,

VOL. IX, No. 19

OCTOBER 15, 1973 FORUM 25 CENTS

ship. Senate Majority Leader Ray John­ POLITICS: REPORTS son may run for the State Supreme Court next spring, but if he loses that battle, he may contest Steinhilber for the special convention "will provide the nomination to succeed Warren. • WISCONSIN another occasion for Republicans to get together and hate one another." Despite the party's admitteJ internal COLORADO MAD ISO N - With both a problems, a number of possible can­ senatorial and gubernatorial election didates have already surfaced for next DENVER - Colorado Gov. John coming up in 1974, the Wisconsin Re­ year's nominations - many of them Vanderhoof (R) looks like a man publican Party is in difficult straits. from the State Senate. caught between a rock and a hard If a $500,000 debt wasn't adequate With former Defense Secretary Mel­ place . as he resists calling a special affiiction, the GOP also faces two for­ vin Laird out of the gubernatorial pic­ session of the Colorado Legislature to midable opponents in Sen. Gaylord ture in Washington, Attorney General deal with the Denver's annexation Nelson (D) and Gov: Patrick Lucey. Robert W. Warren is the leading can­ powers. (See the September 1973 Nelson won re-election in 1968 against didate for governor. However, Warren FORUM.) If Vanderhoof calls the Jerris Leonard, later a top Justice De­ is also interested in a federal judge­ session, he loses the support of Denver partment official, with 62 percent of ship (assuming the post does not go Republicans; if he does not, he loses the vote. to U.S. Rep. Glenn Davis, who would vast numbers of suburban votes. Republicans are also bedeviled by like it) and still might even run for Gov. Vanderhoof earlier said he their own internal problems. The par­ re-election. wouldn't call such a session unless a ty's ruling faction led by Republican Three other state senators mention­ majority of the legislature requested it. National Committeeman Ody J. Fish ed for the gubernatorial nomination The legislative leadership now claims and former Gov. Warren Knowles lost are James Devitt, who refers to him­ to have such a majority. In a last at­ control of the Republican State Com­ self as the "Will Rogers of the State tempt to salvage a compromise agree­ mittee earlier this year, but the divi­ Senate," because he says he never met ment between local governments on the sions between the Knowles-Fish fac­ a bill he didn't like; Robert Kasten, annexation issue, the governor called tion and a younger, "principled con­ a moderate-conservative freshman; and selected local councilmen and commis­ servative" group continue. Robert P. Knowles, the moderate and sioners to his office. One indication of the divisions is wealthy Senate president pro tempore Meanwhile, Frank Southworth (R), continued disagreement over party pol­ who succeeded his brother (former Denver school board president, has sug­ icy on convention endersements. This Gov. Warren Knowles) in the State gested that the real reason suburbs sur­ year's GOP convention voted to end Senate. rounding Denver oppose annexation is mandatory convention endorsements. If For the Senate nomination, two eld­ racial. (Denver is both a city and coun­ next year's convention also takes a sim­ erly state senators, Milo G. Knutson ty and has the constitutional right to ilar vote, the mandatory endorsements, and Gerald D. Lorge, who both un­ annex adjoining unincorporated land.) which were meant to avoid expensive successfully sought the GOP Senate Denver is now busing under court party pririlaries, will be eliminated. nomination against Sen. William Prox­ orders to preserve racial balance in the schools, but the suburbs are unaffected The prevailing party sentiments this mire in 1970, are possible reruns. State year was that with so little prospect for Sen. Knowles has suggested freshman by that order. Ironically, Southworth was elected to the Denver school board election victory and so large a debt, State Sen. Thomas E. Petri for the open primaries might in fact aid the nomination. Businessman Vern Reed, only a few years ago on a bitter, anti­ .party by giving candidates more ex­ who sought to unseat U.S. Rep. Glenn busing plank. posure. The party leadership, however, Davis in a primary battle last year, Southworth is expected to seek the concerned that the termination of en­ may seek the GOP candidacy. GOP congressional nomination to op­ dorsements would diminish their pow­ Assuming Warren does not seek re­ pose U.S. Rep. Patricia Schroeder (0- er, has decided to call a special state election, State Sen. Jack D. Steinhilber, 1st CD.) Former astr.onaut Jack Swig­ convention for January to resolve the the assistant majority leader, is report­ ert has reportedly realized that he must • issue. As one GOP office-holder said, edly set to seek the attorney general- return to Denver from his congres- sional job in Washington if he expects fever from fellow U.S. Rep. Wayne tion in the state, White House aide to have a shot at the same congression­ Owens and is said to be giving the Jill Ruckelshaus might have been near­ al nomination. race serious consideration. Owens' Salt ly as strong a candidate as her hus­ In other congressional races, Alan Lake City district may provide him band.) Merson is expected to square off with a stronger base for the race than Recent speculation had centered on against State Rep. John Carroll in the would McKay'S. (Former Democratic Senate President pro tempore Phillip .aJ Democratic primary next year for the National Chairwoman Jean Westwood E. Guttman (R) and Republican State .., right to oppose freshman U.S. Rep. recently announced she would also seek Chairman Thomas S. Milligan. In- James Johnson (R-4th C.D.). Merson the Democratic nomination.) diana GOP officials, however, have be- lost a tight race to Johnson last year If McKay or Owens engage in a gun a drive to convince Mayor Lugar after knocking off veteran U.S. Rep. bitter primary battle with Attorney that he is the only viable candidate Wayne Aspinal (D) in the primary. Donald Holbrook, the candidate cur­ who has a chance of defeating the pop- One Democrat and one Republican rently favored by the Democratic es­ ular Bayh. Pressure has been brought have already announced for governor: tablishment, Republicans might stand by GOP county chairmen on the of- House Speaker John Fuhr (R) and a good chance to pick up one or both fices of the GOP state committee, Re­ State Rep. Richard Lamm, a 38-year­ of their seats. In McKay's 1st C.D., publican National Committeeman L. old attorney. • House Speaker Howard C. Nielson Keith Bulen (the mayor's closest po- (R) of Provo or fonner GOP State litical adyisor) and Mayor Lugar on Chairman Richard Richards might run. the grounds that Republicans may lose John Birch Society member Joe Fer­ a number of county courthouses if the UTAH guson is already prepared to make a GOP's ticket is led by a weak candi- rerun of his unsuccessful 1972 prima­ date. ry race. Bulen has stated publicly that he is SALT LAKE CITY - The deci­ In the 2nd C.O. captured last year rethinking his advice to Lugar against sion of former Michigan Gov. George by Owens, his predecessor, former U.S. making the race. Lugar himself is not Romney not to enter next year's Sen­ Rep. Sherman Lloyd (R), may try a expected to reach a decision until early ate race has apparently prompted an­ comeback. Lloyd is currently a visiting next year - after he makes the rounds other candidate to seek the race. professor at Utah State Uruversjty. Al­ of Lincoln Day dinners in the state. L. Ralph Meacham, vice president ready actively in the running is John Lugar's status as a "loyal party sol­ of Annaconda Copper, and resident Dwan, a former field representative dier," may have a strong bearing on lobbyist for Annaconda in Washing­ for Lloyd. Two" Salt Lake County com­ his decision, as may pressure from ton, has been making contacts in Utah missioners are also the subject of spec­ the members of the Circle City Qub in preparation for the race. Meacham, ulation: Republican William E. Dunn who back Lugar's political efforts. a former vice president at the Uni­ and Democrat Ralph MCClure. A ticket led by Lugar mIght also versity of Utah, is also a former ad­ Meanwhile, former HUn Secretary boost Republican chances of saving ministrative assistant to retiring Sen. Romney has resigned as chairman of several marginal congressional seats - Wallace Bennett and is expected to the National Center for Voluntary Ac­ including those occupied by U.S. Rep­ pick up support among former Ben­ tion and will return to Bloomfield resentatives Earl F. Landgrebe, David nett workers. Hills, Michigan. Romney reportedly W. Dennis, and William H. Hud­ Although Salt Lake City Mayor Jake may join the National Conference of nut.• Garn (R) remains interested in the Citizenship now led by former Su­ race, Attorney General Vern Romney preme Court Justice Tom Clark. • (R) may prefer waiting for a 1976 gubernatorial race. U. S. Rep. Gunn McKay seems to have caught some of the senatorial INDIANA

INDIANAPOLIS - In the past, In­ dianapolis Mayor Richard Lugar (R) has repeatedly ruled out a senatorial race against Sen. Birch Bayh (D) next year. But now, "the dynamic young mayor is re-evaluating his position in the wake of what Republican politi­ cians describe as a genuine "draft" movement. The Indiana Republican Party earlier lost one strong contender to Nixon Administration job shuffies. Now in the Justice Department, Deputy Attor­ ney General William Ruckelshaus has removed himself from Senate consider­ ation. (With her strong name recogni- William Saxbe he will not seek the seat being vacated by Sen. Harold Hughes (D) next year. Ray's announcement, which did POLITICS: PEOPLE not come as a surprise in Iowa politics, left the race open to State Senators George Milligan and David Stanley. Although there is some speculation that Gov. • Although Michigan Gov. William Milliken (R) Ray will return to private life, he is expected to seek is still not expected to make his decision on whether re-election next year. to enter the 1974 gubernatorial race until 'early next • Philadelphia District Attorney and Pennsylvania year, he has revealed that a private public opinion poll gubernatorial hopeful Arlen Specter has been given a shows him in good shape for the contest. He recently boost in his re-election campaign this year by the tight­ indicated that the poll showed him beating Sander M. fisted response of local Democrats to the campaign of Levin, the 1970 Democratic candidate, and Jerome his opponent, F. Emmett Fitzpatrick. Democrats have Cavanagh, former mayor of Detroit. The governor's apparently decided that Specter is unbeatable. weakest point, apparently, was public annoyance at • U.S. Rep. Robin L. Beard CR-Tenn.) got himself last year's two-cent increase in gasoline taxes. into trouble with his House colleagues over national • Surprise Department: A September Gallup Poll mailings to pressure congressmen into signing a discharge showed voter identification with the Republican Party petition for his anti-busing constitutional amendment. In down to 24 percent, a drop of four percent since last an effort to get his bill out of the Judiciary Committee, year. Beard had written thousands of anti-busing organizations • In th~ wake of Sen. Alan Bible's (D) decision asking their help in getting congressmen to sign the dis­ to retire next year, former Gov. Grant Sawyer (D) charge petition. One congressman particularly incensed seems to be leaning toward his Las Vegas law practice at this violation of House protocol was U.S. Rep. Olin and away from the Nevada Senate race. In the case J. Teague CD-Texas). Teague delivered a severe dressing that Sawyer's equivocating ends in a "no go" decision, down to the Tennessee freshman. Gov. Mike O'Callaghan (D) is expected to seek and • Tired of losing, top Tennessee Democrats have get the Democratic nomination. The likely Republican signed a "unity statement" in preparation for next candidate for governor is then thought to be Attorney year's gubernatorial primary. "It was generally and General Robert List. . mutually agreed in our meeting today that the Dem­ • Massachusetts Attorney General Robert Quinn ocratic Party in Tennessee can no longer afford the (D) reportedly has a poll showing that both he and luxury of grudge politics and, further, that all candi­ Boston Mayor Kevin White (D) could defeat Gov. dates in the primary will conduct clean, eth~cal and Francis Sargent (R) while former State Rep. Michael wholesome campaigns without mud-slinging, indulging Dukakis runs a close but losing race. Dukakis and Quinn in personalities or bitterness," the leaders agreed. The have been headed for a two-man race for the Demo­ absence of several possible Democratic gubernatorial cratic nomination but recent damage to Sargent's pop­ candidates marred the significance of the September ularity - like the rejection by the Sargent Administra­ agreement. U.S. Rep. Joe L. Evins CD), who organized tion of a downtown Boston redevelopment plan close the meeting, said, "I didn't invite everybody who might to White's heart - may lead to a re-evaluation of be a prospective candidate, because if I had, we could White's decision not to contest Sargent next year. not have found a room big enough for this meeting." • Virgin Island Gov. Melvin H. Evans was elect­ • The most definite candidate for the Republican ed chairman of the Southern Governors' Conference gubernatorial nomination in Florida next year appears September 26, succeeding Gov. George C. Wallace to be former Florida Senate President Jerry Thomas. (D). Evans belongs to a double minority among con­ Thomas, a former Democrat who turned. Republican ference members; he's black and he's Republican. last year on the grounds that he was uncomfortable in • Members of the Young Americans for Freedom the same party with Gov. Rubin Askew (D), is president chapter at George Washington University have employ­ and chairman of the board of General Financial Sys­ ed a new recruiting tactic: Penthouse "Pet" Avril Lund. tems, Inc. In a stock prospectus earlier this year for While Ms. Lund autographed pictures of herself GFS, the organization announced that, "Mr. Thomas (modestly clad in a bathing suit), YAF distributed but­ is considering becoming a candidate for the office of tons saying "Legalize Freedom" and stickers saying Governor of Florida in 1974. In the event Mr. Thomas "Give Freedom a Chance." Their literature did not becomes a candidate, he will participate in the primary complain about the recent Supreme Court decision on election in September 1974, and if nominated, take part pornography. in the general election in November, 1974." There's • The list of Vermont Republicans who might be nothing like mixing business with politics. Meanwhile, "available" to run for governor next year keeps grow­ U.S. Rep. Louis Frey (R) is evaluating his chances to ing. The latest additions to the list are State Rep. Rich­ defeat Askew before committing himself to the race. ard A. Snelling, a 46-year-old industrialist who ran un­ Frey would be the likely winner of a possible three-way successfully for governor in 1966; State Sen. Frank GOP primary with Thomas and Judge Shelby High. Smallwood, also 46 and associate dean of the faculty smith of Miami. at Dartmouth College; and Secretary of State Richard • In one move to combat the energy crisis, Con­ C. Thomas, a 36-year-old former aide to the late Sen. necticut Gov. Thomas J. Meskill has ordered his 1971 Winston Prouty. Cadillac limousine sold "to save money, set the exam­ • Iowa Gov. Robert Ray (R) has announced that ple, and save gas."

RIPON FORUM Published semi-monthly by the Ripon Society, 509 C Street N.E., Washing­ ton, D.C. 20002. Second class postage paid at Boston, Massachusetts. and farming in Mechanicsburg, Ohio, (Watergate) in~W1e" and accused it OHIO but not for financial reasons. A sen­ of have lost "establishment" control of ator's salary of $42,500 "is the best the federal government. salary I've ever received." WASHINGTON, D.C. Sen. Wil­ Said Saxbe: "The establishment was liam Saxbe (R-Ohio), 57, has become Saxbe's acid comments about the firmly in control," but now power is the fifth senator to announce he will Nixon Administration - he criticized on its way "back to the misery lobby not seek re-election. President Nixon for last December's and the social planners." The announcement by the forthright bombing of North Vietnam as in­ Back in Ohio, Lt. Gov. John Brown and outspoken senior nuckeye senator dicating that the President had "taken immediately announced he would seek came as no surprise although specula­ leave of his senses" --....:. have not al­ the Republican Senate nomination. tion and odds on Saxbe's future had ways been well-received by some Ohio U.S. RepreSentatives Clarence J. "Bud" shifted repeatedly throughOut the past Republicans, but he was a clear favorite Brown' and WilliatD. J. Keating are year. Saxbe was admittedly frustrated for re-election. His shocking honesty also expected to enter the Republican in the Senate and annoyed by the po­ will obviously be missed in Washing-. race. The Democrats will have their litical impotence of junior members. ton. own problems in a projected. prima­ His candor was again demonstrated Only last month, Saxbe held a ry between millionaire Howard Met­ in his retirement announcement. He press conference in which he criticized zenbaum and near-millionaire John said he was retiring to practice law the Nixon Administration for "petty Glenn.•

coming up next year and another presidential election in 1976, the party seemingly could use a heady infusion of DULY NOTED: POLITICS academic talent and inspiration, especially ~ solving prob­ lems of inflation, environment, medical care, welfare, hous­ ing and the energy crisis. • "Kleindienst Glances Backwal"d," by Sanford J. Unger, '!'he WashlDgton Post, September Zl, 1973. In an • ''Politics,'' by Cincinnatus. (Seattle) Argus, Sep­ interview with the Post, fonner Attorney General Richard tember 21, 1973. ''The senior senator from (Washington G. Kleindienst discussed the relationship between the law state), Warren G. Magnuson, is Irevving up his campaign and politics and decried the tendency of both the White for re-election to his sixth term. Now 68, Maggie has no House and the press to make political judgments when intention of quitting. His campaign manager, Ian Mc­ constitutional principle should be the deCiding factor. Gowan, is in Washington learning strategy. The strategy About the Ellsberg trial, Kleindienst complained that began in the McGovern campaign, where Maggie was the White House was ,)'nly concerned with the trial's im­ closely identified with the youthful campaigners. Magnu­ pact on the election. "They considered it a political, rather son does not want to become another Margaret Chase than a legal matter," said Kleindienst. Kleindienst also Smith, sent out to pasture by the youth vote," writes Cin­ stated it was improper for fonner presidential assistant cinnatus. Fundraising is the key to Republican efforts John Ehrlichman to mention the position of F.B.L director to unseat Magnuson. "David Kirk Hart, a dynamic, young to the Ellsberg trial Judge W. Matt Byrne, Jr., and that professor of business at the University of Washington, is it was equally improper for Byrne to suggest a second poised to make the race, on one condition. That proviso meeting. Finally, reports Unger, "The fonner Attorney is that $100,000 must be raised and banked within the General complailied of a tendency in the press to take next 30 days. Hart, schooled in the political wars of Cal­ sides in any such constitutional confrontation on the ifornia, would make a good candidate, but the money is basis of political preference rather than genuine prin­ tough to unearth. Without it: a repeat perfonnance by ciple." Earnest Jack Metcalf, the man from Mukilteo (who lost • "ZJmmerman AIds Specter Drive In Western Pa.: to Magnuson in 1968 by nearly a 2-1 margin)," writes Seen Lt. Gov. Bopef1iL" (Philadelphia) Observer, October David Brewster. 1, 1973. "Speculation making tpe rounds in the State 'Capital these days is that Dauphin County DA Leroy Zim­ mennan is the 'stalking horse' for Philadelphia DA. Arlen Specter in the 1974 gubernatorial," according to the Ob­ THE RIPON SOClm, INC. ~Cft:~=~~h= Server. "Often said to be high on Specter's list of lieu­ members are young business, academic ana professional men and tenant governor hopefuls, Zimmennan is said to be using women. It has national headquarters In District of Columbia, chapters In fifteen clties, National Associate members throughout his position as a respected, well-liked office-holder to in­ me fI!ty states, and several affIhated groups ot subchapter status. fluence Central Pennsylvania leaders toward Specter." The SOcIety Is supported by chapter dues, inc:Iividuc:il contribu­ The Republican Zimmerman would be expected to im­ tions and revenues from lis pubI1c:ations and contract work. Is published semi-monthly by the prove Specter's sometimes tortured relations with party THE RIPON FORUM Riplln Soclety, Inc., 509 C Street N.E., professionals. Washington, D.C. 20002. Second class pQ!rtage rates perld at Boston, Massacliusetts. Contents are 9C)pyrighted @ 1973 by the Ripon S0- • "GOP brnsh oft of Intellectuals eaIled error," by,J. ciety, Inc. Correspondence addi88sed. to tlie Edifor Is welcOmed. F. Ter Horst. (Detroit) SDDday News, September 9, 1973. In publishing this magazme the Ri~ Soc:Iety seeks to provide ''T.be. GOP, according to a new study, muffed an excellent a forum for fresh Id_, well-researched proposals and fOr a spirit chance to gamer support among college professors and of criticism, innovation, and Independent tIiInkIng within the Re­ publican Party. Articles do not ri8cessarlly represent the opinion intellectuals last year because of the mistaken belief of the NationCd Governing Board. or the Editorial Board of the that campuses were hotbeds of radicalism and were total­ Ripon Society, unless they are ezpllcltly so labelled, ly opposed to the re-election of President Nixon," writes . SUBSCRIPTION RATES are $10 a year, $5 for students. servfce- Ter -gorst. According to the survey by Harvard Professor men, and for Peace Corps, VIsta and other volunteers. Ove_ :rlr mail. $3 extra. Advertising rates on request. P~e allow Seymour Upset and University of Connecticut Everett five weeks for address changes. C. Ladd, Jr., "In one sense, therefore, 1972 was a story Editon Dick Behn of opportunities missed by the Republican Party." In the Editorial Bocmb Robert D. Behn, Chairman Tanya MeUch American Enterprise Institute study, they wrote, "The Robert H. Donaldson Robert G. Stewart reasons for the failure are manifold But to a considerable Tames Manahan Ral~ Thayer extent, we believe, the GOP was unable to take advantage Contributing EditolBl CliHord. Brown, Glenn Gerste11, WUliam A. Koelsch, Daniel T. S~er,·Jos1ah Lee Auspitz, Richard W. Hahn, of··the Olvisions within the university because many of John A. Rehfuss, and Thomas A. Sargent its leaders failed to dift'erentiate among professors." Ter Assistant Editon M. Victoria Golden Horst concludes that the Republican Party ought to act An: Leslie Morrill and AnnIe Greene Aclvenlslag Ma.clgen Deborah Bowen on the opportunities outlined by Upset and Ladd: ''With Staff AsslataDtI Nelson Millet important off-year congressional and governor elections ,

terations. The same is true with our shortened. It is. unlikely that prices force - teenagers. Thus, as a result economic environment. In order to for the American consumer are now of increased minimum wages, teen­ grow and prosper in a healthy envir­ any lower as a result of the freeze, and agers are able to obtain fewer jobs onment, we must adopt policies which he has been forced to accept artificial­ during periods of normal employment have long run beneficial effects rather ly created shortages. growth and their jobs are less secure than short run policies which tend to Minimum wage legislation provides in the face of short-term employment exacerbate current difficulties over a a prime example of the need for an changes ... A disproportionate share period of time. "economic impact statement." Those of these unfavorable employment ef­ Specifically, it is recommended that, advocating an increase in the mini­ fects appears to have accrued to non­ • mum wage from $1.60 to $2.20 an white teenagers. The primary bene­ in the case of any new legislative pro­ posal or administrative policy that hour have provided a rather persuasive ficiaries of the shifts in the pattern of would have major impact on the econ­ emotional case for raising the living employment shares occasioned by min­ omy, the Congress or the Administra­ standards of millions of impoverish­ imum wage increases were adults, tion be required to append a formal ed workers, particularly in these infla­ and among adults, particularly white and detailed statement of the expect­ tionary times. A generation's experi­ males."2 The President's proposal to ed long run effects of such an action ence with minimum wages has shown have a lower minimum wage might to the proposal. that they are not the panacea for pov­ have received far more favorable treat­ The Russian wheat deal, the recent erty that they would appear. to be. ment in Congress if the opposition price and wage controls, and the re­ We know that no rational employ­ had· been required to show that their cently vetoed minimum wage bill all er is going to pay an employee $2.20 proposals to increase the wage for all illustrate the need for such "economic an hour when he only produced $2.00 workers to $2.20 an hour would in impact statements." The Russian wheat per hour's worth of product. In reali­ all likelihood substantially increase the deal is acknowledged by most ob­ ty, many low wage workers will not rate of teenage unemployment - par­ servers, including Treasury Secretary have their wages increased, but will ticularly among black teenagers. George Schultz, to have been a colos­ be fired. Even the distinguished econ­ This proposal for required "eco­ sal blunder. It now appears that when omist Paul Samuelson ( a notorious nomic impact studies" is predicated on the Department of Agriculture gave non-conservative) has said: "Minimum the notion that the long run effects of its approval to sell one-fourth of the wage rates. These often hurt those they our actions are at least as important entire U.S. wheat crop to the Soviet are designed to help. What good does as the short run results, and that eco­ Union, not one official in the depart­ it do a black youth to know that an nomic forecasting has developed to ment first evaluated the effect of s1,lch the point where it is at least as much an agreement on our existing grain of a science as it is an art. stocks, let alone the price of wheat Economic policy makers ought to be given the anticipated harvest in rela­ as accountable to the public for their tion to expected domestic and foreign actions as are other professionals. As demand. A careful economic analysis John Kenneth Galbraith recently said: of the deal may not have revealed that "Then there is the remarkable non­ the price would eventually rise to $4 accountability of economists - some­ a bushel as it did, but it would cer­ thing of which, as an economist, I tainly have revealed that such a trans­ am very reluctant to complain. A sur­ action would cause major upward pres­ geon, in a general way, is held ac­ sures on the price of wheat. countable for results. If, delving for The shortages, the cessation of a brain tumor, he gets a prostate, he production of marginally profitable is open to criticism. Even lawyers are products (e.g. lower priced grades of held to certain standards of perform­ paper), the rise of black markets, and employer must pay him $2.00 per ance; John Mitchell is in trouble for the ballooning of prices when the con­ hour if the fact that he must be paid changing sides on the matter of crime. trol~ were lifted, were all easily pre­ that amount is what keeps him from But not economists. No matter how dictable results of the recent price getting a job."l great the disaster, we are still rever­ freeze. If the Administration had been Kosters and Welch found in their ed."3 required to produce an "economic im­ highly regarded study of the mini­ It is hoped that. the requirement of pact statement" describing the nega­ mum wage that: "Minimum wage an "economic impact statement" by tive aspects of the freeze, there prob­ legislation has had the effect of de­ economists and other public practi­ ably would have been a far more creasing the share of normal employ­ tioners of the economic sciences will healthy opposition to the freeze. Per­ ment and increasing vulnerability to help bring closer the day when eco­ haps then it would not have been al­ cyclical changes in employment for nomists are revered for a reason. • lowed or at least would have been the group most 'marginal' to the work FOOTNOTES 1. Paul A. Samuelson, Economics. 9th Edition, McGraw-Hill Book Company, New York 1973 pp. 393-394. 2. Marvin Kosters and Finis Welch, "The Ef­ We regret that this article was jumbled in the October FORUM . lects 01 Minimum Wage on the Distribution 01 Changes in Aggregate Employment," Because we believe that the proposals made by Dr. Hahn are important, The Americcm Economic Re'liew. (J une 1972) .p. 330. we have reprinted the article in full. 3. lohn Kenneth Galbraith, "Why the Nixon Bconomic Policy is so Bad," New York. • (September 3, 1973) p. 29. • "Kennec1.T seriously CODSfderlDg another· run for . man of the Govemor's Gommittee on Children and Youth SeDate In ''78,'' by Charles E. Claffey. Boston Globe, Octo­ has resigned, blasting the governor for his inaccessibili­ ber 5, 1973. "Sen. Edward M. Kennedy, his political fu­ ty and unwillingness to agree to a third major investiga­ ture still indefinite, is seriously considering remaining in tion of the state boys' refqrm school. After attempting the Senate after the expiration of his present tenn in for three weeks to see the governor, GCCY Chairman 1976," writes Claffey. "One factor which-will weigh heavi­ Frank Manchel wrote Gov. Salmon, "What ha:rm could ly in his decision whether to pursue the Democratic pres­ there have been in spending 10 minutes discussing chil­ Idential nomination - he is still the generally acknowl­ dren's rights? Are you that busy? Was the request that edged front-runner - is his position on the influential unreasonable?" Senate Judiciary Committee." Although Kennedy only • ''The Wa.tergate eftect: G.OoP. hurting In DlInols," ranks ruth in the Democratic pecking order, the four other by Michael Killian. ChIcago Tribune, September ~ 1973. Democrats on the panel are aging and Kennedy stands "President Nixon is apparently so convinced of his re­ a good chance to succeed to the chainnanship. covery from Watergate that he has promised - indeed, • "Non-Candid.a.te Dunn lias A BIg Stake In 1974 boasted - that he will campaign for local Republican State Elections," by Null Adams. Memphis Press-ScImltar, candidates in 1974." Killian believes, however, that the Sep~ber 29, 1973. "Unlike most o1Ilceholders, who have President may be an "uninvited guest" of Dlinois Repub­ planS made for the years ahead, Dunn at the moment has licans. He notes that despite the plethora of Cook Coun­ not decided his next political step. But what happens next ty Democratic scandals, Democrats are preferred by voters year will help him make up his mind," writes Adams. "Two over Republicans by a margin of 3-1 in the County. When thoughts have leaked out here and there. One is he just it comes to scandals, Watergate is still the one. mlght run for dle U.S. Senate in 1976 against Senator • "Tapped In the House," New BepubUc, September William E. Brock. The other is that he might wait four 29, 1973. "Two national politicians who have demonstrated years after his tenn expires and run for .governor again leadership find themselves trapped in semi-anonymity by in 1978. (A Tennessee governor cannot serve two consecu­ the carefully structured processes of the House of Rep­ tive ~.) He is almost certain to take one of these resentatives, processes that cripple rather than encourage two courses." new talent. One is a Republican - Rep. John B. Anderson, • The PoJiltical Scene, state GOP: Steele to Decide Jr. of Dlinois, chairman of the House Republican Con­ In February," by Jack Zaiman. Hartford Courant, October ference. The other is a Democrat - Rep. Morris K. Udall 7, 1973. "U.S. Rep. Robert H. Steele of Vernon has in­ of Arizona, twice defeated in an attempt to break into fonned state Republican leaders that by Feb. 15 he will his party's upper crust. Both are casting about far a decide whether to run for the U.S. Senate." Steele has broader forum and both confront the same barrier - a been actively making political rounds in the state, in­ popular incumbent in the Senate whom they have to un­ creasing his visibility and trying to make up his mind seat if they are to get the national prominence that can whether to run against Sen. Abraham Ribicoff. "At this turn an able unknown into a viable presidential contend­ point Rep. Steele has the Republican Senate Ifleld all to er. Despite the odds both are nevertheless seriously con­ himself. He has the nomination all wrapped up if he wants sidering a Senate bid in 1974." Anderson's target is Sen. it. Nobody else is really being mentioned for it." Two Adlai Stevenson m (D) and Udall's is Sen. Barry Gold­ other options open to Steele are runnin~ for re-election water (R). "The problem might be called the 'Anderson­ in the safe 2nd C.D. or seeking the governorship should Udall syndrome," but they share it with dozens of col­ Gov. Thomas J. Meskill (R) unexpectedly accept a federal leagues who've passed through the House over the decades judgeship rather than run for re-election. on their way to the Senate or the statehouse. It's not • "Manchel Raps Salmon for Lack of Support." Ver­ simply a matter of being buried among the 435 in the mont Free Press, October 5,1973. Vermont Gov. Thomas House. .Not everyone is buried. However those who do P. Salmon, who has enough troubles with a construction come to the top after years of anonymous service in the workers' strike and the state's new mandatory bottle ranks are frequently too old, or too enfeebled by com­ deposit law, is now in trouble with children. The chair- promise to be national leaders."

COMMENTARY The Need lor EeonolDie InIpaot StatelBent. by Richard W Rabn Should economists and legislators plementation of policies whose proba­ short run rather than the long run who determine economic policy be held ble outcome could have been fore­ needs of the nation. Economic po1- accountable for the results of their cast by the policy framers. For in­ icymaking could be substantially im­ policies? Traditionally, economics has stance; our present inflationary cycle proved if each new policy proposal been viewed as such a mystical science began when the Johnson Administra­ were accompanied by an economic that it seemed perhaps no more fair tion greatly increased both domestic statement of the long run results of to blame the economist for the world's and Vietnam War spending without· such a policy. economic situation than it was to blame increasing taxes to pay for the spend­ If we compare our economic envir­ the preacher for the world's moral sit­ ing. The resulting inflation was pre­ onment to our physical environment, uation. In reality, however, the science dictable. we recognize that induced changes of economics has now developed to the For the most part, Dad economic usually have both positive and nega­ stage where the effects of most policy policy is implemented because both tive effects. It has become apparent changes are reasonably predictable. Administration and congressional eco­ that we cannot continue to alter our The economic problems now facing nomic policy makers feel pressured to physical environment without consid­ our counay result largely from the im- respond to the political realities of the ering the long run effects of such al-