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Forrabury and Minster Housing Needs Assessment (HNA)

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Forrabury and Minster Housing Needs Assessment (HNA) For Forrabury and Minster Neighbourhood Plan 2021- 2040 December 2020 AECOM Forrabury and Minster Neighbourhood Plan Housing Needs Assessment 2 Quality information Prepared by Checked by Approved by Elena Butterworth Paul Avery Paul Avery Graduate Planner Senior Consultant Senior Consultant Revision History Revision Revision date Details Authorized Name Position 1 October 2020 First draft EB Elena Graduate Butterworth Planner 2 October 2020 Technical review PA Paul Avery Senior Consultant 3 October 2020 Second draft EB Elena Graduate Butterworth Planner 4 October 2020 Group review SD Sally Dickinson Neighbourhood Planning Group 5 November 2020 Third draft PA Paul Avery Senior Consultant 6 December 2020 Locality review AO Annabel Neighbourhood Osborne Planning Officer 7 December 2020 Final report PA Paul Avery Senior Consultant AECOM Forrabury and Minster Neighbourhood Plan Housing Needs Assessment 3 Prepared for: Forrabury and Minster Parish Council Prepared by: Elena Butterworth AECOM Aldgate Tower 2 Leman Street London E1 8FA aecom.com © 2020 AECOM. All Rights Reserved. This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited (“AECOM”) in accordance with its contract with Locality (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. AECOM shall have no liability to any third party that makes use of or relies upon this document. Disclaimer This document is intended to aid the preparation of the Neighbourhood Plan, and can be used to guide decision making and as evidence to support Plan policies, if the Qualifying Body (i.e. the neighbourhood planning group) so chooses. It is not a neighbourhood plan policy document. It is a ‘snapshot’ in time and may become superseded by more recent information. The Qualifying Body is not bound to accept its conclusions. If any party can demonstrate that any of the evidence presented herein is inaccurate or out of date, such evidence can be presented to the Qualifying Body at the consultation stage. Where evidence from elsewhere conflicts with this report, the Qualifying Body should decide what policy position to take in the Neighbourhood Plan and that judgement should be documented so that it can be defended at the Examination stage. AECOM Forrabury and Minster Neighbourhood Plan Housing Needs Assessment 4 Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................................ 7 1.1 Tenure Conclusions ................................................................................................................................................... 7 1.2 Type and Size Conclusions ....................................................................................................................................... 9 1.3 Specialist housing for older people Conclusions .................................................................................................... 10 2. Context .................................................................................................................................................................................. 13 2.1 Local context ............................................................................................................................................................ 13 2.2 Planning policy context ............................................................................................................................................ 15 2.2.1 Policies in the adopted local plan ............................................................................................................................ 15 2.2.2 Quantity of housing to provide ................................................................................................................................. 18 3. Approach ............................................................................................................................................................................... 19 3.1 Research Questions ................................................................................................................................................ 19 3.1.1 Tenure and Affordability ........................................................................................................................................... 19 3.1.2 Type and Size .......................................................................................................................................................... 19 3.1.3 Specialist Housing for Older People........................................................................................................................ 19 3.2 Relevant Data........................................................................................................................................................... 19 3.2.1 Local authority evidence base ................................................................................................................................. 19 3.2.2 Other relevant data .................................................................................................................................................. 20 4. RQ 1: Tenure, Affordability and the Need for Affordable Housing ...................................................................................... 21 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................... 21 4.2 Definitions ................................................................................................................................................................. 21 4.3 Current tenure profile ............................................................................................................................................... 21 4.4 Affordability ............................................................................................................................................................... 22 4.4.1 House prices ............................................................................................................................................................ 22 4.4.2 Income ...................................................................................................................................................................... 23 4.4.3 Affordability Thresholds ........................................................................................................................................... 24 4.5 Affordable housing- quantity needed....................................................................................................................... 29 4.5.1 Affordable Housing Policies in Forrabury and Minster ............................................................................................ 31 4.6 Conclusions- Tenure and Affordability .................................................................................................................... 35 5. RQ 2: Type and Size ............................................................................................................................................................. 37 5.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................... 37 5.2 Existing types and sizes .......................................................................................................................................... 37 5.2.1 Background and definitions ..................................................................................................................................... 37 5.2.2 Dwelling type ............................................................................................................................................................ 38 5.2.3 Dwelling size ............................................................................................................................................................ 38 5.3 Household composition and age structure .............................................................................................................. 39 5.3.1 Age structure ............................................................................................................................................................ 40 5.3.2 Household composition............................................................................................................................................ 40 5.4 Dwelling mix determined by life-stage modelling .................................................................................................... 41 5.5 Conclusions- Type and Size .................................................................................................................................... 45 6. RQ 3: Specialist housing for older people ............................................................................................................................ 46 6.1 Introduction ..............................................................................................................................................................
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