 1997
1
4217 currencycodeUZS. is
1998 of Uzbekistan broughtof Uzbekistan it with Figure Figure AN Figure 8:Uzbekistan’s Inflation Rate (2006-2016)(Consumer Price Index) 1999
th August 2017. 8 2000 : Uzbekistan's Inflation Uzbekistan's (2006: Inflation Rate 1 (Uzbekistani So’m) is to equal US$0.00024(USDollars) and Rs0.0252
2001 2002 Inflation rate 2003 - market economy. In inflatfirst decade economy. its market 2004
Inflation rate Inflation 2005 лв
1 2006 Year (Uzbekistani So’m) veryratesas high the of inflation -2016 ation during the first few years,fewation duringa is first it the
2007 th August ) (Consumer) PriceIndex) . Each So’m. Each consists of 100Tiyin. The ISO
2008 ’ m is 2009 2017. лв 2010 by by . Each So’m consists ofconsists So’m100 . Each 2011 the government, inflation government,the inflation
is equal to is equal 2012
2013 2014 US$0.00024 ion reached reached ion 2015 country 2016 26 n
1
15 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 16 REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN 2017 production from agriculture, mining, fishing and forestry. manufacturing of machines textiles, and hydrocarbon includes sector and extraction; Primary the Tertiary mainly sector and includes telecommunication; financialservices sector includes Secondary the (Manufacturing)- 50%,Secondary (Agriculture, –33%and Primary mining and fishing) -17%. The The differentsectors economy of which contribute to Uzbekistan’s GDPtotal are: (Services) Tertiary 2.2. Sectorsof reached 8%. rateyears, gradually policy declining the has along been with inflation; it was 9%in2016 as inflation fluctuations since it reached its in1995. apex been It hasrelatively Overthelaststable 10 since 2004. interest rates proportionately. decreased also ratepolicy The been hason adeclining trend somewith at second 300%inthe quarter of 1995afterwhich cameit down to 30%in1997. As inflation eased, ratespolicy by of Bank Central Uzbekistan. the ratepolicy The monetary reached pointits highest early the During years of Uzbekistan, issues faced country the like hyperinflation. high led This to very 2.1.9. MonetaryPolicy UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC Figure inflation; it years,stable since 2004.Over10 last the the policyrategradually has been de It1995. in relatively been reached fluctuationshas decliningapex since its some it with trend As inflation highest the second atafter300%point quarter camedown in of it 1995 which Bankpolicy the veryCentral Uzbekistan. The policy of monetary high by rate reached rates its Duringea the 2.1.
Percentage 9 9 . Monetary Policy Monetary . : Uzbekistan’s 2.2.1. Tertiary Tertiary 2.2.1. (Services) The differentsectors economy Uzbekistan’s of to tota contribute which Economy the of 2.2. Sectors UZBEKIST OF REPUBLIC driversgrowth of inthe surpluses.Over years, the past5 trade, financial services,and were telecommunications th underpinned stability, on was anchored by macroeconomic growth services in contributing halfGDP. The grewof sector the 2011. 2007 to by13.3% annum per from Strong Over the fishing) HeritageWorld S Moreover,5 of with spots. UNESCO’s countryconnectalsoblessed the tourist the various is Bukharasmoothly Uzbekistan has andnumerous connected and Samarkand. that roads pathways past 5 years. The famous Silk Road’s Touris foreign lowpenetration themaingrowth investment was dueto rates factor. mainly by strong domestic demandlend and domestic and thePrimary includes sector productionagriculture, from mining,forestry. fishingand the Secondary manufacturing includes sector of textile was
eased rly years Uzbekistan, the rlycountry led of Thistofaced issueslike hyperinflation. m accounts for only 0.2% of the accounts onlym 0.2%of for 9% in2016as inflationreached 8%. - Monetary Rate Policy (1996 past five years,fivepast thetertiary hasUzbekistangrownbecome in to sector thelargest sector
, interest rates , interest alsodecreased proportionately. The policy rate has ona been 17%. The 17%. The -
50%, Secondary(Manufacturing) AN Sector the Economy
Distribution of GDP by Economic Sectors ites.
Figure 10:Distribution of GDP by Economic Sectors for Uzbekistan AN
Tertiary Figure 9:Uzbekistan’s Monetary Policy Rate (1996-2016) Figure Figure