Influence of Past and Future Climate Changes on the Distribution of Three
Journal of Biogeography (J. Biogeogr.) (2015) ORIGINAL Influence of past and future climate ARTICLE changes on the distribution of three Southeast Asian murine rodents Alice Latinne1,2,3*, Christine N. Meynard4,5, Vincent Herbreteau6, Surachit Waengsothorn7, Serge Morand2,8,9 and Johan R. Michaux1,10 1Conservation Genetics Unit, Institut de ABSTRACT Botanique, University of Liege, Liege, Aim We tested the influence of Pleistocene climatic fluctuations and the Belgium, 2Institut des Sciences de l’Evolution, potential effect of future climate change on Southeast Asian small mammal dis- CNRS-IRD-UM2, Universite de Montpellier 2, Montpellier, France, 3Department of tributions using two forest-dwelling (Leopoldamys herberti and Leopoldamys Parasitology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, sabanus) and one karst (Leopoldamys neilli) endemic rodent species as models. Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand, Location Southeast Asia. 4INRA, UMR CBGP (INRA/IRD/CIRAD/ Montpellier SupAgro), Campus international Methods We used presence–absence data of genetically identified individuals, de Baillarguet, CS 30016 Montferrier-sur-Lez bioclimatic variables and species distribution modelling techniques to predict cedex, France, 5Virginia Institute of Marine potential distributions of the three studied species under current, past [Last Science, College of William & Mary, Interglacial (LIG) and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)] and future conditions. Gloucester Point, VA, USA, 6IRD, UMR We applied a variety of modelling techniques and then used consensus tech- ESPACE-DEV (IRD, UM2, UAG, UR), niques to draw up robust maps of potential distribution ranges at all stages. Station SEAS-OI, Saint-Pierre, France, 7 Results Environment and Resources Technology According to our models, these three Leopoldamys species did not Department, Thailand Institute of Scientific experience significant range contraction during the LGM.
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