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Braintree District LOCAL Council 2017-33 PLAN Shape your district LOCAL Housing Land Supply PLAN Braintree District March 31st 2021 Published May 2021 Contents Introduction 2 The Net Supply of New Homes in Recent Years 3 The Five Year Housing Land Supply Target for 2021-2026 5 The Supply of New Homes and Five Year Housing Land Supply Position 6 Windfall Allowance and Lapse Rate 8 1 1. Introduction 1.1. This report sets out the Council’s five year housing land supply position for the period 2021-2026 as at 31st March 2021. 1.2. The report shows that the Council has a housing land supply of 5.34 years. 1.3. The Council has recently published a Housing Topic Paper as part of the upcoming examination of Section 2 of the Local Plan. The Topic Paper sets out the Council’s five year housing land supply position at the adoption of the plan for the purpose of the Local Plan examination. The position set out in this report is the one to be used for decision making on planning applications. 1.4. Section 2 of this report sets out the Council’s past delivery of housing and the shortfall to be factored into the five year supply target. Section 3 sets out calculations for the five year housing land supply target for the period 2021- 2026. Section 4 sets out the supply of deliverable housing land within Braintree District and the resulting five year housing land supply position. Section 5 provides details of the windfall allowance and lapse rates. 1.5. This report is supported by the following appendices: Appendix 1 – Full Site Trajectory (updated to 31st March 2021) Appendix 2 – Assessment of Large Sites Appendix 3 – Correspondence with Developers, Agents and Land Owners Appendix 4 – Lead Time and Delivery Rates Evidence Appendix 5 – Progress of the Housing Allocations in the Submission Draft Local Plan 2 2. The Net Supply of New Homes in Recent Years 2.1. Table 1 shows the number of housing completions within the District (not including the contribution to supply from additional C2 Use Class developments) from the start of the plan period. Table 1: Housing Completions per year Year Housing Completions 2013/14 182 2014/15 409 2015/16 523 2016/17 291 2017/18 492 2018/19 534 2019/20 883 2020/21 847 Total 4161 2.2. The NPPF (2018 and 2019) and the Housing Delivery Test have clarified the calculation of the contribution from communal accommodation development. It is calculated by dividing the additional communal accommodation rooms by 1.8. 2.3. The total new rooms 2013-2021 was 90, resulting in the equivalent of 50 dwelling completions (90/1.8), bringing the total completions to 4211. 2.4. Measured against the adopted Local Plan target of 716 dpa (discussed in Section 3), there is a resulting shortfall of 1,517 dwellings accruing from the 2013 base-date of the Local Plan (5728 – 4211). 2.5. By way of context to this historic rate of delivery, in 2011 the Council adopted its Core Strategy which included a housing target to deliver 4,637 new homes across a 17 year period between 2009 and 2026 (273 dpa). 2.6. Accordingly, the objectively assessed need (and now housing requirement in the section 1 Local Plan) of 716dpa represented a very large increase from the housing target of 273dpa in the previous adopted plan (the LDF Core Strategy). Figure 1 illustrates the scale of the change in target for the District. The lower target in the previous plan, together with the effect of the recession, meant that development rates in the early part of the new plan period were much lower than the emerging Plan housing target. As would be expected, sufficient sites were not in place in the early years to deliver increased supply. 3 Figure 1: the scale of the change in the housing target for the District: Annual average target required to end of Plan Period 847 716 385 290 273 236 195 East of EnglandEast of EnglandLDF 2009-2026 LDF based LDF based eLP target Plan eLP target for Plan 2001-2021 Plan at time of target by time target by 2016 Period 2013- remaining Plan adoption 2006- of 2013 eLP (eLP OAN 2033 Period 2021- 2021 base date (on published Nov 2033 basis 1573 built 2016) 2009-2013) 2.7. The Council has taken action to increase supply; it removed the phasing limits on the 2011 Core Strategy strategic growth locations; it granted permission on draft allocations in the emerging Local Plan, and it granted permission on additional sites not included in the Submission Draft Plan. 2.8. Indeed, as can be seen from Table 1 housing completions have generally been increasing over time, with only 182 completions in 2013/14 compared to 883 in 2019/20 and 847 in 2020/21 (despite having been affected recently by the pandemic regulations lock down restrictions until mid-May 2020). In each year except one, housing delivery has exceeded the minimum yearly housing target which was set out within the 2011 adopted Core Strategy of 273 homes per year, and which was the extant Plan for the housing target between September 2011 and January 20211. 1 The Braintree District Local Plan Section 1 was adopted on 22 February 2021 and at that point replaced the Core Strategy in terms of the housing target. 4 3. The Five Year Housing Land Supply Target for 2021-2026 3.1. Policy SP4 in the Local Plan Section 1 (‘Meeting Housing Needs’) sets the housing requirement as an annual average minimum of 716 dwellings per year, resulting in a minimum total of 14,320 across the plan period from 2013 to 2033. This figure was subject to detailed examination during the course of the Local Plan section 1 examination. The Braintree District Local Plan Section 1 was adopted on 22 February 2021 and at that point replaced the Core Strategy in terms of the housing target. 3.2. The latest Housing Delivery Test (HDT) results were published in January 2021. The new results (which include an allowance for the impact of the current pandemic) confirm that the Council is a 5% buffer authority. This applies from the day of the publication of the results. 3.3. Comparing the net dwelling supply 2013-2021 (as set out in Section 2) to the housing requirement of 716 dpa, there was a cumulative shortfall in supply at 2021 of 1,517 dwellings. 3.4. The Five Year Housing Land Supply Target is calculated on the basis that the cumulative shortfall is to be made up within the 5 year period, also known as the Sedgefield Approach. 3.5. The five year housing land supply target calculation for 2021-2026 is set out in Table 2. Table 2: The Five Year Housing Land Supply Target for 2021-2026 i) Basic annual average target of 716 X 5 3,580 ii) Cumulative shortfall at 2021 1,517 iii) Basic target plus shortfall 5,097 iv) Basic target plus shortfall plus 5% buffer 5,352 = projected 5 year supply target 2021-2026 by this approach v) Annual average target 2021-2026 1,070 5 4. The Supply of New Homes and Five Year Housing Land Supply Position 4.1. For decision making purposes, the Council needs to identify a 5 year supply of deliverable sites in accordance with the 2019 National Planning Policy Framework and associated Planning Practice Guidance. The NPPF defines deliverability: “To be considered deliverable, sites for housing should be available now, offer a suitable location for development now, and be achievable with a realistic prospect that housing will be delivered on the site within five years”. 4.2. The sources of future housing supply in the District are made up from: • Sites with detailed planning permission • Sites with outline planning permission • Sites on which a planning application had a Resolution to Grant planning permission, subject to signing of a Section 106 Agreement • Publication Draft Local Plan Allocations not included in the above (without planning permission) • A windfall allowance • An expiry allowance • Assessed contribution from detailed permissions for additional communal accommodation 4.3. For sites that do not yet have a detailed permission (other than non-major outline permission sites) the Council should provide clear evidence of deliverability. This may include for example current planning status; firm progress towards submission of a detailed application; firm progress on site assessment work, or clear evidence of developers’ intended anticipated start and delivery rates for their sites. 4.4. The 5 year supply assessment for decision making excludes sites that rely on a draft Local Plan allocation, which do not yet have a planning permission or a resolution to grant a planning permission. 4.5. The supply assessment includes a small number of permissions for additional communal accommodation, to which a ratio of 1.8 is applied in accordance with Government Guidance. This is consistent with the measurement of net housing supply in the Housing Flows return to Government. 4.6. The assessed supply is on a net basis. 4.7. The assessed source of 5 year supply 2021-2026 as at 31st March 2021 for the purposes of decision making is summarised in Table 3. 6 Table 3: Summary of sources of supply in the 5 year supply 2021-2026 Source Dwellings Sites under construction 2,214 Sites not yet started, with Full, Reserved Matters or Prior Approval 1,422 Non-major sites with outline permission 56 Windfall allowance 225 Minus lapse allowance -75 Communal accommodation contribution (rooms/1.8) 81 Sites with outline permission, 10 dwellings/0.5 hectares or more 1,604 Sites with a Resolution to Grant (planning application subject to 186 signing of a Section 106 Agreement as at 31.3.2020) Summary net supply 5,713 4.8.

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