THIS IS ARVADA INTRODUCTION POPU LATION Introduction to the 2019 Demographic Supplement Strong Growth This City of Arvada report is the 2019 Demographic Supplement to the Arvada is the seventh largest city in Colorado and the fifth largest in “This is Arvada” report which was prepared in December 2018 and the metropolitan region, following Thornton but with a larger presented to City Council. The “This is Arvada” report can be population than Westminster and Centennial. Arvada’s population in considered the baseline document that examined in detail the key 2018 was estimated at 120,492, representing an increasing of topic areas of People, Housing, Employment, Transportation and also approximately 14,059 residents since the 2010 Census. This translates identified current challenges and opportunities. into an increase of 13.2 percent since the start of the decade. The charts opposite illustrate the actual numbers and the percentage This supplement report provides the most recent American Community increase for our peer cities so as to provide a more comprehensive Survey (ACS) estimates that were released in December 2019 and the picture of rates of growth. While the Denver Metro region has 2018 population estimates from the annual Population Estimates experienced growth driven by an increase in employment and resultant Program. This supplement examines current trends from the major migration to the state, the region also continues to be a destination for topic areas of population, age, race, ethnicity, households and families, families and young adults who are attracted to the outdoor-oriented income and employment, housing, and transportation. The 2014-2018 lifestyle and the amenities that the mountains offer. ACS data is summarized and comparisons are made with Arvada’s peer cities, providing a snapshot of how the city is doing today. Certain Since 2000, the cities that have experienced that highest rate of growth information has been selected for representation with charts and maps. are Thornton (69.3 percent), Aurora (35.4 percent) and Denver (29.2 Where trends are identified as important, data for previous years or percent). Arvada had a population increase of 18 percent for this time decades is provided. period, slightly more than Boulder and Westminster, and significantly more than Lakewood. A note about the Data Data in this report is from the U.S. Census Bureau, including the decennial Arvada is a desired destination for families and an increasing number census, the American Community Survey (ACS), the Population Estimates of young professionals. Arvada has experienced strong growth in the Program, Community Analyst (ESRI), and other data. The five-year data in past, sometimes in dramatic growth spurts. In the 1960s, 30,642 new this report is from the 2014-2018 ACS. This estimate was used since it residents moved to Arvada and in the following decade, 34,692 new provides data with less margin of error than the one-year ACS estimates. residents were added. This housing boom was followed by a period of The median income percentage data in this report is from the 2018 one- slow growth. Since then, growth has been variable, with the 1980s and year ACS that is reported in 2017 inflation-adjusted dollars. 2 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA POPU LATION POPULATION FOR CITIES IN THE METRO REGION (2018 EST.) PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 2000 AND 2018 (Note: Highlands Ranch is considered a peer city for the purposes of this report, but the Census Bureau does not include it in the Annual Population Estimate Program because it is a Census Designated Place and not a city.) POPULATION ADDED BETWEEN 2010 AND 2018 PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 2010 AND 2018 THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 3 POPULATION 2000s adding fewer than 5,000 new residents for each decade. This The chart below shows the actual population growth from 2000 as well current period of growth is somewhat more moderate than previous as the population projections that were prepared as part of the 2014 decades. Arvada Comprehensive Plan. It is projected that Arvada will have a population of approximately 141,187 by 2035. This would be an The map opposite illustrates the annual growth rate for the various increase of approximately 17 percent from the current population. Census block groups in Arvada between 2010 and 2018. The northwest area of Arvada has experienced growth in excess of 12.5 percent since 2010 while growth in the central and eastern parts of the city has been quite low. ARVADA POPULATION GROWTH AND POPULATION PROJECTION POPULATION ADDED BY DECADE Arvada Population Increase for each Decade 160,000 2010s 2020s 140,000 141,187 136,027 34,692 120,000 128,848 30,642 121,031 111,529 100,000 106,433 80,000 14,996 12,918 14,598 60,000 4,659 4,280 5,160 40,000 20,000 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030-2035 0 2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 2030 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 2020 2022 2026 2028 2032 2034 Comprehensive Plan Population Projection 4 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA ARVADA 2010-2018 POPULATION ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (ESRI) THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 5 AGE Arvada’s age profile Senior residents Arvada’s median age was higher than the median age of most of our The number of senior residents 65 years of age and older in Arvada has peer cities, Colorado and the nation. The median age was 41.8 years in been increasing, from 10.7 percent of the population in 2000 to 16.9 2014-2018, which has increased from 37.2 years in 2000. The median percent in 2014-2018. Compared to our peer cities, Arvada ranks as age has continued to increase for Arvada and moved to the highest the city with the largest proportion of senior residents. median age in the Denver Metropolitan area. The largest age groups in Arvada is the 30 to 34 years old and 50 to 54 years old, which each make up approximately 7.6 percent of the population. The 25 to 39 year old and 50 years and older age groups of the population continue to increase since 2010. In the chart “Arvada Age Distribution” on the opposite page, the wave of Baby Boomers is clearly shown over time. Thirty-eight percent of the population is 50 years and over, and this proportion will continue to increase as the Baby Boomers age. On the other hand, there has been a decrease in the percent of the total population of children 19 years of age and under. In 2014-2019, 23 percent of the population was 19 years or younger, which is a reduction from 28.7 percent in 2000. 6 2019 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA AGE MEDIAN AGE POPULATION OVER 65 YEARS CHANGE IN MEDIAN AGE, ARVADA, JEFFERSON COUNTY, COLORADO AND U.S 2000 2010 2014-2018 ACS 45 Arvada 41.8 Arvada 16.9% 40 41.8 Highlands Ranch 40.4 Lakewood 15.9% 40.5 40.440.3 35 38.2 Lakewood Centennial 14.8% 37.2 36.8 36.136.9 37.2 40 34.3 35.3 Centennial 39.4 Westminster 12.5% 30 Westminster 37.7 Denver 11.4% 25 Aurora Aurora 10.8% 35.2 20 Denver 34.6 Boulder 10.6% Thornton 32.9 Highlands Ranch 10.4% 15 Boulder 29.3 Thornton 8.8% 10 5 Colorado 36.9 Colorado 14.2% 0 United States United States 16.0% 38.2 Arvada Jefferson County Colorado United States 0 20 40 60 ARVADA AGE DISTRIBUTION CHANGE IN ARVADA POPULATION OVER 65 YEARS OF AGE 10% Arvada Colorado United States 9% 16.9% 8% 18% 7% 16% 13.9% 16.0% 6% 14% 12.4% 5% 12% 14.2% 10.7% 13.0% 4% 10% 3% 10.9% 8% 9.7% 2% 1% 6% 0% 4% 5-9 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 50-54 55-59 60-64 10-14 2% Under 5 Under 85 and 85 and over 0% 2000 Census 2010 Census 2014-2018 ACS 2000 2010 2014-2018 THIS IS ARVADA │ 2019 Demographic Supplement 7 RACE AND ETHNICITY Race Place of birth Arvada‘s racial composition has remained relatively unchanged since Arvada had the smallest number of foreign born residents compared the 2000 Census. Arvada has a relatively homogeneous population with the peer cities, with just 5.4 percent of the population. As a result, with a predominantly White population. The city’s White population in English is the primary language spoken at home for approximately 91 2000 was 91 percent and in the 2014-2018 ACS estimates, it was 91.5 percent of residents, followed by Spanish (5.6 percent), and other percent. The proportions of Asian and people of other races also European languages (2.4 percent). Approximately 62 percent of remained relatively unchanged since 2000. Arvada’s foreign born residents are from Europe and Asia and about 24 percent are from Latin America. Arvada is the most homogeneous city in the region while Denver and Aurora have more racial diversity. POPULATION BY RACE IN ARVADA, PEER CITIES, COLORADO AND THE U.S. Ethnicity White Black/African American American Indian/Alaska Native The proportion of the population that identifies as Hispanic or Latino Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Some other race increased from 9.8 percent in 2000 to 14.4 percent in 2014-2018. This 100% 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 5.4% 3.1% 3.1% 2.5% 2.2% 4.1% 4.8% number is much lower than for Colorado and the nation.