Freedom in the World 2018
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Democracy in Crisis FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2018 Highlights from Freedom House’s annual report on political rights and civil liberties This report was made possible by the generous support of the Smith Richardson Foundation and the Lilly Endowment. Freedom House also gratefully acknowledges the contributions of the Reed Foundation, the Achelis & Bodman Foundation, David L. Fogel, and additional private contributors who wish to remain anonymous. Freedom in the World 2018 Table of Contents Democracy in Crisis 1 Methodology 2 The United States in decline 3 Mugabe’s fall from power in Zimbabwe 4 Ethnic cleansing in Myanmar 5 Worst of the Worst 6 Turkey moves to ‘Not Free’ 7 International pressure helps end decades of oppression in The Gambia 7 An Arab success story founders in Tunisia 8 Countries to Watch in 2018 9 Regional Trends 11 Freedom in the World 2018 Map 12 Freedom in the World 2018 Status Changes 18 Freedom in the World 2018 Trend Arrows 19 The following people were instrumental in the writing of this booklet: Elen Aghekyan, Rukmani Bhatia, Jen- nifer Dunham, Shannon O’Toole, Arch Puddington, Sarah Repucci, Tyler Roylance, and Vanessa Tucker. This booklet is a summary of findings for the 2018 edition of Freedom in the World. The complete analysis including narrative reports on all countries and territories can be found on our website at www.freedomhouse.org. ON THE COVER Cover image by KAL. FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2018 Democracy in Crisis by Michael J. Abramowitz Political rights and civil liberties around the world deteriorated to their lowest point in more than a decade in 2017, extending a period characterized by emboldened autocrats, beleaguered democracies, and the United States’ withdrawal from its leadership role in the global struggle for human freedom. Democracy is in crisis. The values it embodies—par- civil and political liberties. Right-wing populists gained ticularly the right to choose leaders in free and fair votes and parliamentary seats in France, the Nether- elections, freedom of the press, and the rule of law— lands, Germany, and Austria during 2017. While they are under assault and in retreat globally. were kept out of government in all but Austria, their success at the polls helped to weaken established A quarter-century ago, at the end of the Cold War, parties on both the right and left. Centrist newcomer it appeared that totalitarianism had at last been Emmanuel Macron handily won the French presiden- vanquished and liberal democracy had won the great cy, but in Germany and the Netherlands, mainstream ideological battle of the 20th century. parties struggled to create stable governing coalitions. Today, it is democracy that finds itself battered and Perhaps worst of all, and most worrisome for the future, weakened. For the 12th consecutive year, according young people, who have little memory of the long strug- to Freedom in the World, countries that suffered dem- gles against fascism and communism, may be losing ocratic setbacks outnumbered those that registered faith and interest in the democratic project. The very gains. States that a decade ago seemed like promising idea of democracy and its promotion has been tarnished success stories—Turkey and Hungary, for exam- among many, contributing to a dangerous apathy. ple—are sliding into authoritarian rule. The military in Myanmar, which began a limited democratic opening The retreat of democracies is troubling enough. Yet in 2010, executed a shocking campaign of ethnic at the same time, the world’s leading autocracies, cleansing in 2017 and rebuffed international criticism China and Russia, have seized the opportunity not of its actions. Meanwhile, the world’s most power- only to step up internal repression but also to export ful democracies are mired in seemingly intractable their malign influence to other countries, which are problems at home, including social and economic increasingly copying their behavior and adopting their disparities, partisan fragmentation, terrorist attacks, disdain for democracy. A confident Chinese president and an influx of refugees that has strained alliances Xi Jinping recently proclaimed that China is “blazing and increased fears of the “other.” a new trail” for developing countries to follow. It is a path that includes politicized courts, intolerance for The challenges within democratic states have fueled dissent, and predetermined elections. the rise of populist leaders who appeal to anti-immi- grant sentiment and give short shrift to fundamental The spread of antidemocratic practices around the www.freedomhouse.org 1 EURASIA: STATUS BY POPULATION AMERICAS: STATUS BY POPULATION ASIA-PACIFIC: STATUS BY POPULATION EUROPE: STATUS BY POPULATION Total population Total population Total population Total population 286.7 million 992.3 million 4.1 billion 618.1 million 21% 38% 69% 85% 22% 79% 27% 40% 2% 4% 13% EURASIA: STATUS BY POPULATION AMERICAS: STATUS BY POPULATION ASIA-PACIFIC: STATUS BY POPULATION EURASIA: STATUS BY COUNTRY AMERICAS: STATUS BY COUNTRY ASIA-PACIFICEUROPE: STATUS BY COUNTRYPOPULATION EUROPE: STATUS BY COUNTRY Total population Total population Total population6% Total population 286.7 million 992.3 million FREEDOM Democracy in Crisis4.1 billion 618.1 million 2% 42% IN THE WORLD 28% 21% 46% 12% 2018 21% 38% Freedom in the World methodology 69% Total Total Total Freedom in the World 2018 evaluates the state of The methodology, which is derived from the Total countries countries countries 85% countries 22% freedom in35 195 countries and 14 territories during Universal Declaration39 of Human Rights, is applied 12 calendar year 2017. Each country and territory is to all countries and territories, irrespective of geo- 42 79% assigned between 0 and 4 points on a series of graphic location, ethnic or religious composition, 25 indicators, for an aggregate score of up to 100. or level of economic development. These scores are used to determine two numerical 27% 40% 58% ratings, for political rights66% and civil liberties, with a 33%Freedom in the World assesses the real-world 2% 86% 4% rating of 1 representing the most free conditions rights and freedoms enjoyed by individuals, rather13% and 7 the least free. A country or territory’s politi- than governments or government performance cal rights and civil liberties ratings then determine per se. Political rights and civil liberties can be EURASIA: STATUS BY COUNTRY AMERICAS: STATUS BY COUNTRY ASIA-PACIFICwhether it has: ST AanTUS overall BY COUNTRY status of Free, Partly Free, affectedEUROPE: SbyT AbothTUS stateBY COUNTRY and nonstate actors, includ- or Not Free. ing insurgents and other armed groups. MIDDLE EAST: STATUS BY POPULATI6%ON SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: WORLD: STATUS BY POPULATION STAForTUS complete BY POPUL informationATION on the methodology, visit https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world-2018/methodology.2% 42% 28% 21% 46% 12% Total population Total population Total population 424.8 million world is not merely1.02 a billionsetback for fundamental free- ignoring all constraints7.4 billion themselves, spurring a vicious doms. It poses economic and security risks. When circle of abuse and radicalization. 5% more countries are free, all countries—including the Total Total 11% Total 12% United States—are safer and more prosperous. When The United StatesTotal accelerates its countries countries more countries countriesare autocratic and repressive, treaties 39%withdrawal fromcountries the democracy struggle 12 35 and alliances crumble,39 nations and entire regions A long list of troubling42 developments around the world become unstable, and violent extremists have52% greater contributed to the global decline in 2017, but perhaps room to operate. most striking was the accelerating withdrawal of the 83% 24%United States from its historical commitment to promot- 58% 66% Democratic33% governments allow people to help set the ing and supporting democracy. The potent challenge rules to which all must adhere, and have a say in the from authoritarian regimes made the 86%United States’ direction of their lives and work. This fosters a broader abdication of its traditional role all the more important. respect for peace, fair play, and compromise.37% Auto- 37% crats impose arbitrary rules on their citizens while Despite the U.S. government’s mistakes—and there MIDDLE EAST: STATUS BY POPULATION SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: WORLD: STATUS BY POPULATION STATUS BY POPULATION FREE GLOBAL: STATUS BY POPULATION GLOBAL: STATUS BY COUNTRY MIDDLE EAST: STATUS BY COUNTRY SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: WORLD: STATUS BY COUNTRY Total population Total population PARTLY FREE STATUS BY COUNTRYTotal population 424.8 million 11% 1.02 billion NOT FREE 7.4 billion 25% 45% 5% 39% 18% 11% 12% 22% 39% Total 52% Total Total countries countries 83% 24% countries 18 49 195 37% 37% 67% 30% 43% 2 MIDDLE EAST: STATUS BY COUNTRY SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: WORLD: STATUS BY COUNTRY STATUS BY COUNTRY 11% 25% 45% 39% 18% 22% Total Total Total countries countries countries 18 49 195 67% 30% 43% Freedom House The United States in decline senior officials despite apparent conflicts of interest; and Freedom House has tracked a slow decline in po- litical rights and civil liberties in the United States • a reduction in government transparency, includ- for the past seven years. Prominent concerns ing an unusual pattern of false statements by the have included the influence of money in politics, administration, the president’s failure to disclose legislative dysfunction, and severe inequalities in basic information such as his personal tax data, the criminal justice system. policy and other decisions made without mean- ingful input from relevant agencies and officials, In 2017, however, the deterioration accelerated. The and the removal of information on issues of United States lost three points on the 100-point public interest from government websites for scale used by Freedom in the World due to: political or ideological reasons. • growing evidence of Russian interference in the The United States now receives a score of 86 out 2016 election campaign and a lack of action by of 100 points.