(2386 HK) Sinopec Refining, Chems, LNG Capex Tailwind
18 September 2018 Hong Kong EQUITIES Sinopec Engineering Group (2386 HK) 2386 HK Outperform Sinopec refining, chems, LNG capex tailwind Price (at 08:50, 18 Sep 2018 GMT) HK$8.14 Valuation HK$ 7.50-13.20 Key points - EV-EBITDA (Bear-Bull We are constructive on the earnings turnaround at Sinopec Engineering 12-month target HK$ 11.00 (SEG), albeit with below consensus estimates. Upside/Downside % +35.1 Order flow has positively surprised YTD, and we see material incremental 12-month TSR % +40.5 orders from Sinopec’s expansion plans in refining, chemicals, LNG. Volatility Index Low/Medium Our new HK$11.0 price target (prior HK$9.7) with 35% upside potential GICS sector Capital Goods implies 8x 2019 EV-EBITDA, 0.3x EV-Backlog, and 1.6x P/B. Market cap HK$m 36,044 Market cap US$m 4,594 An improved order backlog and revenue outlook for SEG Free float % 31 30-day avg turnover US$m 4.3 Number shares on issue m 4,428 Investment fundamentals Year end 31 Dec 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Revenue m 36,199 41,391 45,486 49,484 EBITDA m 1,859 3,285 3,955 4,408 EBITDA growth % -30.3 76.7 20.4 11.4 EBIT m 1,112 2,501 3,187 3,645 EBIT growth % -42.7 124.8 27.4 14.4 Reported profit m 1,703 2,417 2,749 3,071 Adjusted profit m 1,703 2,417 2,749 3,071 EPS rep Rmb 0.38 0.55 0.62 0.69 EPS rep growth % 2.0 41.9 13.7 11.7 EPS adj Rmb 0.38 0.55 0.62 0.69 EPS adj growth % 2.0 41.9 13.7 11.7 PER rep x 18.5 13.1 11.5 10.3 PER adj x 18.5 13.1 11.5 10.3 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, September 2018 Total DPS Rmb 0.20 0.33 0.37 0.42 Total div yield % 2.8 4.6 5.2 5.8 1.
[Show full text]