Inequalities and Comparisons of the Cauchy, Gauss, and Logistic Distributions
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5. the Student T Distribution
Virtual Laboratories > 4. Special Distributions > 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 5. The Student t Distribution In this section we will study a distribution that has special importance in statistics. In particular, this distribution will arise in the study of a standardized version of the sample mean when the underlying distribution is normal. The Probability Density Function Suppose that Z has the standard normal distribution, V has the chi-squared distribution with n degrees of freedom, and that Z and V are independent. Let Z T= √V/n In the following exercise, you will show that T has probability density function given by −(n +1) /2 Γ((n + 1) / 2) t2 f(t)= 1 + , t∈ℝ ( n ) √n π Γ(n / 2) 1. Show that T has the given probability density function by using the following steps. n a. Show first that the conditional distribution of T given V=v is normal with mean 0 a nd variance v . b. Use (a) to find the joint probability density function of (T,V). c. Integrate the joint probability density function in (b) with respect to v to find the probability density function of T. The distribution of T is known as the Student t distribution with n degree of freedom. The distribution is well defined for any n > 0, but in practice, only positive integer values of n are of interest. This distribution was first studied by William Gosset, who published under the pseudonym Student. In addition to supplying the proof, Exercise 1 provides a good way of thinking of the t distribution: the t distribution arises when the variance of a mean 0 normal distribution is randomized in a certain way. -
A Study of Non-Central Skew T Distributions and Their Applications in Data Analysis and Change Point Detection
A STUDY OF NON-CENTRAL SKEW T DISTRIBUTIONS AND THEIR APPLICATIONS IN DATA ANALYSIS AND CHANGE POINT DETECTION Abeer M. Hasan A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate College of Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY August 2013 Committee: Arjun K. Gupta, Co-advisor Wei Ning, Advisor Mark Earley, Graduate Faculty Representative Junfeng Shang. Copyright c August 2013 Abeer M. Hasan All rights reserved iii ABSTRACT Arjun K. Gupta, Co-advisor Wei Ning, Advisor Over the past three decades there has been a growing interest in searching for distribution families that are suitable to analyze skewed data with excess kurtosis. The search started by numerous papers on the skew normal distribution. Multivariate t distributions started to catch attention shortly after the development of the multivariate skew normal distribution. Many researchers proposed alternative methods to generalize the univariate t distribution to the multivariate case. Recently, skew t distribution started to become popular in research. Skew t distributions provide more flexibility and better ability to accommodate long-tailed data than skew normal distributions. In this dissertation, a new non-central skew t distribution is studied and its theoretical properties are explored. Applications of the proposed non-central skew t distribution in data analysis and model comparisons are studied. An extension of our distribution to the multivariate case is presented and properties of the multivariate non-central skew t distri- bution are discussed. We also discuss the distribution of quadratic forms of the non-central skew t distribution. In the last chapter, the change point problem of the non-central skew t distribution is discussed under different settings. -
A Tail Quantile Approximation Formula for the Student T and the Symmetric Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Schlüter, Stephan; Fischer, Matthias J. Working Paper A tail quantile approximation formula for the student t and the symmetric generalized hyperbolic distribution IWQW Discussion Papers, No. 05/2009 Provided in Cooperation with: Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics Suggested Citation: Schlüter, Stephan; Fischer, Matthias J. (2009) : A tail quantile approximation formula for the student t and the symmetric generalized hyperbolic distribution, IWQW Discussion Papers, No. 05/2009, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik und Quantitative Wirtschaftsforschung (IWQW), Nürnberg This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/29554 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu IWQW Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik und Quantitative Wirtschaftsforschung Diskussionspapier Discussion Papers No. -
Asymmetric Generalizations of Symmetric Univariate Probability Distributions Obtained Through Quantile Splicing
Asymmetric generalizations of symmetric univariate probability distributions obtained through quantile splicing a* a b Brenda V. Mac’Oduol , Paul J. van Staden and Robert A. R. King aDepartment of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa; bSchool of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia *Correspondence to: Brenda V. Mac’Oduol; Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa. email: [email protected] Abstract Balakrishnan et al. proposed a two-piece skew logistic distribution by making use of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of half distributions as the building block, to give rise to an asymmetric family of two-piece distributions, through the inclusion of a single shape parameter. This paper proposes the construction of asymmetric families of two-piece distributions by making use of quantile functions of symmetric distributions as building blocks. This proposition will enable the derivation of a general formula for the L-moments of two-piece distributions. Examples will be presented, where the logistic, normal, Student’s t(2) and hyperbolic secant distributions are considered. Keywords Two-piece; Half distributions; Quantile functions; L-moments 1. Introduction Balakrishnan, Dai, and Liu (2017) introduced a skew logistic distribution as an alterna- tive to the model proposed by van Staden and King (2015). It proposed taking the half distribution to the right of the location parameter and joining it to the half distribution to the left of the location parameter which has an inclusion of a single shape parameter, a > 0. The methodology made use of the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the parent distributions to obtain the two-piece distribution. -
A Comparison Between Skew-Logistic and Skew-Normal Distributions 1
MATEMATIKA, 2015, Volume 31, Number 1, 15–24 c UTM Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics A Comparison Between Skew-logistic and Skew-normal Distributions 1Ramin Kazemi and 2Monireh Noorizadeh 1,2Department of Statistics, Imam Khomeini International University Qazvin, Iran e-mail: [email protected] Abstract Skew distributions are reasonable models for describing claims in property- liability insurance. We consider two well-known datasets from actuarial science and fit skew-normal and skew-logistic distributions to these dataset. We find that the skew-logistic distribution is reasonably competitive compared to skew-normal in the literature when describing insurance data. The value at risk and tail value at risk are estimated for the dataset under consideration. Also, we compare the skew distributions via Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test, log-likelihood criteria and AIC. Keywords Skew-logistic distribution; skew-normal distribution; value at risk; tail value at risk; log-likelihood criteria; AIC; Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. 2010 Mathematics Subject Classification 62P05, 91B30 1 Introduction Fitting an adequate distribution to real data sets is a relevant problem and not an easy task in actuarial literature, mainly due to the nature of the data, which shows several fea- tures to be accounted for. Eling [1] showed that the skew-normal and the skew-Student t distributions are reasonably competitive compared to some models when describing in- surance data. Bolance et al. [2] provided strong empirical evidence in favor of the use of the skew-normal, and log-skew-normal distributions to model bivariate claims data from the Spanish motor insurance industry. -
Logistic Distribution Becomes Skew to the Right and When P>1 It Becomes Skew to the Left
FITTING THE VERSATILE LINEARIZED, COMPOSITE, AND GENERALIZED LOGISTIC PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION TO A DATA SET R.J. Oosterbaan, 06-08-2019. On www.waterlog.info public domain. Abstract The logistic probability distribution can be linearized for easy fitting to a data set using a linear regression to determine the parameters. The logistic probability distribution can also be generalized by raising the data values to the power P that is to be optimized by an iterative method based on the minimization of the squares of the deviations of calculated and observed data values (the least squares or LS method). This enhances its applicability. When P<1 the logistic distribution becomes skew to the right and when P>1 it becomes skew to the left. When P=1, the distribution is symmetrical and quite like the normal probability distribution. In addition, the logistic distribution can be made composite, that is: split into two parts with different parameters. Composite distributions can be used favorably when the data set is obtained under different external conditions influencing its probability characteristics. Contents 1. The standard logistic cumulative distribution function (CDF) and its linearization 2. The logistic cumulative distribution function (CDF) generalized 3. The composite generalized logistic distribution 4. Fitting the standard, generalized, and composite logistic distribution to a data set, available software 5. Construction of confidence belts 6. Constructing histograms and the probability density function (PDF) 7. Ranking according to goodness of fit 8. Conclusion 9. References 1. The standard cumulative distribution function (CDF) and its linearization The cumulative logistic distribution function (CDF) can be written as: Fc = 1 / {1 + e (A*X+B)} where Fc = cumulative logistic distribution function or cumulative frequency e = base of the natural logarithm (Ln), e = 2.71 . -
Beta-Cauchy Distribution: Some Properties and Applications
Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications, Vol. 12, No. 4 (December 2013), 378-391 Beta-Cauchy Distribution: Some Properties and Applications Etaf Alshawarbeh Department of Mathematics, Central Michigan University Mount Pleasant, MI 48859, USA Email: [email protected] Felix Famoye Department of Mathematics, Central Michigan University Mount Pleasant, MI 48859, USA Email: [email protected] Carl Lee Department of Mathematics, Central Michigan University Mount Pleasant, MI 48859, USA Email: [email protected] Abstract Some properties of the four-parameter beta-Cauchy distribution such as the mean deviation and Shannon’s entropy are obtained. The method of maximum likelihood is proposed to estimate the parameters of the distribution. A simulation study is carried out to assess the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates. The usefulness of the new distribution is illustrated by applying it to three empirical data sets and comparing the results to some existing distributions. The beta-Cauchy distribution is found to provide great flexibility in modeling symmetric and skewed heavy-tailed data sets. Keywords and Phrases: Beta family, mean deviation, entropy, maximum likelihood estimation. 1. Introduction Eugene et al.1 introduced a class of new distributions using beta distribution as the generator and pointed out that this can be viewed as a family of generalized distributions of order statistics. Jones2 studied some general properties of this family. This class of distributions has been referred to as “beta-generated distributions”.3 This family of distributions provides some flexibility in modeling data sets with different shapes. Let F(x) be the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable X, then the CDF G(x) for the “beta-generated distributions” is given by Fx() 1 11 G( x ) [ B ( , )] t(1 t ) dt , 0 , , (1) 0 where B(αβ , )=ΓΓ ( α ) ( β )/ Γ+ ( α β ) . -
The Extended Log-Logistic Distribution: Properties and Application
Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências (2017) 89(1): 3-17 (Annals of the Brazilian Academy of Sciences) Printed version ISSN 0001-3765 / Online version ISSN 1678-2690 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0001-3765201720150579 www.scielo.br/aabc The Extended Log-Logistic Distribution: Properties and Application STÊNIO R. LIMA and GAUSS M. CORDEIRO Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Departamento de Estatística, Av. Prof. Moraes Rego, 1235, Cidade Universitária, 50740-540 Recife, PE, Brazil Manuscript received on September 3, 2015; accepted for publication on October 7, 2016 ABSTRACT We propose a new four-parameter lifetime model, called the extended log-logistic distribution, to generalize the two-parameter log-logistic model. The new model is quite flexible to analyze positive data. We provide some mathematical properties including explicit expressions for the ordinary and incomplete moments, probability weighted moments, mean deviations, quantile function and entropy measure. The estimation of the model parameters is performed by maximum likelihood using the BFGS algorithm. The flexibility of the new model is illustrated by means of an application to a real data set. We hope that the new distribution will serve as an alternative model to other useful distributions for modeling positive real data in many areas. Key words: exponentiated generalize, generating function, log-logistic distribution, maximum likelihood estimation, moment. INTRODUCTION Numerous classical distributions have been extensively used over the past decades for modeling data in several areas. In fact, the statistics literature is filled with hundreds of continuous univariate distributions (see, e.g, Johnson et al. 1994, 1995). However, in many applied areas, such as lifetime analysis, finance and insurance, there is a clear need for extended forms of these distributions. -
Chapter 7 “Continuous Distributions”.Pdf
CHAPTER 7 Continuous distributions 7.1. Basic theory 7.1.1. Denition, PDF, CDF. We start with the denition a continuous random variable. Denition (Continuous random variables) A random variable X is said to have a continuous distribution if there exists a non- negative function f = f such that X ¢ b P(a 6 X 6 b) = f(x)dx a for every a and b. The function f is called the density function for X or the PDF for X. ¡More precisely, such an X is said to have an absolutely continuous¡ distribution. Note that 1 . In particular, a for every . −∞ f(x)dx = P(−∞ < X < 1) = 1 P(X = a) = a f(x)dx = 0 a 3 ¡Example 7.1. Suppose we are given that f(x) = c=x for x > 1 and 0 otherwise. Since 1 and −∞ f(x)dx = 1 ¢ ¢ 1 1 1 c c f(x)dx = c 3 dx = ; −∞ 1 x 2 we have c = 2. PMF or PDF? Probability mass function (PMF) and (probability) density function (PDF) are two names for the same notion in the case of discrete random variables. We say PDF or simply a density function for a general random variable, and we use PMF only for discrete random variables. Denition (Cumulative distribution function (CDF)) The distribution function of X is dened as ¢ y F (y) = FX (y) := P(−∞ < X 6 y) = f(x)dx: −∞ It is also called the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of X. 97 98 7. CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS We can dene CDF for any random variable, not just continuous ones, by setting F (y) := P(X 6 y). -
(Introduction to Probability at an Advanced Level) - All Lecture Notes
Fall 2018 Statistics 201A (Introduction to Probability at an advanced level) - All Lecture Notes Aditya Guntuboyina August 15, 2020 Contents 0.1 Sample spaces, Events, Probability.................................5 0.2 Conditional Probability and Independence.............................6 0.3 Random Variables..........................................7 1 Random Variables, Expectation and Variance8 1.1 Expectations of Random Variables.................................9 1.2 Variance................................................ 10 2 Independence of Random Variables 11 3 Common Distributions 11 3.1 Ber(p) Distribution......................................... 11 3.2 Bin(n; p) Distribution........................................ 11 3.3 Poisson Distribution......................................... 12 4 Covariance, Correlation and Regression 14 5 Correlation and Regression 16 6 Back to Common Distributions 16 6.1 Geometric Distribution........................................ 16 6.2 Negative Binomial Distribution................................... 17 7 Continuous Distributions 17 7.1 Normal or Gaussian Distribution.................................. 17 1 7.2 Uniform Distribution......................................... 18 7.3 The Exponential Density...................................... 18 7.4 The Gamma Density......................................... 18 8 Variable Transformations 19 9 Distribution Functions and the Quantile Transform 20 10 Joint Densities 22 11 Joint Densities under Transformations 23 11.1 Detour to Convolutions...................................... -
Chapter 10 “Some Continuous Distributions”.Pdf
CHAPTER 10 Some continuous distributions 10.1. Examples of continuous random variables We look at some other continuous random variables besides normals. Uniform distribution A continuous random variable has uniform distribution if its density is f(x) = 1/(b a) − if a 6 x 6 b and 0 otherwise. For a random variable X with uniform distribution its expectation is 1 b a + b EX = x dx = . b a ˆ 2 − a Exponential distribution A continuous random variable has exponential distribution with parameter λ > 0 if its λx density is f(x) = λe− if x > 0 and 0 otherwise. Suppose X is a random variable with an exponential distribution with parameter λ. Then we have ∞ λx λa (10.1.1) P(X > a) = λe− dx = e− , ˆa λa FX (a) = 1 P(X > a) = 1 e− , − − and we can use integration by parts to see that EX = 1/λ, Var X = 1/λ2. Examples where an exponential random variable is a good model is the length of a telephone call, the length of time before someone arrives at a bank, the length of time before a light bulb burns out. Exponentials are memoryless, that is, P(X > s + t X > t) = P(X > s), | or given that the light bulb has burned 5 hours, the probability it will burn 2 more hours is the same as the probability a new light bulb will burn 2 hours. Here is how we can prove this 129 130 10. SOME CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS P(X > s + t) P(X > s + t X > t) = | P(X > t) λ(s+t) e− λs − = λt = e e− = P(X > s), where we used Equation (10.1.1) for a = t and a = s + t. -
Distributions (3) © 2008 Winton 2 VIII
© 2008 Winton 1 Distributions (3) © onntiW8 020 2 VIII. Lognormal Distribution • Data points t are said to be lognormally distributed if the natural logarithms, ln(t), of these points are normally distributed with mean μ ion and standard deviatσ – If the normal distribution is sampled to get points rsample, then the points ersample constitute sample values from the lognormal distribution • The pdf or the lognormal distribution is given byf - ln(x)()μ 2 - 1 2 f(x)= e ⋅ 2 σ >(x 0) σx 2 π because ∞ - ln(x)()μ 2 - ∞ -() t μ-2 1 1 2 1 2 ∫ e⋅ 2eσ dx = ∫ dt ⋅ 2σ (where= t ln(x)) 0 xσ2 π 0σ2 π is the pdf for the normal distribution © 2008 Winton 3 Mean and Variance for Lognormal • It can be shown that in terms of μ and σ σ2 μ + E(X)= 2 e 2⋅μ σ + 2 σ2 Var(X)= e( ⋅ ) e - 1 • If the mean E and variance V for the lognormal distribution are given, then the corresponding μ and σ2 for the normal distribution are given by – σ2 = log(1+V/E2) – μ = log(E) - σ2/2 • The lognormal distribution has been used in reliability models for time until failure and for stock price distributions – The shape is similar to that of the Gamma distribution and the Weibull distribution for the case α > 2, but the peak is less towards 0 © 2008 Winton 4 Graph of Lognormal pdf f(x) 0.5 0.45 μ=4, σ=1 0.4 0.35 μ=4, σ=2 0.3 μ=4, σ=3 0.25 μ=4, σ=4 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 x 0510 μ and σ are the lognormal’s mean and std dev, not those of the associated normal © onntiW8 020 5 IX.