Quick viewing(Text Mode)

THIS IS ARVADA 2019 Demographic Supplement

THIS IS ARVADA 2019 Demographic Supplement

THIS IS ARVADA

INTRODUCTION POPU LATION

Introduction to the 2019 Demographic Supplement Strong Growth This City of Arvada report is the 2019 Demographic Supplement to the Arvada is the seventh largest city in and the fifth largest in “This is Arvada” report which was prepared in December 2018 and the metropolitan region, following Thornton but with a larger presented to . The “This is Arvada” report can be population than Westminster and . Arvada’s population in considered the baseline document that examined in detail the key 2018 was estimated at 120,492, representing an increasing of topic areas of People, Housing, Employment, Transportation and also approximately 14,059 residents since the 2010 Census. This translates identified current challenges and opportunities. into an increase of 13.2 percent since the start of the decade. The charts opposite illustrate the actual numbers and the percentage This supplement report provides the most recent American Community increase for our peer cities so as to provide a more comprehensive Survey (ACS) estimates that were released in December 2019 and the picture of rates of growth. While the Metro region has 2018 population estimates from the annual Population Estimates experienced growth driven by an increase in employment and resultant Program. This supplement examines current trends from the major migration to the state, the region also continues to be a destination for topic areas of population, age, race, ethnicity, households and families, families and young adults who are attracted to the outdoor-oriented income and employment, housing, and transportation. The 2014-2018 lifestyle and the amenities that the mountains offer. ACS data is summarized and comparisons are made with Arvada’s peer cities, providing a snapshot of how the city is doing today. Certain Since 2000, the cities that have experienced that highest rate of growth information has been selected for representation with charts and maps. are Thornton (69.3 percent), Aurora (35.4 percent) and Denver (29.2 Where trends are identified as important, data for previous years or percent). Arvada had a population increase of 18 percent for this time is provided. period, slightly more than Boulder and Westminster, and significantly more than Lakewood. A note about the Data Data in this report is from the U.S. Census Bureau, including the decennial Arvada is a desired destination for families and an increasing number census, the American Community Survey (ACS), the Population Estimates of young professionals. Arvada has experienced strong growth in the Program, Community Analyst (ESRI), and other data. The five-year data in past, sometimes in dramatic growth spurts. In the 1960s, 30,642 new this report is from the 2014-2018 ACS. This estimate was used since it residents moved to Arvada and in the following decade, 34,692 new provides data with less margin of error than the one-year ACS estimates. residents were added. This housing boom was followed by a period of The median income percentage data in this report is from the 2018 one- slow growth. Since then, growth has been variable, with the 1980s and year ACS that is reported in 2017 inflation-adjusted dollars.

2 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

POPU LATION POPULATION FOR CITIES IN THE METRO REGION (2018 EST.) PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 2000 AND 2018

(Note: Highlands Ranch is considered a peer city for the purposes of this report, but the Census Bureau does not include it in the Annual Population Estimate Program because it is a Census Designated Place and not a city.)

POPULATION ADDED BETWEEN 2010 AND 2018 PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 2010 AND 2018

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 3

POPULATION

2000s adding fewer than 5,000 new residents for each decade. This The chart below shows the actual population growth from 2000 as well current period of growth is somewhat more moderate than previous as the population projections that were prepared as part of the 2014 decades. Arvada Comprehensive Plan. It is projected that Arvada will have a population of approximately 141,187 by 2035. This would be an The map opposite illustrates the annual growth rate for the various increase of approximately 17 percent from the current population. Census block groups in Arvada between 2010 and 2018. The northwest area of Arvada has experienced growth in excess of 12.5 percent since 2010 while growth in the central and eastern parts of the city has been quite low.

ARVADA POPULATION GROWTH AND POPULATION PROJECTION POPULATION ADDED BY DECADE

Arvada Population Increase for each Decade 160,000 2010s 2020s 140,000 141,187 136,027 34,692 120,000 128,848 30,642 121,031 111,529 100,000 106,433

80,000 14,996 12,918 14,598 60,000 4,659 4,280 5,160 40,000

20,000 1960s 1970s 1980s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030-2035

0

2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 2030 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 2020 2022 2026 2028 2032 2034

Comprehensive Plan Population Projection

4 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

ARVADA 2010-2018 POPULATION ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (ESRI)

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 5

AGE

Arvada’s age profile Senior residents Arvada’s median age was higher than the median age of most of our The number of senior residents 65 years of age and older in Arvada has peer cities, Colorado and the nation. The median age was 41.8 years in been increasing, from 10.7 percent of the population in 2000 to 16.9 2014-2018, which has increased from 37.2 years in 2000. The median percent in 2014-2018. Compared to our peer cities, Arvada ranks as age has continued to increase for Arvada and moved to the highest the city with the largest proportion of senior residents. median age in the Denver .

The largest age groups in Arvada is the 30 to 34 years old and 50 to 54 years old, which each make up approximately 7.6 percent of the population. The 25 to 39 year old and 50 years and older age groups of the population continue to increase since 2010. In the chart “Arvada Age Distribution” on the opposite page, the wave of Baby Boomers is clearly shown over time. Thirty-eight percent of the population is 50 years and over, and this proportion will continue to increase as the Baby Boomers age.

On the other hand, there has been a decrease in the percent of the total population of children 19 years of age and under. In 2014-2019, 23 percent of the population was 19 years or younger, which is a reduction from 28.7 percent in 2000.

6 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

AGE MEDIAN AGE POPULATION OVER 65 YEARS CHANGE IN MEDIAN AGE, ARVADA, JEFFERSON , COLORADO AND U.S

2000 2010 2014-2018 ACS 45 Arvada 41.8 Arvada 16.9% 40 41.8 Highlands Ranch 40.4 Lakewood 15.9% 40.5 40.440.3 35 38.2 Lakewood Centennial 14.8% 37.2 36.8 36.136.9 37.2 40 34.3 35.3 Centennial 39.4 Westminster 12.5% 30 Westminster 37.7 Denver 11.4% 25 Aurora Aurora 10.8% 35.2 20 Denver 34.6 Boulder 10.6% Thornton 32.9 Highlands Ranch 10.4% 15 Boulder 29.3 Thornton 8.8% 10 5 Colorado 36.9 Colorado 14.2% 0 United States 16.0% 38.2 Arvada Jefferson County Colorado United States 0 20 40 60

ARVADA AGE DISTRIBUTION CHANGE IN ARVADA POPULATION OVER 65 YEARS OF AGE

10% Arvada Colorado United States 9% 16.9% 8% 18%

7% 16% 13.9% 16.0% 6% 14% 12.4% 5% 12% 14.2% 10.7% 13.0% 4% 10% 3% 10.9% 8% 9.7% 2%

1% 6%

0% 4%

5-9

15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 50-54 55-59 60-64

10-14 2% Under 5 Under

85 and 85 over and 0% 2000 Census 2010 Census 2014-2018 ACS 2000 2010 2014-2018

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 7

RACE AND ETHNICITY

Race Place of birth Arvada‘s racial composition has remained relatively unchanged since Arvada had the smallest number of foreign born residents compared the 2000 Census. Arvada has a relatively homogeneous population with the peer cities, with just 5.4 percent of the population. As a result, with a predominantly White population. The city’s White population in English is the primary language spoken at home for approximately 91 2000 was 91 percent and in the 2014-2018 ACS estimates, it was 91.5 percent of residents, followed by Spanish (5.6 percent), and other percent. The proportions of Asian and people of other races also European languages (2.4 percent). Approximately 62 percent of remained relatively unchanged since 2000. Arvada’s foreign born residents are from Europe and Asia and about 24 percent are from Latin America. Arvada is the most homogeneous city in the region while Denver and Aurora have more racial diversity. POPULATION BY RACE IN ARVADA, PEER CITIES, COLORADO AND THE U.S.

Ethnicity White Black/African American American Indian/ Native

The proportion of the population that identifies as or Latino Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Some other race increased from 9.8 percent in 2000 to 14.4 percent in 2014-2018. This 100% 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 5.4% 3.1% 3.1% 2.5% 2.2% 4.1% 4.8% number is much lower than for Colorado and the nation. Although 3.3% 6.1% 5.6% 90% 5.6% 5.1% 4.6% 5.6% 3.5% 2.7% 3.8% 10.4% 5.4% Arvada is becoming more diverse, as is also occurring in the peer cities, 4.6% the proportion of Hispanic or Latino residents is significantly less than 80% 9.4% 6.3% 12.7% in the larger cities of Denver, Aurora and Lakewood. 70% 16.0% 60% 50% 40% 30%

20%

10% 91.5% 88.6% 88.4% 87.2% 86.6% 86.2% 85.4% 76.5% 60.7% 87.1% 73.0% 0% Arvada Lakewood Highlands Boulder Centennial Thornton Westminster Denver Aurora Colorado United Ranch States

8 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

RACE AND ETHNICITY PERCENTAGE OF DIFFERENT RACES IN ARVADA HISPANIC POPULATION FOREIGN BORN POPULATION

American Aurora Asian Other Race Thornton 33.9% 19.9% Indian/Alaska Two or more Denver 30.3% Denver 15.6% Native 2.1% 1.6% races 0.9% 2.6% Aurora 28.4% Thornton 13.0% Lakewood 23.1% Boulder 11.4% Black/African Westminster American Westminster 22.6% 9.5% 1.3% Arvada 14.4% Lakewood 9.4% Boulder 9.8% Centennial 9.0% Highlands Ranch 8.1% Highlands Ranch 8.8% Centennial 9.1% Arvada 5.4%

White 91.5% Colorado 21.7% Colorado 9.8% United States 18.3% United States 13.5%

LANGUAGES SPOKEN AT HOME BY ARVADA RESIDENTS ARVADA’S HISPANIC POPULATION ARVADA’S FOREIGN BORN RESIDENTS

Arvada Foreign Born 2013-2017 2.4% 1.2% .3% 5.6% 1% Hispanic/Latino Not Hispanic 6% 7% Europe Speak only English 34% Asia Latin America Spanish 24% Africa Other European languages 85.6% 92.6% 90.2% 86.3% North America Oceania Asian languages 28% 90.6% Other languages

14.4% 7.4% 9.8% 13.7% 1990 2000 2010 2014-2018 2013-2017 ACS Data

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 9

HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES

Households NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS In 2014-2018, Arvada’s average household had 2.48 members, slightly Denver 294,358 less than Colorado (2.56) and the U.S. (2.63). The average family size was 3.02 members, amongst the lowest of the peer cities (only Aurora 128,182 Lakewood and Boulder had a smaller average family size). The average Lakewood 65,737 family size of 3.02 members has remained fairly constant since 2000, Arvada 47,032 but there has been a slight decrease of about six percent in the Thornton 44,775 proportion of family households in Arvada since 2000. The chart Westminster 43,828 “Changes in Arvada Household Size Since 1970” illustrates that there Boulder 42,643 has been a trend for decreasing household size since 1980. Centennial 39,701 Families Highlands Ranch 37,340 While average household size has been decreasing, the more significant change is the proportion of family to non-family FAMILY AND NON-FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS IN THE REGION households. Since 2000, there has been a 17 percent increase in the number of one-person households in Arvada. Family Household Nonfamily Household

Of all Arvada households: Highlands… 79.0% 21.0%  65.5 percent were family households; Centennial 75.6% 24.4%  34.5 percent were non-family households; Thornton 72.8% 27.2%  25.5 percent has a householder living alone; Aurora 66.3% 33.7%  36.9 percent of all households had two persons; and Arvada 65.5% 34.5%  28.7 percent had school-aged children under 18 years of age. Westminster 65.4% 34.6%

Lakewood 56.6% 43.4% Denver 48.6% 51.4% Boulder 42.6% 57.4%

10 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE AVERAGE FAMILY SIZE HOUSEHOLDS WITH RELATED CHILDREN UNDER 18 YEARS OF AGE

Thornton 3.00 Thornton 3.48 Highlands Ranch 44.0% Highlands Ranch 2.82 Aurora 3.45 Thornton 41.7% Aurora 2.82 Denver 3.19 Centennial 2.71 Highlands Ranch 3.19 Aurora 36.6% Westminster 2.56 Westminster 3.13 Centennial 35.8% Arvada 2.48 Centennial 3.1 Westminster 31.1% Lakewood 2.30 Arvada 3.02 Arvada 28.7% Denver 2.31 Lakewood 2.98 Denver 25.1% Boulder 2.26 Boulder 2.85 Lakewood 24.5% Boulder 19.2% Colorado 2.56 Colorado 3.14 United States 2.63 United States 3.23 0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4

CHANGES IN ARVADA HOUSEHOLD SIZE SINCE 1970 ARVADA HOUSEHOLDS ACCORDING TO NUMBER OF PEOPLE

22.0% 25.5% 2.98 1-Person Household 2.77 2.71 2.6 2.48 2.48 2-Person Household

15.6% 3-Person Household

4-Or-More-Person Household 36.9%

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2014- 2018

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 11

HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES

Most households in Arvada are small households of just one or two HOUSEHOLDS WITH ONE OR MORE PERSONS 65 YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER people. These households now make up 62.4 percent of the total households in the city. Arvada 29.6% Centennial 27.6% The average household size by Census block groups is illustrated on Lakewood 26.4% the map opposite. The areas that light brown and dark brown are Westminster 22.9% those with the average household size less than 2.5, which is the Aurora 22.2% average household size in Arvada. These areas are concentrated along Highlands… 21.0% Wadsworth Boulevard and some central areas of the city. Larger Denver 20.1% households are concentrated in east and northwest Arvada. Boulder 19.3% Thornton 18.4%

Seniors and Households Arvada has the highest proportion of households with a senior resident ARVADA NONFAMILY HOUSEHOLDER 65 YEARS OR OLDER LIVING ALONE compared to the peer cities. Approximately 29.6 percent of all Arvada Nonfamily Householder 65 years + living alone households have one or more persons 65 years of age or older that has increased nearly one percent from last year.

Many senior households are a one-person household and of these, 73 percent are comprised of a female householder living alone. The 27% apparent trend arising from this is the rise in numbers of the single- Male person senior household and the continued growing need for housing for this group. 73% Female

12 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

ARVADA AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (2018 ESRI)

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 13

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT

Income Education Arvada’s median household income for the period 2014-2018 was $80, For Arvada residents, approximately 38.7 percent have a Bachelor’s, 055 (ranked third behind Highlands Ranch and Centennial) and was graduate or professional degree. When education levels are compared significantly above the median household income for the state. When with the median annual earnings , there is the expected correlation considering just families, Arvada’s median family household income of with higher levels of education and higher median earnings. $99,993 for the same time period was substantially higher than previous years, and ranked fourth behind Highlands Ranch, Centennial The median income for Arvada residents with a Bachelor’s degree was and Boulder. $57,749 and for residents with a graduate or professional degree, the median income was $72,029. While Arvada’s ranking for median household and median family income compared favorably to the peer cities, the median non-family income of $49, 471 places Arvada fifth compared to the peer cities.

14 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT % with Bachelor's degree or MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME MEDIAN NONFAMILY INCOME BACHELOR’S DEGREE OR HIGHER higher, (persons age 25+)

Highlands Ranch $120,404 Highlands Ranch $134,873 Highlands… $64,433 Boulder 73.8% Centennial $105,974 Centennial $119,700 Centennial $61,764 Highlands Ranch 64.1% Arvada $80,055 Boulder $113,984 Thornton $51,566 Centennial 56.9% Thornton $76,236 Arvada $99,993 Denver $50,542 Denver 46.5% Westminster $73,629 Westminster $90,063 Arvada $49,471 Arvada 38.7% Boulder $66,117 Thornton $84,146 Westminster $47,090 Lakewood 37.7% Lakewood $64,100 Lakewood $82,532 Lakewood $44,837 Westminster 36.4% Denver Denver $63,793 $81,452 Boulder $43,425 Aurora 28.5% Aurora $72,572 Aurora $62,541 Aurora $42,762 Thornton 27.4%

Colorado Colorado $68,811 $84,540 Colorado $42,994 United States $73,965 United States $60,293 United States $35,971 $- $40,000 $80,000 $120,000

ARVADA MEDIAN INCOME FOR ALL HOUSEHOLD TYPES ARVADA MEDIAN INCOME BY EDUCATION

$110,506 $99,993 $72,029

$80,055 $57,749

$39,866 $42,215 $49,471 $30,088

All Households Family Households Married-couple Nonfamily Less than high High school Some college or Bachelor's degree Graduate or Family Households Households school graduate graduate/GED Associate's degree professional degree

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 15

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT

Income increasing ARVADA MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME SINCE 2000 In the “This is Arvada” report, the rise of the high income earners was described in some detail. The new 2018 ACS one year estimates confirm that incomes have risen significantly and in 2018, 4.1% approximately 40 percent of Arvada households have a median annual 8.4% 11.9% 18.2% 18% $150,000+ income greater than $100,000. This is an slight increase from the 2017 15.5% $100,000 to $149,999 median household income where 39.8 percent of households had an 21.8% income over $100,000. 40.4% 22.0% 34.4% $50,000 to $99,999

32.0% The map opposite illustrates the distribution of median household 30.5% $25,000 to $49,999 income by Census block group, with the dark green color representing 27.6% 22.6% <$25,000 areas with median household incomes over $137,000. 16.0% 15.8% 19.0% 16.0% 12.0% 9.8% Poverty 2000 2010 2017 2018 The proportion of the Arvada population below the poverty level was a concern following the recession, and the trends have since reversed ALL FAMILIES BELOW POVERTY LEVEL ARVADA POVERTY LEVEL SINCE 2000 and Arvada has one of the lowest proportions of families, people and children below the poverty level compared to the peer cities. Denver 10.0% 9.6% Approximately 3.6 percent of families are below the poverty level, Aurora 8.8% about 6.2 percent of children, and 5.2 percent of persons older than 65 7.6% Thornton 6.8% 6.4% 6.2% are below the poverty level. Boulder 6.7% 6.5% 5.9%

Lakewood 6.5% 3.5% 3.6% Westminster 5.0%

Arvada 3.6% 2000 2010 2018 Highlands Ranch 2.5% Families All people Related children under 18 years Centennial 2.2%

16 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

ARVADA MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (2018 ESRI)

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 17

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT

Employment OCCUPATION CATEGORIES FOR ARVADA RESIDENTS Arvada residents continue to work in a variety of professions, but the continued trend is apparent with an increasing proportion of the residents working in management, business, science, and arts 11% 9% 8% occupations. Approximately 46 percent of Arvada residents work in 10% Production & Transportation this management category. 22% 31% Construction & Maintenance 15% Sales & Office As noted in the chart “Occupation Categories for Arvada Residents”, 12% there has been a decline in proportion of people working in sales and Service Occupations 46% office jobs between 2000 and 2014-2018 from 31 percent to 22 36% Management, Business, Science & Arts percent. The construction and maintenance, and the production and transportation categories have also had a decrease in the proportion of 2000 2014-2018 residents in these job categories.

Median annual earnings for residents in the management job category MEDIAN EARNINGS BY OCCUPATION FOR ARVADA RESIDENTS were $63,145 and was the highest of the income categories identified in the chart to the right.

The map on the following page shows the distribution of business by Management, business, science, and arts… $63,145 Census block groups. The highest concentration of businesses is Service occupations $21,696 clustered along the southern boundary of the city and the I-70 corridor. Other business clusters are centered along parts of Sales and office occupations $39,753 Wadsworth Boulevard and areas east and west of Street. Natural resources, construction, and… $44,042

Production, transportation, and material moving… $35,185

18 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

TOTAL BUSINESSES (NAICS) BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (2018 ESRI)

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 19

HOUSING

Housing Types The household size of owner-occupied housing has decreased since As stated in the “This is Arvada” report, the typical housing unit in 2000, declining from 2.7 to 2.57 persons in a housing unit. In addition, Arvada is an owner-occupied, single-family detached home. Of all the the average household size of a renter-occupied unit has remained fairly housing units in Arvada, 71.1 percent is single-family detached constant, hovering around 2.3 to 2.24 persons for the same time period. housing. Compared to the peer cities, Arvada continues to rank third in the proportion of single-family homes, following Highlands Ranch The cost of housing is an important issue in Arvada and the region, and (77.6 percent) and Centennial (77.4 percent). the percentage of income spent on housing has increased, particularly for renters. Approximately 51 percent of renters pay more than 30 In contrast to the single-family detached housing, Arvada has one of percent of their income on housing, which has decreased 11 percent the lowest proportions of multifamily housing units compared to the from the data in “This is Arvada” and consistent with 53 percent in 2016. peer cities. Approximately 21 percent of all residential units are in The 2017 data (62 percent) may be an anomaly and should be multifamily housing. The cities with large populations of young reevaluated in future analysis. In contrast, the proportion of income professionals and students, Denver and Boulder, have the highest spent on housing by the owner households remained basically the proportion of renters and multifamily housing. same.

HOUSING TENURE BY PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL HOUSING UNITS Housing Tenure As shown in the Housing Tenure chart to the right, Arvada continues to Owner-occupied Renter-occupied rank third highest with home ownership amongst the peer cities (73.8 Centennial 82.5% 17.5% percent). Only Centennial and Highlands Ranch have higher rates of Highlands… 80.0% 20.0% home ownership. It is interesting to continue to monitor the housing Arvada 73.8% 26.2% tenure by age group. The “Tenure of Arvada Housing by Age Group” Thornton 71.3% 28.7% chart shows that the under 35 year old age group has the highest rate Westminster 64.8% 35.2% Aurora 59.0% 41.0% of renters (34 percent). Home ownership remains high for the Lakewood 58.2% 41.8% residents 65 years and over (29 percent) but it is interesting to note Denver 49.6% 50.4% that this group has the second highest proportion of renters (20 Boulder 48.0% 52.0% percent), which has increased one percent from the data in “This is Arvada”. Colorado 64.9% 35.1% United States 63.8% 36.2%

20 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

HOUSING SINGLE-UNIT DETACHED MULTIFAMLY UNITS ARVADA HOUSEHOLD SIZE BY OWNER AND RENTER-OCCUPIED UNIT

Boulder 47% Highlands Ranch 77.6% Average Household Size of Owner-Occupied Unit Centennial 77.4% Denver 44% Average Household Size of Renter-Occupied Unit Arvada 71.1% Lakewood 37% Thornton 63.1% Aurora 34% Westminster 58.3% Westminster 30% 2.70 2.54 2.57 2.30 2.33 Aurora 51.4% Thornton 22% 2.24 Lakewood 49.3% Arvada 21% Denver 45.1% Highlands Ranch 15% Boulder 39.3% Centennial 13%

2000 2010 2014-2018

TENURE OF ARVADA HOUSING BY AGE GROUP PERCENTAGE OF ARVADA RESIDENTS’ INCOME SPENT ON HOUSING

80%

70% 76% 34% 60% 29% 50% 51% 21% 22% 49% 20% 40% 17% 17% 16% 12% 30% 11.6% 20% 25%

< 35 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years+ 10%

0% Owner occupied Renter occupied Owner Households Renter Households

Cost Burden <30% of Income Cost Burden >= 30% of Income

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 21

TRANSPORTATION

Commuting to work Transit People living in Arvada depend mostly on their cars to move about, The commuting pattern for Arvada residents has not changed especially for commuting to work. As identified in “This is Arvada”, significantly, and the use of transit is similar for what was reported Arvada residents work at locations dispersed throughout the region, previously. However, some of the other cities have had an increase with the result that public transit may not offer efficient or even their transit utilization, and the result is that Arvada now has one of the practical options. Alternatives to driving, such as bicycling, walking, smallest proportion of residents using transit to commute to work with ridesharing and public transportation together make up about 11 2.8 percent choosing this travel mode. Travel modes choices may percent of work trips, and working at home accounts for 7.7 percent. change with the opening of the G Line, given that approximately 25 Most Arvada workers commute approximately 28 minutes each way to percent of Arvada workers commute to Denver for work. work. Commute time has increased throughout the region.

In comparison to the peer cities, Arvada residents head up the list in choosing to drive alone for their commute to work (81.6 percent). All the other communities, except for Denver and Boulder, have about 75 percent of their residents commuting alone to work. This is primarily due to the expansive nature of the region and the commuting preferences and patterns since public transit may provide limited opportunities.

Working from home There has been a significant increase in all cities in the proportion of residents who work from home.

For Arvada, this has increased from 7 percent to 7.7 percent of workers, and nearly all the other cities in the region had similar increases in the proportion of people working from home.

22 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

TRANSPORTATION ARVADA RESIDENTS’ MEANS OF COMMUTING TO WORK DRIVING ALONE TO WORK

Bicycle, 0.2% Arvada 81.6% Walk, 1.0% Thornton 80.2% Transit, 2.8% Other, 0.6% Work at home, Westminster 79.6% 7.7% Centennial 78.6% Carpool, 6.0% Lakewood 77.2% Highlands Ranch 77.1% Aurora 76.7% Denver 69.6% Boulder 51.3%

Drive Alone, Colorado 81.6% 75.3% United States 76.4%

MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION TO WORK WORKING FROM HOME USING TRANSIT TO WORK

Drive Alone Carpool Worked at home Arvada 81.6% 6.0%7.7% Boulder 13.3% Boulder 7.4% Highlands Ranch Aurora 76.7% 10.9% 5.1%4.9% 11.9% Denver 6.5% Centennial Boulder 51.3% 5.6% 13.3% 7.4% 11.0% 10.3% 10.4% Lakewood 5.4% Denver 8.0% Centennial 78.6% 5.6% 10.4% Aurora 4.9% Arvada 7.7% Denver 69.6% 8.0% 8.0% 6.5%4.5% Westminster 4.0% Lakewood 6.4% Thornton Highlands Ranch 77.1% 6.4% 11.9% 3.1% Thornton 5.8% Centennial Lakewood 77.2% 8.4% 6.4%5.4% 3.0% Westminster 5.5% Arvada 2.8% Thornton 80.2% 9.6% 5.8% Aurora 5.1% Highlands Ranch 2.6% Westminster 79.6% 8.6%5.5%

Colorado 7.7% Colorado 3.1% Colorado 75.3% 8.8% 7.7% United States 4.9% United States 5.0% United States 76.4% 9.1%4.9%5.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 23

TRANSPORTATION

Vehicles and ownership typically have a smaller household size, or even a one person There are approximately 2.08 vehicles per household in Arvada, placing household. In the case of the renter-occupied households, 10 percent Arvada in the upper third of the ranking compared to the peer cities, don’t have a vehicle, 43 percent have one vehicle, and 47 percent have with Thornton, Centennial and Highlands Ranch having a higher two or more vehicles. number. The Census Bureau estimates that there were approximately 1.80 vehicles per U.S. household for the 2014-2018 period. Colorado had slightly more with 1.96 vehicles per household.

As shown in the chart on this page, the number of vehicles per household has remained relatively the same since 2000. Approximately 33 percent of all households have one vehicle, 37 percent of households have two vehicles, and about 21 percent have three or more vehicles.

However, it is interesting to see the variations based on housing NUMBER OF CARS PER HOUSEHOLD IN ARVADA SINCE 2000 tenure. The first chart of interest illustrates the number of vehicles available by tenure. Of the total vehicles in Arvada, approximately 26 2000 2014-2018 percent are associated with renters, and 74 percent are utilized by homeowners. 43.0% 37.3% The three charts at the bottom of the opposite page illustrate the 33.0% allocation of vehicles by tenure. In Arvada, approximately 3.6 percent 26.8% 24.9% 21.0% of all households don’t have a vehicle, 25.9 percent have one vehicle and 70.6 percent have two or more vehicles. For owner-occupied 8.7% households, one percent of households don’t have a vehicle, 20 5.3% percent have one vehicle and 79 percent have two or more vehicles. This situation changes with the renter-occupied households which No Vehicle One Vehicle Two Vehicles Three or More Vehicles

24 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA Average Household Size

Thornton 2.98 Highlands Ranch 2.84 Aurora 2.79 Centennial 2.70 Westminster 2.59 Arvada 2.50 Lakewood 2.30 Denver 2.31 Boulder 2.25

Colorado 2.55 United States 2.63

0 1 2 3 4

TRANSPORTATION VEHICLES PER HOUSEHOLD NUMBER OF VEHICLES AVAILABLE BY TENURE IN ARVADA

Centennial 2.14 Thornton 2.13 Highlands Ranch 2.10 Percent of Vehicles in Arvada 2.08 26% Owner-Occupied Westminster 1.96 Housing Unit Aurora 1.86 Percent of Vehicles in Lakewood 1.84 74% Renter-Occupied Boulder 1.64 Housing Unit Denver 1.58

Colorado 1.96 United States 1.80

ALL ARVADA HOUSEHOLDS WITH VEHICLES OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSEHOLDS WITH VEHICLES RENTER-OCCUPIED HOUSEHOLDS WITH VEHICLES

3.6%% 1% 10% 20% 25.9% No Vehicle No Vehicle No Vehicle 47% 1 Vehicle Available 1 Vehicle Available 1 Vehicle Available 2+ Vehicles Available 2+ Vehicles Available 2+ Vehicles Available 43% 70.6% 79%

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 25

CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES

Challenges and opportunities indicated the economic growth for Colorado and region is slowing and Since the recession, Arvada has been experiencing significant growth. is near-term in 2020. The forecasted growth is anticipated to slow and Recent population growth and building of new master planned worth watching in future analysis. neighborhoods have resulted in an expanding population. At the same time, the growth in Arvada and the region has increased housing sales The proportion of seniors in Arvada is a factor of interest and with costs and put pressure on the cost and supply of rental housing. time, the Baby Boomers may choose different housing options rather than choosing to age in place. There may also be a need for more Growth within the region has affected the broader demographic shifts transit options and support services for this growing segment of the in Arvada, and there has been an increase in the number of family Arvada population. households in the city, particularly in the new neighborhoods in the northwest. In contrast to cities such as Arvada, Thornton and Denver Overall, Arvada’s demographic profile shows the city to have some which have opportunities for new master-planned communities, strong demographic indicators that show there is increasing household Arvada no longer has a significant amount of land readily available for vibrancy and economic wealth. This report paints a picture of where large greenfield development. It is expected that as the city becomes the city has been in recent years and identifies some of the key more of an infill and redevelopment city, the rate of population growth indicators to watch in the near-term and the future. While some trends will start to level off. are outside our control, such as the population growth in the region and housing costs in general, others, such as the needs of an The good news that is shown through this updated American increasing senior population can be addressed. Community Survey (ACS) data is that the median incomes across all categories in Arvada have been increasing. The poverty levels, which were flagged as important indicators to watch in previous iterations of this report, have decreased at this point in time after the recession, and that reduces previous levels of concern.

Several of the other demographic and economic indicators are fairly constant, and our rankings relative to the peer cities has also remained quite constant. However, the State Department of Local Affairs has

26 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 27 Community and Economic Development 8101 Ralston Road Arvada, CO 80002