South Temperature Contrast Means That Upper-Level Pressure Surfaces Slope Strongly Downward (I.E., the Height Contours Are Closely Packed)

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

South Temperature Contrast Means That Upper-Level Pressure Surfaces Slope Strongly Downward (I.E., the Height Contours Are Closely Packed) ● In the big picture, most of the weather action is where the temperature contrast is strongest between the equator and the pole. And..... 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed ....this north-south temperature contrast means that upper-level pressure surfaces slope strongly downward (i.e., the height contours are closely packed) 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed ....this north-south temperature contrast means that upper-level pressure surfaces slope strongly downward (i.e., the height contours are closely packed) 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed zone of north- south temperature contrast ....this north-south temperature contrast means that upper-level pressure surfaces slope strongly downward (i.e., the height contours are closely packed) 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed zone of north- south temperature contrast ....this north-south temperature contrast means that upper-level pressure surfaces slope strongly downward (i.e., the height contours are closely packed) 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed zone of north- south temperature contrast ....this north-south temperature contrast means that upper-level pressure surfaces slope strongly downward (i.e., the height contours are closely packed) 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed zone of north- south temperature contrast ....this north-south temperature contrast means that upper-level pressure surfaces slope strongly downward (i.e., the height contours are closely packed) 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed zone of north- south temperature contrast ● Not coincidentally, this is also where the jet stream is strongest! 250mb surface lines: surface height colors: wind speed zone of north- south temperature contrast jet stream Why is most of the action in this region of strong north-south temperature contrast? Well...... Why is most of the action in this region of strong north-south temperature contrast? Well...... ● The north-south temperature contrast is fundamentally unstable, in that the colder, denser air wants to slide southward under the warmer air ● But because of the earth's rotation, this adjustment happens in a rather complicated way Why is most of the action in this region of strong north-south temperature contrast? Well...... ● The end result of this process: mid-latitude cyclones ● Mid-latitude cyclones are nature's way of sliding colder, denser air southward under the warmer, less dense air! Mid-latitude cyclones are the big low pressure centers on the weather map: ● They account for much what we call weather, including rain, snow, high winds, etc. ● Cyclones develop and die on a time scale of several days to a week or so (synoptic scale) ● Key features of cyclones are the cold and warm fronts extending outward from the low center The development of cyclones is rather complicated, but it's described to a first approximation by the Norwegian cyclone model (aka polar front theory), first developed in the 1920s and then later refined...... The Norwegian Cyclone Model Stationary front: It all starts with a zone of temperature gradient (called a stationary front or baroclinic zone) along the polar front region. surface view 3D view The Norwegian Cyclone Model Frontal wave: A low pressure center forms along the zone of temperature contrast, usually due to upper-level divergence. Warm and cold fronts start to organize and move around the low. surface view 3D view The Norwegian Cyclone Model Open wave: The low strengthens and the warm and cold fronts rotate counter-clockwise around the low center. Colder air begins to slide underneath warmer air at the fronts, causing lifting and clouds. surface view 3D view The Norwegian Cyclone Model Mature: The system is at its strongest, with its lowest pressure and strongest winds. The cold front catches up to the warm front, forming an occluded frontal zone. Cold air slides further under warm air. surface view 3D view The Norwegian Cyclone Model Occlusion: The cold front catches the warm front along most of its length, cutting off the warm air from the low center. The system dissipates as the warm sector is lifted completely off the ground. surface view 3D view The Norwegian Cyclone Model .
Recommended publications
  • NWS Unified Surface Analysis Manual
    Unified Surface Analysis Manual Weather Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Honolulu Forecast Office November 21, 2013 Table of Contents Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers…………….3 Chapter 2: Datasets available for creation of the Unified Analysis………...…..5 Chapter 3: The Unified Surface Analysis and related features.……….……….19 Chapter 4: Creation/Merging of the Unified Surface Analysis………….……..24 Chapter 5: Bibliography………………………………………………….…….30 Appendix A: Unified Graphics Legend showing Ocean Center symbols.….…33 2 Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers 1. INTRODUCTION Since 1942, surface analyses produced by several different offices within the U.S. Weather Bureau (USWB) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Weather Service (NWS) were generally based on the Norwegian Cyclone Model (Bjerknes 1919) over land, and in recent decades, the Shapiro-Keyser Model over the mid-latitudes of the ocean. The graphic below shows a typical evolution according to both models of cyclone development. Conceptual models of cyclone evolution showing lower-tropospheric (e.g., 850-hPa) geopotential height and fronts (top), and lower-tropospheric potential temperature (bottom). (a) Norwegian cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) and (III) narrowing warm sector, (IV) occlusion; (b) Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) frontal fracture, (III) frontal T-bone and bent-back front, (IV) frontal T-bone and warm seclusion. Panel (b) is adapted from Shapiro and Keyser (1990) , their FIG. 10.27 ) to enhance the zonal elongation of the cyclone and fronts and to reflect the continued existence of the frontal T-bone in stage IV.
    [Show full text]
  • Geography 5941 Synoptic Analysis and Weather Forecasting Autumn Semester 2020
    GEOGRAPHY 5941 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AND WEATHER FORECASTING AUTUMN SEMESTER 2020 Instructor: Jeff Rogers, Professor Emeritus Office: Derby Hall 1085 Office Hours: just before class, by appointment, or by e-mail: [email protected] Class times: T, Th 11:10 – 12:30 p.m. DB140 either in-person or virtually Prerequisites: Geography 5900, Geography 5940, Math 1152, Physics 1251. Course Website: http://carmen.osu.edu for syllabus, lecture pdf’s, assignments & announcements Course Objectives: The primary objective of this course is to serve as an introduction to the fundamentals of, and techniques involved in, synoptic-scale analysis of winter storms and the forecasting of their weather. Discussion of the fundamentals of weather forecasting includes understanding the physical models available to analyze synoptic-scale weather patterns, evaluation of the physical processes that create temperature change, vertical motions, precipitation, and those processes that lead to cyclones and fronts, causing them to evolve and produce weather. Techniques of synoptic weather analysis revolve around weather maps and methods used to analyze them to predict horizontal and vertical motions and make weather forecasts. Analysis of forecast output will be evaluated to compare precipitation and vertical motion forecasts among different models. Upon successful completion of the course, students will be able to use synoptic weather charts and numerical forecasting products in order to acquire skills needed to make competitive weather forecasts of temperature, precipitation and other meteorological conditions for 1-2 days in advance. You will have a good understanding of the conceptual models of wave cyclones, including those of their structure and evolution, and you will be able to explain the role of various physical processes, such as PVA, thermal advection, atmospheric stability, and diabatic heating, in the development and evolution of mid-latitude wave cyclones.
    [Show full text]
  • Chapter 16 Extratropical Cyclones
    CHAPTER 16 SCHULTZ ET AL. 16.1 Chapter 16 Extratropical Cyclones: A Century of Research on Meteorology’s Centerpiece a b c d DAVID M. SCHULTZ, LANCE F. BOSART, BRIAN A. COLLE, HUW C. DAVIES, e b f g CHRISTOPHER DEARDEN, DANIEL KEYSER, OLIVIA MARTIUS, PAUL J. ROEBBER, h i b W. JAMES STEENBURGH, HANS VOLKERT, AND ANDREW C. WINTERS a Centre for Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom b Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York c School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State University of New York, Stony Brook, New York d Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland e Centre of Excellence for Modelling the Atmosphere and Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom f Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland g Atmospheric Science Group, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin h Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah i Deutsches Zentrum fur€ Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut fur€ Physik der Atmosphare,€ Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany ABSTRACT The year 1919 was important in meteorology, not only because it was the year that the American Meteorological Society was founded, but also for two other reasons. One of the foundational papers in extratropical cyclone structure by Jakob Bjerknes was published in 1919, leading to what is now known as the Norwegian cyclone model. Also that year, a series of meetings was held that led to the formation of organizations that promoted the in- ternational collaboration and scientific exchange required for extratropical cyclone research, which by necessity involves spatial scales spanning national borders.
    [Show full text]
  • Extratropical Cyclone Conceptual Models
    Extratropical Cyclone Conceptual Models Prof. David Schultz School of Earth, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University of Manchester, Manchester, UK [email protected] Conceptual Models What are they good for? http://www.knmi.nl/satrep Does knowing the type of conceptual model make forecasts more accurate? Two conceptual models of extratropical cyclone structure and evolution Norwegian cyclone model occluded cyclone isobars open wave isotherms warm cold sector warm Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model Shapiro–Keyser (1990) isobars open wave bent-back seclusion front cold isotherms warm warm sector Two Conceptual Models of Lower-Level Cyclone Structure and Evolution (Schultz et al. 1998) Two Conceptual Models of Lower-Level Cyclone Structure and Evolution confluence diffluence (Schultz et al. 1998; Schultz and Zhang 2007) These conceptual models are useful for marine wind forecasting: Sting jets Cold conveyor belts Infrared satellite image of Anatol, 1625 UTC 3 December 1999 (Wikipedia) QuikSCAT 8 Dec 2005 Schultz and Sienkiewicz (2013, Weather and Forecasting) Storm surge Hurricane Sandy Schultz and Sienkiewicz (2013, Weather and Forecasting) New ideas in conceptual models: Cold fronts Occluded fronts Conventional Wisdom: The cloud band depicts the location of the surface cold front. rope cloud This cold front is not associated with a cloud band. 1200 UTC 28 December 2011 This cold front is not associated with any cloud band. •JAX 2301 UTC 15 December 1987 JAX frontal passage after 0000 UTC (Schultz and Vaughan 2011) What about occluded fronts? Conventional Wisdom Occluded fronts form when cold fronts catch up to warm fronts. Rotation and deformation around a nondivergent vortex will produce a narrowing warm sector.
    [Show full text]
  • Components of the Norwegian Cyclone Model: Observations and Theoretical Ideas in Europe Prior to 1920"
    Reprint of Hans Volkert, "Components of the Norwegian Cyclone Model: Observations and theoretical ideas in Europe prior to 1920". Components of the Norwegian Cyclone Model: Observations and Theoretical Ideas in Europe Prior to 1920 HANS VOLKERT Institut fUr Physik der Atmosphare, DLR-Oberpfaffenhofen, WeBling, Germany 1. Introduction reproduced here. Thus, we can obtain a quite direct impres­ sion of the way extratropical cyclones and their components The publication of a scientific article is occasionally used to were viewed in Europe during the four decades around the mark, in retrospect, the beginning of a new era for a scientific turn of the century. discipline. For meteorology, Jacob Bjerknes's article of1919, A very thorough historical investigation of the much "On the structure ofmoving cyclones" (referred to as JB 19 in wider topic, the thermal theory of cyclones, was carried out the following), provides such a landmark, as it first intro­ by Gisela Kutzbach (1979; K79 in the following). It includes duced the model of the ideal cyclone, which greatly influ­ 49 historical diagrams, and mentions, in its later chapters, the enced research and practical weather forecasting for many majority of the works quoted here. However, most of the years to come. The achievement made by the Bergen school figures reproduced here were not included. A special feature of meteorology at the end of World War I can, it is thought, of Kutzbach's book is its appendix, which contains short be esteemed especially well if related observations and theo­ biographies of scientists who had made important contribu­ retical considerations, published before 1920 are recalled.
    [Show full text]
  • Lecture 14. Extratropical Cyclones • in Mid-Latitudes, Much of Our Weather
    Lecture 14. Extratropical Cyclones • In mid-latitudes, much of our weather is associated with a particular kind of storm, the extratropical cyclone Cyclone: circulation around low pressure center Some midwesterners call tornadoes cyclones Tropical cyclone = hurricane • Extratropical cyclones derive their energy from horizontal temperature con- trasts. • They typically form on a boundary between a warm and a cold air mass associated with an upper tropospheric jet stream • Their circulations affect the entire troposphere over a region 1000 km or more across. • Extratropical cyclones tend to develop with a particular lifecycle . • The low pressure center moves roughly with the speed of the 500 mb wind above it. • An extratropical cyclone tends to focus the temperature contrasts into ‘fron- tal zones’ of particularly rapid horizontal temperature change. The Norwegian Cyclone Model In 1922, well before routine upper air observations began, Bjerknes and Sol- berg in Bergen, Norway, codified experience from analyzing surface weather maps over Europe into the Norwegian Cyclone Model, a conceptual picture of the evolution of an ET cyclone and associated frontal zones at ground They noted that the strongest temperature gradients usually occur at the warm edge of the frontal zone, which they called the front. They classified fronts into four types, each with its own symbol: Cold front - Cold air advancing into warm air Warm front - Warm air advancing into cold air Stationary front - Neither airmass advances Occluded front - Looks like a cold front
    [Show full text]
  • Extratropical Cyclones
    Extratropical Cyclones AT 540 What are extratropical cyclones? • Large low pressure systems • Synoptic-scale phenomena – Horizontal extent on the order of 2000 km – Life span on the order of 1 week • Named by – Cyclonic rotation – Latitude of formation: extratropics or middle- latitudes Why do extratropical cyclones exist? • Energy surplus (deficit) at tropics (poles) – Angle of solar incidence – Tilt of earth’s axis • Energy transport is required so tropics (poles) don’t continually warm (cool) • Extratropical cyclones are an atmospheric mechanism of transporting warm air poleward and cold air equatorward in the mid- latitudes Polar Front • The boundary between cold polar air and warm tropical air is the polar front • Extratropical cyclones develop on the polar front where large horizontal temperature gradients exist Polar Front Jet Stream Large horizontal temperature gradients ⇓ Large thickness gradients ⇓ Large horizontal pressure gradients aloft ⇓ Strong winds • Warm air to the south results in westerly geostrophic winds – polar jet stream Polar Front Jet Stream • The polar jet is the narrow band of meandering strong winds (~100 knots) found at the tropopause (why?) • The polar jet moves meridionally (30°-60° latitude) and vertically (10-15 km) with the seasons • At times, the polar jet will split into northern and southern branches and possibly merge with the subtropical jet Polar Jet and Extratropical Cyclones • Extratropical cyclones are low pressure centers at the surface; thus, upper-level divergence is needed to maintain the
    [Show full text]
  • Assignment 1, Part C: Final Weather Maps and Discussion Map: 20
    Assignment 1, part c: Final weather maps and discussion Map: 20 points Discussion: 15 points Grading elements Front types/positions, highs, lows: 10 points CAA, WAA areas, air mass types: 5 points Precipitation areas: 5 points Key points for Weather discussion There is a well-developed mid-latitude cyclone with the surface low pressure located in northwest Iowa, with a sea level pressure of 999 mb. The highest sea level pressure is located in North Dakota. A cold front extends from the center of low southward through western Iowa, western Missouri, and eastern Oklahoma. The main identifying features of this cold front are: 1. Location of well-defined pressure trough 2. Wind shift, from southeasterly winds ahead of the front (in warm sector) to generally northwesterly winds behind the front 3. Narrow bands of scattered showers and thunderstorms at or ahead of the pressure trough (e.g. Missouri, Arkansas) 4. Some decrease in moisture, clearing skies behind the southern part of the front (e.g. Kansas, Oklahoma) 5. Changes in temperature and moisture are more profound in the northern part of the front, near the low center (e.g. Iowa, Nebraska) Key points for Weather discussion (continued) A warm front extends from the center of low eastward through northern Iowa and northern Illinois. The main identifying features of this warm front are: 1. Weak pressure trough in the vicinity of the front, though not as clear as cold front! 2. Wind shift from southeasterly behind the front (in warm sector, e.g. eastern Missouri, central and southern Illinois) to easterly, northeasterly ahead of the front (e.g.
    [Show full text]
  • Cyclones with Tropical Characteristics Over the Northeastern Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea: Analysis in Present Climate and Future Projections
    UNIVERSIDAD COMPLUTENSE DE MADRID FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS FÍSICAS Departamento de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica TESIS DOCTORAL Cyclones with tropical characteristics over the northeastern Atlantic and Mediterranean sea: analysis in present climate and future projections Ciclones con características tropicales sobre el Atlántico nordeste y el Mediterráneo: análisis en clima presente y proyecciones de futuro MEMORIA PARA OPTAR AL GRADO DE DOCTOR PRESENTADA POR Juan Jesús González Alemán Directores Miguel Ángel Gaertner Ruiz-Valdepeñas Clemente Gallardo Andrés Madrid 2019 © Juan Jesús González Alemán, 2018 UNIVERSIDAD COMPLUTENSE DE MADRID FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS FÍSICAS Departamento de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica Cyclones with tropical characteristics over the northeastern Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea: Analysis in present climate and future projections Ciclones con características tropicales sobre el Atlántico Nordeste y el Mediterráneo: Análisis en clima presente y proyecciones de futuro Doctoral Thesis Juan Jesús González Alemán UNIVERSIDAD COMPLUTENSE DE MADRID FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS FÍSICAS Departamento de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica TESIS DOCTORAL Cyclones with tropical characteristics over the northeastern Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea: Analysis in present climate and future projections (Ciclones con características tropicales sobre el Atlántico Nordeste y el Mediterráneo: Análisis en clima presente y proyecciones de futuro) MEMORIA PARA OPTAR AL GRADO DE DOCTOR CON MENCIÓN INTERNACIONAL PRESENTADA POR Juan Jesús González Alemán Directores Dr. Miguel Ángel Gaertner Ruiz-Valdepeñas Dr. Clemente Gallardo Andrés Madrid, 2018 Juan Jesús González Alemán: Cyclones with tropical characteristics over the northeastern Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea: Analysis in present climate and future projections, PhD thesis, @March, 2018. Madrid (Spain). A todas las personas que me han apoyado durante todos estos años, en especial a mi familia.
    [Show full text]
  • Reexamining the Cold Conveyor Belt
    SEPTEMBER 2001 SCHULTZ 2205 Reexamining the Cold Conveyor Belt DAVID M. SCHULTZ NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma (Manuscript received 18 September 2000, in ®nal form 9 January 2001) ABSTRACT Despite the popularity of the conveyor-belt model for portraying the air¯ow through midlatitude cyclones, questions arise as to the path of the cold conveyor belt, the lower-tropospheric air¯ow poleward of and underneath the warm front. Some studies, beginning with Carlson's analysis of the eastern U.S. cyclone of 5 December 1977, depict the cold conveyor belt moving westward, reaching the northwest quadrant of the storm, turning abruptly anticyclonically, rising to jet level, and departing the cyclone downstream (hereafter, the anticyclonic path). Other studies depict the cold conveyor belt reaching the northwest quadrant, turning cyclonically around the low center, and remaining in the lower troposphere (the cyclonic path). To clarify the path of the cold conveyor belt, the present study reexamines Carlson's analysis of the cold conveyor belt using an observational and mesoscale numerical modeling study of the 5 December 1977 cyclone. This reexamination raises several previously unappreciated and underappreciated issues. First, air¯ow in the vicinity of the warm front is shown to be composed of three different airstreams: air-parcel trajectories belonging to the ascending warm conveyor belt, air-parcel trajectories belonging to the cyclonic path of the cold conveyor belt that originate from the lower troposphere, and air-parcel trajectories belonging to the anticyclonic path of the cold conveyor belt that originate within the midtroposphere. Thus, the 5 December 1977 storm consists of a cold conveyor belt with both cyclonic and anticyclonic paths.
    [Show full text]
  • Shapiro – Keyser Cyclone Model Palmen Memorial Volume 1991 Ch
    Shapiro Keyser Cyclone Model Sienkiewicz-MPC Training #1- 2/3/2016 1 Shapiro-Keyser Shapiro – Keyser Cyclone Model Palmen Memorial Volume 1991 Ch. 10 – Fronts, Jet Streams and the Tropopause What is a front? According to the Glossary of Meteorology – The interface or transition zone between two air masses of different density is a front. Key words…Zone – implies a three dimensional zone of large horizontal (density) temperature gradient Density difference – Since temperature is the most important regulator of atmospheric density…a front, therefore, separates air masses of different temperature A front is Characterized by: Temperature (density) gradient, a pressure trough, a change in wind direction As practiced in operational meteorology, defining fronts has become subjective. I believe the definition as presented in the Glossary of Meteorology is adequate with clarification. The definition of ZONE helps bolster what I think should be the MPC working definition of a front….not necessarily the boundary between two air masses but a zone of large horizontal temperature gradient. This somewhat restricts the overuse of designating fronts…it also allows for breaking fronts. Sienkiewicz-MPC Training #1- 2/3/2016 2 Shapiro-Keyser Cyclone frontal structure – Why is it important? The horizontal and vertical gradients of density (frontal structure) are directly related to the sea level pressure distribution, therefore the pressure gradient and more importantly the wind field. In short, the frontal structure and wind field of a cyclone are directly related. Can you pick out the fronts In this QuikSCAT image? Where is the cold front? Sienkiewicz-MPC Training #1- 2/3/2016 3 Shapiro-Keyser Norwegian Cyclone Model - World War I era (limited surface observations) - Eastern North Atlantic and Western European Cyclones -Kite and meteograph obs, along with observing vertical wind shear (watching the clouds) to determine vertical structure I V.
    [Show full text]
  • Fronts & Cyclones
    FRONTS & CYCLONES “Storm of the Century” Severe Blizzards from Cyclonic Storm Polar Front Theory Norwegian Cyclone Model (1921) Weather for Middle Latitudes… • Between South Florida & Alaska • Storms driven across U.S.A. by Westerlies Polar Front Theory Fronts between Air Masses… Stronger during Cold Winter… • Colder Polar (Continental) • Warmer Tropical (Maritime) Fronts Boundaries separating Air Masses… Different Densities… • Temperature –Warm –Cold • Moisture (Humidity) Fronts Air Mass collision similar to “Battlefronts” One Air Mass is displaced over another • Warm over Cold Fronts are Mid-Latitude source for… Precipitation Severe Weather Fronts 4 Types… Warm Front Cold Front Stationary Front Occluded Front Fronts on Weather Map Warm Fronts Ground Air movement… Warm Air occupies where… • Formerly Colder Air Red Line with Half-Circles on Map... • Facing into displaced Cold Air Warm Fronts Warm Air… Less Dense than Cold Air & cannot displace it Rises gently over Cold Air (wedges)… •Gradual Slope •Lower Height Warm Fronts Warm Air… Cools Adiabatically as rises over Cold Air • Moisture condenses into Stratus Clouds • Precipitation for large area in advance of edge Wind shifts from East Æ Southwest Warm Fronts Hot Summer Season… Warm Air Mass is very Moist Unstable Warm Air is forced aloft… • Becomes Buoyant & Rises • Cumulonimbus Clouds & Thunderstorms Warm Fronts Where? East of Rockies • Maritime Tropical (mT) from Gulf of Mexico… – Overruns receding Cool Air Raises Air Temp. of area displaced Cold Fronts Cold Air Æ Area with Warmer Air
    [Show full text]