Monthly News Scan
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MONTHLY NEWS SCAN Tinjauan Berita Bulanan Compiled by IDS Vol. 25 Issue 2 IDS Online http://www.ids.org.my 1 – 29 February 2020 HIGHLIGHTS Dow falls more than 4% amid China’s official Purchasing FOCUS coronavirus stock rout: Financial Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to a markets suffered a sixth day of losses record low of 35.7 in February from • A global rout is a great time for a on recently, as traders dumped shares 50.0 in January, the National Bureau command economy like China on fears that the spread of coronavirus of Statistics said on Saturday (Feb 29), • Coronavirus poses risks to fragile will hobble the global economy. In the well below the 50-point mark that recovery in global economy: IMF US, the Dow Jones plunged nearly separates monthly growth from • Economic stimulus package 1,200 points to lose 4.4%. It was the contraction. Analysts polled by necessary to ensure growth sharpest points-drop in history. The Reuters expected the February PMI to • Malaysia’s power struggle puts S&P 500 ended 4.4% lower, while the come in at 46.0. (29 February, The economy’s outlook at risk Nasdaq dropped 4.6%. Earlier, Straits Times) • RM5b green venture a world first London's FTSE 100 finished 3.5% • State Govt can sustain economic S. Korea keeps rates unchanged, growth – CM lower, while Japan's Nikkei 225 led lowers growth outlook: South Korea Asian losses, falling more than 2%. kept interest rates unchanged INTERNATIONAL (27 February, BBC News) yesterday, dashing expectations for a ANTARABANGSA cut even as it downgraded the growth Brexit complicates EU budget outlook amid mounting fears the A global rout is a great time for a plans: EU leaders are meeting in coronavirus outbreak could derail command economy like China: In Brussels this week to discuss the Asia's fourth-largest economy. times of distress, a centralised bloc’s future budget plans. These Acknowledging threats from a financial system can go a long way. negotiations are always challenging, prolonged outbreak, Bank of Korea Global investors, bruised by an ugly tending to pit net payers against net (BOK) governor Lee Ju-yeol stressed week of asset selloffs, can perhaps beneficiaries. There are proposals the limits of monetary policy and consider buying the dip - but only in from the European Commission and called for government spending and China. In the past, if the US sneezed, the Parliament that some countries more targeted measures to deal with emerging markets would soon be in think involve spending too much. This the slowdown. (28 February, The the emergency room. Not this time. time, the talks are further complicated Straits Times) While the S&P 500 Index is heading by the departure of the UK, which was for its worst week since the global a large net contributor. (20 February, UK economy saw zero growth at the financial crisis, China has been BBC News) end of 2019: The UK economy saw relatively Zen-like, despite being the no growth in the final three months of 2019, as manufacturing contracted for Japan’s factory activity shrinks at epicentre of the coronavirus outbreak. the third quarter in a row and the fastest pace since 2012 on The ChiNext index, in particular, is service sector slowed around the time still up 16 per cent this year, even after coronavirus jolt: Japan’s factory of the election. The Office for this week's heavy selling. (28 activity suffered its steepest National Statistics (ONS) said the car February, The Straits Times) contraction in seven years in industry had seen a particularly weak February, as the widening fallout from quarter. The ONS figures also Coronavirus poses risks to fragile the coronavirus outbreak in China showed the economy grew by 1.4% in recovery in global economy: IMF: reinforced the risk of a recession in the 2019, marginally higher than the 1.3% The coronavirus epidemic has already world’s third-largest economy. The rate in 2018. Recent surveys have disrupted economic growth in China manufacturing downturn offers the suggested that the economy has clearest evidence yet of the and a further spread to other countries picked up in the new year. (11 epidemic’s damaging effects on February, BBC News) could derail a “highly fragile” global growth and businesses, and is projected recovery in the global likely to ramp up pressure on Japanese Russia’s economic growth at 1.3% economy in 2020, the International policymakers to increase stimulus. (21 in 2019, slightly above Monetary Fund warned. In a note for February, Reuters) expectations: The Russian economy G20 finance ministers and central grew 1.3% in 2019, preliminary data bankers, the global lender mapped out China’s factory activity posts from the statistics service showed, many risks facing the global economy, record contraction as coronavirus slightly exceeding expectations. including the disease and a renewed bites: Factory activity in China Analysts polled by Reuters in late spike in U.S.-China trade tensions, as contracted at the fastest pace on record 2019 expected Russia’s gross well as climate-related disasters. (19 in February, highlighting the damage domestic product to expand 1.2%. The February, Reuters) from the coronavirus outbreak on the central bank predicted that the world’s second-largest economy. economy would grow by no more than 1.3%. (3 February, Reuters) 1 – 29 February 2020 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 1 Malaysia will be undertaking Consumer confidence remains NATIONAL extensive reforms of the investment low: The consumer confidence index NASIONAL process in 2020: MITI: Malaysia (CCI) has declined for the fifth will be undertaking extensive reforms consecutive quarter since its all-time Economic stimulus package in the investment process in order to high after the 14th General Election, necessary to ensure growth: The improve the ease of doing business for both foreign and domestic investors in as more Malaysians remain economic stimulus package is apprehensive about job prospects. At necessary to ensure Malaysia’s 2020. The Ministry of International 107 points, Malaysia fell just outside economic growth will remain stable as Trade and Industry (MITI) said the government’s revenue from direct domestic investors, in particular, will the top 10 most optimistic countries, taxation fluctuates with the be encouraged to aggressively pursue placing 11th on the index, according performance of the economy. Affin export opportunities in new overseas to Nielsen. “In the fourth quarter of Hwang Capital analysts Alan Tan and markets. Under the leadership of 2019,70% of Malaysians believed that Kevin Low believe the government minister Datuk Darell Leiking, the the country is in a recession, down will be reverting back to the fiscal ministry has taken on board slightly from 73% posted in the constructive feedback offered by consolidation path when the economic previous quarter; 37% were optimistic investors and other stakeholders on about an economic recovery in the environment stabilises. Malaysia’s how to improve investment process in gross domestic product (GDP) is order to better drive economic growth next 12 months, which is higher than expected to grow between 3.2 per cent towards achieving Malaysia’s vision 34% in the third quarter of 2019. (19 and 4.2 per cent this year due to the of Shared Prosperity 2030. (14 February, The Star) impact of Covid-19 outbreak. (28 February, Business Times) February, Business Times) Malaysia can be electric car hub: UK sees Malaysia as possible Malaysia has the potential to be an Malaysia’s power struggle puts gateway to Asia-Pacific electric vehicles (EV) and plug-in economy’s outlook at risk: trade: Britain, promoting itself as a hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) hub, Malaysia’s political upheaval is willing trade partner for the Asia- Proton Holdings Bhd deputy chief jeopardising the economy’s outlook at Pacific region, is seeking close executive officer Datuk Radzaif a time of heightened global risks and alignment with Malaysia as its former Mohamed said. But this requires the brewing discontent among locals colony considers ratifying an 11- about rising living costs. The ruling member Pacific trade pact, the UK’s local vendor community to develop coalition collapsed Monday amid a top diplomat said recently. Pushing new skills and invest in advanced power struggle between 94-year-old the tagline “Global Britain is open for technologies, allowing them to make a Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir business“, the UK has launched an quantum leap to become a global Mohamad and his planned successor. aggressive campaign to set up new supplier. Therefore, Radzaif said the The political uncertainty is stalling trade partnerships after it formally National Automotive Policy 2020 economic policy, including a stimulus quit the European Union at the end of (NAP2020) must take a holistic view package that was due to be unveiled January. Malaysia was the final stop regarding EV and PHEV by Dr Mahathir on Feb. 27 to counter in a four-nation tour of the Asia- encompassing multiple areas. (20 the Covid-19 coronavirus outbreak. Pacific by British Foreign Secretary February, Business Times) Now, that set of incentives won’t be Dominic Raab, who described the announced in time as it hadn’t been Comprehensive and Progressive Govt to expedite investment Agreement for Trans-Pacific approved by the previous cabinet, said projects worth RM21 bln to address Ong Kian Ming, who served as deputy Partnership (CPTPP), representing more than 13 per cent of global gross COVID-19 impact: The government trade minister. (25 February, The Star) domestic product, as a “priority” for will expedite the implementation of Britain. (12 February, Business development projects worth RM21 World Bank reviewing Covid-19 Times) billion involving government-linked impact before revising Malaysia’s companies (GLCs) and public GDP growth target: The World Malaysia’s total trade eases 2.5 pct agencies to address the impact from Bank is in the midst of reviewing the to RM1.83 trillion in 2019: the Covid-19 outbreak.