National Science Foundation Political Science Program
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NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION POLITICAL SCIENCE PROGRAM AMERICAN ELECTORAL BEHAVIOR WORKSHOP Arlington, Virginia Friday, February 14, 2003 Transcripts by BETA Reporting 2 1 PARTICIPANTS: 2 FRANK SCIOLI National Science Foundation, 3 NORMAN BRADBURN 4 National Science Foundation 5 RICHARD LEMPERT National Science Foundation 6 JIM GRANATO 7 National Science Foundation 8 NANCY BURNS American National Election Studies 9 University of Michigan 10 DONALD KINDER American National Election Studies 11 University of Michigan 12 MARK HANSEN American National Election Studies 13 University of Chicago 14 RICHARD SINNOTT University College, Dublin 15 CHRIS ACHEN 16 University of Michigan 17 JOHN THOMPSON National Opinion Research Center 18 HENRY BRADY 19 University of California, Berkeley 20 DIANA MUTZ Ohio State University 21 IAN McAllister 22 Australian National University _______________________________________________________________________ 2 HAROLD CLARKE University of Texas, Dallas 3 ANDRE BLAIS 4 University of Montreal 5 ROGER TOURANGEAU University of Maryland 6 7 8 CHUCK PIERRET Bureau of Labor Statistics 9 ROBERT SANTOS 14 NuStats 15 16 * * * * * 17 18 19 20 21 22 _____________________________________________________________________________________ 1 C O N T E N T S 2 WORKSHOP SCHEDULE: PAGE 3 Introductions and Preliminary Considerations 4 The Current and Future State of 5 National Election Studies 6 Cross National Comparisons 7 Future Substantive Concerns 8 The Future of Information Collection 9 10 11 12 * * * * * 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 1 P R O C E E D I N G S 2 (9:00 a.m.) 3 INTRODUCTIONS AND PRELIMINARY 4 CONSIDERATIONS 5 DR. SCIOLI: I'm Frank Scioli, 6 Program Director for Political Science. My 7 colleague Jim Granato and I have a few brief 8 remarks. First Happy Valentine's Day. 9 DR. BRADY: I love you too, Frank. 10 DR. SCIOLI: I get that all the 11 time. Before I forget, let me note that we 12 have a transcriber from 13 Services who will be doing a verbatim 14 transcription of what we say here. If there 15 is anything you would like not to become 16 part of the public record, do not say it. _________________________________________________________________ 1 Thank you for your willingness to provide commentaries 2 on relatively short notice -- incisive, 3 thoughtful, provocative -- and we hope this 4 will be very useful to us as we plan for the 5 next decade of studies in the area of 6 American electoral behavior. 7 For Jim and me this is the best 8 part of our job. There are a lot of things 9 that are not fun, and we won't go over that 10 right now. But this is the real stimulating 11 part of working at the National Science 12 Foundation and it has sustained me for quite 13 awhile now -- bringing folks like 14 yourselves, knowledge experts, 15 methodologically, substantively, and to give 16 us your best advice on how we can proceed 17 over the next decade. 18 Our objective is to produce a 19 report and to produce an announcement which 20 will guide a competition for the next round 21 of American electoral behavior studies. As 22 many of you know, we have supported the ______________________________________________________________ 1 American National Election Studies. In a 2 minute everyone will introduce themselves, 3 Nancy, Don, and John Mark Hansen from ANES 4 are here. 5 ANES has an award at present, 2 6 more years of support. In the interim we're 7 going to do our best to produce an 8 announcement for a competition and we hope 9 it will reflect the best and brightest ideas 10 that you give us and that we've received 11 from other sources. 12 We will listen very carefully to 13 your advice and we will do our best to 14 incorporate your suggestions, and 15 suggestions we get from the community, and a 16 whole array of ideas we have about electoral 17 studies generally and the American National 18 Electoral Studies project specifically. 19 Let me introduce first Norman 20 Bradburn, our Assistant Director. For Jim 21 and me it has been a singular pleasure to 22 work with him over the past 3 years. He has ________________________________________________________________ 1 been extremely supportive of all of our efforts in political science. He, of course, is tremendously knowledgeable about the survey enterprise and about American National Election Studies in particular. It has been a pleasure to have him as a supporting mentor for us. Most recently Rick Lempert, our 9 Division Director, joined the division in August, 2002. He 10 too is first and foremost a scholar and a 11 leader and has been extremely supportive in 12 what we're doing in political science and 13 our efforts to launch this workshop. 14 In order to do a workshop in NSF 15 you must have support of the leadership or 16 it simply can't come off. The fact that 17 they are willing to be here today and to 18 listen and to participate fully, naturally, 19 is also testimony to their interest in the 20 study of electoral behavior and in their 21 support of the political science program. 22 So, please just a brief hello from _________________________________________________________________ 1 everyone at the table beginning with Norman 2 and then we will turn it over to Norman for 3 some broader remarks. 4 DR. BRADBURN: Oh, okay. Thank 5 you all for coming. I'll say some things 6 later about situating this particular thing 7 but just for right now, good morning and 8 thanks for coming. 9 DR. LEMPERT: I learned how wise 10 it is to echo what Norman says. I will echo 11 and I'll simply tell you that as Frank said, 12 I'm division director for socioeconomic 13 science. I still feel recently arrived but 14 it's now about 8 months from the University 15 of Michigan where I am in the law school and 16 the sociology department. 17 DR. SINNOTT: Richard Sinnott from 18 University College, Dublin. Basically, 19 thank you for the invitation. I had some 20 involvement in much less elaborate, I 21 suspect, central discussions that took place 22 in the British ESOC that led to some _____________________________________________________________ 1 reorganization of the British election 2 study. 3 In addition to which we have 4 just -- well, in the last 2 to 3 years -- 5 got funding for the first ever Irish 6 national election study and in the course of 7 designing that we looked very closely, 8 obviously, at what had been done in the 9 United States but also what had been done in 10 other countries. So, it's great to be here 11 to kind of listen to your reflections on all 12 of that. 13 DR. ACHEN: I think I'll just say 14 that I'm Chris Achen, the University of 15 Michigan. 16 DR. THOMPSON: Good morning. I'm 17 John Thompson from NORC. I've only been at 18 NORC for about 7 months. Before that, I 19 spent quite a bit of time at the U.S. Census 20 Bureau primarily involved in survey 21 methodology and the Decennial Census. 22 DR. BRADY: Henry Brady at the __________________________________________________________________ 1 University of California at Berkeley. I'm 2 head of the Survey Research Center there. I 3 was once at NORC as well. I fondly remember 4 that experience. I've worked on the 5 Canadian Election Study and some work on 6 political participation and other topics. 7 DR. HANSEN: I'm Mark Hansen from 8 the University of Chicago. I'm here as the 9 Chair of the Board of Overseers, National 10 Election Studies. 11 DR. BURNS: Nancy Burns, 12 University of Michigan, and I'm, since 1999, 13 principal investigator of the American 14 National Election Studies. 15 DR. KINDER: Don Kinder, I'm from 16 the University of Michigan also. My job is 17 to try to keep up with Nancy Burns which is 18 futile, as you'll see in detail. 19 DR. MUTZ: Diana Mutz, Ohio State 20 University. 21 MR. McAllister: Ian McAllister, 22 Australian National University, one of a group _________________________________________________________________ 1 that runs the Australian Election Survey. 2 DR. CLARKE: Yes, my name is 3 Harold Clarke from the University of Texas 4 at Dallas and the University of Essex in 5 East Anglia and I'm pleased to see the 6 Canadian representation. I think altogether 7 including Henry, and Andre, and myself, 8 there's what, seven or eight Canadian 9 National Election Studies representatives. 10 DR. BRADY: The real national 11 election studies. 12 DR. BLAIS: Andre Blais, 13 Department of Political Science at 14 University of Montreal. 15 MR. TOURANGEAU: I'm Roger 16 Tourangeau. I'm the director of the Joint 17 Program in Survey and Methodology at the 18 University of Michigan and I'm a senior 19 research scientist at the University of 20 Michigan. 21 DR. SCIOLI: Please introduce 22 yourself. ______________________________________________________________ 6 MR. PIERRET: I'm Chuck Pierret. 7 I'm from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the 8 principal -- the director of the National 9 Longitudinal Survey. 12 DR. SCIOLI: Also a member of the 13 ANES board and our colleague -- 14 MS. WHITE: Pat White, NSF program 15 director, sociology. 16 DR. SCIOLI: Pat is the overseer 17 program director for the General Social 18 Survey which as you probably know is in the 19 sociology program. Norman? 20 DR. BRADBURN: Okay. Well I 21 thought I'd start off by trying to give you 22 a sort of -- well, cut the context for this ____________________________________________________________ 1 workshop in terms of kind of the larger 2 picture of what's going on at NSF.