Essex County Fire & Rescue Service

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Essex County Fire & Rescue Service Essex County Fire & Rescue Service Our Values: Respect, Accountability, Openness and Involvement Strategic Risk Assessment of the Medium to Longer-Term Service Operating Environment 2009 – 2010 2 Countywide Review 2009 Contents 1. Foreword .......................................................................................................................................4 2. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................5 3. Executive Summary .................................................................................................................6 4. Climate Change in East of England ................................................................................10 5. Demographics of Essex ......................................................................................................22 6. Diversity .......................................................................................................................................26 7. Older People in Essex ...........................................................................................................32 8. County Development and Transport Infrastructure ...............................................40 9. The Changing Face of Technology ................................................................................57 10. Terrorism .....................................................................................................................................62 11. The Economy ........................................................................................................................... 72 12. Operational Service Delivery ..............................................................................................81 13. Future Constraints .................................................................................................................99 14. Harlow & Epping Community Command .................................................................104 Contents 15. Basildon & Castle Point Community Command ....................................................114 16. Chelmsford & Maldon Community Command ......................................................124 17. Southend & Rochford Community Command ......................................................132 18. Thurrock & Brentwood Community Command ...................................................143 19. Colchester & Tendring Community Command .....................................................154 20. Uttlesford & Braintree Community Command .......................................................164 21. Conclusion ............................................................................................................................... 174 22. Sources ..................................................................................................................................... 175 Disclaimer Statistical information; where available and appropriate data on population, demographics, ethnic background, religon, social class and age been gathered from the most recently dated source at the time press. In all cases the last National Census data (2001) has been used as the definitive source. 3 Foreword safety iterventions. The review will continue to be revised in order Welcome to the Fire Authority’s County Wide to provide key Review for 2009/10. stakeholders with up to date stra- The world, and Essex, has witnessed signifi- tegic information cant change since the first iteration of this review that will assist in in 2008. Further evidence of climate change, flu the development pandemic and of course the global recession are of the Integrated all events that have further shaped the risk profile Risk Management across our County. Plan. We live and work in an energetic and vibrant Es- Many of the issues within this review are com- sex that continually presents fresh opportunities plex in nature; therefore the aim of this document and further economic and social developments. is to provide an insight into the significant issues We also live in a world that is on occasion subject arising from the changing environment we live in. to sudden and dramatic changes, either natural or Understanding the changing risk profile of Essex man-made, that require an immediate and effec- will help us to assess our future use of resources tive response from the fire and rescue service. We and direction of travel, identifying possible gaps must continuously learn from this dynamic envi- in service delivery as well as opportunities for ronment in order to have the resources and flex- improvement. ibility to respond to these new challenges. Essex County Fire and “We must continuously Rescue Service is committed To achieve our aim of be- learn from this dynamic to doing more with its exist- coming an excellent fire and environment in order to ing resources, and meet the Countywide Review 2009 rescue service, positively have the resources and funding challenges ahead contributing towards mak- flexibility to respond to in order to satisfy the com- ing Essex a safer place to live these new challenges.” munity safety needs of our and work, we must be able growing and increasingly to recognise and respond diverse community. This to change and identify future challenges as they review will provide a useful background to inform emerge in order to ensure that we are fully pre- discussion and future planning. pared to meet them. This will require flexibility, in- novation, investment and the development of our By the Chairman of the Fire Authority workforce to meet these challenges in a difficult Councillor Anthony Headley time for all public sector organisations as they respond to the funding pressures brought about by the global recession. It is therefore essential that we undertake a reg- ular county wide review looking at both the me- dium and long term changes and developments occurring within Essex that have the potential to impact on the services we deliver and where we can work to reduce risk through our community 4 Introduction The changes to the Service’s risk environment mean there will Why has this document been produced? be different ex- pectations on us The future success of the Fire and Rescue Serv- in respect of the ice will in no small part be based on a proactive services we de- understanding of its community’s needs, and then liver. Much of our developing and providing services to meet those current planned needs before and not after they have arisen. activity is based on short to medium-term strategy. The purpose of this document is to con- The Fire Service environ- sider those key areas, iden- ment is changing dramati- “Predicting the future tified using existing data, cally as a result of social, is never a precise research and professional economic, environmental and science and there will judgement, and set out what other factors; factors which always remain a degree they mean for the Service are and will continue to have of uncertainty, the global in Essex. In effect this is a a direct bearing on the range recession is evidence of long-term strategy document and quality of services that it that. ” that identifies those areas provides. that will need to be consid- ered in the coming months and years, adapting In order to meet the future challenges of this dy- existing strategy to reflect known changes that are namic environment it is imperative that the Serv- to be faced. ice recognises that knowledge of our operating environment, together with an understanding of Predicting the future is never a precise science those who may call upon the service in the future, and there will always remain a degree of uncer- is fundamental to our continued success. This ap- tainty, the global recession is evidence of that. Countywide Review 2009 proach will ensure that proactive measures are However by using the information that is available taken to meet and address demand rather than today we will be able to set out our aspiration of reactive measures that are constantly trying to what we want our future service to deliver in order keep up with demand. to meet the changing needs of our communities. Essex County Fire and Rescue Service currently The purpose of this document is to set out provides a range of services to its communities, those key changes and what they mean to Essex from education to proactive and reactive services County Fire and Rescue Service. designed to help make people safer by preventing emergencies and responding effectively to them By Chief Fire Officer David Johnson LL.b once they occur. (Hons) BSc MA MSc FCMI The provision of these services is based on our understanding of risk as it exists today, but to be able to maintain the high levels of service currently provided we must understand the risk presented in the future and prepare to adapt to this now. This means knowing what we will need to deliver, to whom, when and why? 5 Executive Summary The context within which the Fire Service operates, and its roles and responsibilities, have changed significantly in the past 30 years. This publication provides a substantial The Audit Commission have recognised in their re- review of the risks impacting upon Essex port; Rising to the Challenge - Improving Fire Ser- together with the regional and national vice Efficiency- (Dec 2008) that Fire Services in the impacts. The review also includes a detailed UK have taken up the modernisation challenge; analysis of each of the
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