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Metro Vehicles– Global Market Trends

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Metro Vehicles– Global Market Trends Annexe C2017 METRO VEHICLES– GLOBAL MARKET TRENDS Forecast, Installed Base, Suppliers, Infrastructure and Rolling Stock Projects Extract from the study METRO VEHICLES – GLOBAL MARKET TRENDS Forecast, Installed Base, Suppliers, Infrastructure and Rolling Stock Projects This study entitled “Metro Vehicles – Global Market Trends” provides comprehensive insight into the structure, fleets, volumes and development trends of the worldwide market for metro vehicles. Urbanisation, the increasing mobility of people and climate change are resulting in an increased demand for efficient and modern public transport systems. Metro transport represents such an environmentally friendly mode which has become increasingly important in the last few years. Based on current developments, this Multi Client Study delivers an analysis and well-founded estimate of the market for metro vehicles and network development. This is the sixth, updated edition of SCI Verkehr’s study analysing the global market for metro vehicles. All in all, the study provides a well-founded analysis of the worldwide market for metro vehicles. This study further provides complete, crucial and differentiated information on this vehicle segment which is important for the operational and strategic planning of players in the transport and railway industry. In concrete terms, this market study of metro vehicles includes: . A regionally differentiated look at the worldwide market for metro vehicles including an in-depth analysis of all important markets of the individual countries. Network length, installed base and average vehicle age in 2016 of all cities operating a metro system are provided . An overview of the most important drivers behind the procurement and refurbishment of metro vehicles in the individual regions . A comprehensive analysis of the current fleet stocks concerning quantities and age structures as well as future procurement potential up to 2022. An analysis of the current market shares of important manufacturers as well as a forecast of future vehicle requirements of customers up to 2022 . A worldwide presentation of metro systems, future infrastructure projects and forecast of network development up to 2030 . An overview of metro vehicle manufacturers including a brief description of their current range of products and services as well as production capacities . A condensed presentation of the most important fleet-specific features of metro vehicles of all countries presented in detail and regions in the form of diagrams . A list of all vehicle stocks of metro operators in the annexe to the study The market study is based on numerous sources of information from the press and discussions with experts, which are continuously analysed, evaluated and entered into the SCI Database. The study is available in English starting April 2017. SCI Verkehr GmbH is an independent consultancy company specialising in the technology and economics of transport. We have close connections to the rail industry, with consultants in a wide range of specialist fields. We have an extensive network of experts in Germany and abroad and we specialise in market and strategy aspects for the mobility sector. Our activities focus on companies in the transport and rail industry, logistics, public and private transport companies and transport and economics departments in public administration at federal, regional and municipal level Ann Kathrin Arntz Head of Marketing and Sales Phone: +49 221 93178 20 Fax: +49 221 93178 78 Email: [email protected] © SCI Verkehr GmbH • www.sci.de • Metro Vehicles - Global Market Trends 2 Extract from the study CONTENTS 1 Executive Summary: The World Market for Metro Vehicles Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 2 Objective of the Study and Delimitation of the Railway MarketFehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 2.1 Objective of the Market Analysis ........................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 2.2 Delimitation of the Rail Market............................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 3 Market Analysis Methodology ............................................. Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 3.1 SCI Forecasting Tool ............................................................. Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 3.2 After-Sales Market Forecast .................................................. Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4 The Market for Metro Vehicles in Western Europe ............. Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4.1 Total Market ........................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4.2 Germany ................................................................................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4.3 France ................................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4.4 United Kingdom .................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4.5 Italy ........................................................................................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4.6 Spain ..................................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 5 The Market for Metro Vehicles in Eastern Europe .............. Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 5.1 Total Market ........................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 5.2 Turkey .................................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 5.3 Czech Republic ..................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 6 The Market for Metro Vehicles in Asia ................................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 6.1 Total Market ........................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 6.2 China ..................................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 6.3 India ....................................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 6.4 Japan ..................................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 6.5 South Korea ........................................................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 7 The Market for Metro Vehicles in North America ................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 8 The Market for Metro Vehicles in South and Central AmericaFehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 9 The Market for Metro Vehicles in the CIS............................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 10 The Market for Metro Vehicles in Africa/the Middle East ... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 11 The Market for Metro Vehicles in Australia/Pacific ............. Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. © SCI Verkehr GmbH • www.sci.de • Metro Vehicles - Global Market Trends 3 Extract from the study ANNEX 1 Annex A ................................................................................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 2 Annex B: Factsheets of major metro vehicle manufacturersFehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 3 Annex C: Overview of metro fleets ...................................... Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. 4 Annex D: Automated Guided Vehicles operating ................ Fehler! Textmarke nicht definiert. © SCI Verkehr GmbH • www.sci.de • Metro Vehicles - Global Market Trends 4 Extract from the study 5. The Market for Metro Vehicles Asia 5.1 Total Market Market Overview Asia Metro Trend Cars 2016 49.000 Average development 2016-2021 (p. a.) 11.4% Average age 2016 (in years) 9.5 Installed Installed Base Average volume 2015-2017 (EUR million p. a.) 4.750 Average development 2016-2021 (p. a.) -0.2% Market Market For Volatility market volume 2016-2021 (SAW) 15.2% New New Vehicles Average volume 2015-2017 (EUR million p. a.) 1.650 Average development 2016-2021 (p. a.) 7.8% After Sales After Market Market For Volatility market volume 2016-2021 (SAW) 17.3% Boom/Strong Growth Small Growth Stagnation Small Decrease Clear Decline Volume: > +5%p.a. +2 to +5% p.a. 0 to +2% p.a. -2 to 0% p.a. <-2% p.a. Installed base: > +1.5%p.a. +0.5 to +1.5% p.a. -0.5 to +0.5% p.a. -1.5 to -0.5% p.a. <-1.5% p.a. Figure 1: Market Overview in Asia The Asian metro vehicle market will remain at a very high level, but will not grow further over next five years. Despite the fact that the market will not grow in medium-term, it remains the most important region of the world, as more than half of the world market size is currently made up by Asia. Market environment/infrastructure development Urban rail is a strong growth sector in Asia. Transport performance doubled between 2005 and 2012 and is expected to double again until 2020, reaching 434 billion pkm. While China and India showed constant growth, the Japanese and South Korean urban rail sectors suffered in 2008-2009. The largest regional markets are China, Japan and South Korea. More recently, India started to develop its urban rail systems and is expected to register the second highest growth rate after China. [….] New metro systems or lines are being planned and built in China and India as well as in Bangladesh, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. Japan already has efficient mass transit transport systems in its metropolises.
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