Forthcoming in Philosophy of Science Calibration, Coherence, and Consilience in Radiometric Measures of Geologic Time Alisa Bokulich† Department of Philosophy Boston University
[email protected] In 2012 the Geological Time Scale, which sets the temporal framework for studying the timing and tempo of all major geological, biological, and climatic events in Earth's history, had one-quarter of its boundaries moved in a wide-spread revision of radiometric dates. The philosophy of metrology helps us understand this episode, and it, in turn, elucidates the notions of calibration, coherence, and consilience. I argue that coherence testing is a distinct activity preceding calibration and consilience, and highlight the value of discordant evidence and tradeoffs scientists face in calibration. The iterative nature of calibration, moreover, raises the problem of legacy data. 1. Introduction Geochronology is the science of measuring geologic time through the dating of the materials of the Earth. One of the most important dating methods is radioisotope geochronology, which is the investigation of the age of these materials through the radioactive decay of the isotopes they contain. Radiometric methods, which have been around for a hundred years, provide one of most powerful tools for measuring absolute time. There are several different radioactive methods, based on different chemical elements, each with a different half-life, which makes it more or less suitable for measuring particular substances and particular periods of geologic time. The most well- known radiometric method is radiocarbon dating, which is based on the decay of 14C. However, because radiocarbon (14C) has a relatively short half-life, it can only reliably measure dates going back approximately 60,000 years, hardly making a dent in the measurement of geologic time.