24 March 2016 Asia Pacific/Australia Equity Research Precious Metals St Barbara Mining (SBM.AX / SBM AU) Rating NEUTRAL Price (23-Mar,A$) 2.19 INITIATION Target Price (A$) 2.15 Target price ESG risk (%) 0.0 Market cap (A$mn) 1,084.3 Good company but fully priced Yr avg. mthly trading (A$mn) 78.1 Projected return: ■ St Barbara operates the high grade, high margin Gwalia underground Capital gain (%) -1.8 mine (Leonora, WA) and the historically marginal but now cash generative Dividend yield (net %) 0.0 open pit mine, Simberi (PNG). A significant turnaround in production, Total return (%) -1.8 cash flow and outlook has been delivered under the leadership of MD *Stock ratings are relative to the relevant country benchmark. ¹Target price is for 12 months. Bob Vassie. Value has been created through: simple operational [V] = Stock Considered Volatile (see Disclosure Appendix) improvements at Gwalia; achievement of design capacity utilisation at Research Analysts Simberi; divestment of the loss making Gold Ridge (Solomons) operation and Michael Slifirski 61 3 9280 1845 debt reduction from strong cash flow.
[email protected] ■ With organic growth absent, continued operational improvements and Nick Herbert, CFA mine life extension will be key value drivers. We expect existing 61 3 9280 1754
[email protected] operations will continue to generate strong free cash for remaining mine life, and assume conceptual implementation of an alternative haulage system at Gwalia will facilitate production growth and extend mine life by conceptually adding 1.2Moz to reserves at depth. ■ Aside from alternative haulage, growth options appear to be early stage concepts and exploration success dependent.