REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN UPDATE LIVABILITY REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN UPDATE connecting people & places 2050 This document is available in accessible formats when requested ten (10) calendar days in advance. This document was prepared and published by the Memphis Urban Area Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) and is prepared in cooperation with and financial assistance from the following public entities: the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), the Tennessee Department of Transportation (TDOT), the Mississippi Department of Transportation (MDOT), as well as the City of Memphis, Shelby County, Tennessee and DeSoto County, Mississippi. This financial assistance notwithstanding, the contents of this document do not necessarily reflect the official view or policies of the funding agencies. It is the policy of the Memphis MPO not to exclude, deny, or discriminate on the basis of race, color, national origin, ethnicity, immigration status, sex, gender, gender identity and expression, sexual orientation, age, religion, veteran status, familial or marital status, disability, medical or genetic condition, or any other characteristic protected under applicable federal or state law in its hiring or employment practices, or in its admission to, access to, or operations of its programs, services, or activities. All inquiries for Title VI and/or the Americans with Disabilities Act, contact Alvan-Bidal Sanchez at 901-636-7156 or [email protected]. Acknowledgments The Memphis Urban Area Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) would like to acknowledge its members and partnering agencies, who helped with the development of the Livability 2050 Regional Transportation Plan Update: MEMBERS Tennessee Department of Transportation (TDOT) Mississippi Department of Transportation (MDOT) Memphis Area Transit Authority (MATA) Memphis and Shelby County Airport Authority (MSCAA) Memphis and Shelby County Port Commission TENNESSEE Shelby County, Tennessee Town of Arlington City of Bartlett Town of Collierville City of Germantown City of Lakeland City of Memphis City of Millington Fayette County, Tennessee Town of Braden City of Gallaway Town of Oakland City of Piperton Town of Rossville MISSISSIPPI DeSoto County, Mississippi City of Hernando City of Horn Lake City of Olive Branch City of Southaven Town of Walls Marshall County, Mississippi Town of Byhalia PARTNERING AGENCIES/ORGANIZATIONS Federal Highway Administration—Tennessee Division Federal Highway Administration— Mississippi Division Federal Transit Administration— Region IV US Environmental Protection Agency—Region IV Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation (TDEC) Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality (MDEQ) Acknowledgments Shelby County Health Department (SCHD) West Memphis Metropolitan Planning Organization (WMPO) i LIVABILITY REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN UPDATE connecting people & places 2050 Table of Contents 1.0 Introduction 3 1.1 Regional and Transportation Context for the Memphis MPO Region 3 1.2 The Memphis Urban Area MPO 4 1.3 Federal Transportation Plan Requirements 8 1.4 Planning Context 11 1.5 Travel Demand Model Enhancements 12 1.6 Key Outcomes 14 1.7 Plan Development and Document Outline 15 1.8 RTP Revisions 17 2.0 Public Participation 21 2.1 Participation Activities 21 2.1.1 Introduction 21 2.1.2 Livability Campaign Kickoff 21 2.1.3 Stakeholder Identification and Meetings 22 2.1.4 Public Outreach 22 2.1.5 Online Outreach 27 2.2 Plan Review and Approval Milestones 33 3.0 Performance-Based Plan Approach 37 3.1 Performance-Based Planning 37 3.1.1 National Goal Areas and Measures 38 3.1.2 Federal Requirements 39 3.2 Livability 2050 Performance Framework 40 4.0 System Conditions and Investment Needs 49 4.1 Roadway Preservation 51 4.1.1 Pavement 51 4.1.2 Bridge 54 4.2 Roadway Congestion 56 4.2.1 Existing Congested Conditions 56 4.2.2 Future Congested Conditions 58 4.3 Safety and Security 68 ii 4.3.1 Crash Analysis 68 4.3.2 Roadway-Rail Grade Crossings 71 4.3.3 Strategic Highway Safety Plans 73 4.3.4 Transit System Safety and Security 76 4.3.5 Bicycle and Pedestrian Safety 77 4.3.6 Highway and Freight Rail Security 79 4.3.7 Airport Security 81 4.3.8 Port Security 81 4.3.9 National Disaster Resilience Competition (NDRC) Grant 82 4.3.10 Security Related to Seismic Events 83 4.4 Multimodal Access and Connectivity 85 4.4.1 Bicycle and Pedestrian 85 4.4.2 Transit 90 4.4.3 Complete Streets 93 4.4.4 Intercity Passenger Rail and Bus 94 4.5 Transportation Disadvantaged 96 4.5.1 Environmental Justice Communities 96 4.5.2 Persons with Disabilities 98 4.5.3 Persons 65 or Older 100 4.5.4 Multimodal Access for the Transportation Disadvantaged 102 4.6 Economic Growth/Freight Movement 108 4.7 Travel and Tourism 113 4.8 Land Use — Mobility and Livability Corridor Assessment 113 5.0 Investment Solutions 119 5.1 Livability 2040 RTP and Project Identification 119 5.2 Public and Stakeholder Input 119 5.3 Congestion Analysis 120 5.4 Transit Assessment 120 5.5 Mobility/Livability Corridor Assessment 121 5.6 Bicycle and Pedestrian Mobility Assessment 121 5.6.1 Introduction and Purpose 121 5.6.2 Hot Spot Analysis 122 5.6.3 Using the Hot Spot Analysis 126 Contents iii LIVABILITY REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN UPDATE connecting people & places 2050 6.0 Alternative Investment Concept Analysis 131 6.1 Regional Roadway Connections 131 6.2 Expanded Travel Options 133 6.3 Comparison of Alternatives 134 7.0 Financially Feasible Plan 139 7.1 Project Prioritization Methodology 139 7.2 Revenue Projections 142 7.2.1 Summary of Revenues 143 7.2.2 Revenue Forecast Methodology 144 7.2.3 Capital Roadway Revenues 145 7.2.4 Operations and Maintenance Roadway Revenues 146 7.2.5 Transit Revenues 147 7.3 Project Costs 147 7.3.1 Roadway Projects 148 7.3.2 Transit Projects 148 7.3.3 Multimodal (Bicycle, Pedestrian and Complete Streets) 148 7.4 Fiscal Constraint 148 7.5 Potential Alternative Funding Strategies 151 7.5.1 Fuel Tax Related 151 7.5.2 Vehicle and Driver Related 151 7.5.3 Tolling, Road Pricing, and Other User Fees 151 7.5.4 General Taxes 152 7.5.5 Specialized Taxes 152 7.5.6 Beneficiary Charges and Value Capture 152 7.5.7 Freight-Related Taxes and Fees 152 8.0 Investment Priorities 155 8.1 Investment Summary 155 8.2 Livability 2050 Project List 157 8.2.1 Vision Project List 174 9.0 Plan Performance 183 9.1 Summary of System Impacts 183 9.2 Environmental Consultation and Mitigation 185 iv 9.2.1 Purpose 185 9.2.2 Environmental Screening of Proposed Livability 2050 Projects 185 9.2.3 Environmental Mitigation Strategies 190 9.2.4 Climate Change 193 9.3 Transportation Disadvantaged Analysis 194 9.3.1 Identification of Environmental Justice Communities 195 9.3.2 Analysis of Benefits and Burdens of Livability 2050 200 9.4 Performance Measurement 202 9.4.1 Safety Performance Management (PM1) 202 9.4.2 Infrastructure Condition (PM2) 204 9.4.3 System Performance 206 9.4.4 Transit Asset Management & Public Transportation Agency Safety Plan (PTASP) 213 9.4.5 Target Setting Timeline 214 10.0 Congestion Management Process 217 10.1 CMP Summary 217 10.1.1 Future Year Congested Network 218 10.1.2 Identification of CMP Strategies 218 10.1.3 Effectiveness of CMP Strategies 219 10.1.4 Project Evaluation and Project List 224 11.0 Air Quality 229 11.1 Introduction 229 11.2 Background 229 11.2.1 Attainment Status 230 11.3 Interagency Consultation and Public Participation 232 11.4 Methodology and Results 232 11.5 Conclusion 233 Contents v LIVABILITY REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN UPDATE connecting people & places 2050 List of Figures Figure 1.1 Memphis Urban Area MPO Planning Boundary 5 Figure 1.2 Travel Demand Model Geography 13 Figure 1.3 Funding Split by Investment Category, Livability 2050 14 Figure 1.4 Steps of Livability 2050 Development 16 Figure 2.1 Public Meeting Locations 23 Figure 2.2 Survey Responses by Home Zip Code 30 Figure 2.3 Map Markers Placed by Survey Participants 31 Figure 3.1 Steps of a Performance-Based Planning Process 37 Figure 4.1 National Highway System in Memphis MPO Region 52 Figure 4.2 National Highway System (2016) Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS) 53 Figure 4.3 Bridges by Ownership 54 Figure 4.4 Existing Bridge Deficiency Status 54 Figure 4.5 2017 National Bridge Inventory (NBI) Bridge Condition 55 Figure 4.6 2017 Congestion, Memphis MPO Travel Demand Model 57 Figure 4.7 2017 Employment Density 59 Figure 4.8 2050 Employment Density 60 Figure 4.9 2017 Population Density 61 Figure 4.10 2050 Population Density 62 Figure 4.11 Functional Classification of Existing 2017 Network 66 Figure 4.12 Future Year (2050 E+C) Congestion, Memphis MPO Travel Demand Model 67 Figure 4.13 Roadway Crash Density (All Crashes) 69 Figure 4.14 Roadway Crash Density (Fatal and Injury Crashes Only) 70 Figure 4.15 Fatal and Injury Crashes Reported at Roadway-Rail Grade Crossings 2008 through 2017 72 Figure 4.16 Bicyclist and Pedestrian Crashes by Year (2014-2017) 77 Figure 4.17 Bicyclist and Pedestrian Crash Density (2014-2017) 78 Figure 4.18 Strategic National Security Networks Versus Congestion 80 Figure 4.19 NDRC Grant Project Locations 82 Figure 4.20 New Madrid Seismic Zone Activity 84 Figure 4.21 Existing Bicycle Network in the Memphis MPO Region 88 Figure 4.22 Existing Pedestrian Network in the Memphis MPO Region 89 Figure 4.23 Memphis 3.0 Transit Vision Plan DRAFT Recommended Network 91 vi Figure 4.24 Existing Transit System 92 Figure 4.25 Complete Streets Example Roadway Cross Section 93 Figure 4.26 High-Speed Rail Concept by the Federal