WINTER 2009 Q UARTERLY YEAR VII WINTER 2009 PERSIAN GULF Iran’s regime gets weaker, Saudi Arabia’s influence in the region soars Diego Baliani 5 SOUTH EASTERN EUROPE An overview of South Eastern Europe and main trends for Centro Militare di Studi Strategici 2010 Paolo Quercia 11 CeMiSS Quarterly is a review COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES EASTERN EUROPE supervised by CeMiSS director, Major General Giacomo Guarnera Towards a new security architecture in Europe? Andrea Grazioso 17 It provides a forum to promote the knowledge and understanding of THE AFGHAN THEATER international security affairs, military Afghanistan-Pakistan 2010 proof of facts of the new american strategy and other topics of significant interest. strategy Fausto Biloslavo 23 The opinions and conclusions expressed in the articles are those of AFRICA the contributors and do not necessarily reflect the position of the 2010: Africa, yes you "could"! Italian Ministry of Defence. Maria Egizia Gattamorta 39 INDIA AND CHINA Military Center for Strategic Studies Department of International Relations The end of Chindia? Palazzo Salviati Nunziante Mastrolia 49 Piazza della Rovere, 83 00165 – ROME - ITALY LATIN AMERICA tel. 00 39 06 4691 3204 Economic recovery and political integration fax 00 39 06 6879779 Riccardo gefter wondrich 59 e-mail
[email protected] ENERGY SECTOR Oil Rejected, renewable energy and energetic efficiency promoted Gerardo Iovane 65 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS The UN action in Somalia: between 2009 and 2010 valerio bosco 73 Negative balance for Russia in Central Asia Lorena Di Placido 83 FOCUS ON The importance of small and developing countries in solving crises in the International Community Slobodan Simic 89 Quarterly Year VII N° 4 - Winter 2009 Persian Gulf Iran’s regime gets weaker, Saudi Arabia’s influence in the region soars Diego Baliani In 2009, the balance of power between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the region’s two leading rival powers, was such that Iran got weaker and Saudi influence increased.