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The Baldwin Wallace University Ohio Poll in Partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University April 26, 2020

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The Baldwin Wallace University Ohio Poll in Partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University April 26, 2020 The Baldwin Wallace University Ohio Poll In partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University April 26, 2020 Contents Vote choice in 2020 . .3 Approval: President Trump . 13 Approval: Presidential response to COVID-19 . 15 Approval: Governor DeWine . 17 Economy . 25 Media consumption . 28 Civil liberties and disobedience . 33 COVID-19 personal impact . 37 Just for fun . 48 1 The Baldwin Wallace University Ohio Poll was conducted between 4/20/20 and 4/25/20 in partnership with Oakland University (Michigan) and Ohio Northern University. The survey was conducted online among self-identified registered voters in Ohio (n = 797) using Qualtrics, an online sample aggregator. Sampled individuals were emailed by Qualtrics and responded using a personalized link to the survey. The survey included quotas for age, education, and gender for each state. The quota for age was based on the 2016 Voting and Registration Supplement to the Current Population Survey. The quotas for education and gender were based on data from the 2017 American Community Survey. The survey also included quotas for central metro areas and fringe metro areas at the county level based on data from the U.S. Census, as well as the 2013 National Center for Health Statistics’ (NCHS) Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties. The survey results are weighted by gender, education, race/ethnicity, and annual household income to be representative of each state’s population. In this survey, the design factor was 1.08. The overall margin of error was ±3.7%. The sample size and margin of error are applicable only to overall results, indicated by highlighted columns in the following tables. Columns without highlighting refer either to demographic subgroups or to questions asked only of subgroups of respondents; consequently, such columns necessarily have a higher margin of error. Total column percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding error. This project was funded by Baldwin Wallace University’s Community Research Institute, Oakland University (Michigan), and Ohio Northern University. Sample size Margin of error Ohio 797 ±3.7% 2 Vote choice in 2020 Q1 If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? Ohio Gender Party ID Response All M F Dem Rep Ind Definitely Donald Trump, the Republican 32.2 35.4 29.3 4.2 70.5 18.8 Probably Donald Trump, the Republican 12.0 13.6 10.6 5.2 15.2 18.0 Probably Joe Biden, the Democrat 13.8 10.0 17.5 21.8 5.2 14.2 Definitely Joe Biden, the Democrat 31.1 30.6 31.3 63.8 2.8 22.4 Unsure 10.8 10.3 11.2 4.9 6.4 26.5 Ohio Age Pop. Density Response All 18-34 35-54 55+ Rur Sub Urb Definitely Donald Trump, the Republican 32.2 23.2 30.1 38.4 46.6 31.7 16.0 Probably Donald Trump, the Republican 12.0 14.2 14.0 9.3 11.3 13.0 10.3 Probably Joe Biden, the Democrat 13.8 19.8 13.0 11.6 8.0 14.6 18.7 Definitely Joe Biden, the Democrat 31.1 25.8 32.0 32.9 26.2 30.9 37.7 Unsure 10.8 17.0 10.9 7.8 7.9 9.8 17.3 Q2.1 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - US Sen. Kamala Harris For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 41.0 No 28.9 Unsure 30.1 3 Q2.2 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - US Sen. Amy Klobuchar For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 33.9 No 30.3 Unsure 35.8 Q2.3 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - US Sen. Elizabeth Warren For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 47.1 No 30.8 Unsure 22.1 Q2.4 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - US. Sen. Tammy Baldwin For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 9.9 No 46.3 Unsure 43.8 4 Q2.5 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - US Sen. Tammy Duckworth For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 11.3 No 45.8 Unsure 43.0 Q2.6 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - MI Gov. Gretchen Whitmer For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 14.3 No 44.9 Unsure 40.8 Q2.7 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - NM Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 5.9 No 48.6 Unsure 45.5 5 Q2.8 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - US Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 11.1 No 47.6 Unsure 41.3 Q2.9 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - Former GA Rep. Stacey Abrams For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 18.3 No 44.3 Unsure 37.5 Q2.10 (Note: asked only of self-identified strong Democrats and Democratic-leaners) Which of the following people would you like to see Joe Biden pick for vice president? For each person, please select ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ - U.S. Rep. Val Demings For this question only: n = 313, MoE = ±6.0% Ohio Response All Yes 6.6 No 47.3 Unsure 46.0 6 Q3.1 Is your opinion of the following public figures favorable or unfavorable? - Donald Trump Ohio Gender Party ID Response All M F Dem Rep Ind Favorable 43.1 46.2 40.4 11.4 80.8 36.2 Unfavorable 48.2 44.3 51.7 83.7 12.0 46.9 Unsure 8.7 9.5 8.0 4.8 7.2 16.9 Ohio Age Pop. Density Response All 18-34 35-54 55+ Rur Sub Urb Favorable 43.1 36.1 43.4 46.3 54.7 42.1 31.7 Unfavorable 48.2 47.8 47.3 49.2 37.5 48.0 61.9 Unsure 8.7 16.1 9.3 4.6 7.8 9.9 6.4 Q3.2 Is your opinion of the following public figures favorable or unfavorable? - Joe Biden Ohio Gender Party ID Response All M F Dem Rep Ind Favorable 42.1 41.6 42.4 78.3 9.7 34.1 Unfavorable 43.5 46.9 40.5 11.1 78.5 41.6 Unsure 14.4 11.5 17.1 10.6 11.8 24.3 Ohio Age Pop. Density Response All 18-34 35-54 55+ Rur Sub Urb Favorable 42.1 36.9 43.7 43.3 36.3 41.6 50.4 Unfavorable 43.5 41.2 40.2 47.4 51.4 43.8 33.0 Unsure 14.4 22.0 16.1 9.3 12.3 14.6 16.5 7 Q3.3 Is your opinion of the following public figures favorable or unfavorable? - Mike DeWine Ohio Gender Party ID Response All M F Dem Rep Ind Favorable 75.1 73.2 77.0 74.4 78.4 71.3 Unfavorable 11.8 13.1 10.7 13.6 10.2 11.4 Unsure 13.1 13.8 12.4 12.0 11.4 17.3 Ohio Age Pop. Density Response All 18-34 35-54 55+ Rur Sub Urb Favorable 75.1 62.9 71.3 84.3 76 76.0 71.5 Unfavorable 11.8 17.2 14.6 6.7 10 11.1 15.9 Unsure 13.1 19.9 14.0 9.0 14 12.9 12.6 Q3.4 Is your opinion of the following public figures favorable or unfavorable? - Dr. Amy Acton Ohio Gender Party ID Response All M F Dem Rep Ind Favorable 63.7 63.7 64.1 63.6 65.0 62.0 Unfavorable 11.7 13.7 9.4 13.4 10.9 10.1 Unsure 24.6 22.6 26.5 23.0 24.1 27.9 Ohio Age Pop.
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