Edited by ANDREA PLEBANI NEW (AND OLD) PATTERNS OF JIHADISM: AL-QA‘IDA, THE ISLAMIC STATE AND BEYOND FOREWORD BY PAOLO MAGRI 2014 ISPI – Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale - Milan ISBN: 97888909499-3-7 Layout & Graphic Design - Cooperativa Frontiere *
[email protected] Contents Foreword by Paolo Magri p. I 1 - The unfolding legacy of al-Qa‘ida in Iraq: p. 3 from al-Zarqawi to the new Islamic Caliphate Andrea Plebani 1.1 The origins: the armed jihad in Iraq p. 5 1.2 ISI’s return and its ascendance in the Levant p. 10 1.3 From insurgents to state-makers: the fall p. 14 of Mosul and the creation of the new Caliphate 1.4 What future for the Islamic State? p. 20 2 - European jihadists in Syria: profiles, travel p. 27 patterns and governmental responses Lorenzo Vidino 2.1 Unprecedented numbers and fears p. 28 2.2 Mobilization dynamics p. 38 2.3 European governments’ approaches p. 42 Conclusion p. 43 3 - New trends in North African jihadism: p. 45 Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia and Libya Stefano M. Torelli and Arturo Varvelli 3.1 Framing AST and ASL within Salafism p. 46 3.2 Jihadism in Tunisia: repression, radicalization p. 51 and external influences 3.3 Ansar al-Sharia Libya: local or global focus? p. 59 Conclusion p. 69 4 - Sinai: next frontier of jihadism? p. 73 Giuseppe Dentice 4.1 Terrorism in Sinai p. 74 4.2 The armed groups in the Sinai Peninsula p. 76 4.3 The emerging role of Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis p.