Latin America Equity Indices SCORECARD
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Latin America Equity Indices SCORECARD Q2 2018 Contents Commentary 3 Latin America 4 Mercado Integrado Latinoamericano (MILA) 4 S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Composite Sectors 5 Top and Bottom Performers, S&P Latin America 40 6 Top and Bottom Performers, S&P MILA Pacific Alliance 6 Argentina 7 Brazil 7 Chile 8 Colombia 8 Mexico 9 Peru 10 Sector and Sub-Sector Indices 10 Top and Bottom Performers, S&P BVL Peru General Index 11 Performance Disclosure 12 General Disclaimer 13 CONTACT US: A. Silvia Kitchener Michael Orzano, CFA [email protected] www.spdji.com Director Director New York +1.212.438.2046 Beijing +86.10.6569.2770 212.438.3532 212.438.4732 +1.877.325.5415 Dubai +971.04.371.7131 [email protected] [email protected] London +44.207.176.8888 Hong Kong +852.2532.8000 Tokyo +813.4550.8463 Sydney +61.2.9255.9802 Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this document requires the prior written approval of S&P Dow Jones Indices. Not for distribution to the public. 2 S&P Latin America Equity Indices Commentary: Q2 2018 Q2 2018 showed that volatility is king in Latin America. The first quarter saw strong returns for the region, with Mexico lagging. In the second quarter, we saw a practical wipeout of all gains for the year and a return to negative territory for Latin America. Recent presidential elections in Mexico and Colombia, as well as upcoming elections in Brazil brought economic uncertainty. Brazil, the largest market in the region, had a significantly tough second quarter. During this period, the country saw great currency depreciation, climbing inflation rates, as well as fiscal and political challenges that largely contributed to the region’s plunge. For the quarter, the S&P Brazil BMI was down 26% in U.S. dollar terms, while the regional S&P Latin America BMI and S&P Latin America 40 were down 18% and 19%, respectively. It is indisputable that Latin America is going through major upheavals. However, in terms of indices, one of the factors with the biggest impact is currency fluctuations. All the local and regional indices saw sharp drops in performance when looking at U.S. dollar returns, while local investors saw a different picture of the region. A good example is the S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Composite, which excludes Brazil. The broad region of 141 stocks saw returns of -5% in USD for the quarter, but in Chilean and Mexican pesos, the returns were positive, up 2.7% and 2.5%, respectively. In Colombian pesos, the index was flat at 0.1% and in Peruvian nuevos soles, it was down 3%. This shows that, depending on where you are, currency plays an important part in index performance. Despite the underperformance, there were some strong positive returns, particularly in Mexico and Colombia. The S&P/BMV IPC and S&P Colombia Select displayed strong performance in local currency terms, generating returns of 4.4% and 10.4%, respectively. Other pockets of positive returns were in the energy sector of the Pacific Alliance region,1 which returned nearly 4% for the quarter and 64% for the year ending June 2018 in U.S. dollar terms. Volatility is the name of the game in Latin America, and it will be interesting to see what happens next quarter. So far, the presidential elections in Mexico have barely had any impact on the market, and in the first week of July, Brazil has come back to positive territory, but there are many weeks still ahead before the next quarter—stay tuned. 1. The Pacific Alliance region includes Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. 3 S&PS&P Dow Latin Jones IndicesAmerica Equity Indices Scorecard | Latin America June 29, 2018 Index Performance Std Dev Index Fundamentals P/E P/E Div Index Name Currency Count QTD YTD 1-Yr 3-Yr 5-Yr 3-Yr 5-Yr P/B P/S P/CF Trailing Forward Yield Global Indices S&P 500 USD 505 3.4% 2.6% 14.4% 11.9% 13.4% 10.2% 9.8% 22.9 16.4 2.0 3.2 2.1 22.9 S&P Europe 350 USD 364 -0.8% -2.8% 5.9% 4.8% 6.9% 12.9% 12.8% 15.6 14.2 3.7 1.7 1.3 11.3 S&P Topix 150 USD 150 -2.9% -1.9% 10.5% 6.3% 7.4% 12.2% 11.7% 13.4 13.3 2.3 1.4 1.0 7.1 S&P Global 1200 USD 1221 1.3% 0.4% 11.6% 9.3% 10.5% 10.4% 10.0% 18.4 15.5 2.5 2.3 1.8 12.6 Latin America S&P Latin America 40 USD 41 -19.3% -11.5% 0.8% 2.8% -1.4% 26.5% 24.7% 17.1 8.0 2.9 1.7 1.7 14.3 S&P Latin America BMI USD 286 -17.6% -11.5% -0.2% 2.7% -2.4% 24.7% 23.2% 13.8 10.3 2.9 1.5 1.3 10.8 S&P Latin America Infrastructure USD 22 -27.5% -25.2% -18.4% -0.3% -3.6% 24.8% 22.4% 16.2 12.3 4.2 1.7 1.0 6.0 Pacific Alliance (Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) USD -4.8% -3.1% 0.1% 1.6% -2.2% 17.2% 15.8% CLP 2.7% 2.6% -2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 14.1% 13.1% S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Composite COP 141 0.1% -4.6% -3.8% 5.8% 6.3% 13.7% 12.1% 18.7 11.2 2.5 1.7 1.5 15.2 PEN -3.4% -2.1% 1.0% 2.6% 1.0% 14.6% 13.7% MXN 2.5% -2.7% 8.7% 9.5% 6.2% 10.9% 10.4% USD -4.6% -3.0% 3.0% 3.2% -1.7% 17.2% 16.0% CLP 2.9% 2.7% 0.9% 3.8% 3.4% 13.5% 12.8% S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Select COP 69 0.3% -4.5% -0.9% 7.5% 6.9% 13.5% 12.0% 19.0 11.2 2.5 1.9 1.6 16.8 PEN -3.2% -2.0% 3.9% 4.2% 1.5% 14.6% 14.0% MXN 2.7% -2.5% 11.9% 11.2% 6.7% 12.2% 11.5% USD -5.6% -2.5% 17.8% 9.4% -0.7% 18.9% 18.4% CLP 1.8% 3.2% 15.4% 10.1% 4.5% 13.1% 13.3% S&P MILA Andean 40 Index 40 20.7 14.9 2.3 1.6 1.5 30.0 COP -0.7% -4.0% 13.3% 14.0% 8.0% 12.7% 12.1% PEN -4.2% -1.5% 18.8% 10.5% 2.6% 16.3% 16.3% Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. Index performance primarily based on total return. Data as of June 29, 2018. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Table is provided for illustrative purposes and reflects hypothetical historical performance. Please see the Performance Disclosure at the end of this document for more information regarding the inherent limitations associated with back- tested performance. *The index was previously named S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Select Mexico Domestic. "Std Dev" stands for Standard Deviation. "P/E" stands for price-to-earnings ratio. "P/B" stands for price-to-book ratio. "P/S" stands for price-to-sales ratio. "P/CF" stands for price-to-cash-flow ratio. "NM" stands for not meaningful. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this document requires the prior written approval of S&P Dow Jones Indices. Not for distribution to the public. 4 S&P Latin America Equity Indices June 29, 2018 Index Performance Std Dev Index Fundamentals P/E P/E Div Index Name Currency Count QTD YTD 1-Yr 3-Yr 5-Yr 3-Yr 5-Yr P/B P/S P/CF Trailing Forward Yield S&P Latin America BMI Sectors Consumer Discretionary USD 47 -17.2% -19.8% -6.1% -2.2% -3.8% 25.7% 23.8% 23.9 17.2 2.0 2.3 1.4 12.5 Consumer Staples USD 38 -14.5% -15.4% -10.0% -3.5% -5.5% 16.9% 16.6% 27.6 20.8 2.1 2.6 0.9 12.6 Energy USD 8 -25.4% -9.4% 14.2% 3.2% -7.0% 46.4% 45.5% 28.4 8.0 1.3 0.6 0.5 1.8 Financials USD 43 -23.0% -10.1% 0.9% 6.4% 1.5% 31.0% 29.1% 10.9 10.0 4.2 1.5 4.4 NM Health Care USD 7 -28.4% -33.0% -22.2% 4.8% -1.7% 29.7% 27.3% 15.7 15.1 5.4 2.7 3.0 14.9 Industrials USD 41 -17.7% -16.2% -10.0% -1.7% -7.2% 20.5% 19.1% 26.4 17.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 8.3 Information Technology USD 5 -28.1% -31.3% -30.7% -18.0% -7.5% 32.7% 31.1% 15.3 16.9 3.3 4.3 3.4 12.3 Materials USD 39 -4.8% 1.0% 23.1% 14.6% 0.7% 29.2% 26.6% 18.1 6.4 2.1 1.5 1.3 7.0 Real Estate USD 19 -14.1% -13.2% -16.0% -6.5% -10.3% 21.9% 21.1% 17.4 14.4 4.8 0.9 7.3 11.2 Telecommunication Services USD 8 -13.7% -7.2% 2.8% -3.7% -4.6% 24.5% 21.6% 2.9 10.3 2.6 4.0 0.9 3.9 Utilities USD 31 -20.9% -18.0% -11.5% 0.7% -2.3% 24.4% 22.7% 12.9 8.0 5.1 1.1 1.2 6.6 S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Composite Sectors Consumer Discretionary USD 16 1.3% -3.0% -5.7% -6.5% -3.4% 20.0% 18.0% 24.7 20.1 1.3 2.4 1.6 10.1 Consumer Staples USD 24 -3.6% -3.8% -4.0% 1.8% -3.1% 16.5% 16.6% 22.8 22.1 2.0 2.4 1.0 12.7 Energy USD 3 3.9% 11.1% 64.3% 12.1% -7.2% 27.2% 28.2% 22.6 14.4 2.0 2.2 1.3 9.9 Financials USD 27 -0.5% 5.2% 6.4% 6.3% 1.2% 19.0% 17.3% 12.4 13.3 2.9 1.5 3.9 NM Health Care USD 1 -21.8% -19.5% -24.7% -1.2% -6.6% 25.7% 24.4% 14.6 11.6 - 2.6 1.5 12.6 Industrials USD 22 -12.7% -10.7% -14.2% -0.7% -4.6% 20.0% 18.3% 27.2 14.7 2.2 1.7 0.9 6.2 Information Technology USD 1 -21.2% -23.0% -5.9% -8.6% -10.6% 26.6% 26.2% 13.7 23.1 3.9 1.7 1.0 20.9 Materials USD 22 -5.8% -8.3% 0.6% 3.9% -2.1% 23.2% 20.9% 23.8 4.4 2.1 1.4 1.3 6.6 Real Estate USD 11 -5.1% 0.2% -11.0% - - - - 10.6 12.9 6.4 0.8 7.5 10.6 Telecommunication Services USD 4 -11.1% -3.6% 4.7% -4.3% -2.7% 24.6% 22.4% 99.2 16.9 1.7 4.9 1.1 5.1 Utilities USD 10 -14.5% -13.6% -4.2% 0.7% -0.2% 17.6% 16.5% 13.1 12.3 4.5 1.4 1.6 6.4 Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC.